scholarly journals Blood pressure and 10-year all-cause mortality: Findings from the PERU MIGRANT Study

F1000Research ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 1134
Author(s):  
Aida Hidalgo-Benites ◽  
Valeria Senosain-Leon ◽  
Rodrigo M. Carrillo-Larco ◽  
Andrea Ruiz-Alejos ◽  
Robert H. Gilman ◽  
...  

Background The long-term impact of elevated blood pressure on mortality outcomes has been recently revisited due to proposed changes in cut-offs for hypertension. This study aimed at assessing the association between high blood pressure levels and 10-year mortality using the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure (JNC-7) and the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) 2017 blood pressure guidelines. Methods Data analysis of the PERU MIGRANT Study, a prospective ongoing cohort, was used. The outcome of interest was 10-year all-cause mortality, and exposures were blood pressure categories according to the JNC-7 and ACC/AHA 2017 guidelines. Log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models were used to assess the associations of interest controlling for confounders. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated. Results A total of 976 records, mean age of 60.4 (SD: 11.4), 513 (52.6%) women, were analyzed. Hypertension prevalence at baseline almost doubled from 16.0% (95% CI 13.7%–18.4%) to 31.3% (95% CI 28.4%–34.3%), using the JNC-7 and ACC/AHA 2017 definitions, respectively. Sixty three (6.4%) participants died during the 10-year follow-up, equating to a mortality rate of 3.6 (95% CI 2.4–4.7) per 1000 person-years. Using JNC-7, and compared to those with normal blood pressure, those with pre-hypertension and hypertension had 2.1-fold and 5.1-fold increased risk of death, respectively. Similar mortality effect sizes were estimated using ACC/AHA 2017 for stage-1 and stage-2 hypertension. Conclusions Blood pressure levels under two different definitions increased the risk of 10-year all-cause mortality. Hypertension prevalence doubled using ACC/AHA 2017 compared to JNC-7. The choice of blood pressure cut-offs to classify hypertension categories need to be balanced against the patients benefit and the capacities of the health system to adequately handle a large proportion of new patients.

Circulation ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 125 (suppl_10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle C Odden ◽  
Carmen A Peralta ◽  
Mary N Haan ◽  
Kenneth E Covinsky

Introduction: The association between high blood pressure (BP) and risk of death varies by age and appears to be attenuated in some elderly adults. Walking speed is an excellent measure of functional status and may identify which elders may be most at risk for the adverse consequences of hypertension. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that elevated BP would be associated with greater risk of mortality in faster walkers, but not in slower walkers. Methods: The study population included 2,340 persons ≥ 65 years, with measured BP, in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) waves 1999-2000 and 2001-2002. Mortality data was linked to death certificate data in the National Death Index. Walking speed was measured over a 20-foot walk; 243 (8%) did not complete the walk for various safety and logistical reasons. Participants with walking speed above the mean (2.7 ft/sec) were classified as faster walkers. Potential confouders included age, sex, race, survey year, lifestyle and physiologic factors, chronic health conditions, and antihypertensive use. Results: There were 589 deaths recorded through December 31 st , 2006. Among faster walkers, those with elevated systolic BP (≥140 mmHg) had a higher mortality rate compared to those with systolic BP <140 mmHg (236 vs. 161 per 100,000 person-years). Among slower walkers, mortality rates did not appear to differ by the presence of elevated systolic BP (586 vs. 563 per 100,000 person-years). This pattern remained after multivariable adjustment; there was an association between elevated systolic BP and mortality in faster, but not slower walkers (Table). Elevated diastolic BP was not independently associated with an increased risk of mortality. Conclusions: If confirmed in other studies, walking speed could be a simple measure to identify elderly adults who are most at risk for poor outcomes related to high blood pressure. Table Association of elevated blood pressure and mortality, stratified by walking speed Hazard Ratio (HR) of Death Faster Walking Speed >2.7 ft/sec (n = 1,279) Slower Walking Speed ≤ 2.7 ft/sec (n = 818) p-value for interaction HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value Elevated Systolic BP (≥140 mmHg) 1.44 (1.04, 1.99) 0.03 1.08 (0.82, 1.42) 0.56 0.11 Elevated Diastolic BP (≥90 mmHg) 1.09 (0.52, 2.27) 0.82 0.65 (0.30, 1.45) 0.28 0.28 Funding (This research has received full or partial funding support from the American Heart Association, Western States Affiliate (California, Nevada&Utah))


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (4_suppl) ◽  
pp. 3-3
Author(s):  
Grace Lee ◽  
Daniel W. Kim ◽  
Vinayak Muralidhar ◽  
Devarati Mitra ◽  
Nora Horick ◽  
...  

