scholarly journals Artificial Neural Network Model to Predict Post-Hepatectomy Early Recurrence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma without Macroscopic Vascular Invasion

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong-yun Mai ◽  
Jie Zeng M.M. ◽  
M.M. Wei-da Meng ◽  
Hua-ze Lu ◽  
Rong Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: The accurate prediction of post-hepatectomy early recurrence (PHER) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is of great significance in determining postoperative adjuvant treatment and monitoring. This research aimed to develop and validate an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict PHER in HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion.Methods: 903 patients who underwent curative liver resection for HCC were collected. They were randomly divided into a derivation cohort (n = 679) and a validation cohort (n = 224). The ANN model was then developed in the derivation cohort and verified in the validation cohort.Results: The morbidity of PHER in the derivation and validation cohorts was 34.8% and 39.2%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that hepatitis B virus DNA load, γ-glutamyl transpeptadase, α-fetoprotein, tumor diameter, tumor differentiation, microvascular invasion, satellite nodules and blood loss were significantly associated with PHER. Incorporating these factors, the ANN model had greater discriminatory abilities than conventional Cox model, existing recurrence models and commonly used staging systems for predicting PHER. Stratification into two risk groups indicated a statistically significant discrepancy in recurrence-free survival curves. Conclusion: The ANN model has a significant advantage in predicting PHER for HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion when compared to other models and staging systems.

BMC Cancer ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rong-yun Mai ◽  
Jie Zeng ◽  
Wei-da Meng ◽  
Hua-ze Lu ◽  
Rong Liang ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The accurate prediction of post-hepatectomy early recurrence (PHER) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is vital in determining postoperative adjuvant treatment and monitoring. This study aimed to develop and validate an artificial neural network (ANN) model to predict PHER in HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion. Methods Nine hundred and three patients who underwent curative liver resection for HCC participated in this study. They were randomly divided into derivation (n = 679) and validation (n = 224) cohorts. The ANN model was developed in the derivation cohort and subsequently verified in the validation cohort. Results PHER morbidity in the derivation and validation cohorts was 34.8 and 39.2%, respectively. A multivariable analysis revealed that hepatitis B virus deoxyribonucleic acid load, γ-glutamyl transpeptidase level, α-fetoprotein level, tumor size, tumor differentiation, microvascular invasion, satellite nodules, and blood loss were significantly associated with PHER. These factors were incorporated into an ANN model, which displayed greater discriminatory abilities than a Cox’s proportional hazards model, preexisting recurrence models, and commonly used staging systems for predicting PHER. The recurrence-free survival curves were significantly different between patients that had been stratified into two risk groups. Conclusion When compared to other models and staging systems, the ANN model has a significant advantage in predicting PHER for HCC patients without macroscopic vascular invasion.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (7) ◽  
pp. 840-852 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Cai ◽  
Ying Tong ◽  
Lifeng Huang ◽  
Lei Xia ◽  
Han Guo ◽  
...  

Abstract Early recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is implicated in poor patient survival and is the major obstacle to improving prognosis. The current staging systems are insufficient for accurate prediction of early recurrence, suggesting that additional indicators for early recurrence are needed. Here, by analyzing the gene expression profiles of 12 Gene Expression Omnibus data sets (n = 1533), we identified 257 differentially expressed genes between HCC and non-tumor tissues. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model was used to identify a 24-messenger RNA (mRNA)-based signature in discovery cohort GSE14520. With specific risk score formula, patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups. Recurrence-free survival within 2 years (early-RFS) was significantly different between these two groups in discovery cohort [hazard ratio (HR): 7.954, 95% confidence interval (CI): 4.596–13.767, P < 0.001], internal validation cohort (HR: 8.693, 95% CI: 4.029–18.754, P < 0.001) and external validation cohort (HR: 5.982, 95% CI: 3.414–10.480, P < 0.001). Multivariable and subgroup analyses revealed that the 24-mRNA-based classifier was an independent prognostic factor for predicting early relapse of patients with HCC. We further developed a nomogram integrating the 24-mRNA-based signature and clinicopathological risk factors to predict the early-RFS. The 24-mRNA-signature-integrated nomogram showed good discrimination (concordance index: 0.883, 95% CI: 0.836–0.929) and calibration. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the 24-mRNA-signature-integrated nomogram was clinically useful. In conclusion, our 24-mRNA signature is a powerful tool for early-relapse prediction and will facilitate individual management of HCC patients.


