Analisis Pengaruh Utang terhadap Perekonomian dan Kemiskinan di Indonesia Periode 1949-2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Dedi Junaedi ◽  
Muhammad Rizal Arsyad

Since  independence,  Indonesia   has   experienced  seven   changes   of   national leadership. Starting from  Soekarno, Soeharto, BJ Habibie, Abdurahman Wahid, Megawati, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY), to Joko Widodo. During that time, foreign debt is always present to patch the development budget deficit. Debt is expected to move the wheels of the economy, create growth, create jobs, and alleviate poverty. This study aims  to  analyze  the  effect  of  debt, inflation  and  government regime differences on economic growth and poverty levels in Indonesia, from the Old Order era, the New Order, to the Reform Order. The study used  secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia,  the National  Development  Planning  Agency (Bappenas), the Central  Bureau of Statistics (BPS), the World Bank, and other reference sources such as books, journals and scientific  papers. The data used  are  the value of  foreign debt, national income (Gross Domestic Product / GDP), population,  number and ratio of  the poor, inflation  rate in the period 1949 - 2017. The results  of  multiple  regression analysis  with  dummy variable (using  Eviews 10 application  program) show the  following  results:  Foreign debt has  correlation with  the national economic condition, in particular the value of Indonesian Gross Domestic Product and the level  of poverty. Debt tends to increase the value of GDP and reduce poverty. In terms of debt governance as a driver of the economy and poverty, the Suharto and Habibie Era tend to be different and better than the Sukarno Era. While the debt management of Era Abdurrahman Wahid, Era Megawati, Era SBY and Era Jokowi no different or no better than Era Sukarno. Although  nationally  can increase GDP and reduce poverty, debt can not improve people's prosperity (read per capita income). Foreign debt even tends to reduce the level of welfare of the people. This applies to all government regimes.    

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Dedi Junaedi

Since independence, Indonesia has experienced seven changes of national leadership. Starting from Soekarno, Soeharto, BJ Habibie, Abdurahman Wahid, Megawati, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (SBY), to Joko Widodo. During that time, foreign debt is always present to patch the development budget deficit. Debt is expected to move the wheels of the economy, create growth, create jobs, and alleviate poverty. This study aims to analyze the effect of debt, inflation and government regime differences on economic growth and poverty levels in Indonesia, from the Old Order era, the New Order, to the Reform Order. The study used secondary data obtained from Bank Indonesia, the National Development Planning Agency (Bappenas), the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), the World Bank, and other reference sources such as books, journals and scientific papers. The data used are the value of foreign debt, national income (Gross Domestic Product / GDP), population, number and ratio of the poor, inflation rate in the period 1949 - 2017. The results of multiple regression analysis with dummy variable (using Eviews 10 application program) show the following results: Foreign debt has correlation with the national economic condition, in particular the value of Indonesian Gross Domestic Product and the level of poverty. Debt tends to increase the value of GDP and reduce poverty. In terms of debt governance as a driver of the economy and poverty, the Suharto and Habibie Era tend to be different and better than the Sukarno Era. While the debt management of Era Abdurrahman Wahid, Era Megawati, Era SBY and Era Jokowi no different or no better than Era Sukarno. Although nationally can increase GDP and reduce poverty, debt can not improve people's prosperity (read per capita income). Foreign debt even tends to reduce the level of welfare of the people. This applies to all government regimes.


Author(s):  
Dr. Rajinder Godara ◽  
Bal krishan

The Agriculture sector is the mainstay role of Indian’s Economy & livelihood through the generate of employment in the agriculture sector. With the passage of time the Agriculture & Allied Sector is continuously declining because of a cause of land fragmented day by day. Due to the land fragmented but ours’ dependency on the industrial sector as well as the services sector. In the agriculture sector in 2017-18 of the workforce, 50 percent of people engagement depends on the agriculture sector. Further agriculture sector contribution 17-18 percent of the total GDP (Gross domestic product) of national income. In Haryana state agriculture contribution is about 14.5 percent to its gross domestic product (GDP) while providing employment 51 percent of the workforce engaged in agriculture. Further, about 75% of the area is irrigated, through tube Wells and an extensive system of canals. About 2/3rd of the State has assured irrigation, most suited for a rice-wheat production system, whereas rain-fed lands around 1/5th are most suited for rapeseed & mustard, pearl millet, cluster bean cultivation, agro-forestry, and arid-horticulture. Methodology Statistical Techniques and Tools: The secondary data published from Haryana statistical Abstract, Economic The survey, Ministry of Agriculture and Farmers’ Welfare, published Research papers in the journal, and agriculture reports and so on. To compute the growth behavior of trends and performance of agriculture production in Haryana farm area, yield, production and income, the exponential function will be fitted. Review of Literature, Problem increasing the productivity in Haryana. Improved agriculture Productivity


