Modelling Credit Growth in Commercial Banks with the Use of Data From Senior Loan Officers Opinion Survey

Author(s):  
Zuzanna Wooko
2013 ◽  
Vol 60 (5) ◽  
pp. 615-631 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sangjun Jeong ◽  
Hueechae Jung

Credit procyclicality has recently been the focus of considerable attention, but what fuels the often excessive credit growth is rarely questioned. We investigate the relationship between the composition of banks? liabilities and their credit procyclicality. After examining the macroeconomic context where banks rely increasingly on wholesale funding (WSF), we estimate the effect of WSF on the banks? credit growth using quarterly panel data for the commercial banks of Korea from 2000 to 2011. We find that a higher sensitivity of banks? WSF to the business cycle leads to an excessive response of credit growth to the business cycle, even with a low share of WSF on bank liabilities. On the other hand, we find that overseas WSF has a more marked effect on credit procyclicality, which may additionally exacerbate the financial fragility of export-led emerging economies.


Banks’ credit growth continues to decelerate in India due to huge non-performing assets (NPAs) overhangs in banks. Using the panel data methodology, this study empirically analyzed the determinants of NPAs of scheduled commercial banks in India during 2009-2020. Results indicated that the excessive credit growth in the past increased the surge in the current NPAS. The economic slowdown also aggravated loan delinquencies in Indian commercial banks. While higher priority sector lending created higher loan delinquencies, higher banks size and higher profitability reduced it. This study suggested that counter capital buffer, dynamic provisioning and a sound credit appraisal NPA improved the financial stability and monetary policy effectiveness. These findings are useful for policymakers, bankers and other stakeholders to make appropriate strategies to resolve the NPA issue in India.


Author(s):  
Huynh Viet Khai ◽  
Phan Thi Anh Nguyet ◽  
Phan Dinh Khoi ◽  
Chu Van Nam

This study analyzed the impact of credit portfolio diversification on the profitability by using the data of 20 Vietnam commercial banks from 2009 to 2015. The results from feasible generalized least squares (FGLS) estimation show that the strategy of diversifying the credit portfolio increased the profitability of commercial banks. In addition, the study also indicates that the positive correlation of the ratio of owners' equity, credit growth, liquidity, assets, inflation rate with the profitability while the increase in non-performing loan decreased the profitability of these commercial banks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S138-S168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kashif Malik ◽  
Muhammad Meki ◽  
Jonathan Morduch ◽  
Timothy Ogden ◽  
Simon Quinn ◽  
...  

Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic threatens lives and livelihoods, and, with that, has created immediate challenges for institutions that serve affected communities. We focus on implications for local microfinance institutions in Pakistan, a country with a mature microfinance sector, serving a large number of households. The institutions serve populations poorly-served by traditional commercial banks, helping customers invest in microenterprises, save, and maintain liquidity. We report results from ‘rapid response’ phone surveys of about 1,000 microenterprise owners, a survey of about 200 microfinance loan officers, and interviews with regulators and senior representatives of microfinance institutions. We ran these surveys starting about a week after the country went into lockdown to prevent the spread of the novel coronavirus. We find that, on average, week-on-week sales and household income both fell by about 90 per cent. Households’ primary immediate concern in early April became how to secure food. As a result, 70 per cent of the sample of current microfinance borrowers reported that they could not repay their loans; loan officers anticipated a repayment rate of just 34 per cent in April 2020. We build from the results to argue that COVID-19 represents a crisis for microfinance in low-income communities. It is also a chance to consider the future of microfinance, and we suggest insights for policy reform.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Awdeh

This study aims at defining the credit growth determinants in Lebanon by exploiting a panel data of 34 commercial banks over the period 2000-2015. The empirical results show that deposit growth, GDP growth, inflation, and money supply, all boost bank credit to the resident private sector. Conversely, credit risk, lending interest rate, T-bill rate, public borrowing, and remittance inflows decrease loan growth. We extend our analysis and detect the impact of one year lag of all exploited variables in order to find out if they have a delayed impact on credit growth, where we find several different results. For instance, lag LLP recorded the opposite effect of LLP; ROA does not affect credit growth, whereas its lag lowers credit growth; the impact of a change in money supply amplifies considerably after one year; and finally, the negative impact of remittances fades away after one year.  


