scholarly journals Impacts of Monetary Policy on Stability of Commercial Banks – Evidence from Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 92-103
Author(s):  
Duc Trung Nguyen ◽  
Thi Nhu Quynh Nguyen
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Full Employment ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Bank Stability ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
The Stability

Before 2009, most central banks conducted their monetary policy with the ultimate goals of promoting price stability, economic growth and full employment. However, the 2009 financial crisis demonstrated that these goals are not enough to maintain a stable financial arena. So, aside from those objectives, the objective of financial stability is also of interest to central banks when implementing monetary policy. In this study, the authors explore the influence of monetary policy on the stability of commercial banks in Vietnam – an emerging economy. The study uses the dataset of the Vietnamese commercial banks from 2008 to 2019, applying SGMM estimations and checking their robustness with a Bayesian approach. The results show that, in recent years, the SBV has effectively implemented monetary policy to ensure banks’ stability in Vietnam. In particular, money supply M2 has positively impacted the stability of commercial banks. Also, the results imply that the ratio of loan to total assets, the ratio of cost operating to income operating, as well as CPI, correlate negatively with bank stability. The study did not find any impact of bank size or GDP on bank stability during the research period. Based on these results, the SBV should manage an optimal level of money supply M2 to guarantee efficient economic operations in general and maintain bank stability in particular, and should avoid high inflation.

Risk Behavior, Country Governance, and Bank Stability in Pakistan

2021 ◽  
pp. 185-203
Author(s):  
Hafiz Waqas Kamran ◽  
Abdelnaser Omran
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Credit Risk ◽  
Risk Behavior ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Operational Risk ◽  
Bank Stability ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Control Of Corruption

Keeping risk behavior and country governance in observation, this study has investigated the trends in financial stability for a sample of 22 commercial banks in Pakistan while controlling the effect of economic growth. Over the period of 2007 to 2016, the authors have applied OLS, FE, and RE regression methods to investigate which risk and governance factors are influencing the stability measures of the banks. It is found that financial stability in overall banks is affected by credit risk, operational risk, country risk, and financial crisis risk while control of corruption is also affecting ZROA in an adverse way.

scholarly journals Why Accounting Matters: A Central Bank Perspective

2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Schwarz ◽  
Polychronis Karakitsos ◽  
Niall Merriman ◽  
Werner Studener
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Banking Supervision ◽  
Accounting Data ◽  
Financial Strength ◽  
Accounting Rules ◽  
The Stability

AbstractThis paper analyses how accounting frameworks can affect three important areas of responsibility of many central banks, namely monetary policy, financial stability and banking supervision. The identified effects of accounting rules and accounting information on the activities of a central bank are manifold. First, the effectiveness of monetary policy crucially hinges on the financial independence of a central bank, which can be evidenced, inter alia, by its financial strength. Using a new simulation of the financial results of the European Central Bank (ECB), this paper shows that the reported annual profit and financial buffers of a central bank can be significantly affected by accounting, profit distribution and loss coverage rules. Second, in respect of financial stability, the accounting frameworks applied by commercial banks can not only affect their behaviour, but also that of financial markets. Indeed, there is evidence that accounting frameworks amplified pro-cyclicality during the recent crisis, and thus posed risks to the stability of the financial system. This being so, the accounting frameworks of credit institutions have obvious implications for central banks’ analyses with regard to promoting financial stability. Finally, as regards banking supervision, regulatory reporting and key supervisory ratios are based on accounting data. Under the new regulatory framework for banks in the European Union (EU), bank supervisors are highly reliant on accounting data. This means that central banks, in their role as bank supervisors, need to understand the underlying accounting rules and should directly support the development and application of harmonised accounting frameworks.

scholarly journals On the money creation approach to banking

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salomon Faure ◽  
Hans Gersbach
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Capital Regulation ◽  
Bank Deposits ◽  
Central Bank Money ◽  
Money Creation ◽  
Asset Purchases ◽  
Bank Equity ◽  
Bank Money

AbstractWe study today’s two-tier money creation and destruction system: Commercial banks create bank deposits (privately created money) through loans to firms or asset purchases from the private sector. Bank deposits are destroyed when households buy bank equity or when firms repay loans. Central banks create electronic central bank money (publicly created money or reserves) through loans to commercial banks. In a simple general equilibrium setting, we show that symmetric equilibria yield the first-best level of money creation and lending when prices are flexible, regardless of monetary policy and capital regulation. When prices are rigid, we identify the circumstances in which money creation is excessive or breaks down and the ones in which an adequate combination of monetary policy and capital regulation can restore efficiency. Finally, we provide a series of extensions and generalizations of the results.