Author(s):  
Nwite Onuma

<div><p>The purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of government underfunding of tertiary education for sustainable national development in Nigeria. Three research questions and two null hypotheses guided the study. The instrument for data collection was a secondary data from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) entitled “Value of Educational Growth, Gross Domestic Product, Capital Government Expenditure and Recurrent Government Expenditure in Nigeria, 1990-2013”. The period under-review was chosen for the purpose of comparing funding of education in selected World Bank sampled countries. The researcher adopted Ex-post Facto research design to evaluate government budgetary allocation to education and value of educational growth between 1990 to<strong> </strong>2013. Correlation Martric and Square Regression (r<sup>2</sup>) and t-ratio statistics were used to analyze data collected. The findings showed that the value of educational growth, Gross Domestic Product, Current Government Expenditure and Regression Government Expenditure maintained increased trend and there was a positive relationship with a low productive value on education budget. This showed that expenditure on tertiary education is still below other countries under-review and below UNESCO recommended of 26% of total annual budgetary allocation. This has affected education development and programs of tertiary education in Nigeria. There is need for improved budgetary allocation to education in Nigeria to match other developing countries of Africa for greater attention to tertiary institutions in Nigeria. The study recommends that educational administrators and management of tertiary institutions in Nigeria should mount pressure on the political class to address the state of under-funding of education by government and implement UNESCO recommended 26% of annual budgetary allocation for suitable educational development.    </p></div>


Author(s):  
Ayodele Thomas Duro ◽  
Williams Harley Tega ◽  
Afolabi Taofeek Sola ◽  
Adeyanju David Olanrewaju

This study seeks to evaluate the impact of public borrowing on economic growth in Nigeria using time series data from 1980 to 2018. Specifically, the study seeks to analyze the effect of domestic debt (proxy by Federal Government Bonds-FGB) and external debt (proxy by International Monetary Fund Loan-IMFL) on Nigerian’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP). To achieve this objective, secondary data was collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulleting and the Debt Management Office of Nigeria. A multiple regression model involving the dependent variable (GDP) and the independent variables (FGB and IMFL) was formulated and subjected to econometric analysis. These variables were adjusted with the Jarque-bera test of normality while the correlation result was used to check the possibility of multi-collinearity among the variables. The t-test was used to answer the research questions and test the formulated hypotheses at the 5percent statistical level. Results from the analysis show that a positive relationship exists between IMF Loan and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, while a negative relationship exists between FG Bonds and Nigeria’s gross domestic product, which violates the Keynesian theory of public debt. The study concludes that both domestic and external debt significantly affect economic growth in Nigeria. Therefore, it was recommended that public borrowing should be efficiently used and contracted solely for economic reasons and not for social or political reasons as this will help to avoid accumulation of debt stock over time.


SENTRALISASI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 147
Author(s):  
Masruqi Arrazy

The economy of West Sumatra experienced an economic contraction in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic. However, the education sector experienced better growth compared to national growth. Seeing this, the potential of this sector in West Sumatra needs to be analyzed so that it can be seen whether this sector can be chosen as a priority sector in spurring West Sumatra's economic growth to enter the new normal period. The analysis in this study uses secondary data with the classic Shift Share method. The data in this study are Indonesia's Gross Domestic Product according to Constant Prices and the Gross Regional Domestic Product of West Sumatra according to Constant Prices with the 2019 and 2020 data periods. From the analysis results, it is known that the education sector is growing progressively. This sector in West Sumatra is growing faster than the national one and its competitiveness is better than other sectors in West Sumatra. Another thing according to this research is that the education sector can affect several other sectors during the pandemic. So that this sector is very worthy of being the leading sector in dealing with the new normal situation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 51-57
Author(s):  
Septarina Christin Br Ginting ◽  
Sya’ad Afifuddin ◽  
Rahmanta .

Happiness has become one of the indicators in measuring the level of success of economic development lately. Happiness as an indicator of development success is in line with the new schools of thought in economics, namely economics of happiness and economics of behavior. This happiness indicator is in line with the sustainable development goals driven by the United Nations agency. This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic variables on happiness in Indonesia. The macroeconomic variables are gross regional domestic product per capita, poverty, provincial government expenditures for the education function and for the health function. Happiness data is obtained from the results of a survey of measuring the level of happiness conducted by the Central Statistics Agency which issues a happiness index in 33 provinces in Indonesia. The form of this research is descriptive-quantitative and sourced from secondary data obtained from the publications of the Central Statistics Agency, the Ministry of Education, the Ministry of Health and the National Development Planning Agency. Data analysis uses a panel data regression approach, with serial data in 2014 and 2017 for the number of observations in 33 provinces in Indonesia. The results of the research analysis show: (1) gross regional domestic product per capita has a positive and significant effect on happiness in Indonesia; (2) poverty has a negative and significant effect on happiness in Indonesia; (3) provincial government spending on education function has a positive and significant effect on happiness in Indonesia; (4) provincial government spending on health function has a positive and insignificant effect on happiness in Indonesia. Keywords: Gross Regional Domestic Product per Capita, Poverty, Education Function, .Health Function, Happiness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Alpha Nadeira Mandamdari ◽  
Djeimy Kusnaman ◽  
Adwi Herry Koesoema Elyanto

