scholarly journals Risk factors for death in patients with non-infectious adverse events

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gilcilene Oliveira Gadelha ◽  
Hémilly Caroline da Silva Paixão ◽  
Patricia Rezende do Prado ◽  
Renata Andréa Pietro Pereira Viana ◽  
Thatiana Lameira Maciel Amaral

ABSTRACT Objetive: to identify risk factors for death in patients who have suffered non-infectious adverse events. Method: a retrospective cohort study with patients who had non-infectious Adverse Events (AE) in an Intensive Care Unit. The Kaplan Meier method was used to estimate the conditional probability of death (log-rank test 95%) and the risk factors associated with death through the Cox regression. Results: patients over 50 years old presented a risk 1.57 times higher for death; individuals affected by infection/sepsis presented almost 3 times the risk. Patients with a Simplified Acute Physiology Score III (SAPS3) greater than 60 points had four times higher risk for death, while those with a Charlson scale greater than 1 point had approximately two times higher risk. The variable number of adverse events was shown as a protection factor reducing the risk of death by up to 78%. Conclusion: patients who had suffered an adverse event and who were more than 50 years of age, with infection/sepsis, greater severity, i.e., SAPS 3>30 and Charlson>1, presented higher risk of death. However, the greater number of AEs did not contributed to the increased risk of death.

2020 ◽  
Vol 116 (14) ◽  
pp. 2239-2246 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giuseppe Ferrante ◽  
Fabio Fazzari ◽  
Ottavia Cozzi ◽  
Matteo Maurina ◽  
Renato Bragato ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Whether pulmonary artery (PA) dimension and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, as assessed by chest computed tomography (CT), are associated with myocardial injury in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is not known. The aim of this study was to explore the risk factors for myocardial injury and death and to investigate whether myocardial injury has an independent association with all-cause mortality in patients with COVID-19. Methods and Results This is a single-centre cohort study including consecutive patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 undergoing chest CT on admission. Myocardial injury was defined as high-sensitivity troponin I >20 ng/L on admission. A total of 332 patients with a median follow-up of 12 days were included. There were 68 (20.5%) deaths; 123 (37%) patients had myocardial injury. PA diameter was higher in patients with myocardial injury compared with patients without myocardial injury [29.0 (25th–75th percentile, 27–32) mm vs. 27.7 (25–30) mm, P < 0.001). PA diameter was independently associated with an increased risk of myocardial injury [adjusted odds ratio 1.10, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–1.19, P = 0.01] and death [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17, P = 0.01]. Compared with patients without myocardial injury, patients with myocardial injury had a lower prevalence of a CAC score of zero (25% vs. 55%, P < 0.001); however, the CAC score did not emerge as a predictor of myocardial injury by multivariable logistic regression. Myocardial injury was independently associated with an increased risk of death by multivariable Cox regression (adjusted HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.27–3.96, P = 0.005). Older age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, and lower PaO2/FiO2 ratio on admission were other independent predictors for both myocardial injury and death. Conclusions An increased PA diameter, as assessed by chest CT, is an independent risk factor for myocardial injury and mortality in patients with COVID-19. Myocardial injury is independently associated with an approximately two-fold increased risk of death.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3-3
Author(s):  
Grace Lee ◽  
Daniel W. Kim ◽  
Vinayak Muralidhar ◽  
Devarati Mitra ◽  
Nora Horick ◽  
...  

