scholarly journals Determinants of Domestic Private Investment

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 35-43
Author(s):  
Abdul Waheed
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Political Regime ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Law And Order ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Interest Rate

This paper analyzes the determinants of domestic private investment in Pakistan using long time series data for the period 1982 to 2012. The conventional variable such as output is not significant in explaining the domestic private investment but the interest rate has significant negative effect on private investment in the long run. The results of the study confirm the validity of crowding in hypothesis and debt overhang hypothesis for Pakistan. This study did not find any support for Mackinnon-Shaw hypothesis. The improvement in law and order condition and existence of democratic political regime in the country has significant positive effect on domestic private investment in the long run. The focus on non-conventional variables could restore investors’ confidence and may result in the recovery of domestic private investment in the country.

scholarly journals Influence of Bank Credits on the Nigerian Economy

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Idachaba Odekina Innocent ◽  
Olukotun G. Ademola ◽  
Elam Wunako Glory
Keyword(s):  
Public Sector ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Lending Rate ◽  
Negative Effect

The aim of this study is to examine the influence of bank credits on the Nigerian economy using time series data covering the period from 1980 to 2017.Gross domestic product was used as proxy for the economy while credits to the private sector, public sector and prime lending rate were used as proxies of Banks credits. Unit root test was used to test stationary which reveals that all the variables were stationary at first difference. The regression analysis result shows that credit to the private sector have positive effect on Nigerian economy while credit to public sector and prime lending rate have negative effect on the Nigerian economy. The result of co-integration test presented reveals that there exist among the variables co-integration which means long-run analysis. It is recommended that, policy makers should focus attention on long-run policies to promote economic growth such as development of modern banking sector, efficient financial market, infrastructures.

scholarly journals Determinants of Private Investment in Pakistan

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 86-92
Author(s):  
Muhammad Suleman ◽  
Abdur Rehman ◽  
Haroon Javaid
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Public Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Domestic Savings ◽  
Short Run

Private investment has a significant relation with the economic growth of the country. It plays an important role in reduction of unemployment and poverty by promoting efficiency and competition among the firms. This study is an attempt to investigate the determinants of private investment in Pakistan. For this purpose, time-series data is utilized for the period 1974-2013. The ARDL (Auto Regressive-Distributed Lag) modeling technique of co-integration was employed to estimate the short-run and long-run determinants of private investment in Pakistan. Empirical findings of this study indicated that in the short-run private investment in Pakistan is determined by the growth rate of GDP, public sector investment, and domestic savings. While in the long run it is determined by the official exchange rate, the growth rate of GDP, public sector investment, domestic savings, trade openness, and interest rate. The results also revealed that in the case of Pakistan different political regimes (democratic, non-democratic) have no significance in the determination of private investment. Stability tests of CUSUM and (CUSUMSQ) (Cumulative Sum Control Chart) were performed in this study. These tests indicated a stable, long run as well as short-run structural stability of the model.

scholarly journals Determinants of Industrial Sector Growth in Pakistan

2019 ◽  
Vol IV (III) ◽  
pp. 61-70
Author(s):  
Mujib Ur Rahman ◽  
Amtul Hafeez ◽  
Wisal Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Industrial Growth ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Negative Effect

A strong industrial sector shows greater economic growth. To find industrial growth, this study hereby made an attempt. Time series data is used. Data is obtained from the years 1984 to 2018. The stationarity of the series is checked through Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF). Moreover, the ARDL approach is used to check short and long-run estimation of the model, estimating the determinants of the industrial sector growth in Pakistan. A long-run positive and significant associations between External debt (% of GDP), GDP (Annual Growth), FDI, Remittances (% of GDP) is identified, while trade has a negative effect on industrial growth. The factor remittances have an insignificant but positive influence on the industrial sector growth.

scholarly journals Infrastructural Investments and Economic Growth: Evidence from Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ayub ◽  
Rabia Rasheed ◽  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Furrukh Bashir
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Water Projects ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
The Public ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Adf Test

Purpose: The goal of this study is to make an attempt to find out the relationships between infrastructural investments and economic growth. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study employs time series data over the years from 1972 to 2020. To observe the long-run and short-run impact of infrastructural investments on economic growth, an ARDL modeling approach to co- integration is used that is most suitable technique over some other techniques of integration after inspecting the stationary level of data via ADF test. Findings: The findings of the study indicate that Investments on Railways, Roads, Gas Projects, Telecommunication, Water Projects and Power Projects appear as efficient factors for enhancing economic growth of Pakistan in the long run. Implications/Originality/Value: It is suggested that government should increase the public and private investment for development of Railways, Roads, Telecommunication and Water projects in Pakistan.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic, Political, And Institutional Determinants of Private Investment In Ethiopia: A Dynamic Analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hulunayen Yizengew Mekonnen ◽  
Yohannes Kefale Mogess
Keyword(s):  
Time Series Data ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Institutional Determinants ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Private Investors ◽  
Investment Growth

Abstract This article investigates the macroeconomic, political, and institutional determinants of private investment in Ethiopia based on a time series data from 1985 to 2018. We apply ARDL approach to Co-integration to investigate the long-run and short run outcomes. The result reveals that real GDP has positive significant effect on private investment growth in both long run and short run while public investment has a crowding-out effect in short run but crowding-in effect in the long run. Real interest rate has a significant negative effect on private investment growth in long run unlike its short run effect. Hence, we recommend more effort has to be excreted to increase the market-size and real income of the people to promote private investment. Secondly, public investment in infrastructures is crucial to attract private investors though public investment in sectors that compete directly with the private sector retard private investment growth. Thirdly, given the negative significant effect of real effective exchange rate on private investment, devaluation is not a long-lasting solution to promote private investment unless the marshal-learner condition is satisfied. Fourthly, the government has to ensure consistent management strategies to minimize corruption, violent uprisings, and bureaucratic inefficiencies to build up confidence of private investors.