scholarly journals Regular Econometric Model of Taylor for Albania

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 123
Author(s):  
Ergys Misha
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Financial Assets

The Taylor’s Rule Central Banks is applying widely today from Central Banks for design the monetary policy and for determination of interest rates. The purpose of this paper is to assess monetary policy rule in Albania, in view of an inflation targeting regime. In the first version of the Model, the Taylor’s Rule assumes that base interest rate of the monetary policy varies depending on the change of (1) the inflation rate and (2) economic growth (Output Gap).Through this paper it is proposed changing the objective of the Bank of Albania by adding a new objective, that of "financial stability", along with the “price stability”. This means that it is necessary to reassess the Taylor’s Rule by modifying it with incorporation of indicators of financial stability. In the case of Albania, we consider that there is no regular market of financial assets in the absence of the Stock Exchange. For this reason, we will rely on the credit developmet - as a way to measure the financial cycle in the economy. In this case, the base rate of monetary policy will be changed throught: (1) Targeting Inflation Rate, (2) Nominal Targeting of Economic Growth, and (3) Targeting the Gap of the Ratio Credit/GDP (mitigating the boom cycle, if the gap is positive, and the contractiocycle if the gap is negative).The research data show that, it is necessary that the Bank of Albania should also include in its objective maintaining the financial stability. In this way, the contribution expected from the inclusion of credit gap indicators in Taylor’s Rule, will be higher and sustainable in time.

scholarly journals CENTRAL BANK DIGITAL CURRENCY: ECONOMIC AND LEGAL CHARACTERISTICS

2019 ◽  
pp. 94-100
Author(s):  
T.S. Hudima ◽  
V.A. Ustymenko
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Legal Framework ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Digital Currency ◽  
Business Entities ◽  
The Right ◽  
Article 5

The article is devoted to identifying the peculiarities of the central bank digital currency (CBDC), explaining their impact on the monetary policy of the state, and identifying the prospects for the transformation of domestic banking legislation in connection with the implementation of the CBDC. It is noted that the scope of competence of the Central Bank and the legal basis for the issuance of the CBDC will depend on the economic and legal features of the digital currency, the degree of its impact on the monetary policy, the financial stability of the country’s economy and so on. In the process of forming the appropriate legal field and defining the conceptual apparatus in the sphere of emission and circulation of the CBDC, the peculiarities of the use of the latter in economic transactions and the specific functions not inherent in ordinary means of payment should be taken. СBDC initiatives will help: 1) progressively narrow the banking system at the level of the Central Banks (such as the Chicago Plan) by allowing individuals and businesses to deposit directly into the accounts of the Central Banks; 2) increasing confidence of economic entities and individuals in the financial system; 3) strengthening the financial stability of the economy (both domestically and globally). Granting business entities or individuals the right to store digital money directly with the Central Bank can give rise to two main directions of influence on monetary policy: first, to strengthen its transmission mechanism; secondly, lead to banks being disrupted. This may lead to some legal issues regarding (1) the NBU’s area of competence; (2) the constitutional foundations of the legal economic order (Article 5 of the ECU). In particular, it cannot be ruled out that centralization of the production, servicing, and management of the СBDC turnover may violate the principles of competition in business activities, prevent abuse of monopoly position in the market, etc. Keywords: monetary policy, central bank digital currency, financial stability, competence, legal framework, economic operations, issue.

scholarly journals Negative Interest Rate Risk. Atavism or Normalization of Central Banks’ Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (342) ◽  
pp. 89-116
Author(s):  
Irena Pyka ◽  
Aleksandra Nocoń
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Negative Interest Rate Policy

In the face of the global financial crisis, central banks have used unconventional monetary policy instruments. Firstly, they implemented the interest rate policy, lowering base interest rates to a very low (almost zero) level. However, in the following years they did not undertake normalizing activities. The macroeconomic environment required further initiatives. For the first time in history, central banks have adopted Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP). The main aim of the study is to explore the risk accompanying the negative interest rate policy, aiming at identifying channels and consequences of its impact on the economy. The study verifies the research hypothesis stating that the risk of negative interest rates, so far unrecognized in Theory of Interest Rate, is a consequence of low effectiveness of monetary policy normalization and may adopt systemic nature, by influencing – through different channels – the financial stability and growth dynamics of the modern world economy.

scholarly journals Determinants of The Application of Macro Prudential Instruments

2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 117-136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Firano Zakaria ◽  
Filali A. Fatine
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Economic Cycle ◽  
Bank Profitability ◽  
Economic Cycles ◽  
Financial Expertise ◽  
Early Warning Indicators ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Intermediate Variables ◽  
Warning Indicators