3 Background: While treatment-related lymphopenia (TRL) is common and associated with poorer survival in multiple solid malignancies, little data exists for anal cancer. We evaluated TRL and its association with survival in anal cancer patients treated with chemoradiation (CRT). Methods: A retrospective analysis of 140 patients with non-metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated with definitive CRT was performed. Total lymphocyte counts (TLC) at baseline and monthly intervals up to 12 months after initiating CRT were analyzed. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between overall survival (OS) and TRL, dichotomized by G4 TRL ( < 0.2k/μl) two months after initiating CRT. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare OS between patients with versus without G4 TRL. Results: Median time of follow-up was 55 months. Prior to CRT, 95% of patients had a normal TLC ( > 1k/μl). Two months after initiating CRT, there was a median of 71% reduction in TLC from baseline and 84% of patients had TRL: 11% G1, 31% G2, 34% G3, and 8% G4. On multivariable Cox model, G4 TRL at two months was associated with a 3.7-fold increased risk of death (p = 0.013). On log-rank test, the 5-year OS rate was shorter in the cohort with versus without G4 TRL at two months (32% vs. 86%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: TRL is common and may be another prognostic marker of OS in anal cancer patients treated with CRT. The association between TRL and OS supports the hypothesis that host immunity plays an important role in survival among patients with anal cancer. These results support ongoing efforts of randomized trials underway to evaluate the potential role of immunotherapy in localized anal cancer.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ye Liu ◽  
Ran Lu ◽  
Junhong Wang ◽  
Qin Cheng ◽  
Ruitao Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims: Diabetes is associated with poor coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. However, little is known on the impact of undiagnosed diabetes in the COVID-19 population. We investigated whether diabetes, particularly undiagnosed diabetes, was associated with an increased risk of death from COVID-19.Methods: This retrospective study identified adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to Tongji Hospital (Wuhan) from January 28 to April 4, 2020. Diabetes was determined using patients’ past history (diagnosed) or was newly defined if the hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level at admission was 6.5% (≥ 48 mmol/mol) (undiagnosed). The in-hospital mortality rate and survival probability were compared between the non-diabetes and diabetes (overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes) groups. Risk factors of mortality were explored using Cox regression analysis. Results: Of 373 patients, 233 were included in the final analysis, among whom 80 (34.3%) had diabetes: 44 (55.0%) reported a diabetes history, and 36 (45.0%) were newly defined as having undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c testing at admission. Compared with the non-diabetes group, the overall diabetes group had a significantly increased mortality rate (22.5% vs 5.9%, p <0.001). Moreover, the overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes groups displayed lower survival probability in the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (all p <0.01). Using multivariate Cox regression, diabetes, age, quick sequential organ failure assessment score, and D-dimer ≥ 1.0 mg/mL were identified as independent risk factors for in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19.Conclusions: The prevalence of undiagnosed pre-existing diabetes among patients with COVID-19 is high in China. Diabetes, even newly defined by HbA1c testing at admission, is associated with increased mortality in patients with COVID-19. Screening for undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c measurement should be considered in adult Chinese inpatients with COVID-19.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting-Yi Lin ◽  
Yi-Fen Lai ◽  
Po-Huang Chen ◽  
Chi-Hsiang Chung ◽  
Ching-Long Chen ◽  
...  

Background: Ischemic optic neuropathy (ION) is a possible extraintestinal manifestation (EIM) of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We investigate the relation between IBD and ION and possible risk factors associated with their incidence.Methods: Medical records were extracted from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2013. The main outcome was ION development. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed.Results: We enrolled 22,540 individuals (4,508 with IBD, 18,032 without). The cumulative risk of developing ION was significantly greater for patients with IBD vs. patients without (Kaplan–Meier survival curve, p = 0.009; log-rank test). Seven (5%) and five (0.03%) patients developed ION in the IBD and control groups, respectively. Patients with IBD were significantly more likely to develop ION than those without IBD [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 4.135; 95% confidence interval: 1.312–11.246, p = 0.01]. Possible risk factors of ION development were age 30–39 years, diabetes mellitus (DM), hypertension, ischemic heart disease (IHD), atherosclerosis, and higher Charlson comorbidity index revised (CCI_R) value.Conclusion: Patients with IBD are at increased risk of subsequent ION development. Moreover, for patients with comorbidities, the risk of ION development is significantly higher in those with IBD than in those without.


F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 1134
Author(s):  
Aida Hidalgo-Benites ◽  
Valeria Senosain-Leon ◽  
Rodrigo M. Carrillo-Larco ◽  
Andrea Ruiz-Alejos ◽  
Robert H. Gilman ◽  
...  

Background The long-term impact of elevated blood pressure on mortality outcomes has been recently revisited due to proposed changes in cut-offs for hypertension. This study aimed at assessing the association between high blood pressure levels and 10-year mortality using the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC-7) and the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) 2017 blood pressure guidelines. Methods Data analysis of the PERU MIGRANT Study, a prospective ongoing cohort, was used. The outcome of interest was 10-year all-cause mortality, and exposures were blood pressure categories according to the JNC-7 and ACC/AHA 2017 guidelines. Log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models were used to assess the associations of interest controlling for confounders. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated. Results A total of 976 records, mean age of 60.4 (SD: 11.4), 513 (52.6%) women, were analyzed. Hypertension prevalence at baseline almost doubled from 16.0% (95% CI 13.7%–18.4%) to 31.3% (95% CI 28.4%–34.3%), using the JNC-7 and ACC/AHA 2017 definitions, respectively. Sixty three (6.4%) participants died during the 10-year follow-up, equating to a mortality rate of 3.6 (95% CI 2.4–4.7) per 1000 person-years. Using JNC-7, and compared to those with normal blood pressure, those with pre-hypertension and hypertension had 2.1-fold and 5.1-fold increased risk of death, respectively. Similar mortality effect sizes were estimated using ACC/AHA 2017 for stage-1 and stage-2 hypertension. Conclusions Blood pressure levels under two different definitions increased the risk of 10-year all-cause mortality. Hypertension prevalence doubled using ACC/AHA 2017 compared to JNC-7. The choice of blood pressure cut-offs to classify hypertension categories need to be balanced against the patients benefit and the capacities of the health system to adequately handle a large proportion of new patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5059-5059
Author(s):  
Mausam Patel ◽  
Thomas Kim ◽  
Chenghui Li ◽  
Ahmed Safar ◽  
Sanjay Maraboyina