2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 265-287
Author(s):  
Amina Malik ◽  
◽  
Babar Zaheer Butt ◽  
Shahab Ud Din ◽  
Haroon Aziz ◽  
...  

This study examined the effectiveness of regulatory capital in enhancing efficiency and credit growth and reducing bad loans in commercial banks listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) from 2010 to 2019. Precisely, the impact of capital adequacy ratio (CAR) was studied on net interest margin (NIM), credit growth (CR) and non-performing loans (NPLs). The impact of capital adequacy regulations was assessed by retrieving data from financial statements analysis (FSA), Bank Financial statements and the World Bank website. Panel regression models including ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed and random effects under robust title were applied in this study. Results revealed that the implementation of stringent CAR plays the role of panacea and increases interest margin & credit growth and a reduction of NPL in Pakistani commercial banks. The study provides practical results for regulators to customize regulations on credit growth to reduce non-performing loans and maintain healthy growth of loans by not compromising on interest margins as well as maintenance of minimum capital adequacy ratios. With the high significance of stringent minimum capital adequacy for banks, the findings of the study are valuable for regulators, banks, auditors and investors, as capital adequacy ratio commonly plays the role of Panacea in terms of efficiency, credit growth and reduction in non-performing loans. Keywords: capital adequacy ratio, efficiency, credit growth, non-performing loans


Jurnal Ecogen ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 200
Author(s):  
Yeniwati Yeniwati

This study aims to determine the effect of the interest rate (BI rate) on bank credit growth in Indonesia, liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia and determine the effect of interest rates and liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia. The method used in this study is Ordinary Least Square (OLS) using secondary data from 2009 Quarter I to 2018 Quarter IV. The results of the analysis showed that there was an influence between interest rates on bank credit growth in Indonesia, there was an influence between liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia. Together there is an influence between interest rates and bank liquidity on the growth of bank credit in Indonesia. The policy implication of this research is that Bank Indonesia must maintain the benchmark interest rate set in order to trigger an increase in bank credit growth. In addition, Bank Indonesia must monitor the liquidity of commercial banks in Indonesia so that the trust of the banking community is even greaterKeywords : interest rate, Liquidity, Credit


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-85
Author(s):  
Abdi Huka Halake ◽  
Dr. Nancy Rintari ◽  
Fredrick Mutea

Purpose: The purpose of the study was to explore the influence of Islamic auto financing instruments on financial performance of commercial banks in Isiolo County Kenya. Methodology: This study used descriptive research design. The respondents were customer service officers and loan officers in the ten commercial banks in Isiolo County. They were be selected using census method. Data collection was done using closed-ended questionnaires and secondary data collected through analysis of report from 2017 to 2020. To ensure validity and reliability, pre-testing of questionnaires was done at Kenya Commercial Bank in Meru town. Coded data in SPSS 24.0 computer program analyzed quantitative and qualitative data using the descriptive statistics such as mean, percentage and standard deviation. Multiple regression was used to test hypothesis of the study. Tables, graphs and detailed explanations were used to present the final results of the study. Results: Options had a statistically significant relationship with financial performance. The respondents agreed that the lending terms of Islamic automobile financing have attracted diverse clients (mean of 4.78). However, in comparison with other statements, the respondents did not tally that having sharia committee in disbursing car loans had enabled clients have confidence with the automobile loans (mean of 3.83). The R value was 0.862 and R-square of 0.743. This indicated that Islamic auto financing instruments’ level of contribution towards financial performance was 74.3%. The Durbin- Watson value was 1.969. This value lied between 0 and 2 hence indicating that there was a positive correlation between auto financing instruments and financial performance. The significance value was 0.000 which was below 0.05 hence Islamic Auto financing instruments had a significant influence of financial performance. In addition, the respondents did not tally that having sharia committee in disbursing car loans had enabled clients have confidence with the automobile loans. This proved that the confidence that clients had on auto financing, was not purely on the nature and process of administration of the financing but also due to reliability. Unique contribution to theory, policy and practice: The study recommends that auto financing should be provided reliably by ensuring all client concerned are amicably handled by the banking staff. The various car loan officer should be trained on good customer service to as to ensure they sell well their products without necessarily losing new clients. The bank management should also diversify auto financing to cater for all categories of vehicles for expansion of their client base.


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