scholarly journals Prediction of ‘Gigante’ cactus pear yield by morphological characters and artificial neural networks

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 315-319 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno V. C. Guimarães ◽  
Sérgio L. R. Donato ◽  
Alcinei M. Azevedo ◽  
Ignacio Aspiazú ◽  
Ancilon A. e Silva Junior
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Middle Layer ◽  
Morphological Characters ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Production Cycle ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Cactus Pear ◽  
Artificial Neural

ABSTRACT Estimating cactus pear yield is important for the planning of small and medium rural producers, especially in environments with adverse climatic conditions, such as the Brazilian semi-arid region. The objective of this study was to evaluate the potential of artificial neural networks (ANN) for predicting yield of ‘Gigante’ cactus pear, and determine the most important morphological characters for this prediction. The experiment was conducted in the Instituto Federal Baiano, Guanambi campus, Bahia, Brazil, in 2009 to 2011. The area used is located at 14° 13’ 30” S and 42° 46’ 53” W, and its altitude is 525 m. Six vegetative agronomic characters were evaluated in 500 plants in the third production cycle. The data were subjected to ANN analysis using the R software. Ten network architectures were trained 100 times to select the one with the lowest mean square error for the validation data. The networks with five neurons in the middle layer presented the best results. Neural networks with coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.87 were adjusted for sample validation, assuring the generalization potential of the model. The morphological characters with the highest relative contribution to yield estimate were total cladode area, plant height, cladode thickness and cladode length, but all characters were important for predicting the cactus pear yield. Therefore, predicting the production of cactus pear with high precision using ANN and morphological characters is possible.

scholarly journals Comparison of Methods for Harvest Prediction in ‘Gigante’ Cactus Pear

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno V. C. Guimarães ◽  
Sérgio L. R. Donato ◽  
Ignacio Aspiazú ◽  
Alcinei M. Azevedo ◽  
Abner J. de Carvalho
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Cactus Pear ◽  
Federal Institute ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Artificial Neural

Behavior analysis and plant expression are the answers the researcher needs to construct predictive models that minimize the effects of the uncertainties of field production. The objective of this study was to compare the simple and multiple linear regression methods and the artificial neural networks to allow the maximum security in the prediction of harvest in ‘Gigante’ cactus pear. The uniformity test was conducted at the Federal Institute of Bahia, Campus Guanambi, Bahia, Brazil, coordinates 14°13′30″ S, 42°46′53″ W and altitude of 525 m. At 930 days after planting, we evaluated 384 basic units, in which were measured the following variables: plant height (PH); cladode length (CL), width (CW) and thickness (CT); cladode number (CN); total cladode area (TCA); cladode area (CA) and cladode yield (Y). For the comparison between the artificial neural networks (ANN) and regression models (single and multiple-SLR and MLR), we considered the mean prediction error (MPE), the mean quadratic error (MQE), the mean square of deviation (MSD) and the coefficient of determination (R2).The values estimated by the ANN 7-5-1 showed the best proximity to the data obtained in field conditions, followed by ANN 6-2-1, MLR (TCA and CT), SLR (TCA) and SLR (CN). In this way, the ANN models with the topologies 7-2-1 and 6-2-1, MLR with the variables total cladode area and cladode thickness and SLR with the isolated descriptors total cladode area and cladode number, explain 85.1; 81.5; 76.3; 74.09 and 65.87%, respectively, of the yield variation. The ANNs were more efficient at predicting the yield of the ‘Gigante’ cactus pear when compared to the simple and multiple linear regression models.

scholarly journals Atmospheric Pollutant Flow and Precipitation: Modeling Effects on the Vegetation Ecosystem

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-161
Author(s):  
Allag Fateh ◽  
Saddek Bouharati ◽  
Lamri Tedjar ◽  
Mohamed Fenni
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Chemical Composition ◽  
Wide Distribution ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Mathematical Methods ◽  
Atmospheric Pollutant ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Precipitation Modeling ◽  
The Impact

Because of their fixed life and wide distribution, plants are the first victims of air pollution. The atmosphere is considered polluted when the increase of the rate of certain components causes harmful effects on the different constituents of the ecosystems. The study of the flow of air near a polluting source (cement plant in our case), allows to predict its impact on the surrounding plant ecosystem. Different factors are to be considered. The chemical composition of the air, the climatic conditions, and the impacted plant species are complex parameters to be analyzed using conventional mathematical methods. In this study, we propose a system based on artificial neural networks. Since artificial neural networks have the capacity to treat different complex parameters, their application in this domain is adequate. The proposed system makes it possible to match the input and output spaces. The variables that constitute the input space are the chemical composition, the concentration of the latter in the rainwater, their duration of deposition on the leaves and stems, the climatic conditions characterizing the environment, as well as the species of plant studied. The output variable expresses the rate of degradation of this species under the effect of pollution. Learning the system makes it possible to establish the transfer function and thus predict the impact of pollutants on the vegetation.

