prognostic risk factors
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2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Lina Yao ◽  
Lei Zhang ◽  
Chengjie Zhou

In this paper, a data-enabled analysis of the prognostic risk factors of sepsis patients in the intensive care unit is presented. For this purpose, we have selected 220 sepsis patients, preferably those admitted to the intensive care unit for treatment in a tertiary a hospital in Tianjin from June 2018 to June 2019 and received complete data as the research objects, to explore the prognostic risk factors of sepsis patients in the intensive care unit. All patients met the SSC sepsis diagnosis guidelines and recorded the patients’ age, gender, underlying disease, and infection site. Laboratory indicators, such as blood routine, electrolytes, arterial blood gas, liver function, and renal function, were collected within 24 hours of admission. Furthermore, the corresponding specimens were cultured for pathogenic microorganisms according to the site of infection. The LAC value was measured at admission and 24 h after admission, and the 24 h lactate clearance rate was calculated. The Acute Physiological and Chronic Health Status Score II (APACHE-II) and SOFA score were calculated, which were based on the worst value of the index within 24 hours after admission. According to the prognosis of patients during hospitalization, they are divided into two groups: (i) survival group and (ii) death group. We entered all the data into Excel and used SPSS21.0 statistical software for data analysis and processing. Quantitative data are tested for normality. Quantitative data for normal distribution are expressed as mean ± standard deviation, and normal distribution and uniform variance are measured. The factors affecting the prognosis of patients with sepsis were first subjected to a single-factor logistic regression analysis, and a multiple logistic regression analysis was performed on the basis of the significance of the single-factor analysis. The results found that the prognosis of patients with sepsis in the ICU is affected by multiple factors such as underlying diseases, infectious microorganisms, comorbidities, and interventional therapy. APACHE-II score, 24 h lactate clearance rate, ARDS, and DIC are independent risk factors that affect the prognosis of ICU patients.


Author(s):  
Fada Xia ◽  
Yuanliang Yan ◽  
Cong Shen

Recent studies have indicated that long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) may participate in the regulation of tumor cell proptosis. However, the connection between lncRNA expression and pyroptosis remains unclear in colon adenocarcinoma (COAD). This study aims to explore and establish a prognostic signature of COAD based on the pyroptosis-related lncRNAs. We identify 15 prognostic pyroptosis-related lncRNAs (ZNF667-AS1, OIP5-AS1, AL118506.1, AF117829.1, POC1B-AS1, CCDC18-AS1, THUMPD3-AS1, FLNB-AS1, SNHG11, HCG18, AL021707.2, UGDH-AS1, LINC00641, FGD5-AS1 and AC245452.1) from the TCGA-COAD dataset and use them to construct the risk model. After then, this pyroptosis-related lncRNA signature is validated in patients from the GSE17536 dataset. The COAD patients are divided into low-risk and high-risk groups by setting the median risk score as the cut-off point and represented differences in the immune microenvironment. Hence, we construct the immune risk model based on the infiltration levels of ssGSEA immune cells. Interestingly, the risk model and immune risk model are both independent prognostic risk factors. Therefore, a nomogram combined risk score, immune risk score with clinical information which is meaningful in univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis is established to predict the overall survival (OS) of COAD patients. In general, the signature consisted of 15 pyroptosis-related lncRNAs and was proved to be associated with the immune landscape of COAD patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Miao Yu ◽  
Chunyuan Chi

Background. lncRNA and microRNA affect the occurrence and development of many diseases, so they are expected to become diagnostic or predictive indicators. But the relationship between lncRNA FGD5-AS1 and miR-130a and the prognosis of chronic periodontitis is still unclear. The purpose of this study is to explore the prognostic value of the two in chronic periodontitis. Objective. This study set out to investigate the prognostic value of lncRNA FGD5-AS1 and miR-130a in chronic periodontitis. Methods. Eighty-seven patients with chronic periodontitis who visited our hospital from March 2016 to August 2017 were collected as an observation group (OG), and 72 subjects with periodontal health who underwent physical examination at the same time were collected as a control group (CG). The FGD5-AS1 and miR-130a expression levels of subjects in the two groups were compared, and prognosis of 87 patients who were reviewed one year later was counted. The expression levels of patients with different prognoses were compared when they were admitted to our hospital. We drew the ROC curve and explored the prognostic value of FGD5-AS1 and miR-130a. The risk factors for adverse prognosis were analyzed through logistic regression. Results. FGD5-AS1 was lowly expressed in patients, while miR-130a was highly expressed. FGD5-AS1 and miR-130a had certain diagnostic and predictive value in chronic periodontitis and patient prognosis. The higher the periodontal pocket, the higher the attachment loss. Lower FGD5-AS1 and higher miR-130a levels were independent prognostic risk factors. Conclusion. lncRNA FGD5-AS1 is lowly expressed in patients with chronic periodontitis, while miR-130a is highly expressed. Both of them have certain diagnostic and prognostic value in chronic periodontitis and may be potential diagnostic and prognostic indicators.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weibo Gao ◽  
Jiasai Fan ◽  
Di Sun ◽  
Mengxi Yang ◽  
Wei Guo ◽  
...  

