scholarly journals Melacak Dampak Perubahan Iklim Terhadap Kondisi Makroekonomi dengan Teori Permainan Dinamis

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-62
Author(s):  
Muhammad Wakhid Musthofa

Makalah ini membahas tentang model matematika dampak perubahan iklim terhadap kondisi makroekonomi suatu negara. Dengan mengacu pada model pertumbuhan ekonomi endogen pada suatu negara, dengan fungsi output berbentuk fungsi Cobb-Douglas akan diturunkan model matematika yang mendeskripsikan dampak perubahan iklim terhadap kondisi makroekonomi suatu negara. Selanjutnya, akan dikonstruksikan pula fungsi ongkos yang berhubungan dengan model matematika yang telah diturunkan. Mengingat model matematika tersebut masih dalam bentuk sistem persamaan nonlinear, maka diperlukan proses linearisasi untuk menghasilkan model matematika yang linear sehingga memudahkan untuk dianalisis maupun diaplikasikan. [This paper discusses the mathematical model of the impact of climate change on the macroeconomic conditions of a country. By referring to an endogenous economic growth model in a country, with the output function in the form of a Cobb-Douglas function, a mathematical model will be described that describes the effects of climate change on the macroeconomic conditions of a country. Furthermore, it will also construct cost functions related to mathematical models that have been derived. Considering that the mathematical model is still in the form of a nonlinear equation system, a linearisation process is needed to produce a linear mathematical model that makes it easy to analyze and apply.]

2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongkai Shen ◽  
Yanjun Zhou ◽  
Yan Shi

Mechanical insufflation-exsufflation (MI-E) secretion clearance system is usually utilized to help patients to clear secretion. In this paper, to obtain the essential dynamic characteristics of volume-controlled (VC) MI-E secretion clearance system with double lungs, a dimensionless model of the MI-E secretion clearance system is derived. Furthermore, for the validation of the mathematical model, a prototype VC MI-E secretion clearance system is proposed. Finally, to reveal the impact of key parameters on VC MI-E secretion clearance system, a dimensionless orthogonal experiment with four factors and five levels was processed. And then, coupling effects of two lungs on VC MI-E secretion clearance system were illustrated. This paper can be referred to in treatment of secretion clearance with VC secretion clearance system.


2011 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
A. Hegyi ◽  
H. Vermeşan ◽  
V. Rus

Abstract In this paper we wish to present the numerical model elaborated in order to simulate some physical phenomena that influence the general deterioration of steel, whether hot dip galvanized or not, in reinforced concrete. We describe the physical and mathematical models, establishing the corresponding equation system, the initial and boundary conditions. We have also presented the numeric model associated to the mathematical model and the numeric methods of discretization and solution of the differential equations system that describes the mathematical model.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alizée Chemison ◽  
Gilles Ramstein ◽  
Adrian M. Tompkins ◽  
Dimitri Defrance ◽  
Guigone Camus ◽  
...  

AbstractStudies about the impact of future climate change on diseases have mostly focused on standard Representative Concentration Pathway climate change scenarios. These scenarios do not account for the non-linear dynamics of the climate system. A rapid ice-sheet melting could occur, impacting climate and consequently societies. Here, we investigate the additional impact of a rapid ice-sheet melting of Greenland on climate and malaria transmission in Africa using several malaria models driven by Institute Pierre Simon Laplace climate simulations. Results reveal that our melting scenario could moderate the simulated increase in malaria risk over East Africa, due to cooling and drying effects, cause a largest decrease in malaria transmission risk over West Africa and drive malaria emergence in southern Africa associated with a significant southward shift of the African rain-belt. We argue that the effect of such ice-sheet melting should be investigated further in future public health and agriculture climate change risk assessments.


Materials ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3390
Author(s):  
Željko Knezić ◽  
Željko Penava ◽  
Diana Šimić Penava ◽  
Dubravko Rogale

Electrically conductive yarns (ECYs) are gaining increasing applications in woven textile materials, especially in woven sensors suitable for incorporation into clothing. In this paper, the effect of the yarn count of ECYs woven into fabric on values of electrical resistance is analyzed. We also observe how the direction of action of elongation force, considering the position of the woven ECY, effects the change in the electrical resistance of the electrically conductive fabric. The measurements were performed on nine different samples of fabric in a plain weave, into which were woven ECYs with three different yarn counts and three different directions. Relationship curves between values of elongation forces and elongation to break, as well as relationship curves between values of electrical resistance of fabrics with ECYs and elongation, were experimentally obtained. An analytical mathematical model was also established, and analysis was conducted, which determined the models of function of connection between force and elongation, and between electrical resistance and elongation. The connection between the measurement results and the mathematical model was confirmed. The connection between the mathematical model and the experimental results enables the design of ECY properties in woven materials, especially textile force and elongation sensors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 775 ◽  
pp. 145020
Author(s):  
Isabel Fuentes-Santos ◽  
Uxío Labarta ◽  
María José Fernández-Reiriz ◽  
Susan Kay ◽  
Solfrid Sætre Hjøllo ◽  
...  

