scholarly journals Financial Integration and Growth Volatility Nexus: The Nigeria Experience

Webology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 404-415
Author(s):  
Victor Chukwunweike Ehiedu ◽  
Anthony Ogormegbunan Odita ◽  
Anthony Anyibuofu Kifordu
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Integration ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Foreign Private Investment ◽  
Growth Volatility

This paper examined empirically financial integration impact on Nigeria economic growth volatility. Specifically, it identified some of the major key variables through which financial integration influence growth volatility in Nigeria. Three research hypotheses were stated from which an empirical model was formulated to link the influence of financial integration using economic output as explained variable and degree of openness, foreign private investment, exchange rate foreign debt as explanatory variables over the period of 1987– 2019. Multiple regression analysis was employed to estimate the relevant variables. In addition, we tested for stationarity and determined long run association between the variables of the models. The work also reconciled the disequilibrium which exists in the short and long run relationships of the variables in the models. The result showed a non-significant degree of openness but positively associated with gross domestic product. Foreign private investment was strongly and statistically significant to gross domestic product. It was therefore recommended that for Nigeria financial sector services to take substantial benefits of broad participation in globalization, the provision of sound macroeconomic policy framework with high degree of certainty of the future of investment is needed.

scholarly journals FOREIGN DEBT, EXPORT DYNAMICS AND THE THIRLWALL’S LAW

2013 ◽  
Vol 71 (281) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alejandro Rodríguez-Arana
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Capital Movements ◽  
Rate Of Growth ◽  
Export Dynamics ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Robust Result

<strong>I</strong>ndependently of capital movements, the so called Thirlwalls’s Law (Thirlwall, 1979) is theoretically a robust result in the long run. When the rate of growth of exports is equal or greater than the rate of growth of foreign debt, there is a convergence of the domestic rate of growth of Gross Domestic Product (DGP) to the original and simplest Thirlwall’s rate of growth. When, furthermore, the rate of growth of foreign debt is equal or lower than the Thirlwall’s rate of growth, the economy is solvent and the rate of growth of GDP converges to the Thirlwall’s law.

scholarly journals Effects of Public Expenditure on Gross Domestic Product in Zambia from 1980-2017: An ARDL Methodology Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2(J)) ◽  
pp. 103-111
Author(s):  
Mubanga Mpundu ◽  
Jane Mwafulirwa ◽  
Mutinta Chaampita ◽  
Notulu Salwindi
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Public Expenditure ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

The paper explored the fundamental changes in public expenditure and the resulting effect on the gross domestic product using an ARDL approach for time series data over the period 1980-2017. The control variables included foreign direct investment and current account balance. The objective was to determine changes which had occurred with regard to the performance of GDP since 1980. A quantitative method approach was used to ascertain the relationship between the variables and analysed using the E-views 9 software. Cointegration results showed a long run relationship between GDP and government expenditure. In this regard, changes in government expenditure have a strong converse effect on GDP. Government expenditure, which has increased significantly in the past decade, is seen to have had negative effects both in the short run and long run. Contrary to theory, increased government expenditure may not be ideal for growing the Zambian economy. This could be due to the allocation of this public expenditure, i.e. the 2018 Budget had 24% of the expenditure directed to economic activities. Thus it is recommended that government practice increased fiscal discipline or reallocated resources as their expansionary fiscal policies are not yielding the intended results. Additionally, policies to promote private investment may be more beneficial for the Zambian economy. On the other hand, increased investment is also recommended with government encouraging more investment promoting policies as FDI is observed to have a positive impact in the short run though insignificant in the long run. These should ensure more investors are encouraged to stay longer and the impacts/externalities of their investments be accrued to the nationals to ensure long run benefits. The Zambian government should also ensure that the country diversifies its export base and enhances its external debt management to ensure positive and consistent impact of Current Account Balance in the long run.

scholarly journals Effect of Foreign Private Investment on the Development of Small and Medium Enterprises in Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 257-266
Author(s):  
Amadin Victor Idehen ◽  
Osarumwense Vincent Iguisi
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Portfolio Investment ◽  
Foreign Portfolio Investment ◽  
Medium Scale ◽  
Foreign Private Investment

This study sought to examine the effect of foreign private investment on the development of small and medium scale enterprises (SME’s) in Nigeria. The study adopted a longitudinal research design which made the use of secondary data imperative. The study employed data on the foreign private investments and development of SMEs in Nigeria covering 1991-2018. The variables used are Net Foreign direct investment, Net Foreign Portfolio investment, percentage of foreign direct investment in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and development of SMEs in Nigeria. The technique adopted in this study is multiple regressions to test the hypotheses. E-view econometric software 3:1 was used for the analysis. The result revealed that the value of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) have a negative relationship with the development of SME’s and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in the percentage of gross domestic product and exchange rate have a negative and significant impact on the development of SME’s in Nigeria. It was recommended among others that government should increase its funding of small and medium scale enterprises, SME’s should be encouraged to go on public offer to expand the scope of funds, the exchange rate must be strengthened to encourage SME’s to attract funds and the needs to stabilized the economy to discourage divestment.

