scholarly journals The impact of surgery in metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors: a competing risk analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 239-251 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao-bin He ◽  
Yu Zhang ◽  
Zhi-yuan Cai ◽  
Xiao-jun Lin

Aim The role of surgery in the treatment of metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) was controversial. The objectives of this study were to illustrate the impact of surgery in improving the prognosis of patients with metastatic PNETs and build nomograms to predict overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) based on a large population-based cohort. Methods Patients diagnosed with metastatic PNETs between 2004 and 2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were retrospectively collected. Nomograms for estimating OS and CSS were established based on Cox regression model and Fine and Grey’s model. The precision of the nomograms was evaluated and compared using concordance index (C-index) and the area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results The study cohort included 1966 patients with metastatic PNETs. It was shown that the surgery provided survival benefit for all groups of patients with metastatic PNETs. In the whole study cohort, 1-, 2- and 3-year OS and CSS were 51.5, 37.1 and 29.4% and 53.0, 38.9 and 31.1%, respectively. The established nomograms were well calibrated, and had good discriminative ability, with C-indexes of 0.773 for OS prediction and 0.774 for CSS prediction. Conclusions Patients with metastatic PNETs could benefit from surgery when the surgery tolerance was acceptable. The established nomograms could stratify patients who were categorized as tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) IV stage into groups with diverse prognoses, showing better discrimination and calibration of the established nomograms, compared with 8th TNM stage system in predicting OS and CSS for patients with metastatic PNETs.

2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3593-3593
Author(s):  
Jackson Chu ◽  
Ozge Goktepe ◽  
Winson Y. Cheung

3593 Background: Early data suggest that synchronous and metachronous CRC portend a worse prognosis when compared to solitary CRC. Our aims were to 1) characterize the clinical features and treatment patterns of synchronous and metachronous CRC and 2) compare their survival outcomes with those of solitary CRC. Methods: All patients diagnosed with non-metastatic CRC between 1999 and 2008 and referred to any 1 of 5 regional cancer centers in British Columbia, Canada were reviewed. Synchronous and metachronous CRC were defined as multiple (2 or more) distinct tumors that were diagnosed within and beyond 6 months of the date of index CRC diagnosis, respectively, during the study period. Patients with liver metastases at initial diagnosis were excluded. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate survival among the different CRC groups. Results: A total of 6360 patients were identified: 6147 (96%) solitary, 178 (3%) synchronous and 35 (1%) metachronous tumors; median age was 68 years (IQR 59-76); 57% were men; and 75% were ECOG 0/1 at the time of index cancer diagnosis. Baseline demographic characteristics were comparable across patients (all p>0.05). Compared with solitary CRC, synchronous and metachronous CRC more commonly affected the colon rather than the rectum (84 vs 85 vs 59%, respectively, p<0.001), but presenting symptoms, treatment approaches, and use of chemotherapy, radiation and surgery were similar among the different tumor groups (all p>0.05). In terms of survival, no differences were observed in 3-year relapse free survival (66 vs 66 vs 56%, p=0.20), 5-year cancer specific survival (69 vs 69 vs 53%, p=0.34) and 5-year overall survival (62 vs 59 vs 49%, p=0.74) for solitary, synchronous and metachronous CRC, respectively. These findings persisted after controlling for known prognostic factors, such as age and ECOG. Conclusions: In this large population-based cohort, there were no differences in survival outcomes among solitary, synchronous and metachronous CRC. Patients who present with multiple tumors in the colon or the rectum should be managed similarly to those who present with an isolated tumor.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 40-40
Author(s):  
Hanan Goldberg ◽  
Faizan Moshin ◽  
Zachary William Abraham Klaassen ◽  
Thenappan Chandrasekar ◽  
Christopher Wallis ◽  
...  