3 Background: While treatment-related lymphopenia (TRL) is common and associated with poorer survival in multiple solid malignancies, little data exists for anal cancer. We evaluated TRL and its association with survival in anal cancer patients treated with chemoradiation (CRT). Methods: A retrospective analysis of 140 patients with non-metastatic anal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated with definitive CRT was performed. Total lymphocyte counts (TLC) at baseline and monthly intervals up to 12 months after initiating CRT were analyzed. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between overall survival (OS) and TRL, dichotomized by G4 TRL ( < 0.2k/μl) two months after initiating CRT. Kaplan-Meier and log-rank tests were used to compare OS between patients with versus without G4 TRL. Results: Median time of follow-up was 55 months. Prior to CRT, 95% of patients had a normal TLC ( > 1k/μl). Two months after initiating CRT, there was a median of 71% reduction in TLC from baseline and 84% of patients had TRL: 11% G1, 31% G2, 34% G3, and 8% G4. On multivariable Cox model, G4 TRL at two months was associated with a 3.7-fold increased risk of death (p = 0.013). On log-rank test, the 5-year OS rate was shorter in the cohort with versus without G4 TRL at two months (32% vs. 86%, p < 0.001). Conclusions: TRL is common and may be another prognostic marker of OS in anal cancer patients treated with CRT. The association between TRL and OS supports the hypothesis that host immunity plays an important role in survival among patients with anal cancer. These results support ongoing efforts of randomized trials underway to evaluate the potential role of immunotherapy in localized anal cancer.


2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gilcilene Oliveira Gadelha ◽  
Hémilly Caroline da Silva Paixão ◽  
Patricia Rezende do Prado ◽  
Renata Andréa Pietro Pereira Viana ◽  
Thatiana Lameira Maciel Amaral

ABSTRACT Objetive: to identify risk factors for death in patients who have suffered non-infectious adverse events. Method: a retrospective cohort study with patients who had non-infectious Adverse Events (AE) in an Intensive Care Unit. The Kaplan Meier method was used to estimate the conditional probability of death (log-rank test 95%) and the risk factors associated with death through the Cox regression. Results: patients over 50 years old presented a risk 1.57 times higher for death; individuals affected by infection/sepsis presented almost 3 times the risk. Patients with a Simplified Acute Physiology Score III (SAPS3) greater than 60 points had four times higher risk for death, while those with a Charlson scale greater than 1 point had approximately two times higher risk. The variable number of adverse events was shown as a protection factor reducing the risk of death by up to 78%. Conclusion: patients who had suffered an adverse event and who were more than 50 years of age, with infection/sepsis, greater severity, i.e., SAPS 3>30 and Charlson>1, presented higher risk of death. However, the greater number of AEs did not contributed to the increased risk of death.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
K Hedman ◽  
T Lindow ◽  
A Carlen ◽  
N Cauwenberghs ◽  
V Elmberg ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The risk associated with an exaggerated systolic blood pressure (SBP) response during exercise testing is controversial. In part, this may be due to the confounding effect of exercise capacity, as achieving a high workload is related to both better survival and higher peak SBP. Purpose We aimed to determine the prognostic value of the SBP response at clinical exercise testing, with and without accounting for exercise capacity and other important confounders, for predicting all-cause mortality. Methods We analysed data from 10,245 subjects aged 18–85 years (54% male), referred for bicycle ergometer exercise testing at a single hospital between 2005 and 2015. Resting SBP, peak SBP, peak Watt as well as the first and last SBP and corresponding Watt during exercise were retrieved. The slope of the increase in SBP per increment in Watt between the first and last measurement during exercise (the SBP/Watt-slope) was calculated. Survival status was determined from the National Cause of Death register up until April 2019. Cox proportional hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were calculated in males and females for peak SBP and the SBP/Watt-slope, and natural cubic spline models (with three knots) were computed to explore the risk of death based on a continuum of each SBP measure. The models were adjusted for age, SBP at rest, a diagnosis of diabetes, hypertension, baseline cardiovascular disease (ICD10 Chapter IX) and the use of cardiac and/or antihypertensive medications. In additional analyses, peak SBP and the SBP/Watt-slope were adjusted for peak Watt or exercise capacity (% predicted), respectively. Results Over a median follow-up of 7.9 (IQR 5.7) years, 890 (8.7%) subjects died. Compared to survivors, subjects who died were older (69±10 vs 57±14 years, p&lt;0.001), had lower age-adjusted exercise capacity (82±15 vs 92±17% pred. Watt, p&lt;0.001), and had lower peak SBP (193±28 vs 196±26 mmHg, p=0.002). The SBP/Watt-slope was on average 21% higher in those who died (0.64±0.36 vs 0.53±0.27 mmHg/Watt, p&lt;0.001). An exercise peak SBP &lt;190 mmHg in females and &lt;210 mmHg in males was associated with increased risk of all-cause death, after adjusting for age, prevalent comorbidities, cardiac medication and exercise capacity at baseline (Figure 1). After adjusting for maximal workload, higher peak SBP was associated with increased risk of dying in females, but not in males. An SBP/Watt-slope &gt;0.5 mmHg/Watt was associated with higher risk of death in both sexes, although not when adjusting for exercise capacity. Conclusion Achieving a lower peak SBP was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in both sexes. This persisted after accounting for exercise capacity and other important confounders. In females, but not in males, there was also an increased risk of death associated with higher peak SBP. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): County Council of Ostergotland


