Impact of Aerial Humidity on Seasonal Malaria: An Ecological Study in Zambia
Abstract Background:. Seasonal outbreaks of malaria in many parts of Africa are generally associated with rainfall; in dry seasons malaria declines but does not always cease. We postulated that aerial moisture associated with transpiration of peri-domestic trees may provide conditions to sustain pockets of mosquitoes. This study was designed to investigate this probability. Methods: Using miniature loggers designed to record moisture and temperature, set in trees and vegetation around nine selected homesteads in rural Zambia, we have shown that local tree and plant transpiration affecting the home could support the mosquito where it rests during hot dry seasons. We assessed the conditions which supported resting mosquitoes by recording the malaria case incidence rate measured at nearby health centres and clinics during the dry months. The loggers were placed in trees near the homestead with permission from the householder. No personal data were collected.Results: Data were recorded daily for three contiguous dry seasons, 2017, 2018 and 2019. The results throw a light on conditions that impact the survival of malaria vectors in arid seasons particularly in African situations and suggests how Anopheles arabiensis and other species may survive the dry seasons. Periods of nocturnal aerial moisture correlated with increase in malaria case incidence rates recorded in the local health centres. Discussion: Data were recorded daily for three contiguous dry seasons, 2017, 2018 and 2019. The results throw a light on conditions that impact the survival of malaria vectors in arid seasons particularly in African situations and suggests how Anopheles arabiensis and other species may survive the dry seasons. Periods of nocturnal aerial moisture correlated with increase in malaria case incidence rates recorded in the local health centres. The data also support the idea that mosquito species exist sporadically in widespread population demes of vector species and this likely helps repopulate habitats when the rains return.