40 Background: Prostate cancer (PC) is the most common non-cutaneous cancer in Canadian men and the third most common cause of cancer death in Canada. Several studies have shown that use of commonly prescribed medications, including those used for diabetes and hypercholesterolemia, is associated with improved survival in various malignancies, including PC. There has not been any large population-based study, examining the effects of these and other commonly prescribed medications, on the rate of PC diagnosis, over a 20 years follow-up period. Methods: A retrospective population-based study using data from the institute of clinical evaluative sciences, including all male patients aged 65 and above in Ontario who have had a negative first prostate biopsy between 1994 and 2016. We assessed the impact of commonly prescribed medications on PC diagnosis. The medications included Statins (hydrophilic and hydrophobic), diabetes drugs (metformin, insulins, sulfonylureas, and thizolidinedions), proton pump inhibitors, 5 alpha reductase inhibitors, and alpha blockers. Time dependent Cox regression proportional hazards models were performed determine predictors of PC diagnosis. Medication exposure was time varying and modeled as “ever” vs. “never” use or as cumulative exposure for 6 months of usage. A priori variables included in the model included age, ADG comorbidity score, rurality index, index year, and all medications. Results: A total of 51,415 men were analyzed over a mean (SD) follow-up time of 8.06 (5.44) years. Overall, 10,466 patients (20.4%) were diagnosed with PC, 16,726 (32.5%) had died, and 1,460 (2.8%) patients died of PC. On multivariable analysis increasing age and rurality index were associated with higher PC diagnosis rate, while a more recent index year, and usage of hydrophilic statins was associated with a lower diagnosis rate in both “ever” vs. “never” and cumulative models (HR 0.832, 95% CI 0.732-0.946, p = 0.005, HR 0.973 95% CI 0.951-0.995, p = 0.016, respectively). Conclusions: Hydrophilic statins are associated with a clinically significant lower PC diagnosis. To our knowledge this is the first study demonstrating a clear advantage of one group of statins (hydrophilic) over another (hydrophobic) in PC prevention.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16146-e16146
Author(s):  
Sandi Pruitt ◽  
David E. Gerber ◽  
Hong Zhu ◽  
Daniel Heitjan ◽  
Bhumika Maddineni ◽  
...  

e16146 Background: A growing number of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC) have survived a previous cancer. Although little is known about their prognosis, this population is frequently excluded from clinical trials. We examined the impact of previous cancer on overall and cancer-specific survival in a population-based cohort of patients diagnosed with incident CRC. Methods: We identified patients aged ≥66 years and diagnosed with CRC between 2005-2015 in linked SEER-Medicare data. For patients with and without previous cancer, we estimated overall survival using Cox regression and cause-specific survival using competing risk regression, separately by CRC stage, while adjusting for numerous covariates and competing risk of death from previous cancer, other causes, or the incident CRC. Results: Of 112,769 CRC patients diagnosed with incident CRC, 15,935 (14.1%) had a previous cancer – most commonly prostate (32.9%) or breast (19.4%) cancer, with many 7505 (47.1%) diagnosed ≤5 years of CRC. For all CRC stages except IV in which there was no significant difference in survival, patients with previous cancer had modestly worse overall survival (hazard ratios from fully adjusted models range from 1.11-1.28 across stages; see Table). This survival disadvantage was driven by deaths due to previous cancer and other causes. Notably, most patients with previous cancer had improved CRC-specific survival. Conclusions: CRC patients who have survived a previous cancer have generally worse overall survival but superior CRC-specific survival. This evidence should be considered concurrently with concerns about trial generalizability, low accrual, and heterogeneity of participants when determining exclusion criteria. [Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanan Ma ◽  
Aimei Zhao ◽  
Jinjuan Zhang ◽  
Sumei Wang ◽  
Jiandong Zhang

Objective: The target of this work was to analyze the clinical characteristics and construct nomograms to predict prognosis in patients with cervical adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC). Methods: A total of 788 ASC patients were tracked in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database. We compared the clinical characteristics and prognostic factors of ASC. Cox regression models were established, and nomograms constructed and verified. Results: ASC patients have lower age levels and higher histological grades than patients with squamous cell carcinoma. Nomograms were constructed with good consistency and feasibility in clinical practice. The C-indices for overall survival and cancer-specific survival were 0.783 and 0.787, respectively. Conclusion: ASC patients have unique clinicopathological and prognostic characteristics. Nomograms were successfully constructed and verified.