2015 ◽  
Vol 778 ◽  
pp. 259-263
Author(s):  
Fa Jun Zhang ◽  
Lin Zi Li ◽  
Hui Lin ◽  
Yin Lin Pu ◽  
Zhu Xin

Various uncertain factors affect the movement of the welding robot, thus welding gun tend to deviate from the theory of welding position which reduces the welding accuracy, of which the revolute pair clearance have an greater effect on the movement of the welding robot. In order to study the influence of revolute pair clearance to the end pose accuracy of welding robot, the mathematical model of revolute pair clearance was established, and the software SolidWorks was used for establishing the welding robot model, making simulations of the mechanical arm with joint clearance and no joint clearance. At last, the movement characteristic of the hinge shaft is attained. The simulation results showed that the shaft velocity and displacement of mechanical arm with joint clearance has a certain degree of fluctuation, which affecting the end pose accuracy of welding robot , and reducing the movement stability and the welding accuracy of welding robot.


Author(s):  
Hamdy Hassan

Abstract In this paper, a theoretical study is presented on enhancement of the solar still performance by using the exhaust gases passing inside a chimney under the still basin. The impact of the exhaust gases temperature on the solar still temperature, productivity, and efficiency are considered. The performance of solar still with chimney is compared with that of conventional solar still. The study is carried out under the hot and climate conditions of Upper Egypt. A complete transient mathematical model of the physical model including the solar still regions temperatures, productivity, and heat transfer between the solar still and the exhaust gases are constructed. The mathematical model is solved numerically by using fourth-order Runge-Kutta method and is programmed by using MATLAB. The mathematical model is validated using an experimental work. The results show that the solar still saline water temperature increases and productivity with using and rising the exhaust gases. Furthermore, the impact of using exhaust gases on the still performance in winter is greater than in summer. using chimney exhaust gases at 75 °C and 125 °C enhances the daily freshwater yield of the conventional still by more than three times and about six times in winter, respectively, and about two and half times and more than three times in summer, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2091 (1) ◽  
pp. 012033
Author(s):  
V M Vishnevsky ◽  
K A Vytovtov ◽  
E A Barabanova ◽  
V E Buzdin

Abstract The mathematical model for reliability indicators calculation of the hybrid navigation system containing microwave and technical vision subsystems is proposed in this paper for the first time. The proposed method is based on the translation matrix concept of solutions to the Kolmogorov equation system and it allows us to obtain the mathematical expression of availability factor, downtime ratio, and other reliability indicators. Also the presented approach allows finding the reliability indicators for the cases of jump change of transition intensities caused by external influences. Besides the analytical method can be used for investigation of hybrid navigation system transient mode functioning. The results of the numerical calculations clearly demonstrated correctness of the proposed approach.


2020 ◽  
pp. 442-451
Author(s):  
А.V. Batig ◽  
A. Ya. Kuzyshyn

One of the most important problems that pose a serious threat to the functioning of railways is the problem of freight cars derailment. However, according to statistics, the number of cases of the derailments of freight cars in trains annually grows. Тo prevent such cases, the necessary preventive measures are developed, and to study the causes of their occurrence, a significant number of mathematical models, programs and software systems created by leading domestic and foreign scientists. Studies of such mathematical models by the authors of this work have led to the conclusion that they are not sufficiently detailed to the extent that it is necessary for analyze the reasons of its derailment. At the same time, an analysis of the causes of the rolling stock derailments on the railways of Ukraine over the past five years showed that in about 20 % of cases they are obvious, and in 7 % of cases they are not obvious and implicitly expressed. The study of such cases of rolling stock derailment during an official investigation by the railway and during forensic railway transport expertises requires the use of an improved mathematical model of a freight car, which would allow a quantitative assessment of the impact of its parameters and rail track on the conditions of railway accidents. Therefore, taking into account the main reasons that caused the occurrence of such railroad accidents over the last five years on the railways of Ukraine, the article selected the main directions for improving the mathematical model of a freight car, allowing to cover all the many factors (explicit and hidden) and identify the most significant ones regarding the circumstances of the derailment rolling stock off the track, established on the basis of a computer experiment. It is proposed in the mathematical model of a freight car to take into account the guiding force, the value of which is one of the main indicators of the stability of the rolling stock. The authors of the article noted that not taking into account the influence of the guiding forces on the dynamics of the freight car can lead to an erroneous determination of the reasons for the rolling stock derailment or even to the impossibility of establishing them.


2015 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-41
Author(s):  
Bao Nguyen Hoang

Although Vietnam’s economic growth and poverty reduction for almost three decades have been remarkable, growth for poverty reduction is unequally distributed across the nation. The paper examines the cause of poverty and the impact of provincial economic growth on poverty alleviation, using the data of 63 provinces in Vietnam. The elasticity of poverty with respect to provincial economic growth is employed (the elasticities of headcount index, poverty gap index, and squared poverty index with respect to provincial economic growth) to identify the provinces where pro-poor growth has occurred. The elasticity of poverty with respect to provincial Gini coefficient is examined to identify the impact of expenditure inequality on poverty. The simultaneous equation system is estimated to analyze not only direct and indirect effects of the related variables, but also the causality effect between economic growth and the poverty elasticity with respect to both growth and the Gini coefficient.


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