Initial Predictors for Short-termprognosisin Anti-melanoma Differentiation-associated Protein-5 Positive Patients

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qihua Yang ◽  
Tianfang Li ◽  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Kunlong Lyu ◽  
Shujun Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5 (anti-MDA5) positive patients are characterized by the high mortality rate caused by interstitial lung disease (ILD). We conducted a retrospective study to summarize the clinical features and identify the initial predictors for death in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Methods:We designed a retrospective cohort of anti-MDA5 positive patients.The demographic and clinical data recorded on first admission, as well as the outcomes during the first six months follow-up were collected. Risk factors for death were identified using multivariate analyses.Results: A total of 90 anti-MDA5 positive patients were included in this study. Eighty-one (90%) patients presentedILD on admission and 35(38.9%) patients developed rapidly progressive ILD (RP-ILD) subsequently.During the first six months of follow-up, 22 (24.4%) patients died of respiratory failure at an average time of 6.6 ± 5.9 weeks.Univariate analysis identified several factors associated with death, including demographic, clinical, laboratory and image variables. Multivariate analysis showed that total CT GGO score≥4(HR 4.8, 95%CI 1.3-17.9,P=0.020), KL-6>1600U/ml (HR3.7, 95%CI 1.5-9.1, P=0.004) and CRP>5.8mg/L (HR3.7, 95%CI 1.0-12.8, P=0.044) were poor prognostic risk factors, however initial combined treatment(HR 0.3, 95%CI 0.1-0.8, P=0.019) predicted good prognosis in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Conclusion: Anti-MDA5 positive patients demonstrated a high prevalence of ILD on admission, leading to a high short-term mortality rate. Higher total GGO score, higher levels of initial KL-6 and CRP predict poor outcome in anti-MDA5 positive patients. However, in tial intensive treatment may improve the prognosis.