Background: The relationship between cardiac functions and the fatal outcome of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is still largely underestimated. We aim to explore the role of heart failure (HF) and NT-proBNP in the prognosis of critically ill patients with COVID-19 and construct an easy-to-use predictive model using machine learning.Methods: In this multicenter and prospective study, a total of 1,050 patients with clinical suspicion of COVID-19 were consecutively screened. Finally, 402 laboratory-confirmed critically ill patients with COVID-19 were enrolled. A “triple cut-point” strategy of NT-proBNP was applied to assess the probability of HF. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause in-hospital death. Prognostic risk factors were analyzed using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and multivariate logistic regression, further formulating a nomogram to predict mortality.Results: Within a 30-day follow-up, 27.4% of the 402 patients died. The mortality rate of patients with HF likely was significantly higher than that of the patient with gray zone and HF unlikely (40.8% vs. 25 and 16.5%, respectively, P < 0.001). HF likely [Odds ratio (OR) 1.97, 95% CI 1.13–3.42], age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02–1.06), lymphocyte (OR 0.36, 95% CI 0.19–0.68), albumin (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.87–0.96), and total bilirubin (OR 1.02, 95% CI 1–1.04) were independently associated with the prognosis of critically ill patients with COVID-19. Moreover, a nomogram was developed by bootstrap validation, and C-index was 0.8 (95% CI 0.74–0.86).Conclusions: This study established a novel nomogram to predict the 30-day all-cause mortality of critically ill patients with COVID-19, highlighting the predominant role of the “triple cut-point” strategy of NT-proBNP, which could assist in risk stratification and improve clinical sequelae.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sara Morsy ◽  
Truong Hong Hieu ◽  
Linh Thi Thuy Tran ◽  
Sherief Ghozy ◽  
Nguyen Tien Huy

Purpose Congenital anomalies are one of the causes of the high mortality rate in children diagnosed with cancer. However, there is a gap of evidence of the rate of cancer mortality in older patients who had congenital anomalies. The study, therefore, aimed to investigate the epidemiology of cancer mortality in those patients. Methods Data were retrieved for patients with cancer and died due to congenital causes throughout 43 years from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program SEER. The age of patients was divided into nine groups each is formed of 10 years interval. Joinpoint analysis was used to calculate the trends of Cancer mortality and Cox proportional hazard ratio to identify the mortality risk factors. Results We have included 2682 patients with death associated with congenital malformation. The mortality of cancer patients due to congenital anomalies greatly enhanced in the last years with the overall average annual percent was 3.8%. Interestingly, congenital anomalies had less mortality risk than other causes reported in SEER. Moreover, age, sex, radiation, chemotherapy, and behavior of tumor were significantly associated with higher survival in patients with congenital anomalies. Conclusions Cancer patients with congenital anomalies had less mortality risk than patients with other diseases reported in SEER. The mortality rates decreased recently, with the most mortality in the bone marrow and prostate tumors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Li Wang ◽  
Wenbin Ma ◽  
Hui Pan ◽  
Renzhi Wang ◽  
...  

BackgroundBasal ganglia germ cell tumors (BGGCTs) represent an extremely rare subset of tumors about which little is known. Some patients suffer from tumor dissemination, such as sellar involvement. This study aimed to evaluate the independent prognostic risk factors of patients with BGGCTs with or without sellar involvement.MethodsSixteen patients were diagnosed with BGGCTs at Peking Union Medical College Hospital from January 2000 to December 2020. A literature review was performed on the online databases Medline and PubMed, and 76 cases in the 19 retrieved articles were identified at the same time. The data regarding biochemical tests, radiological examinations, and outcomes during follow-up were analyzed.ResultsOf 92 patients in this study, seven patients were clinically diagnosed as germinomas, with the remaining 85 patients receiving surgery. Fifty-two patients suffered from multifocal lesions or tumor dissemination. The patients with BGGCTs demonstrated a significant male predilection. The patients with delayed diagnosis more likely had cognitive disturbance (p = 0.028), mental disturbance (p = 0.047), and diabetes insipidus (p = 0.02). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the independent poor prognostic risk factors of patients with BGGCTs were delayed diagnosis [odd ratio (OR) 2.33; 95% CI 1.02–5.31], focal radiotherapy (OR 4.00; 95% CI 1.69–9.49), and non-pure germinoma (OR 4.64; 95% CI 1.76–12.22).ConclusionsThe delayed diagnosis, focal radiotherapy, and non-pure germinoma were associated with a poorer prognosis for patients with BGGCTs with or without sellar involvement.


