scholarly journals Evaluation method on seismic risk of substation in strong earthquake area

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (12) ◽  
pp. e0258792
Author(s):  
Jiawei Cui ◽  
Ailan Che ◽  
Sheng Li ◽  
Yongfeng Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Strong Earthquake ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Demand Model ◽  
Ground Acceleration ◽  
Vulnerability Model ◽  
Damage States ◽  
Probabilistic Seismic Demand

Frequent earthquakes in strong earthquake areas pose a great threat to the safety operation of electric power facilities. There exists a pressing research need to develop an assessment method for the seismic risk of substations, i.e., the hubs of power system networks. In this study, based on Incremental Dynamic Analysis (IDA), Probabilistic Seismic Demand Model (PSDM) and reliability theory, a vulnerability model for a substation is obtained, based on considering the relationships between Peak Ground Acceleration (PGA) and four seismic damage states (complete, extensive, moderate, and slight.) via a probabilistic approach. After an earthquake, the scope of influence and PGA distribution are evaluated using information recorded by the seismic observation stations, based on using interpolation or an empirical formula for the PGA attenuation. Therefore, the seismic risk can be evaluated by combining ground motion evaluation and the pre-built vulnerability model. The Wuqia- Kashgar area of Xinjiang was selected as the study area; it is an Earthquake-prone area, and one of the starting points for new energy transmission projects in China. Under a hypothetical earthquake (MS 7.9), the seismic risk of the substations was evaluated. The results show that: this method is able to give the probabilities of the four damage states of the substations, four substations close to the epicenter only have a probability of slight damage (45%-88%) and other substations are safer.

Research on Oil Depot Safety Evaluation Based on Dow Chemical Fire and Explosion Index Assessment Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 748 ◽  
pp. 1256-1261
Author(s):  
Shou Hui He ◽  
Han Hua Zhu ◽  
Shi Dong Fan ◽  
Quan Wen
Keyword(s):  
Production Management ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Risk Index ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Theoretical Ground ◽  
Potential Hazard ◽  
Process Unit ◽  
Safety Production ◽  
Fire And Explosion

At the present time, the Dow Chemical Fire and Explosion Index (F&EI) is a kind of risk index evaluation method that is comprehensively used in evaluating potential hazard, area of exposure, expected losses in case of fire and explosion, etc. As the research object to oil depot storage tank area, this article ultimately confirms establishing appropriate pattern of process unit as well as reasonable safety precautions compensating method, in order to insure the reasonableness of evaluating result, by means of selecting process unit, confirming material factor and compensating safety precautions, using F&EI method. This can provide the basis for theoretical ground in aspect of oil depot development and safety production management.

SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION FOR THE EXISTING LIFELINE

2011 ◽  
Vol 05 (01) ◽  
pp. 31-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. IMAI ◽  
S. WADA ◽  
T. KOIKE
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Water Distribution Network ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Disaster Mitigation ◽  
Seismic Retrofitting ◽  
Network System ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment

In order to keep the existing lifeline network system at a favorable seismic performance level, it is necessary to carry out retrofitting activities. This study proposes a seismic risk assessment method for the existing deteriorated lifeline network system based on the probability of system performance failure. Numerical simulations are carried out for the existing water distribution network system for several seismic investment strategies to support the decision making of seismic disaster mitigation planning. Effective planning of seismic retrofitting activities and disaster mitigation for the existing lifeline system can be realized using the newly developed assessment method.

scholarly journals Possible Assessment Method of Green Infrastructure in the Case of Small Town Keszthely, Hungary

Land Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. p21
Author(s):  
Vera Iváncsics ◽  
Krisztina Filepné Kovács
Keyword(s):  
Green Infrastructure ◽  
Environmental Planning ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Current Status ◽  
Field Surveys ◽  
Further Development ◽  
The Eu

Recently the planning of green infrastructure (GI) has become a general practice around metropolis (Paris, München, Budapest, etc). A complex methodology is required that goes beyond the scope of traditional green surface systems. However, there are various policy implications in the EU, the smaller towns are lagging to apply them. The paper presents a potential evaluation method through the case study of Keszthely, HU. As Keszthely at Balaton Riviera, is a popular touristic target of CEE, the environmental planning is an essential part of sustainable development. After a literature analyses of assessment methods of GI and ecosystem services, the aspects of GI have been valued on grade scales, based on field surveys and indicators. The current status of the GI was surveyed which is a base for further development and monitoring activities. The paper introduces the methodology, which contributes to preservation of ecosystems.

scholarly journals Research on Anomalous Behavior Detection and Dangerousness Assessment among Civil Aviation Passengers at Checkpoints

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haibin Shen ◽  
yan Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Index System ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Anomalous Behavior ◽  
Civil Aviation ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Neural Network Method ◽  
Behavior Detection ◽  
Network Method

Abstract Traditional civil aviation security check measures are focused on baggage rather than passengers. The goal of this study is to enhance the level and effectiveness of security measures. We propose an anomalous behavior detection technique for civil aviation passengers and a passenger risk-assessment method based on a neural network method. A large number of real cases were analyzed and summarized to extract indicators of anomalous behavior of civil aviation passengers, and an index system was developed to detect anomalous behavior of passengers at checkpoints. A neural network method was used to evaluate the passengers and classify the risk level to detect potentially dangerous personnel, monitor people, and create an emergency warning system. The synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE), the conjugate gradient method, and a multilayer perceptron neural network were used to classify the risk level of passengers at checkpoints. The results demonstrated that the proposed index system and evaluation method were well suited to deal with the ambiguity and uncertainty in the recognition process. The anomalous behavior of civil aviation passengers at checkpoints and the associated threat level were accurately identified.