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Qihua Yang ◽  
Tianfang Li ◽  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Kunlong Lyu ◽  
Shujun Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5 (anti-MDA5) positive patients are characterized by the high mortality rate caused by interstitial lung disease (ILD). We conducted a retrospective study to summarize the clinical features and identify the initial predictors for death in anti-MDA5 positive patients. Methods We designed a retrospective cohort of anti-MDA5 positive patients. The demographic and clinical data recorded on first admission, as well as the outcomes during the first six months follow-up, were collected. Predictors of rapidly progressive ILD (RPILD) and poor outcomes were calculated using logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard regression models, respectively. Results A total of 90 anti-MDA5 positive patients were included in this study. Eighty-one (90%) patients presented ILD on admission and 35 (38.9%) patients developed RPILD subsequently. During the first six months of follow-up, 22 (24.4%) patients died of respiratory failure at an average time of 6.6 ± 5.9 weeks. Factors including disease duration < 2 months (OR 6.1, 95% CI 1.7–22.4, P = 0.007), serum ferritin ≥ 1500 ng/ml (OR 12.3, 95% CI 3.1–49.6, P < 0.001), CRP ≥ 13 mg/L (OR 4.6, 95% CI 1.3–16.9, P = 0.021) and total GGO score ≥ 4 (OR 6.3, 95% CI 1.8–21.9, P = 0.003), were identified as independent predictors for RPILD. Cox regression model showed that total CT GGO score ≥ 4 (HR 4.8, 95% CI 1.3–17.9, P = 0.020), KL-6 > 1600 U/ml (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.5–9.1, P = 0.004) and CRP > 5.8 mg/L (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.0–12.8, P = 0.044) were poor prognostic risk factors, however initial combined treatment (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1–0.8, P = 0.019) predicted good prognosis in anti-MDA5 positive patients. Conclusion Anti-MDA5 positive patients demonstrated a high prevalence of ILD on admission, leading to a high short-term mortality rate. Higher total GGO score, higher levels of initial KL-6 and CRP predict poor outcome in anti-MDA5 positive patients. However, initial intensive treatment may improve the prognosis.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qihua Yang ◽  
Tianfang Li ◽  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Kunlong Lyu ◽  
Shujun Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5 (anti-MDA5) positive patients are characterized by the high mortality rate caused by interstitial lung disease (ILD). We conducted a retrospective study to summarize the clinical features and identify the initial predictors for death in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Methods: We designed a retrospective cohort of anti-MDA5 positive patients. The demographic and clinical data recorded on first admission, as well as the outcomes during the first six months follow-up, were collected. Predictors of rapidly progressive ILD (RPILD) and poor outcomes were calculated using logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard regression models, respectively.Results: A total of 90 anti-MDA5 positive patients were included in this study. Eighty-one (90%) patients presented ILD on admission and 35 (38.9%) patients developed RPILD subsequently. During the first six months of follow-up, 22 (24.4%) patients died of respiratory failure at an average time of 6.6 ± 5.9 weeks. Factors including disease duration < 2 months (OR 6.1, 95% CI 1.7-22.4, P = 0.007), serum ferritin ≥ 1500 ng/ml (OR 12.3, 95% CI 3.1-49.6, P <0.001), CRP≥13mg/L (OR 4.6, 95% CI 1.3-16.9, P = 0.021) and total GGO score≥4 (OR 6.3, 95% CI 1.8-21.9, P = 0.003), were identified as independent predictors for RPILD. Cox regression model showed that total CT GGO score ≥ 4 (HR 4.8, 95% CI 1.3-17.9, P = 0.020), KL-6 > 1600 U/ml (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.5-9.1, P = 0.004) and CRP > 5.8 mg/L (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.0-12.8, P = 0.044) were poor prognostic risk factors, however initial combined treatment (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.8, P = 0.019) predicted good prognosis in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Conclusion: Anti-MDA5 positive patients demonstrated a high prevalence of ILD on admission, leading to a high short-term mortality rate. Higher total GGO score, higher levels of initial KL-6 and CRP predict poor outcome in anti-MDA5 positive patients. However, initial intensive treatment may improve the prognosis.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 208-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anastase Dzudie ◽  
Bonaventure Suiru Dzekem ◽  
Cabral Tantchou Tchoumi ◽  
Leopold Ndemnge Aminde ◽  
Ana O Mocumbi ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qihua Yang ◽  
Tianfang Li ◽  
Xin Zhang ◽  
Kunlong Lyu ◽  
Shujun Wu ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein-5 (anti-MDA5) positive patients are characterized by the high mortality rate caused by interstitial lung disease (ILD). We conducted a retrospective study to summarize the clinical features and identify the initial predictors for death in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Methods: We designed a retrospective cohort of anti-MDA5 positive patients. The demographic and clinical data recorded on first admission, as well as the outcomes during the first six months follow-up, were collected. Predictors of rapidly progressive ILD (RPILD) and poor outcomes were calculated using logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard regression models, respectively.Results: A total of 90 anti-MDA5 positive patients were included in this study. Eighty-one (90%) patients presented ILD on admission and 35 (38.9%) patients developed RPILD subsequently. During the first six months of follow-up, 22 (24.4%) patients died of respiratory failure at an average time of 6.6 ± 5.9 weeks. Factors including disease duration < 2 months (OR 6.1, 95% CI 1.7-22.4, P = 0.007), serum ferritin ≥ 1500 ng/ml (OR 12.3, 95% CI 3.1-49.6, P <0.001), CRP≥13mg/L (OR 4.6, 95% CI 1.3-16.9, P = 0.021) and total GGO score≥4 (OR 6.3, 95% CI 1.8-21.9, P = 0.003), were identified as independent predictors for RPILD. Cox regression model showed that total CT GGO score ≥ 4 (HR 4.8, 95% CI 1.3-17.9, P = 0.020), KL-6 > 1600 U/ml (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.5-9.1, P = 0.004) and CRP > 5.8 mg/L (HR 3.7, 95% CI 1.0-12.8, P = 0.044) were poor prognostic risk factors, however initial combined treatment (HR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.8, P = 0.019) predicted good prognosis in anti-MDA5 positive patients.Conclusion: Anti-MDA5 positive patients demonstrated a high prevalence of ILD on admission, leading to a high short-term mortality rate. Higher total GGO score, higher levels of initial KL-6 and CRP predict poor outcome in anti-MDA5 positive patients. However, initial intensive treatment may improve the prognosis.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 1314
Author(s):  
Rebeca Lorca ◽  
Isaac Pascual ◽  
Andrea Aparicio ◽  
Alejandro Junco-Vicente ◽  
Rut Alvarez-Velasco ◽  
...  

Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the most frequent cause of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Etiopathogenic and prognostic characteristics in young patients may differ from older patients and young women may present worse outcomes than men. We aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of men and women with premature STEMI. Methods: A total 1404 consecutive patients were referred to our institution for emergency cardiac catheterization due to STEMI suspicion (1 January 2014–31 December 2018). Patients with confirmed premature (<55 years old in men and <60 in women) STEMI (366 patients, 83% men and 17% women) were included (359 atherothrombotic and 7 spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD)). Results: Premature STEMI patients had a high prevalence of classical cardiovascular risk factors. Mean follow-up was 4.1 years (±1.75 SD). Mortality rates, re-hospitalization, and hospital stay showed no significant differences between sexes. More than 10% of women with premature STEMI suffered SCAD. There were no significant differences between sexes, neither among cholesterol levels nor in hypolipemiant therapy. The global survival rates were similar to that expected in the general population of the same sex and age in our region with a significantly higher excess of mortality at 6 years among men compared with the general population. Conclusion: Our results showed a high incidence of cardiovascular risk factors, a high prevalence of SCAD among young women, and a generally good prognosis after standardized treatment. During follow-up, 23% suffered a major cardiovascular event (MACE), without significant differences between sexes and observed survival at 1, 3, and 6 years of follow-up was 96.57% (95% CI 94.04–98.04), 95.64% (95% CI 92.87–97.35), and 94.5% (95% CI 91.12–97.66). An extra effort to prevent/delay STEMI should be invested focusing on smoking avoidance and optimal hypolipemiant treatment both in primary and secondary prevention.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (9) ◽  
pp. e031169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marvin Gonzalez-Quiroz ◽  
Dorothea Nitsch ◽  
Sophie Hamilton ◽  
Cristina O'Callaghan Gordo ◽  
Rajiv Saran ◽  
...  