scholarly journals MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES AFFECTING THE FISH TRADE BALANCE IN MALAYSIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (Number 2) ◽  
pp. 52-62
Author(s):  
Bee Hui Soh ◽  
Ghee-Thean Lim
Keyword(s):  
Trade Balance ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Trade Deficit ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Fish Trade

The world demand for fish has been increasing. Malaysia has a high fish trade with other countries. However, Malaysia, which has been one of the main fish producers given its long coastlines, still experiences a fish trade deficit. The present study aims to explore the effect of macroeconomic factors on the Malaysian fish trade balance by implementing the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) on the time series data from 1976 to 2016. The findings reveal that foreign income is positively correlated with the trade balance in both short-run and long-run. Nevertheless, trade openness, depreciation of exchange rate, and money supply show a negative effect on the trade balance for the long-run mainly. The incidents are mainly due to fish import dependence and a lack of capacity of exporting fish. To strengthen the trade balance, reducing fisheries products export duties and restricting imported fisheries products are highly recommended.

scholarly journals Elections, Foreign Direct Investment, and Economic Growth in Ghana’s Fourth Republic: 1993 to 2016

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has been seen as an important factor influencing economic growth directly and indirectly in both developed and developing countries. This study assesses the impact of FDI on growth in Ghana since the return to constitutional rule in 1993. The study uses time series data from 1993 to 2016. Using the Autoregressive Distributed Lagged model (ARDL), the study finds a positive impact of FDI on growth both in the short-run and long-run. However, there is a lag period of two. The study equally finds that Gross Saving has a positive impact on growth. On the other hand inflation has a negative effect on growth both in the short and long run. The study also discovered that FDI granger causes growth but GDP does not granger cause FDI. Post-election years with incidence of political uncertainty slow down FDI inflow into Ghana. The study recommends the adoption of stringent fiscal and monetary policies to keep inflation low. It also recommends maintaining and improving the liberal market environment to attract investors, policies to encourage saving, and improving on political transitions to avoid uncertainties for investors.

scholarly journals PRIVATE SECTOR INVESTMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN PALESTINE

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Osaid Nasser Abdaljawwad ◽  
Tamat Sarmidi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Private Investment ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Private Sector Investment ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of private sector investment on economic growth in Palestine using quarterly time series data from 1990-2015. Multiple regression and co-integration methods are employed to analyse the data. The objectives of this study are to analyse the trends of private investment and economic growth in Palestine from 1990­-2015 and to examine the impact of private sector investment on economic. Being a time series data, to avoid spurious regression results, the first step is to test for the stationarity of the data by using Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test. Then ordinary least square (OLS) regression technique is used to estimate of each independent variable effect on the dependent variable. Test the stationary of the error term is done to test the long run co-integration among variables. The result of stationarity and normality test will reveal that the model is fairly well specified and could be used for policy analysis or not. The co-integration test result will indicate that private sector investment and economic growth have a long run significant effect on one another. The unit root tests, which conducted, confirm that variables are stationary in first difference and the co-integration tests also confirm the existence of long term relationship between the variables. The findings of the study concluded that there exist a short-run and long run relationship between private sector investment and economic growth in Palestine. This study recommends the Palestinian government to promote and encourage both domestic and foreign direct investment. The investment policy should be more transparent, attractive and competitive

scholarly journals An Empirical Assessment of the Effect of Taxes and Interest Rate on Economic Growth in Jordan: An Application of Dynamic Autoregressive-Distributed Lag

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 92
Author(s):  
Bashar Younis Alkhawaldeh ◽  
Suraya Mahmood ◽  
Aminu Hassan Jakada
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Capital Ratios ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to examine the effect of taxes and interest rate on economic growth in Jordan by employing the time series data from 1970-2019. Furthermore, this study applies the Augmented Dickey-Fuller, Phillips-Perron, Saikonen and Lütkepohl and Zivot-Andrews test of unit root. Moreover, the study uses cointegration test developed by Gregory and Hansen to investigate the long-run relationship and the dynamic autoregressive distributive lags were used for the estimation result. The long run and short-run estimates reveal the positive and negative effects of taxes and the interest rate on economic growth respectively. While the 1997 Asian financial crisis and 2015 food crisis show a negative effect on economic growth. Based on the findings, the study recommends that the government authorities in Jordan should lower the interest rate that will increase the investment in order to have faster economic growth. The government should urgently plan to broaden the tax base to stimulate economic growth in Jordan. Regulators should encourage banks to start raising capital immediately to strengthen capital ratios well above prudential norms, and prepare schemes for public recapitalization and, where appropriate, public purchases of non-performing assets. The next policy fulfils the government's need to enhance agricultural productivity through better technology to ensure long-term food security and reduce poverty, as well as help to boost economic growth.

ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI EKSPOR NONMIGAS INDONESIA KE AMERIKA SERIKAT

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Editiawarman Editiawarman ◽  
Idris Idris
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Negative Effect

In this study the study of Analysis of factors affecting IndonesianNon-oil and gas exports to America and the data used in this study isquarterly time series data from 2007Q1-2018Q. The model used in thisstudy is the Error Correction Model / ECM. Data sourced from the WorldBank and the Ministry of Trade. The results of this study indicate that (1)the estimated economy of the United States in the long term and short termhas a significant positive relationship to Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to the United States (2) a significant negative effect on Indonesia's non-oil and gas exports to the United States (3) Foreign direct investment or investment foreign direct in the long run, has a significant positive and in the short term does not have a significant and positive influence on non-oil and gas exports Indonesia to the United States.

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