scholarly journals An Investigation of Risk Factors Affecting Short Term Mortality of Patients Referring to the Hospital Emergency Department

Author(s):  
Elham Peyravi ◽  
Hadid Hamrah ◽  
Mohammad Sadegh Masoudi ◽  
Milad Ahmadi Marzaleh ◽  
Mahmoudreza Peyravi

Abstract Background and Objective: One of the causes of short-term mortality in patients is the lower quality of services provided by hospital emergency departments. Given the particular importance of the hospital emergency system and the presence of numerous problems, as well as short term mortality rates in hospitals, this study aimed to investigate the risk factors affecting short term mortality of patients presenting to the Emergency Department at Nemazi Hospital in Shiraz, Fars province in 2019.Methods: This is a retrospective study with a case control-analytical design. The sample size was 768 subjects. In the present study, the emergency department overcrowding was measured by the NEDOCS (National Emergency Department Overcrowding Scale) criterion. The severity of the disease was also evaluated based on the level of the triage of patients through the Emergency Severity Index (ESI) system and vital signs.Results: With each year increase in age, the chance of short-term mortality increases by 0.8%. People with O2 sat% <90% are 7.3 times more likely to experience short term mortality in an emergency department compared to people with O2 sat%> 90%. A significant relationship was noted between short term mortality and SBP (systolic blood pressure) in the hospital's emergency department. It was also found out that as the triage score increases, short term mortality decreases significantly. As hospital stay increases, the chance of the patients' mortality decreases by 0.5%.Conclusion: The percentage of arterial blood oxygen saturation, systolic blood pressure, respiration rate per minute, triage score, the way the patient arrives at the hospital, working shifts, hospitalization duration, age, and comorbidities were regarded as the risk factors for short term mortality. Therefore, promoting professional knowledge and skills of nurses and physicians in the hospitals' emergency department and up-to-dating and reviewing emergency protocols as well as similar research can greatly help reduce short term mortality in the hospital's emergency department.

Critical Care ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anders Kasper Bruun Kristensen ◽  
Jon Gitz Holler ◽  
Søren Mikkelsen ◽  
Jesper Hallas ◽  
Annmarie Lassen