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals An analysis of the relationship of inflation and unemployment to the gross domestic product (gdp) in zimbabwe

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 156-162
Author(s):  
Tendai Makoni
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Cointegration Test ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Granger Causality Tests ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Yearly Data

The time series yearly data for Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation and unemployment from 1980 to 2012 was used in the study. First difference of the logged data became stationary as suggested by the time series plots. Johansen Maximum Likelihood Cointegration test indicated a long-run relationship among the variables. Granger Causality tests suggested unidirectional causality between inflation and GDP, implying that GDP is Granger caused by inflation in Zimbabwe. Another unidirectional causality was noted between unemployment and inflation. The causality between unemployment and inflation imply that unemployment do affect GDP indirectly since unemployment influences inflation which in turn positively affect GDP.

Analisis Pengaruh Utang terhadap Perekonomian dan Kemiskinan di Indonesia Periode 1949-2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Dedi Junaedi ◽  
Muhammad Rizal Arsyad
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
National Income ◽  
National Development ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Debt Management ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Population Number ◽  
Better Than

Since  independence,  Indonesia   has   experienced  seven   changes   of   national leadership. Starting from  Soekarno, Soeharto, BJ Habibie, Abdurahman Wahid, Megawati, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY), to Joko Widodo. During that time, foreign debt is always present to patch the development budget deficit. Debt is expected to move the wheels of the economy, create growth, create jobs, and alleviate poverty. This study aims  to  analyze  the  effect  of  debt, inflation  and  government regime differences on economic growth and poverty levels in Indonesia, from the Old Order era, the New Order, to the Reform Order. The study used  secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia,  the National  Development  Planning  Agency (Bappenas), the Central  Bureau of Statistics (BPS), the World Bank, and other reference sources such as books, journals and scientific  papers. The data used  are  the value of  foreign debt, national income (Gross Domestic Product / GDP), population,  number and ratio of  the poor, inflation  rate in the period 1949 - 2017. The results  of  multiple  regression analysis  with  dummy variable (using  Eviews 10 application  program) show the  following  results:  Foreign debt has  correlation with  the national economic condition, in particular the value of Indonesian Gross Domestic Product and the level  of poverty. Debt tends to increase the value of GDP and reduce poverty. In terms of debt governance as a driver of the economy and poverty, the Suharto and Habibie Era tend to be different and better than the Sukarno Era. While the debt management of Era Abdurrahman Wahid, Era Megawati, Era SBY and Era Jokowi no different or no better than Era Sukarno. Although  nationally  can increase GDP and reduce poverty, debt can not improve people's prosperity (read per capita income). Foreign debt even tends to reduce the level of welfare of the people. This applies to all government regimes.    

scholarly journals Agricultural exports and the growth of agriculture in India

2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (No. 5) ◽  
pp. 211-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Ramphul
Keyword(s):  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Agricultural Exports ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship

The study empirically investigates the causality between agricultural exports and gross domestic product (GDP) agriculture in India using the Granger causality test via Vector Error-Correction Model over the period 1970&ndash;1971 to 2009&ndash;2010. The results of unit-root tests suggest that the series of India&rsquo;s GDP agriculture and farm exports are integrated of order one. The results of the Auto Regressive Distributed Lag bounds testing approach to co-integration show that there is a positive and stable long-run equilibrium relationship between India&rsquo;s agricultural exports and GDP of agriculture. We find a unidirectional causal link running from farm exports to gross domestic product of agriculture. It indicates that in India, agricultural products export Granger causes the growth in GDP of agriculture, which supports the export-led growth hypothesis. It is suggested that in order to accelerate the agricultural growth rate in India, there is a need to implement the policies encouraging the agricultural exports. &nbsp;

The Causal Links Between Foreign Direct Investment And Economic Growth In Pakistan

2012 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najid Ahmad ◽  
Muhammad Farhat Hayat ◽  
Muhammad Luqman ◽  
Shafqat Ullah
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Economic Progress ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Capital ◽  
The Relationship

This paper investigates the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Pakistan. The co-integration and error correction model is used to show the relationship between foreign direct investment and gross domestic product in Pakistan. Gross domestic product is taken as dependent variable while foreign direct investment, labor force and domestic capital as independent variables. The results suggest that there is a positive relation between foreign direct investment and gross domestic product in short as well as long run. If we want to make economic progress then there is a need to invite foreign investors because foreign direct investment increases GDP that is economic growth.

Impact of Foreign Capital on Economic Development in India: An Econometric Investigation

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 766-780 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kalpana Sahoo ◽  
Narayan Sethi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Domestic Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Foreign Private Investment

The present study empirically investigates the long-run causal relationship between foreign capital and economic development in India by using the annual time-series data from 1990–1991 to 2013–2014. The study uses some selected macroeconomic variables such as per capita government expenditure on education (PcGEE, as an indicator of economic development), gross domestic product (GDP, as an indicator of economic growth), gross capital formation (GCF, as an indicator of domestic investment), official development assistance (ODA, as an indicator of foreign official inflows) and foreign direct investment (FDI, as an indicator of foreign private investment) for its empirical analysis. By using the cointegration test and the vector vector-error correction model (VECM) technique, this study finds that in the long run, domestic investment has shown a significant and positive impact on economic development, whereas, ODA, FDI and GDP have shown a significant negative impact on it. It concludes that domestic investment, foreign capital along with economic growth have a significant impact on economic development in India in long run. It suggests that the national developmental policy of India should focus on the productive utilization of both domestic and foreign capital along with it should give emphasis on effective transformation of growth benefits towards development process.

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