scholarly journals Evaluasi Program Pembelajaran Sejarah Terintegrasi dalam Mata Pelajaran IPS Di SMPN 4 Kota Bekasi

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Kurniawati Kurniawati
Keyword(s):  
Social Studies ◽  
Secondary School ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Program Goal ◽  
Responsive Evaluation ◽  
History Learning ◽  
Implementation Assessment ◽  
Research Show ◽  
Three Components

This research explores the history learning which is integrated to IPS subject or also known as social studies at secondary school in SMPN 4 Kota Bekasi. The Method used in this research was evaluation method which employed responsive evaluation developed by Stake. Responsive evaluation by Stake used responsive clock as guided stages for evaluator. There were three components of evaluation following his earlier countenance model antecedent, transactions and outcomes. The things considered as antecedent were policy of the program, goal of the program, curriculum, book, means and infrastructure, and teacher’s competency. The things considered as transactions were lessons plan, instructional implementation, assessment, method and media of instructions. The results of the research show that there were several problems in the school related to program being evaluated, therefore several recommendation are given to IPS’s teacher, headmaster, government and also parents and community.   Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan pembelajaran sejarah yang terintegrasi dalam mata pelajaran IPS atau yang dikenal juga sebagai social studies di sekolah menengah pertama SMPN 4 Kota Bekasi. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode evaluasi yang menggunakan model evaluasi responsive yang dikembangkan oleh Stake. Evaluasi responsive yang dikembangkan oleh Stake menggunakan responsive clock sebagai panduan bagi evaluator. Terdapat tiga komponen evaluasi mengikuti model countenance yang telah dikembangkan sebelumnya oleh   Stake   yaitu   komponen   antecedent,   komponen   transactions   dan   komponen outcomes. Termasuk komponen antecedent adalah kebijakan program, tujuan program, kurikulum, buku, sarana prasarana, dan kompetensi guru. Termasuk dalam komponen transactions adalah perencanaan pembelajaran, pelaksanaan pembelajaran, metode pembelajaran, media pembelajaran dan penilaian proses pembelajaran. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terdapat beberapa masalah di sekolah berkaitan dengan program pembelajaran sejarah yang terintegrasi dalam   mata pelajaran IPS di SMP N 4 Kota Bekasi, sehingga beberapa saran diberikan kepada sekolah dan guru, MGMP, pemerintah, orang tua dan masyarakat.

Seismic risk assessment of RC curved bridges through fragility curves

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nina N. Serdar ◽  
Jelena R. Pejovic ◽  
Radenko Pejovic ◽  
Miloš Knežević
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Seismic Risk ◽  
Seismic Vulnerability ◽  
Fragility Curves ◽  
Curved Bridges ◽  
Damage State ◽  
Seismic Risk Assessment ◽  
Probability Of Exceedance ◽  
Damage States

<p>It is of great importance that traffic network is still functioning in post- earthquake period, so that interventions in emergency situations are not delayed. Bridges are part of the traffic system that can be considered as critical for adequate post-earthquake response. Their seismic response often dominate the response and reliability of overall transportation system, so special attention should be given to risk assessment for these structures. In seismic vulnerability and risk assessment bridges are often classified as regular or irregular structures, dependant on their configuration. Curved bridges are considered as irregular and unexpected behaviour during seismic excitation is noticed in past earthquake events. Still there are an increasing number of these structures especially in densely populated urban areas since curved configuration is often suitable to accommodate complicated location conditions. In this paper special attention is given to seismic risk assessment of curved reinforce concrete bridges through fragility curves. Procedure for developing fragility curves is described as well as influence of radius curvature on their seismic vulnerability is investigated. Since vulnerability curves provide probability of exceedance of certain damage state, four damage states are considered: near collapse, significant damage, intermediate damage state, onset of damage and damage limitation. As much as possible these damage states are related to current European provisions. Radius of horizontal curvature is varied by changing subtended angle: 25 °, 45 ° and 90 °. Also one corresponding straight bridge is analysed. Nonlinear static procedure is used for developing of fragility curves. It was shown that probability of exceedance of certain damage states is increased as subtended angle is increased. Also it is determined that fragility of curved bridges can be related to fragility of straight counterparts what facilitates seismic evaluation of seismic vulnerability of curved bridges structures.</p>

A Probabilistic Approach for the Assessment of LOC Events in Steel Storage Tanks Under Seismic Loading

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabrizio Paolacci ◽  
Daniele Corritore ◽  
Antonio C. Caputo ◽  
Oreste S. Bursi ◽  
Bledar Kalemi
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Simple Procedure ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Seismic Loading ◽  
Experimental Tests ◽  
Seismic Intensity ◽  
Storage Tanks ◽  
Industrial Plants ◽  
Damage States ◽  
Relationship Of

The damage states in a storage tank subjected to seismic loading can induce loss of containment (LOC) with possible consequences (fire, explosion, etc..) both for the surrounding units and people. This aspect is particularly crucial for the Quantitative Risk Analysis (QRA) of industrial plants subjected to earthquakes. Classical QRA methodologies are based on standard LOC conditions whose frequency of occurrence is mainly related to technological accident rather than natural events and are thus useless. Therefore, it is evident the necessity of establishing new procedures for the evaluation of the frequencies of occurrence of LOC events in storage tanks when subjected to an earthquake. Consequently, in this work a simple procedure founded on a probabilistic linear regression-based model is proposed, which uses simplified numerical models typically adopted for the seismic response of above ground storage tanks. Based on a set of predetermined LOC events (e.g. damage in the pipes, damage in the nozzles, etc..), whose probabilistic relationship with the local response (stress level, etc..) derives from experimental tests, the probabilistic relationship of selected response parameters with the seismic intensity measure (IM) is established. As result, for each LOC event, the cloud analysis method is used to derive the related fragility curve.

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