Hypertension ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 76 (1) ◽  
pp. 251-258 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shouling Wu ◽  
Yongjian Song ◽  
Shuohua Chen ◽  
Mengyi Zheng ◽  
Yihan Ma ◽  
...  

The American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association introduced new guidelines for blood pressure (BP) classification in 2017. We explored associations between the newly defined categories and eventual cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, stroke, and all-cause mortality in young Chinese adults. In the community-based Kailuan Study, 16 006 participants aged 18 to 40 years and examined at baseline in 2006/2007 underwent 2-yearly follow-up examinations up to 2016 to 2017. Taking the highest BP reading recorded by manual sphygmomanometry at baseline in 2006 to 2007, we categorized the BP according to the new guidelines. Outcome parameters were CVD events, stroke, and all-cause mortality. During follow-up (mean: 10.9±0.63 years), we observed 458 events (CVD, 167; stroke, 119; and all-cause death, 172). After multivariable adjustment, hazard ratios for CVD events were for elevated BP 0.80 (95% CI, 0.28–2.30), stage 1 hypertension 1.82 (95% CI, 1.12–2.94), and stage 2 hypertension 3.54 (95% CI, 2.18–5.77) versus normal BP. Similar results were obtained for stroke and all-cause death. In Cox regression analysis with BP category entered as time-dependent covariate, stage 1 hypertension was not associated with increased risk ( P >0.10). In the subgroup of individuals taking antihypertensive medication during follow-up, none of the BP categories was significantly associated with the incidence of CVD events. During a mean follow-up of 10.9 years, the newly defined category of stage 1 hypertension in young untreated Chinese adults aged <40 years at baseline was associated with an increased risk for CVD, stroke, and all-cause mortality. This increased risk occurred, however, after progression to stage 2 hypertension. The data may help validating the new BP classification system for young adult Chinese.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 5059-5059
Author(s):  
Mausam Patel ◽  
Thomas Kim ◽  
Chenghui Li ◽  
Ahmed Safar ◽  
Sanjay Maraboyina