5059 Background: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is being increasingly used for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) treatment in non-surgical candidates. However, no studies have compared survival between nephrectomy and SBRT. The National Cancer Database (NCDB) database was used to assess overall survival in patients undergoing SBRT vs nephrectomy. Methods: All cases of T1-T4, N0, M0 RCC diagnosed between 2004 and 2016 were extracted from the NCDB. Only patients undergoing either nephrectomy or SBRT, but not both, were included in the final analysis. Primary outcome was overall survival, defined as time in months from diagnosis to death due to any cause. Descriptive statistics were calculated for all variables. Univariate survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan Meier method and log rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to determine the predictive performance of covariates with respect to overall survival, reported as hazard ratio [HR] with 95% CIs. Nephrectomy patients were propensity score matched to SBRT patients for sub-cohort survival analysis. Comparisons were considered statistically significant at P < 0.05. Results: There were 243,754 patients meeting inclusion criteria with 243,488 undergoing nephrectomy and 266 undergoing SBRT. Five year OS rates were 53% and 80% for SBRT and nephrectomy, respectively (P < 0.001). On multivariate Cox regression, SBRT was associated with an increased risk of death as compared to nephrectomy (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.72 – 2.44; P < 0.001). Sex, race, insurance coverage, comorbidity index, tumor grade, lymphovascular invasion status, T-stage, tumor size, and academic status of treatment facility were also independent predictors of survival. After propensity score matching of 266 SBRT patients to 266 nephrectomy patients, there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between the groups. However, SBRT continued to demonstrate worse survival and an increased risk of death as compared to nephrectomy (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.41 – 2.44; P < 0.001). Conclusions: Among node-negative, non-metastatic RCC patients, SBRT is associated with inferior survival outcomes as compared to nephrectomy, even after correcting for underlying differences in demographics, tumor characteristics, socioeconomic status, and comorbidities. These results indicate that nephrectomy should remain the standard of care for RCC patients, with SBRT reserved for non-surgical candidates.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ye Liu ◽  
Ran Lu ◽  
Junhong Wang ◽  
Qin Cheng ◽  
Ruitao Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Diabetes is associated with poor coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. However, little is known on the impact of undiagnosed diabetes in the COVID-19 population. We investigated whether diabetes, particularly undiagnosed diabetes, was associated with an increased risk of death from COVID-19. Methods This retrospective study identified adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to Tongji Hospital (Wuhan) from January 28 to April 4, 2020. Diabetes was determined using patients’ past history (diagnosed) or was newly defined if the hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level at admission was ≥6.5% (48 mmol/mol) (undiagnosed). The in-hospital mortality rate and survival probability were compared between the non-diabetes and diabetes (overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes) groups. Risk factors of mortality were explored using Cox regression analysis. Results Of 373 patients, 233 were included in the final analysis, among whom 80 (34.3%) had diabetes: 44 (55.0%) reported a diabetes history, and 36 (45.0%) were newly defined as having undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c testing at admission. Compared with the non-diabetes group, the overall diabetes group had a significantly increased mortality rate (22.5% vs. 5.9%, p <  0.001). Moreover, the overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes groups displayed lower survival probability in the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (all p <  0.01). Using multivariate Cox regression, diabetes, age, quick sequential organ failure assessment score, and D-dimer ≥1.0 μg/mL were identified as independent risk factors for in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19. Conclusions The prevalence of undiagnosed pre-existing diabetes among patients with COVID-19 is high in China. Diabetes, even newly defined by HbA1c testing at admission, is associated with increased mortality in patients with COVID-19. Screening for undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c measurement should be considered in adult Chinese inpatients with COVID-19.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ye Liu ◽  
Ran Lu ◽  
Junhong Wang ◽  
Qin Cheng ◽  
Ruitao Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Diabetes is associated with poor coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. However, little is known on the impact of undiagnosed diabetes in the COVID-19 population. We investigated whether diabetes, particularly undiagnosed diabetes, was associated with an increased risk of death from COVID-19.Methods: This retrospective study identified adult patients with COVID-19 admitted to Tongji Hospital (Wuhan) from January 28 to April 4, 2020. Diabetes was determined using patients’ past history (diagnosed) or was newly defined if the hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) level at admission was 6.5% (≥ 48 mmol/mol) (undiagnosed). The in-hospital mortality rate and survival probability were compared between the non-diabetes and diabetes (overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes) groups. Risk factors of mortality were explored using Cox regression analysis. Results: Of 373 patients, 233 were included in the final analysis, among whom 80 (34.3%) had diabetes: 44 (55.0%) reported a diabetes history, and 36 (45.0%) were newly defined as having undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c testing at admission. Compared with the non-diabetes group, the overall diabetes group had a significantly increased mortality rate (22.5% vs 5.9%, p <0.001). Moreover, the overall, diagnosed, and undiagnosed diabetes groups displayed lower survival probability in the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis (all p <0.01). Using multivariate Cox regression, diabetes, age, quick sequential organ failure assessment score, and D-dimer ≥ 1.0 mg/mL were identified as independent risk factors for in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19.Conclusions: The prevalence of undiagnosed pre-existing diabetes among patients with COVID-19 is high in China. Diabetes, even newly defined by HbA1c testing at admission, is associated with increased mortality in patients with COVID-19. Screening for undiagnosed diabetes by HbA1c measurement should be considered in adult Chinese inpatients with COVID-19.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Liang Chen ◽  
Yu-Tzu Tsao ◽  
Tsun-Hou Chang ◽  
Tsu-Yi Chao ◽  
Woei-Yau Kao ◽  
...  