Agricultural land in Banyumas Regency has decreased from year to year due to population and economic growth. The farm rice fields in Banyumas Regency in 2017 were 66.210 hectares, reduced to 63.326 hectares in 2020 or decrease in land area of 4%. This research was aimed to examine the conversion rate of agricultural land in the Banyumas Regency and factors that determine the conversion of agricultural land in the Banyumas Regency. The primary method used was descriptive-analytical. Determination of the research location was using a purposive method in Banyumas Regency. The technique to analyze the data was Linear multiple regression (Ordinary Least Squares). The information which used in this research was secondary data in 2010 – 2020. The variables in this research are conversion of agricultural land, population, number of industries, Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), and Farmer’s terms of trade (FTT). This research shows that the conversion rate of agricultural land in Banyumas Regency is 8,45%, meaning that the average of arm rice fields in Banyumas regency for the last ten years (2010 – 2020) has decreased by 8,45%. The multiple linear regression analysis shows that the variables number of population, number of industry, and Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) have a significant and positive effect on the conversion of agricultural land in Banyumas Regency. Farmer’s terms of trade (FTT) do not significantly affect agricultural land conversion in Banyumas Regency.


2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-103
Author(s):  
Husnul Khatimah

This study analyzes the role of sukuk in national economic development. During this time the source of development financing consists of several kinds including taxes, bonds, foreign debt and Islamic bonds (sukuk). Sukuk has been developed in Indonesia since 2002 (published Indosat) and is still growing and the number of issuers are even greater. The research method using descriptive quantitative, data source in this research is secondary data obtained, balance of payments in the government, the state budget. This study uses a quantitative descriptive approach. Data were processed using matrix comparison of the performance of sukuk and conventional bonds to finance national development. The role and contribution of sukuk to finance the construction has been increasing. In 2011 amounted to 34% of financing needs are met through sukuk. Until 2016 the proportion was 60%. Instead the role of foreign debt be decreased. In 2011 only 7%, and by 2016 the portion close to 0%.


KINERJA ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
Lestari Agusalim

AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji pengaruh desentralisasi dalam mendistribusikan pendapatan nasional untuk mengurangi ketimpangan pendapatan di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder, yaitu PDB sebagai representasi pendapatan nasional dan data indeks gini sebagai representasi tingkat ketimpangan pendapatan dengan rentang waktu 1978-2015. Metode analisis menggunakan regresi linear dengan pendekatan OLS dimana Indeks gini digunakan sebagai variabel dependen, dan PDB sebagai variabel independen. Selain itu, terdapat variabel independen lainnya, yaitu variabel dummy desentralisasi yang berguna untuk mengetahui pengaruh desentralisasi terhadap ketimpangan pendapatan. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa dari aspek ekonomi, desentralisasi belum mampu mendistribusikan pertumbuhan ekonomi untuk memperkecil ketimpangan pendapatan masyarakat.Kata Kunci: Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Ketimpangan Pendapatan, DesentralisasiAbstractThis research aims to analyze the effect of decentralization on national income distribution and the reduce of income Inequality in Indonesia. This research used secondary data with gross domestic product (GDP) representing national income and gini index data representing income inequality from 1978 to 2015. An OLS Linear Regression approach was employed where the gini index was the dependent variable, and the independent variables were GDP and the Dummy for decentralization implementation. The result revealed that decentralization had not been able to distribute economic growth to minimize income Inequality.Keywords: Economic Growth, Income Inequality, Decentralization


2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-116
Author(s):  
Eristian Wibisono ◽  
Amri Amir ◽  
Zulfanetti Zulfanetti

Identification of leading sectors or subsectors is one of the main tasks of the regional government and is an important part of regional development planning before formulating, drafting and establishing a better development policy strategy. The main objective of this research is to analyze and identify subsectors in the manufacturing industry sector that have comparativeness and competitiveness in Jambi Province. Main data of this study are secondary data of districts and cities in Jambi Province during the period 2011–2015 which were sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics,  and Indonesian Ministry of National Development Planning (Bappenas). Data were analyzed using descriptive and quantitative analysis methods, namely Location Quotient analysis and Shift Share analysis. Results of the study show that the manufacturing industry subsector of Jambi Province which can be classified as comparative and competitive subsector are timber/wood products industry, paper/goods industry, rubber/rubber goods industry, and furniture industry


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