Risk Behavior, Country Governance, and Bank Stability in Pakistan

Author(s):  
Hafiz Waqas Kamran ◽  
Abdelnaser Omran

Keeping risk behavior and country governance in observation, this study has investigated the trends in financial stability for a sample of 22 commercial banks in Pakistan while controlling the effect of economic growth. Over the period of 2007 to 2016, the authors have applied OLS, FE, and RE regression methods to investigate which risk and governance factors are influencing the stability measures of the banks. It is found that financial stability in overall banks is affected by credit risk, operational risk, country risk, and financial crisis risk while control of corruption is also affecting ZROA in an adverse way.

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-123
Author(s):  
Pananda Pasaribu ◽  
Bonnie Mindosa

Introduction/Main Objectives: This study aims to examine the specific determinants of loan growth and the consequences of excessive loan growth on bank stability. Background Problems: Bank loans play an important role in economic growth, but previous studies indicate that excessive loans lead to bank instability. Novelty: This study undertakes a comprehensive analysis, as it will discuss both the loan determinants and excessive loans simultaneously. Research Methods: This study covers more than 89% of the total loans of commercial banks (listed and non-listed banks) between 2002 and 2018 and it employs GMM in order to obtain robust estimations. Finding/Results: The growth of customers’ deposits and gross NPL are the most important factors in explaining loan growth in Indonesia. Banks with excessive loans tend to have high levels of credit risk. Conclusion: Banks’ liquidity and credit risk have important roles in explaining banks’ loans. However, excessive loans could lead to bank instability, particularly for small banks.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3.21) ◽  
pp. 457
Author(s):  
Lee Wee Jeng ◽  
Suganthi Ramasamy ◽  
Devinaga Rasiah ◽  
Peter Yuen Yee Yen ◽  
Shalini Devi Pillay

Commercial banks play an important role in developing a country’s economy and maintaining its financial stability. Commercial banks will usually receive deposits from customers and lend out the money to people who need the money for their businesses or other legal purposes. Therefore, their performance is extremely important for a country’s financial stability and economic growth. This research examined the determinants of local commercial banks’ performance in Malaysia. Performance was measured using Return on Asset, Return on Equity and Net Interest Margin. Using data from eight local commercial banks in Malaysia from tea 2006 to year 2015, this study found that credit risk, liquidity risk, bank’s size and inflation rate significantly affect banks’ performance.  


Author(s):  
Duc Trung Nguyen ◽  
Thi Nhu Quynh Nguyen

Before 2009, most central banks conducted their monetary policy with the ultimate goals of promoting price stability, economic growth and full employment. However, the 2009 financial crisis demonstrated that these goals are not enough to maintain a stable financial arena. So, aside from those objectives, the objective of financial stability is also of interest to central banks when implementing monetary policy. In this study, the authors explore the influence of monetary policy on the stability of commercial banks in Vietnam – an emerging economy. The study uses the dataset of the Vietnamese commercial banks from 2008 to 2019, applying SGMM estimations and checking their robustness with a Bayesian approach. The results show that, in recent years, the SBV has effectively implemented monetary policy to ensure banks’ stability in Vietnam. In particular, money supply M2 has positively impacted the stability of commercial banks. Also, the results imply that the ratio of loan to total assets, the ratio of cost operating to income operating, as well as CPI, correlate negatively with bank stability. The study did not find any impact of bank size or GDP on bank stability during the research period. Based on these results, the SBV should manage an optimal level of money supply M2 to guarantee efficient economic operations in general and maintain bank stability in particular, and should avoid high inflation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-80
Author(s):  
Nguyen Quoc Anh ◽  
Duong Nguyen Thanh Phuong

This study investigates the impact of credit risk on the financial stability of Vietnamese commercial banks. The paper uses the Z-score to proxy the financial stability of banks. We use the data of 27 Vietnamese commercial banks on BankScope, during 2010 - 2019. The paper applied a dynamic panel data approach; the selected method is the difference GMM (DGMM). The key question discussed is which factor impacts on Z-score. Analysis results show the negative effect of non-performing loans on the financial stability of banks. When commercial banks have higher non-performing loans, the lower the financial stability is. Additionally, bank-specific variables such as equity on asset ratio, the return on equity, the size of the bank and set of macroeconomic variables affect the bank’s financial stability. Based on the analysis results, we imply relevant policies for the State Bank of Vietnam and commercial banks.