2018 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Minjie Tian ◽  
Wenying Ma ◽  
Yueqiu Chen ◽  
Yue Yu ◽  
Donglin Zhu ◽  
...  

Background: Preclinical models have suggested a role for sex hormones in the development of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM). However, the impact of gender on the survival time of patients with GBM has not been fully understood. The objective of the present study was to clarify the association between gender and survival of patients with GBM by analyzing population-based data. Methods: We searched the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results database who were diagnosed with GBM between 2000 and 2008 and were treated with surgery. Five-year cancer specific survival data were obtained. Kaplan–Meier methods and multivariable Cox regression models were used to analyze long-term survival outcomes and risk factors. Results: A total of 6586 patients were identified; 61.5% were men and 38.5% were women. The 5-year cancer-specific survival (CSS) rates in the male and female groups were 6.8% and 8.3%, respectively (P=0.002 by univariate and P<0.001 by multivariate analysis). A stratified analysis showed that male patients always had the lowest CSS rate across localized cancer stage and different age subgroups. Conclusions: Gender has prognostic value for determining GBM risk. The role of sex hormones in the development of GBM warrants further investigation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. 1698-1706 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shanshan Gao ◽  
Ning Pu ◽  
Lingxiao Liu ◽  
Changyu Li ◽  
Xuefeng Xu ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e16553-e16553
Author(s):  
Hanan Goldberg ◽  
Faizan Moshin ◽  
Zachary William Abraham Klaassen ◽  
Thenappan Chandrasekar ◽  
Christopher J.D. Wallis ◽  
...  

e16553 Background: Prostate cancer (PC) is the most common non-cutaneous cancer in men and the third most common cause of cancer death in males. Several studies have shown that use of commonly prescribed medications, is associated with improved survival in various malignancies, including PC. There has not been any large population-based study, examining the effects of these and other commonly prescribed medications, such as proton pump inhibitors (PPI), on the rate of PC diagnosis, PC advanced disease and PC-specific death. Methods: A retrospective population-based study using data from the institute of clinical evaluative sciences, including all male patients aged 65 and above in Ontario who have had a negative first prostate biopsy between 1994 and 2016. We assessed the impact of commonly prescribed medications on PC outcomes. The analyzed medications included Statins (hydrophilic and hydrophobic), most commonly used diabetes drugs (metformin, insulins, sulfonylureas, and thizolidinedions), PPIs, 5 alpha reductase inhibitors, and alpha blockers. Time dependent Cox regression proportional hazards models were performed to determine predictors of PC diagnosis, PC advanced disease (defined as usage of hormonal therapy), and PC-specific death. Medication exposure was time varying and modelled as “ever” vs. “never” use or as cumulative exposure. Results: A total of 21,562 men were analyzed over a mean (SD) follow-up time of 8.06 (5.44) years. Overall, 5,187 patients (24%) were diagnosed with PC, 7861 (36.5%) had died, and 647 (3%) died of PC. On multivariable analysis usage of hydrophilic statins modelled as “ever vs. never” was associated with a lower diagnosis rate (OR 0.832, 95% CI 0.732-0.946, p = 0.005) and a significantly decreased PC-specific death (OR 0.676, 95% CI 0.528-0.871, p = 0.0024). In contrast, Pantoprazole was associated with a higher rate of advanced PC disease when modelled as cumulative exposure of 6 months (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.003-1.06, P = 0.031), and PC-specific death, when modeled as “ever vs. never” (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.02-1.576, p = 0.031). Conclusions: Hydrophilic statins were associated with a clinically and statistically significant lower PC diagnosis and PC-specific death, while pantoprazole was associated with a higher rate of advanced PC disease and PC-specific death.