5059 Background: Stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) is being increasingly used for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) treatment in non-surgical candidates. However, no studies have compared survival between nephrectomy and SBRT. The National Cancer Database (NCDB) database was used to assess overall survival in patients undergoing SBRT vs nephrectomy. Methods: All cases of T1-T4, N0, M0 RCC diagnosed between 2004 and 2016 were extracted from the NCDB. Only patients undergoing either nephrectomy or SBRT, but not both, were included in the final analysis. Primary outcome was overall survival, defined as time in months from diagnosis to death due to any cause. Descriptive statistics were calculated for all variables. Univariate survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan Meier method and log rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to determine the predictive performance of covariates with respect to overall survival, reported as hazard ratio [HR] with 95% CIs. Nephrectomy patients were propensity score matched to SBRT patients for sub-cohort survival analysis. Comparisons were considered statistically significant at P < 0.05. Results: There were 243,754 patients meeting inclusion criteria with 243,488 undergoing nephrectomy and 266 undergoing SBRT. Five year OS rates were 53% and 80% for SBRT and nephrectomy, respectively (P < 0.001). On multivariate Cox regression, SBRT was associated with an increased risk of death as compared to nephrectomy (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.72 – 2.44; P < 0.001). Sex, race, insurance coverage, comorbidity index, tumor grade, lymphovascular invasion status, T-stage, tumor size, and academic status of treatment facility were also independent predictors of survival. After propensity score matching of 266 SBRT patients to 266 nephrectomy patients, there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between the groups. However, SBRT continued to demonstrate worse survival and an increased risk of death as compared to nephrectomy (HR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.41 – 2.44; P < 0.001). Conclusions: Among node-negative, non-metastatic RCC patients, SBRT is associated with inferior survival outcomes as compared to nephrectomy, even after correcting for underlying differences in demographics, tumor characteristics, socioeconomic status, and comorbidities. These results indicate that nephrectomy should remain the standard of care for RCC patients, with SBRT reserved for non-surgical candidates.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 4-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. A. Shalnova ◽  
A. V. Kapustina ◽  
A. D. Deev ◽  
Yu. A. Balanova

Aim.To evaluate the associations between main risk factors (RF) with cause-specific death in cohorts of Russian men and women.Material and methods. Data of a number of crossectional studies conducted in different years by unified base protocol had become the subjects for the study. A total of 12,497 men and 5,039 women aged 35-74 years, residents of Moscow and S-Petersburg (former Leningrad) cities at the moment of examination, were enrolled into the study. We analyzed 17 previously selected risk factors and their associations with cause-specific mortalities: coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), non-CVD, all causes. A total of 10,650 deaths were registered: 8,726 in men (for 10 years) and 1,924 – in women (for 20 years).Results.Men died more often from all the examined causes except for stroke, what was more typical to women. Mortality in men was associated with significantly larger number of RF than in women and correlations were stronger. In particular, smoking (hazard ratio [HR] 2.25; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.75-2.89; р=0.0001), high blood pressure (HR 1.78; 95%CI 1.43-2.22; р=0.0001) and history of CHD (HR 3.23; 95%CI 2.71- 3.84; р=0.0001) significantly increased CHD-related mortality in the men’s cohort but were much less significant for women. The total cholesterol level demonstrated significance in men but was not even selected in the model for women. The main RF for stroke-related mortality were smoking, high blood pressure and atrial fibrillation, while for non-cardiovascular mortality there was only one common factor – smoking. Factors associated with CVD and all-cause mortality were almost the same because CVD cover more than half in the all-cause mortality, however a larger number of predictors were reported in men.Conclusion. The data obtained indicate: 1) considerably larger number of unfavorable risk factors in the men’s cohort, which significantly increased risk for death from any cause; 2) statistically more pronounced relation between risk factors and mortality rates in men as compared to women, especially note that mortality rates were followed up for 10 years in men and 20 years in women. It is obvious that successful prevention focused on risk factors must be gender-based. 


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason J Sico ◽  
Xin Hu ◽  
Greg Arling ◽  
Laura Myers ◽  
Dawn Bravata