2021 ◽  
Vol 70 (11) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lijuan Li ◽  
Chulei Wang ◽  
Lingxiao Sun ◽  
Xiaoqi Zhang ◽  
Guoru Yang

Introduction. Patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) who subsequently develop a viral infection have high rates of morbidity and mortality. Hypothesis/Gap Statement. Few large-scale epidemiological studies have investigated potential prognostic factors for morbidity and mortality in this patient group. Aim. To evaluate the risk factors for morbidity and mortality in hospitalized patients with ILD and viral infection, as well as the clinical characteristics. Methodology. This retrospective cohort study included patients with ILD who were hospitalized for a viral infection in two tertiary academic hospitals in China, between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2019. We analysed the prevalence of comorbidities, clinical characteristics, 30 day mortality rates, and prognostic risk factors. Results. A total of 282 patients were included; 195 and 87 were immunocompromised and immunocompetent, respectively. The most common underlying interstitial diseases were idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (42.9 %) and connective tissue disease (36.9 %). The 30 day mortality rate was 20.6 %. During the influenza season, an increase in influenza virus (IFV) (25.7 %), respiratory syncytial virus (14.9 %) and cytomegalovirus (CMV) (11.3 %) cases was observed in the immunocompromised group. The most frequently detected virus in the immunocompetent group was IFV (44.8 %), followed by respiratory syncytial virus (11.5 %), and human rhinovirus (9.2 %). During the non-influenza season, CMV (34.4 %) was the main virus detected in the immunocompromised group. The 30 day mortality rates of non-IFV patients were higher than those of IFV patients. Older age (>60 years), respiratory failure, persistent lymphocytopenia, invasive mechanical ventilation and non-IFV virus infection were significantly associated with increased 30 day mortality. Conclusion. Patients with ILD who develop viral infection have high rates of morbidity and mortality, which are associated with increased age (>60 years), respiratory failure, mechanical ventilation, persistent lymphocytopenia and non-IFV virus infection. These risk factors should be carefully considered when determining treatment strategies for this patient population.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (21) ◽  
pp. 5467
Author(s):  
Anup Kasi ◽  
Efrat Dotan ◽  
Graham M. Poage ◽  
Aurelie Catteau ◽  
Dewi Vernerey ◽  
...  

Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy use in stage II colon cancer is controversial. Current prognostic risk factors do not take the tumor immune microenvironment into account. Consideration of the Immunoscore, which measures the host immune response at the tumor site, may assist clinicians in reducing adjuvant chemotherapy use in patients who are unlikely to benefit from it. This study sought to determine the potential clinical utility of the Immunoscore, via its effect on medical oncologists’ recommendations for management of patients with stage II colon cancer. Methods: De-identified vignettes of 10 patients with stage II colon cancer were presented to 25 practicing medical oncologists. Each participant completed surveys indicating recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy and surveillance strategies. An educational session was subsequently conducted, and the same patient profiles were re-presented but included immunoscore results. Participants were again asked to provide their recommendations. A participant was counted as influenced if their responses were altered after immunoscore test results were provided. Results: All but one participant (96%) altered a management recommendation for ≥1 case. For individual cases, a mean of 55% (range, 40–80%) of participants altered their recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy and/or surveillance. For the immunoscore-high cases (low-risk of recurrence), recommendations for adjuvant chemotherapy use decreased from 60% to 31%. Conclusions: These results indicate a willingness by oncologists to integrate immunoscore information into clinical practice recommendations. Incorporation of immunoscore data resulted in the reduction of nonvalue care in the simulated population. Confirmation in prospective studies is planned.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. e2021060
Author(s):  
Yan Liu ◽  
Beichen Cui ◽  
Chunmei Pi ◽  
Xiaohong Yu ◽  
Zhiwei Liu ◽  
...  

Objective: This study intends to investigate the prognostic risk factors of bloodstream infection in Beijing. Methods: This study is a clinical retrospective study. Patients with community-onset bloodstream infections (COBSI) who were admitted to the emergency department and inpatient department of Beijing Jishuitan Hospital from January 1,2015 to December 31,2019 were selected as the main research objects. According to whether the patient survives for 100 days or not, the patients are divided into survival group and death group. By analyzing the clinical data of the two groups of patients, the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, bacterial resistance and risk factors affecting the prognosis of the patients were analyzed. Results: A total of 446 patients with COBSI diagnosed by blood culture were included in this study, including 252 men and 194 women. According to 100-day survival or not, patients were divided into survival group and death group, of which 363 cases were in the survival group and 83 cases were in the death group. The results of this study show that solid tumors, combined septic shock, indwelling catheters and hemodialysis treatment are independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of COBSI patients. Reasonable initial antibiotic therapy is a protective factor affecting the prognosis of COBSI patients. Conclusion: Solid tumors, combined septic shock, indwelling catheters, hemodialysis treatment, Charlson score, APACHE II score and PITT score are independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of COBSI patients in Beijing, the capital of China, and reasonable initial antibiotic therapy is a protective factor affecting the prognosis of COBSI patients.


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