scholarly journals Artificial neural networks and regression analysis for volume estimation in native species

2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (10) ◽  
pp. 664-669
Author(s):  
Lucas M. Amorim ◽  
Elton da S. Leite ◽  
Deoclides R. de Souza ◽  
Liniker F. da Silva ◽  
Carlos R. de Mello ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Native Species ◽  
Middle Layer ◽  
Volume Measurement ◽  
Volume Estimation ◽  
Individual Volume ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The Individual

ABSTRACT Modeling is an important tool to estimate forest production in planted areas. Although this issue has been studied worldwide, knowledge regarding volume measurement in specific locations such as Northeast Brazil is still scarce. The present study aimed to evaluated the effectiveness of artificial neural networks (ANNs) and regression analysis in estimating the timber volume of homogeneous stands of Anadantera macrocarpa, Genipa americana, and Mimosa casalpinifolia, in order to better predict the growth and production of these species. Both methods were suitable for estimating the individual volume in 7-year-old stands with different spacing. The Spurr regression model showed better statistical results and dispersion of unbiased errors for Anadantera macrocarpa and Genipa americana, whereas the Shumacher-Hall model provided more accurate volume estimates for Mimosa caesalpinifolia. The ANNs calibrated with two neurons in the middle layer exhibited the best fit for all three species. As such, artificial neural networks can be recommended to estimate the individual volumes of the species analyzed in the study area.

scholarly journals A Comparison of Performance of Artificial Neural Networks for Prediction of Heavy Metals Concentration in Groundwater Resources of Toyserkan Plain

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 11792-11792 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meysam Alizamir ◽  
Soheil Sobhanardakani
Keyword(s):  
Heavy Metals ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Groundwater Resources ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Multi Layer Perceptron ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Statistical Indicators

Nowadays, about 50% the world’s population is living in dry and semi dry regions and has utilized groundwater as a source of drinking water. Therefore, forecasting of pollutant content in these regions is vital. This study was conducted to compare the performance of artificial neural networks (ANNs) for prediction of As, Zn, and Pb content in groundwater resources of Toyserkan Plain. In this study, two types of artificial neural networks (ANNs), namely multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and Radial Basis Function (RBF) approaches, were examined using the observations of As, Zn, and Pb concentrations in groundwater resources of Toyserkan plain, Western Iran. Two statistical indicators, the coefficient of determination (R2) and root mean squared error (RMSE) were employed to evaluate the performances of various models. The results indicated that the best performance could be obtained by MLP, in terms of different statistical indicators during training and validation periods.

scholarly journals Yield prediction of ‘Prata Anã’ and ‘BRS Platina’ banana plants by artificial neural networks1

2021 ◽  
Vol 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruno Vinícius Castro Guimarães ◽  
Sérgio Luiz Rodrigues Donato ◽  
Ignacio Aspiazú ◽  
Alcinei Mistico Azevedo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
High Efficiency ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Yield Prediction ◽  
Average Mass ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Mean Square Errors

ABSTRACT Prediction models may contribute to data analysis and decision-making in the management of a crop. This study aimed to evaluate the feasibility of predicting the yield of ‘Prata-Anã’ and ‘BRS Platina’ banana plants by means of artificial neural networks, as well as to determine the most important morphological descriptors for this purpose. The following characteristics were measured: plant height; perimeter of the pseudostem at the ground level, at 30 cm and 100 cm; number of live leaves at harvest; stalk mass, length and diameter; number of hands and fruits; bunches and hands masses; hands average mass; and ratio between the stalk and bunch masses. The data were submitted to artificial neural networks analysis using the R software. The best adjustments were obtained with two and three neurons at the intermediate layer, respectively for ‘Prata-Anã’ and ‘BRS Platina’. These models presented the lowest mean square errors, which correspond to the higher proximity between the predicted and the real data, and, therefore, a higher efficiency of the networks in the yield prediction. By the coefficient of determination, the best adjustments were found for ‘Prata-Anã’ (R² = 0.99 for all the network compositions), while, for ‘BRS Platina’, the data adjustment enabled an R² with values between 0.97 and 1.00, approximately. Yield predictions for ‘Prata-Anã’ and ‘BRS Platina’ were obtained with high efficiency by using artificial neural networks.

scholarly journals Modeling Carbon Release of Brazilian Highest Economic Pole and Major Urban Emitter: Comparing Classical Methods and Artificial Neural Networks

Climate ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 9
Author(s):  
Daniela Debone ◽  
Tiago Dias Martins ◽  
Simone Georges El Khouri Miraglia
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Decision Support Tool ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Support Tool ◽  
Carbon Release ◽  
Artificial Neural

Despite the concern about climate change and the associated negative impacts, fossil fuels continue to prevail in the global energy consumption. This paper aimed to propose the first model that relates CO2 emissions of Sao Paulo, the main urban center emitter in Brazil, with gross national product and energy consumption. Thus, we investigated the accuracy of three different methods: multivariate linear regression, elastic-net regression, and multilayer perceptron artificial neural networks. Comparing the results, we clearly demonstrated the superiority of artificial neural networks when compared with the other models. They presented better results of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE = 0.76%) and the highest possible coefficient of determination (R2 = 1.00). This investigation provides an innovative integrated climate-economic approach for the accurate prediction of carbon emissions. Therefore, it can be considered as a potential valuable decision-support tool for policymakers to design and implement effective environmental policies.