Introduction: Joint National Committee (JNC)-8 goal blood pressure (BP) recommendation of < 140/90 mmHg has been supplanted by 2017 ACC/AHA goal of < 130/80 mmHg for patients with ischemic stroke/TIA. Understanding potential mortality benefit for patients reaching ACC/AHA goal is needed. Hypothesis: Stroke/TIA patients reaching ACC/AHA goal BP will experience lower 1-year all-cause mortality compared to those reaching JNC-8 BP goals. Methods: This is a retrospective cohort of Veterans with stroke/TIA (N=39,053) who received their longitudinal outpatient primary care within a Veterans Administration Medical Center between 10/2014 and 9/2018. Patients were excluded (n=25,381) if they had missing or physiologically improbable BP values, died, or had less than 1 year of follow-up for analysis of 1-year mortality. We calculated average SBP during 90 days after discharge and assessed it in categorical form (≤115 mmHg, 106-115 mmHg, 116-130, mmHg, 131-140 mmHg, and >140 mmHg) and continuous form. Multivariate COX proportional hazard regression was used to examine the relationship between average SBP groups and time to mortality 90 days after discharge up to 1 year. In multivariate logistic regression, we used continuous SBP along with its quadratic term to predict 1-year mortality. Results: A total of 12,337 eligible patients were included in the final analysis. COX proportional regression demonstrated a statistically significant higher risk of death among patients with SBP lower than 105 mmHg as compared to those with > 140 mmHg (HR = 1.79, 95% CI= 1.37-2.34), but no statistical differences were found in other SBP groups. Predicted probability of 1-year mortality generated from the logistic regression was plotted and showed a “U” shaped relationship between SBP and mortality, whereas SBP ranges encompassing both AHA/ACC and JNC-8 goal BP recommendations are found on the “flat” part of the curve. Conclusions: In considering BP reached by 90-days, there was no differential 1-year all-cause mortality benefit between JNC-8 and ACC/AHA BP recommendations, whereas patients experiencing low SBPs were at increased risk for higher mortality. Providers should be aware of the association between lower SBP and higher mortality when treating BP.


2022 ◽  
Vol 127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linn Moberg ◽  
Jerzy Leppert ◽  
Simon Liljeström ◽  
Mattias Rehn ◽  
Lena Kilander ◽  
...  

Background: There is substantial evidence that midlife hypertension is a risk factor for late life dementia. Our aim was to investigate if even high blood pressure at a single timepoint in midlife can predict an increased risk for all-cause dementia, Alzheimer’s disease (AD), or vascular dementia (VaD) later in life. Methods: The community-based study population comprised 30,102 dementia-free individuals from the Westmannia Cardiovascular Risk Factors Study. The participants were aged 40 or 50 years when the health examination took place in 1990–2000. Diagnose registers from both hospitals and primary healthcare centers were used to identify individuals who after inclusion to the study developed dementia. The association between midlife high blood pressure (defined as systolic blood pressure >140 and/or diastolic blood pressure >90 mmHg) at a single timepoint and dementia was adjusted for age, gender, body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose, education, smoking, and physical activity level. Multivariate binary cox regression analyses were used. Results: After a mean follow-up time of 24 years resulting in 662,244 person/years, 761 (2.5%) individuals had been diagnosed with dementia. Midlife high blood pressure at a single timepoint predicted all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.45) and VaD (HR: 2.10, 95% CI: 1.47–3.00) but not AD (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.81–1.38). Conclusion: This study suggests that even midlife high blood pressure at a single timepoint predicts all-cause dementia and more than doubles the risk for VaD later in life independently of established confounders. Even though there was no such association with AD, this strengthens the importance of midlife health examinations in order to identify individuals with hypertension and initiate treatment.


2019 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 298-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charalambos Vlachopoulos ◽  
Dimitrios Terentes-Printzios ◽  
Konstantinos Aznaouridis ◽  
Nikolaos Ioakeimidis ◽  
Panagiotis Xaplanteris ◽  
...  

Background: Recent data advocate adoption of a more intensive treatment strategy for management of blood pressure (BP). </P><P> Objective: We investigated whether the overall effects of the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) are applicable to cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients. </P><P> Methods: In a post hoc analysis we analyzed data from SPRINT that randomly assigned 9361 individuals to a systolic BP (SBP) target of <120 mmHg (intensive treatment) or <140 mmHg (standard treatment). 1562 patients had clinically evident CVD (age=70.3±9.3 years, 24% females) at study entry and were followed for 3.1 years. Further, we assessed the effect of low (<150 mmHg) baseline SBP on outcome. </P><P> Results: In CVD patients, there was no benefit from the intensive treatment regarding all endpoints, except for a marginally significant benefit on all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.67; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45 to 1.00; p=0.0509). Further, while there was no increase in serious adverse events (SAE) in the intensive group, there was increased risk for study-related SAE, acute renal failure and electrolyte abnormalities. In patients with low baseline SBP there was a beneficial effect on allcause mortality (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.33 to 0.96; p=0.033), but with greater stroke incidence (HR: 2.94; 95% CI: 1.04 to 8.29; p=0.042). </P><P> Conclusion: We confirm the beneficial effect of the intensive strategy in SPRINT study on all-cause mortality and the harmful effect on specific adverse outcomes in patients with CVD. However, in patients with low baseline SBP stroke may increase.


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