IntroductionA recently recognised form of chronic kidney disease (CKD) of unknown origin (CKDu) is afflicting communities, mostly in rural areas in several regions of the world. Prevalence studies are being conducted in a number of countries, using a standardised protocol, to estimate the distribution of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and thus identify communities with a high prevalence of reduced glomerular filtration rate (GFR). In this paper, we propose a standardised minimum protocol for cohort studies in high-risk communities aimed at investigating the incidence of, and risk factors for, early kidney dysfunction.Methods and analysisThis generic cohort protocol provides the information to establish a prospective population-based cohort study in low-income settings with a high prevalence of CKDu. This involves a baseline survey that included key elements from the DEGREE survey (eg, using the previously published DEGREE methodology) of a population-representative sample, and subsequent follow-up visits in young adults (without a pre-existing diagnosis of CKD (eGFR<60 mL/min/1.73m2), proteinuria or risk factors for CKD at baseline) over several years. Each visit involves a core questionnaire, and collection and storage of biological samples. Local capacity to measure serum creatinine will be required so that immediate feedback on kidney function can be provided to participants. After completion of follow-up, repeat measures of creatinine should be conducted in a central laboratory, using reference standards traceable to isotope dilution mass spectrometry (IDMS) quality control material to quantify the main outcome of eGFR decline over time, alongside a description of the early evolution of disease and risk factors for eGFR decline.Ethics and disseminationEthical approval will be obtained by local researchers, and participants will provide informed consent before the study commences. Participants will typically receive feedback and advice on their laboratory results, and referral to a local health system where appropriate.


2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (150) ◽  
pp. 180061 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julio A. Huapaya ◽  
Erin M. Wilfong ◽  
Christopher T. Harden ◽  
Roy G. Brower ◽  
Sonye K. Danoff

Data on interstitial lung disease (ILD) outcomes in the intensive care unit (ICU) is of limited value due to population heterogeneity. The aim of this study was to examine risk factors for mortality and ILD mortality rates in the ICU.We performed a systematic review using five databases. 50 studies were identified and 34 were included: 17 studies on various aetiologies of ILD (mixed-ILD) and 17 on idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). In mixed-ILD, elevated APACHE score, hypoxaemia and mechanical ventilation are risk factors for mortality. No increased mortality was found with steroid use. Evidence is inconclusive on advanced age. In IPF, evidence is inconclusive for all factors except mechanical ventilation and hypoxaemia. The overall in-hospital mortality was available in 15 studies on mixed-ILD (62% in 2001–2009 and 48% in 2010–2017) and 15 studies on IPF (79% in 1993–2004 and 65% in 2005–2017). Follow-up mortality rate at 1 year ranged between 53% and 100%.Irrespective of ILD aetiology, mechanical ventilation is associated with increased mortality. For mixed-ILD, hypoxaemia and APACHE scores are also associated with increased mortality. IPF has the highest mortality rate among ILDs, but since 1993 the rate appears to be declining. Despite improving in-hospital survival, overall mortality remains high.


2018 ◽  
Vol 45 (4) ◽  
pp. 320-326 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinbo Yu ◽  
Zhonghua Liu ◽  
Bo Shen ◽  
Jie Teng ◽  
Jianzhou Zou ◽  
...  

Aims: This study aimed to assess risk factors of intradialytic hypotension (IDH) and the association of prognosis and IDH among maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Methods: Among 293 patients, 117 were identified with IDH (more than 4 hypotensive events during 3 months). The association between IDH and survival was evaluated. Results: The incidence of IDH was 39.9%. Age, ultrafiltration rate, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), albumin, β2-microglobulin (β2MG), and aortic root inside diameter (AoRD) were independently associated with IDH. During the 5-year follow-up, 84 patients died with a mortality rate 5.2 per 100 person-year. IDH-prone patients had a higher all-cause mortality rate. IDH and left ventricular mass index were independent risk factors for death (HR 1.655, 95% CI 1.061–2.580; HR 1.008, 95% CI 1.001–1.016). Conclusion: IDH is an independent risk factor for long-term mortality in MHD patients. Patients with older age, high ultrafiltration rate, high level of serum NT-proBNP and β2MG, hypoalbuminemia, and shorter AoRD are at high risk of IDH.


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