Background. The emergence of interstitial pneumonia (IP) in patients with hematological malignancy (HM) is becoming a challenging scenario in current practice. However, detailed characterization and investigation of outcomes and risk factors on survival have not been addressed.Methods. We conducted a retrospective study of 42,584 cancer patients covering the period between 1996 and 2008 using the institutional cancer registry system. Among 816 HM patients, 61 patients with IP were recognized. The clinical features, laboratory results, and histological types were studied to determine the impact of IP on survival and identify the profile of prognostic factors.Results. HM patients with IP showed a significant worse survival than those without IP in the 5-year overall survival (P=0.027). The overall survival showed no significant difference between infectious pneumonia and noninfectious interstitial pneumonia (IIP versus nIIP) (P=0.323). In a multivariate Cox regression model, leukocyte and platelet count were associated with increased risk of death.Conclusions. The occurrence of IP in HM patients is associated with increased mortality. Of interest, nIIP is a prognostic indicator in patients with lymphoma but not in patients with leukemia. However, aggressive management of IP in patients with HM is strongly advised, and further prospective survey is warranted.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (S3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa Bauserman ◽  
Vanessa R. Thorsten ◽  
Tracy L. Nolen ◽  
Jackie Patterson ◽  
Adrien Lokangaka ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Maternal mortality is a public health problem that disproportionately affects low and lower-middle income countries (LMICs). Appropriate data sources are lacking to effectively track maternal mortality and monitor changes in this health indicator over time. Methods We analyzed data from women enrolled in the NICHD Global Network for Women’s and Children’s Health Research Maternal Newborn Health Registry (MNHR) from 2010 through 2018. Women delivering within research sites in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Guatemala, India (Nagpur and Belagavi), Kenya, Pakistan, and Zambia are included. We evaluated maternal and delivery characteristics using log-binomial models and multivariable models to obtain relative risk estimates for mortality. We used running averages to track maternal mortality ratio (MMR, maternal deaths per 100,000 live births) over time. Results We evaluated 571,321 pregnancies and 842 maternal deaths. We observed an MMR of 157 / 100,000 live births (95% CI 147, 167) across all sites, with a range of MMRs from 97 (76, 118) in the Guatemala site to 327 (293, 361) in the Pakistan site. When adjusted for maternal risk factors, risks of maternal mortality were higher with maternal age > 35 (RR 1.43 (1.06, 1.92)), no maternal education (RR 3.40 (2.08, 5.55)), lower education (RR 2.46 (1.54, 3.94)), nulliparity (RR 1.24 (1.01, 1.52)) and parity > 2 (RR 1.48 (1.15, 1.89)). Increased risk of maternal mortality was also associated with occurrence of obstructed labor (RR 1.58 (1.14, 2.19)), severe antepartum hemorrhage (RR 2.59 (1.83, 3.66)) and hypertensive disorders (RR 6.87 (5.05, 9.34)). Before and after adjusting for other characteristics, physician attendance at delivery, delivery in hospital and Caesarean delivery were associated with increased risk. We observed variable changes over time in the MMR within sites. Conclusions The MNHR is a useful tool for tracking MMRs in these LMICs. We identified maternal and delivery characteristics associated with increased risk of death, some might be confounded by indication. Despite declines in MMR in some sites, all sites had an MMR higher than the Sustainable Development Goals target of below 70 per 100,000 live births by 2030. Trial registration The MNHR is registered at NCT01073475.


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