2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Kevin Kombo ◽  
Dr. Amos Njuguna

Purpose:The purpose of the study was toassess the effects of Basel III framework on capital adequacy requirement in commercial banks in Kenya. The study sought to address the following research questions: why are capital adequacy regulations important in commercial banks in Kenya? What challenges are commercial banks facing in the implementation of capital adequacy requirement? What measures have commercial banks taken to ensure compliance with the capital adequacy requirement?Methodology:A descriptive survey design was applied to a population of 43 commercial banks operating in Kenya. The target population composed of the 159 management staff currently employed at the head offices of the various commercial banks in Kenya. The population was composed of Senior, Middle and Junior or Entry level Management staff. A sample of 30% was selected from within each group.Primary data was gathered using questionnaires which were dropped off at the bank’s head offices and picked up later when the respondents had filled the questionnaires. Descriptive analysis was used to analyze quantitative data while content analysis was used to analyze qualitative data.Results:The findings show that capital adequacy requirement is important in commercial banks because it leads financial stability in the Kenyan economy, improves credit risk management techniques as poor credit risk management requires more capital and leads to reduced vulnerability to liquidity shocks due to the sound capitalization policies being implemented under the Basel III framework. Findings also revealed that capital adequacy affected the balance sheet structure of the commercial banks in Kenya.Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: The study recommends that banks should continue the pursuit of various strategies to ensure that they are in compliance with Basel III requirements and the Central Bank of Kenya’s Prudential Guidelines. The staff of this committee should be drawn from mainly the finance, legal, compliance and treasury departments. Compliance with the capital requirements will lead to a safety net for all commercial banks as the additional capital will act as a cushion that absorbs losses in case of distress in the commercial banking sector.


2021 ◽  
pp. 10-18
Author(s):  
Alena S. Kudriavtseva ◽  
Olga G. Arkadeva

In modern conditions, the methods of classical economic analysis are not enough to solve the problem of bank stability. This requires the development of methods and tools to analyze the current situation in the bank and to develop sound management decisions aimed at ensuring the stability of the bank. The article notes that the analysis of the influence of the structure and quality of assets on the profitability of commercial banks is an important step for assessing the financial position and reliability of a bank, and a method is proposed for constructing a model of the dependence of bank’s profitability on the factors that determine it. The scientific sources were the works of Russian and foreign researchers in the field of modeling and characteristics of the banking system, financial stability of credit institutions, assessment of the creditworthiness of potential borrowers, system organization and information technology. The article uses the methods of economic analysis, differential calculus and mathematical statistics, as well as the achievements of the main scientific schools dealing with the problems of economic and mathematical modeling and economic analysis of banking. In order to determine the most significant economic factors affecting the profitability of commercial banks, generalization of the theoretical, methodological and applied aspects of studies devoted to the study of the influence of the structure and quality of assets on the profitability of commercial banks was carried out, and a correlation and regression analysis was made. The model presented in the article can be used to predict changes in the profitability of Russian commercial banks and to predict promising directions for growth in profit and profitability of the bank.


Author(s):  
Fatma Sezer Dural

The credit default swap market has experienced an exponential growth in recent decades. Though the fırst credit default swap contract was negotiated in the mid-1990s, the market has enjoyed a surge of popularity beginning in 2003. By the end of June 2013, the outstanding amount reached 24.3 trillion dollars. It is mostly used to transfer or to hedge credit risk. Concurrently with the global credit crisis, several shortcomings in CDS markets have appeared. One of the obvious questions is whether they affect the stability of financial markets. In this context after broader exhibition of credit default swaps market, speculative use of CDS, inception of central counterparty, and transparency of CDS market is handled. As a conclusion, it is true that the CDS market still has some weaknesses, but it is no more prone to be destabilizing than other financial instruments. This is shown in this chapter.