2021 ◽  
Vol 42 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
B V Silva ◽  
C Jorge ◽  
C Mendonca ◽  
M L Urbano ◽  
T Rodrigues ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction CHA2DS2-VASc score is used to determine the thromboembolic risk, but its prognostic value has been demonstrated in several cardiovascular (CV) diseases. Except for female gender, many CV risk factors comprising this score are recognized as risk factors for mortality in COVID-19. Cetinak G. et al demonstrated the ability of modified CHA2DS2-VASc (M-CHA2DS2-VASc) to predict mortality in COVID-19, which is based on changing gender criteria from female to male. Purpose To evaluate the prognostic value of a M-CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict pulmonary embolism (PE) and mortality in pts with COVID-19 admitted at the emergency department (ED). Methods Retrospective study of pts admitted to the ED between June 2020-January 2021, who underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA) due to PE suspicion. Pts were stratified into 3 M-CHA2DS2-VASc risk groups: lower (0–1), intermediate (2–3) and high risk (≥4). Kruskal-Wallis and X-square test were used to compare score risk groups. Logistic regression was used to determine predictors of PE and mortality. ROC curve was performed to evaluate the discriminative power of the score. Results We included 300 pts: median age 71 years, 59% male. Hypertension (59%) chronic kidney disease (CKD, 33%), dyslipidemia (32%) and diabetes (28%) were the most common comorbidities. PE was diagnosed in 46 pts (15%). We found no difference in PE incidence according to M-CHA2DS2-VASc groups (p=0.531) and it showed no predictive value for PE (OR: 1.050, p=0.596). The AUC of M-CHA2DS2-VASc was 0.52, suggesting no discriminative power to predict PE. Regarding mortality, M-CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in non-survivors COVID-19 pts than in survivors [4 (IQR 3–5) vs 2 (1–4), respectively, p&lt;0.001]. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed for mortality based on M-CHA2DS2-VASC, troponin, CKD and smoking history, and only M-CHA2DS2-VASc was identified as an independent predictor of mortality (OR: 1.406, p=0.007). Kaplan-Meier showed that M-CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with mortality: the survival rate was 92%, 80% and 63% in the lower, intermediate and higher M-CHA2DS2VASc score risk group (logrank test p&lt;0.001; Fig. A). Most of the pts in the cohort were hospitalized (83%), but 21 pts (17%) discharged from the ED. Among these pts, 33% (n=17) had low risk, 37% (n=19) intermediate risk and 29% (n=15) high risk for mortality according to the M-CHA2DS2VASc score. The Kaplan-Meier individual survival analysis for hospitalized patients (Fig. B) and for those discharged from the ED (Fig. C) showed that M-CHA2DS2-VASc score had a good discriminative ability to predict short-term mortality for both groups (logrank test p&lt;0.001 and p=0.007, respectively). Conclusion Considering the lack of validated scores to predict mortality in COVID-19 pts, the M-CHA2DS2-VASc might be a simple tool to predict short-term mortality in these pts, irrespectively of the need for hospitalization or not. FUNDunding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aiham Qdaisat ◽  
Sai-Ching Yeung ◽  
Cristhiam M Rojas Hernandez ◽  
Pavani Samudrala ◽  
Mona Kamal ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: Intracranial hemorrhage is a devastating complication of cancer and its treatment.Objective: To evaluate the characteristic, risk factors and clinical outcomes in cancer patients with intracranial hemorrhage presenting to the emergency department. Methods: We collected a decade of retrospective data on all patients with the diagnosis of ICH who visited The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center emergency department. Logistic regression analyses were used to determine the association between clinical variables and various outcomes.Results: 704 confirmed acute ICH cases were identified. Of these, 576 (81.8%) were spontaneous. In-hospital, 7-day, and 30-day mortality rates were 15.1%, 11.4%, and 25.6%, respectively. Hypertension was most predictive of prolonged hospital stay ( [OR]=4.77, 95% [CI]=1.30-22.70, P=0.045) and intensive care unit admission (OR=1.52, 95% CI=1.09-2.12, P=0.013). Low platelet count was associated with both in-hospital mortality (OR=0.96, 95% CI=0.94-0.99, P=0.008) and 30-day mortality (OR=0.98, 95% CI=0.96-1.00, P=0.016). Radiologic findings especially herniation and hydrocephalus, were strong predictors of short-term mortality. Patients with intratumor bleeding had substantially lower short-term mortality rates, but this did not reach statistical significance.Conclusions: Intracranial hemorrhage remains an uncommon complication in cancer patients. The risk factors most helpful in predicting outcomes were hypertension, low platelet count, and hydrocephalus or herniation on imaging.


2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (13) ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz Valente Silva ◽  
Rui Plácido ◽  
Cláudia Jorge ◽  
Carlos Mendonça ◽  
Maria Luísa Urbano ◽  
...  

Introduction: Risk factors comprising the CHA2DS2VASc score are recognized as risk factors for venous thromboembolism and mortality in COVID-19 patients. A modified CHA2DS2VASc score (M-CHA2D2VASc), developed by changing gender criteria from female to male, has been proposed to predict in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic accuracy of M-CHA2D2VASc for adverse clinical outcomes and short-term mortality in COVID-19 patients admitted to the Emergency Department.Material and Methods: Retrospective study of patients admitted to the ED who underwent computed tomography pulmonary angiography due to suspected pulmonary embolism or clinical worsening. Patients were stratified into three M-CHA2DS2-VASc risk-categories: low (0 - 1 points), intermediate (2 - 3 points) and high-risk (≥ 4 points).Results: We included 300 patients (median age 71 years, 59% male). The overall mortality was 27%. The M-CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in non-survivors compared to survivors [4 (IQR:3 - 5) vs 2 (IQR: 1 - 4), respectively, p < 0.001). The M-CHA2DS2-VASc score was identified as an independent predictor of mortality in a multivariable logistic regression model (OR 1.406, p = 0.007). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the M-CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with short-term mortality (log-rank test < 0.001), regardless of hospitalization (log-rank test p < 0.001 and p = 0.007, respectively). The survival proportion was 92%, 80% and 63% in the lower, intermediate, and higher risk-groups. As for the risk-categories, no difference was found in pulmonary embolism, Intensive Care Unit admission, and invasive mechanical ventilation.Discussion: This is the first study to validate M-CHA2DS2-VASc score as a predictor of short-term mortality in patients admitted to the Emergency Department.Conclusion: The M-CHA2DS2-VASC score might be useful for prompt risk-stratification in COVID-19 patients during admission to the Emergency Department.