The use of macro prudential instruments today gives rise to a major debate within the walls of central banks and other authorities in charge of financial stability. Contrary to micro prudential instruments, whose effects remain limited, macro prudential instruments are different in nature and can affect the stability of the financial system. By influencing the financial cycle and the financial structure of financial institutions, the use of such instruments should be conducted with great vigilance as well as macroeconomic and financial expertise. But the experiences of central banks in this area are sketchy, and only some emerging countries have experience using these types of instruments in different ways. This paper presents an analysis of instruments of macro prudential policy and attempts to empirically demonstrate that these instruments should be used only in specific economic and financial situations. Indeed, the results obtained, using modeling bivariate panel, confirm that these instruments are more effective when used to mitigate the euphoria of financial and economic cycles. In this sense, the output gap, describing the economic cycle, and the Z-score are the intermediate variables for the activation of capital instruments. Moreover, the liquidity ratio and changes in bank profitability are the two early warning indicators for activation of liquidity instruments.

MODELING THE INFLUENCE OF THE STRUCTURE AND QUALITY OF ASSETS ON THE PROFITABILITY OF A COMMERCIAL BANK

2021 ◽  
pp. 10-18
Author(s):  
Alena S. Kudriavtseva ◽  
Olga G. Arkadeva
Keyword(s):  
Economic Analysis ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Correlation And Regression Analysis ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Classical Economic ◽  
Sound Management

In modern conditions, the methods of classical economic analysis are not enough to solve the problem of bank stability. This requires the development of methods and tools to analyze the current situation in the bank and to develop sound management decisions aimed at ensuring the stability of the bank. The article notes that the analysis of the influence of the structure and quality of assets on the profitability of commercial banks is an important step for assessing the financial position and reliability of a bank, and a method is proposed for constructing a model of the dependence of bank’s profitability on the factors that determine it. The scientific sources were the works of Russian and foreign researchers in the field of modeling and characteristics of the banking system, financial stability of credit institutions, assessment of the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, system organization and information technology. The article uses the methods of economic analysis, differential calculus and mathematical statistics, as well as the achievements of the main scientific schools dealing with the problems of economic and mathematical modeling and economic analysis of banking. In order to determine the most significant economic factors affecting the profitability of commercial banks, generalization of the theoretical, methodological and applied aspects of studies devoted to the study of the influence of the structure and quality of assets on the profitability of commercial banks was carried out, and a correlation and regression analysis was made. The model presented in the article can be used to predict changes in the profitability of Russian commercial banks and to predict promising directions for growth in profit and profitability of the bank.

The political economy of inflation

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 331-343
Author(s):  
Frances Coppola
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
The Political ◽  
Economic Output ◽  
Political Choices ◽  
Redistributive Effects ◽  
Fiscal And Monetary Policy ◽  
Political Decisions

For the last 40 years, macroeconomics has been dominated by Milton Friedman’s view that inflation occurs when the supply of money rises more quickly than economic output – ‘too much money chasing too few goods’, as the saying goes. If inflation is always due to an imbalance of money supply and output, central banks alone determine the path of inflation, and fiscal policy merely has a redistributive function. This paper draws on historical and empirical evidence as well as recent theoretical literature to show that this view is mistaken. Monetary policy has redistributive effects, and fiscal policy affects the money supply. It is therefore impossible to separate them in practice. Both fiscal and monetary policy have inflationary consequences, and because their distributional effects are different, monetary policy cannot fully offset fiscal decisions. Fiscal and monetary policy are influenced by political decisions and are themselves political in nature. Since inflation reflects spending and saving patterns which are affected by political choices, it is fundamentally a political phenomenon.

The Coming of J. M. Keynes

Money ◽  
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Kenneth Galbraith ◽  
James K. Galbraith
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
General Theory ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Full Employment ◽  
Gold Content ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
Theoretical Justification

This chapter examines John Maynard Keynes's views with respect to money. It first considers Keynes's argument that, left to itself and given time, the economic system would find its equilibrium with all or nearly all its willing workers employed. If Keynes's instinct were right, the hopes of the monetary radicals would also destroyed. A change in the gold content of the dollar or an increase in banks' reserves would not mean more borrowers, more deposits, more money and a surge of the economy back to full employment. It followed that monetary policy would not work. What was needed was a policy that increased the money supply available for use and then ensured its use. The chapter considers Keynes's theoretical justification for his views in the 1936 book The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money, the fiscal policies he advocated, his repudiation of Say's Law, and Keynesian policies on taxation.

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