Author(s):  
Andrii Ramskyi ◽  
Inna Budnichenko

The article is devoted to the analysis of the financial stability of Ukrainian banks at the present stage of development and the identification of the main factors of influence that are associated with it. The main tendencies of development of the banking system of Ukraine are considered. The present state of the banking system of Ukraine is determined. Financial stability plays a significant role in planning the activities of commercial banks. In general, its indicators reflect the level of riskiness of the functioning of the entity of the banking system. Managing financial sustainability has a significant impact on the functioning of banks. That is why it is necessary to create special control departments in banking institutions. The research of financial stability of banks is based on financial sustainability indicators developed and used by the IMF and the World Bank as the basis for the "Integrated Financial Sector Development Program until 2020". The necessity of applying different methods for evaluating the financial stability of commercial banks has been established in order to identify a wider range of problems related to the efficiency of the functioning of the banking system. The description of  two main groups of factors, under the influence of which the financial stability of banks  undergoes changes, is presented. It was revealed that external factors have a more significant impact on the financial stability of a bank. In particular, the factors of mega environment have become more important when banks enter the international financial space. Internal factors lie mostly in the management plane, and it is just the inefficient management of the bank that leads to the disruption of its stable financial condition. Specific features of management of financial stability and methods of its evaluation are considered. The analysis of economic standards of the banking system of Ukraine is carried out. The measures are proposed to minimize the risks and maintain the stability of banking institutions at the required level for normal functioning in modern conditions. It has been proved that providing, supporting, analyzing and evaluating the financial stability of commercial banks is a driving force in the development of the banking system, and hence the entire Ukrainian economy.


2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Kerongo Maatwa Meshack ◽  
Rose Wairimu Mwaura

Purpose: The purpose of the study was to determine the effect of operational risk management practices on the financial performance in commercial banks in TanzaniaMethodology: The research problem was studied by use of a descriptive research design. The population of the study consisted of all commercial banks in Tanzania. The study used the sample size of 34 commercial banks in Tanzania. Therefore all the commercial banks participated in equally. Questionnaires were the primary data collection tool in this study. The data gathered from the respondents shall be analyzed and presented using descriptive statistics.Results: The study found that the three independent variables in the study credit risk, Insolvency risk and Operational efficiency influenced the financial performance for the period under study. Credit risk Insolvency risk   and Operational efficiency influenced commercial banks financial performance for the period of study.Unique contribution to theory, practice and policy: This study therefore recommends that the commercial banks should handle their operations appropriately as the changes in the factors like Insolvency and Credit risk bring about an effect on the profitability of commercial banks hence affecting their financial performance


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-113
Author(s):  
Oladokun Nafiu Olaniyi ◽  
◽  
Shamsul Kamariah Abdullah ◽  
Charmele Ayadurai ◽  

The present paper examines factors influencing the Off-Balance Sheet activities of selected commercial banks in Malaysia for the period 2004- 2014. OBS activities are an integral part of financial institutions in response to the needs of businesses for different types of guarantee that have conflicting implications on the stability of financial institutions. Data collected on selected banks from the Bankscope database was analyzed using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) regression. Specifically, the study built its analysis on three main recognized determining factors namely: (1) liquidity motives, (2) credit risk transfer motive, (3) profitability motives, and (4) capital arbitrage motive. The findings thus suggest that the selected banks mainly used OBS instruments for capital arbitrage purpose, enhancing operational efficiency and managing loan portfolio risks. The findings further suggested that its usage for capital arbitrage purposes may undermine the regulatory measures of accurately estimating and monitoring the risk of banks. The findings thus offer significant practical and policy implications that can help to enhance financial stability. Keywords: off-balance sheet, liquidity, credit risk transfer, profitability, capital arbitrage


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