2010 ◽  
Vol 52 (6) ◽  
pp. 880-888 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Cucchetti ◽  
Fabio Piscaglia ◽  
Antonia D’Errico Grigioni ◽  
Matteo Ravaioli ◽  
Matteo Cescon ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 248-261
Author(s):  
Baomin Wang ◽  
Xiao Chang

Background: Angular contact ball bearing is an important component of many high-speed rotating mechanical systems. Oil-air lubrication makes it possible for angular contact ball bearing to operate at high speed. So the lubrication state of angular contact ball bearing directly affects the performance of the mechanical systems. However, as bearing rotation speed increases, the temperature rise is still the dominant limiting factor for improving the performance and service life of angular contact ball bearings. Therefore, it is very necessary to predict the temperature rise of angular contact ball bearings lubricated with oil-air. Objective: The purpose of this study is to provide an overview of temperature calculation of bearing from many studies and patents, and propose a new prediction method for temperature rise of angular contact ball bearing. Methods: Based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm, a new prediction methodology for bearings temperature rise was proposed which capitalizes on the notion that the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearing is generally coupling. The influence factors of temperature rise in high-speed angular contact ball bearings were analyzed through grey relational analysis, and the key influence factors are determined. Combined with Genetic Algorithm (GA), the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model based on these key influence factors was built up, two groups of experimental data were used to train and validate the ANN model. Results: Compared with the ANN model, the ANN-GA model has shorter training time, higher accuracy and better stability, the output of ANN-GA model shows a good agreement with the experimental data, above 92% of bearing temperature rise under varying conditions can be predicted using the ANNGA model. Conclusion: A new method was proposed to predict the temperature rise of oil-air lubricated angular contact ball bearings based on the artificial neural network and genetic algorithm. The results show that the prediction model has good accuracy, stability and robustness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhonghui Thong ◽  
Jolena Ying Ying Tan ◽  
Eileen Shuzhen Loo ◽  
Yu Wei Phua ◽  
Xavier Liang Shun Chan ◽  
...  

AbstractRegression models are often used to predict age of an individual based on methylation patterns. Artificial neural network (ANN) however was recently shown to be more accurate for age prediction. Additionally, the impact of ethnicity and sex on our previous regression model have not been studied. Furthermore, there is currently no age prediction study investigating the lower limit of input DNA at the bisulfite treatment stage prior to pyrosequencing. Herein, we evaluated both regression and ANN models, and the impact of ethnicity and sex on age prediction for 333 local blood samples using three loci on the pyrosequencing platform. Subsequently, we trained a one locus-based ANN model to reduce the amount of DNA used. We demonstrated that the ANN model has a higher accuracy of age prediction than the regression model. Additionally, we showed that ethnicity did not affect age prediction among local Chinese, Malays and Indians. Although the predicted age of males were marginally overestimated, sex did not impact the accuracy of age prediction. Lastly, we present a one locus, dual CpG model using 25 ng of input DNA that is sufficient for forensic age prediction. In conclusion, the two ANN models validated would be useful for age prediction to provide forensic intelligence leads.


Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1448
Author(s):  
Nam-Gyu Lim ◽  
Jae-Yeol Kim ◽  
Seongjun Lee

Battery applications, such as electric vehicles, electric propulsion ships, and energy storage systems, are developing rapidly, and battery management issues are gaining attention. In this application field, a battery system with a high capacity and high power in which numerous battery cells are connected in series and parallel is used. Therefore, research on a battery management system (BMS) to which various algorithms are applied for efficient use and safe operation of batteries is being conducted. In general, maintenance/replacement of multi-series/multiple parallel battery systems is only possible when there is no load current, or the entire system is shut down. However, if the circulating current generated by the voltage difference between the newly added battery and the existing battery pack is less than the allowable current of the system, the new battery can be connected while the system is running, which is called hot swapping. The circulating current generated during the hot-swap operation is determined by the battery’s state of charge (SOC), the parallel configuration of the battery system, temperature, aging, operating point, and differences in the load current. Therefore, since there is a limit to formulating a circulating current that changes in size according to these various conditions, this paper presents a circulating current estimation method, using an artificial neural network (ANN). The ANN model for estimating the hot-swap circulating current is designed for a 1S4P lithium battery pack system, consisting of one series and four parallel cells. The circulating current of the ANN model proposed in this paper is experimentally verified to be able to estimate the actual value within a 6% error range.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.


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