2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
H Bergum ◽  
I Sandven ◽  
TO Klemsdal

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): The Norwegian health department Background The evidence of the long-term effects of multiple lifestyle intervention on cardiovascular risk is uncertain. We aimed to summarize the evidence from randomized clinical trials examining the efficacy of lifestyle intervention on major cardiovascular risk factors in subjects at high cardiovascular risk. Methods  Eligible trials investigated the impact of lifestyle intervention versus usual care with minimum 24 months follow-up, reporting more than one major cardiovascular risk factor. A literature search updated April 15, 2020 identified 12 eligible studies. The results from individual trials were combined using fixed and random effect models, using the standardized mean difference (SMD) to estimate effect sizes. Small-study effect was evaluated, and heterogeneity between studies examined by subgroup and meta-regression analyses considering patient- and study-level variables. Results  Small-study effect was not identified. Lifestyle intervention reduced systolic blood pressure modestly with an estimated SMD of -0.13, 95% confidence interval (CI): -0.21 to -0.04, with moderate heterogeneity (I² = 59%), corresponding to a mean difference of approximately 2 mmHg (MD = -1.86, 95% CI: -3.14 to -0.57, p = 0.0046). This effect disappeared in the subgroup of trials judged at low risk of bias (SMD = 0.02, 95% CI: -0.08 to 0.11). For the outcome total cholesterol SMD was -0.06, 95% CI: -0.13 to 0.00, with no heterogeneity (I² = 0%), indicating no effect of the intervention. Conclusion  Lifestyle intervention resulted in only a modest effect on systolic blood pressure and no effect on total cholesterol after 24 months. Further lifestyle trials should consider the challenge of maintaining larger long-term benefits to ensure impact on cardiovascular outcomes.


Nutrients ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 2618
Author(s):  
Chesney K. Richter ◽  
Ann C. Skulas-Ray ◽  
Trent L. Gaugler ◽  
Stacey Meily ◽  
Kristina S. Petersen ◽  
...  

Emerging cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, including central vascular function and HDL efflux, may be modifiable with food-based interventions such as cranberry juice. A randomized, placebo-controlled, crossover trial was conducted in middle-aged adults with overweight/obesity (n = 40; mean BMI: 28.7 ± 0.8 kg/m2; mean age: 47 ± 2 years) and elevated brachial blood pressure (mean systolic/diastolic BP: 124 ± 2/81 ± 1 mm Hg). Study participants consumed 500 mL/d of cranberry juice (~16 fl oz; 27% cranberry juice) or a matched placebo juice in a randomized order (8-week supplementation periods; 8-week compliance break), with blood samples and vascular measurements obtained at study entry and following each supplementation period. There was no significant treatment effect of cranberry juice supplementation on the primary endpoint of central systolic blood pressure or central or brachial diastolic pressure. Cranberry juice significantly reduced 24-h diastolic ambulatory BP by ~2 mm Hg compared to the placebo (p = 0.05) during daytime hours. Cranberry juice supplementation did not alter LDL-C but significantly changed the composition of the lipoprotein profile compared to the placebo, increasing the concentration of large LDL-C particles (+29.5 vs. −6.7 nmol/L; p = 0.02) and LDL size (+0.073 vs. −0.068 nm; p = 0.001). There was no effect of treatment on ex vivo HDL efflux in the total population, but exploratory subgroup analyses identified an interaction between BMI and global HDL efflux (p = 0.02), with greater effect of cranberry juice in participants who were overweight. Exploratory analyses indicate that baseline C-reactive protein (CRP) values may moderate treatment effects. In this population of adults with elevated blood pressure, cranberry juice supplementation had no significant effect on central systolic blood pressure but did have modest effects on 24-hr diastolic ambulatory BP and the lipoprotein profile. Future studies are needed to verify these findings and the results of our exploratory analyses related to baseline health moderators.


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