Novel Empirical Correlation for Estimation of the Total Organic Carbon in Devonian Shale from the Spectral Gamma-Ray and Based on the Artificial Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdulhamid Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Organic Carbon ◽  
Total Organic Carbon ◽  
Gamma Ray ◽  
Linear Regression Analysis ◽  
Empirical Correlation ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Evaluation of the quality of unconventional hydrocarbon resources becomes a critical stage toward characterizing these resources, this evaluation requires evaluation of the total organic carbon (TOC). Generally, TOC is determined from laboratory experiments, however, it is hard to obtain a continuous profile for the TOC along the drilled formations using these experiments. Another way to evaluate the TOC is through the use of empirical correlation, the currently available correlations lack the accuracy especially when used in formations other than the ones used to develop these correlations. This study introduces an empirical equation for evaluation of the TOC in Devonian Duvernay shale from only gamma-ray and spectral gamma-ray logs of uranium, thorium, and potassium as well as a newly developed term that accounts for the TOC from the linear regression analysis. This new correlation was developed based on the artificial neural networks (ANN) algorithm which was learned on 750 datasets from Well-A. The developed correlation was tested and validated on 226 and 73 datasets from Well-B and Well-C, respectively. The results of this study indicated that for the training data, the TOC was predicted by the ANN with an AAPE of only 8.5%. Using the developed equation, the TOC was predicted with an AAPE of only 11.5% for the testing data. For the validation data, the developed equation overperformed the previous models in estimating the TOC with an AAPE of only 11.9%.

scholarly journals Utility of Artificial Neural Networks in Modeling Pan Evaporation in Hyper-Arid Climates

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1508 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah A. Alsumaiei
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Pan Evaporation ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Air Temperatures ◽  
Management Plans ◽  
Ann Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
The State Of Kuwait

Evaporation is the major water-loss component of the hydrologic cycle and thus requires efficient management. This study aims to model daily pan evaporation rates in hyper-arid climates using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Hyper-arid climates are characterized by harsh environmental conditions where annual precipitation rates do not exceed 3% of annual evaporation rates. For the first time, ANNs were applied to model such climatic conditions in the State of Kuwait. Pan evaporation data from 1993–2015 were normalized to a 0–1 range to boost ANN performance and the ANN structure was optimized by testing various meteorological input combinations. Levenberg–Marquardt algorithms were used to train the ANN models. The proposed ANN was satisfactorily efficient in modeling pan evaporation in these hyper-arid climatic conditions. The Nash–Sutcliffe coefficients ranged from 0.405 to 0.755 over the validation period. Mean air temperatures and average wind speeds were identified as meteorological variables that most influenced the ANN performance. A sensitivity analysis showed that the number of hidden layers did not significantly impact the ANN performance. The ANN models demonstrated considerable bias in predicting high pan evaporation rates (>25 mm/day). The proposed modeling method may assist water managers in Kuwait and other hyper-arid regions in establishing resilient water-management plans.

scholarly journals Artificial neural networks employment in the prediction of evapotranspiration of greenhouse-grown sweet pepper

2016 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 507-512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Héliton Pandorfi ◽  
Alan C. Bezerra ◽  
Roberto T. Atarassi ◽  
Frederico M. C. Vieira ◽  
José A. D. Barbosa Filho ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Architecture ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Sweet Pepper ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Error Back Propagation ◽  
Artificial Neural

ABSTRACT This study aimed to investigate the applicability of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in the prediction of evapotranspiration of sweet pepper cultivated in a greenhouse. The used data encompass the second crop cycle, from September 2013 to February 2014, constituting 135 days of daily meteorological data, referring to the following variables: temperature and relative air humidity, wind speed and solar radiation (input variables), as well as evapotranspiration (output variable), determined using data obtained by load-cell weighing lysimeter. The recorded data were divided into three sets for training, testing and validation. The ANN learning model recognized the evapotranspiration patterns with acceptable accuracy, with mean square error of 0.005, in comparison to the data recorded in the lysimeter, with coefficient of determination of 0.87, demonstrating the best approximation for the 4-21-1 network architecture, with multilayers, error back-propagation learning algorithm and learning rate of 0.01.

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