Twin Research ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth S Kendler ◽  
Charles O Gardner ◽  
Carol A Prescott

AbstractPrevious analyses in a large population-based sample of female twins indicated that three dimensions of religiosity – personal devotion, personal conservatism and institutional conservatism – were, in different ways, significantly related to current depressive symptoms and substance use and lifetime psychiatric and substance use disorders. Furthermore, personal devotion, but neither personal conservatism nor institutional conservatism, buffered the depressogenic effects of stressful life events (SLEs). We here explore further these results, using linear, logistic and Cox regression models. Eight personality and six demographic variables had distinct patterns of association with the three dimensions. Personal devotion was positively associated with years of education, age, and optimism and negatively correlated with neuroticism. Personal conservatism was negatively associated with education, income, age, mastery and positively correlated with neuroticism. Institutional conservatism was negatively correlated with self-esteem and parental education. Covarying for these 14 variables produced little change in their association with psychiatric and substance use outcomes. The impact of the dimensions of religiosity differed as a function of the SLE category. High levels of both personal devotion and institutional conservatism protected against the depressogenic effects of death and personal illness. High levels of personal conservatism were associated with increased sensitivity to relationship problems. These results suggest that the association between religiosity and low risk for symptoms of depression and substance use may be in part causal. The relationship between dimensions of religiosity and response to SLEs is complex but probably of importance in clarifying the nature of the coping process.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-20
Author(s):  
D. M. Dubovichenko ◽  
M. Yu. Valkov ◽  
V. M. Merabishvili ◽  
A. A. Karpunov ◽  
L. E. Valkova ◽  
...  

Objective. Assessment of the impact of National Program «Health» on a rectal cancer (RC) tumor-specific survival in the Arkhangelsk region (AR), Russia over the period 2000–2017 by the data of Arkhangelsk Regional Cancer Registry (ARCR)Materials and methods. Anonymized data on all cases of RC (C19.0–C21.0) in the AR in 2000–2017 were extracted from the database of the ARCR. Over the study period, 4173 cases of the RC were selected. To assess the impact of the National Health Project in 2006 and All-national Dispensarization in 2013, the three time periods were chosen — 2000–2006, 2007–2012 and 2013–2017. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) was calculated. Separate influence of baseline factors on differences in CSS between periods was performed using Cox regression with consecutive input.Results. One- and five year CSS were 62,6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 60,03–65,05%%) and 27,8% (95% CI 25,4–30,2%) in 2000–2006, 65,1% (95% CI 62,5–67,5%) and 32% (95% CI 29,5–34,5%) in 2007–2012, 67,7% (95% CI 65,2–70,1%) and 37,4% (95% CI 33,7–41,1%) in 2013–2017, respectively.In univariate analysis the risk of death in the latest time periods was significantly lower: HR 0.86 (95% CI 0.79–0.95), p < 0.05 and 0.74 (95% CI 0.67–0.82), p<0.0001 for 2007–2012 and 2013–2017, respectively, comparing to 2000–2006. In a multivariate model only correction for treatment type has led to change of the coefficients between time periods: HR 0.94 (95% CI 0.86–1.03) and 0.84 (95% CI 0.75–0.93) for 2007–2012 and 2013–2017, respectively. The CSS was also in­dependently influenced by stage, age at diagnosis, place of residence and type of treatment.Conclusion. Population-based five-year CSS of patients with RC increased by 8% during the analyzed period. Better CSS in the latest time period is associated rather with improvement of treatment than earlier detection of RC.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 4369-4379
Author(s):  
Jin-Song Cai ◽  
Hai-Yan Chen ◽  
Yuan-Fei Lu ◽  
Ri-Sheng Yu

Aim: Prognostic factors in patients with distant metastatic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) remain uncertain. The purpose of our study is to establish a nomogram to predict survival outcomes in patients with metastatic PNETs. Methods: A total of 878 patients diagnosed with PNETs in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database between 2004 and 2016 were retrospectively identified. The Kaplan–Meier survival analysis with log-rank test was used to analyze survival outcomes. The nomogram was established after a univariate and multivariate Cox analysis. Results: The independent prognostic variables, including age, tumor grade and primary site surgery were applied to develop a nomogram. The original concordance index was 0.773 (95% CI: 0.751–0.795), and the bias-corrected concordance index was 0.769 (95% CI: 0.748–0.791). The internal calibration curves showed well consistency and veracity in predicting cancer-specific survival probabilities. Conclusion: A nomogram was constructed and verified to predict survival outcomes in patients with distant-stage PNETs.


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