The internationalization of domestic banks and the credit channel of monetary policy

How does the expansion of domestic banks in international markets affect the bank lending channel of monetary policy? Using bank-firm loan-level data, we find that loan growth and loan rates from international banks respond less to monetary policy changes than domestic banks and that internationalization partially mitigates the risk-taking channel of monetary policy. Banks with a large international presence tend to tolerate more their credit risk exposition relative to domestic banks. Moreover, international banks tend to rely more on foreign funding when policy rates change, allowing them to insulate better the monetary policy changes from their credit supply than domestic banks. This result is consistent with the predictions of the internal capital markets hypothesis. We also show that macroprudential FX regulation reduces banks with high FX exposition access to foreign funding, ultimately contributing to monetary policy transmission. Overall, our results suggest that the internationalization of banks lowers the potency of the bank lending channel. Furthermore, it diminishes the risk-taking channel of monetary policy within the limit established by macroprudential FX regulations.

Determinant of Net Interest Margin Banking In Indonesia, During The Period 2009 - 20018

The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of Loan Growth, Unemployment, BOPO, CAR, Inflation, and Exchange Rate in relationship with Net Interest Margin. The research object used is banking data BUKU I to BUKU IV 2009-2018 published by Financial Service Authority, known as OJK. The analysis technique used is panel data regression analysis with Eviews 9.0 analysis tool. The results showed that the variables which consist of Loan Growth, and Unemployment had a significant positive effect on Net Interest Margin. Other independent variables, which consist of BOPO and Exchange Rate had a significant negative effect on Net Interest Margin. While CAR and Inflation do not show a significant impact on Net Interest Margin.

Can foreign ownership reduce bank risk? Evidence from Vietnam

This study investigates the impact of foreign ownership on bank risk in Vietnam between 2006 and 2015. Our findings show that foreign ownership can lower bank risk, suggesting that the State Bank of Vietnam should further remove restrictions on foreign investments in the banking system. The findings also indicate that higher bank risk is associated with greater technical efficiency, suggesting that the skimping-cost hypothesis may exist. The same conclusion is true for large banks, for banks with higher liquid assets and those with greater loan growth. Also, the findings demonstrate that assets diversity may reduce bank risk, suggesting that Vietnamese banks should diversify their assets from loans towards derivatives and other earning assets to improve banks’ stability. Finally, our findings demonstrate that a less concentrated market can lower bank risk, suggesting that the future mergers and acquisitions in Vietnam that involve a state-owned commercial bank should be approached with caution.

The impact of bank liquidity risk on risk-taking and bank lending: evidence from European bank

Objective – This paper uses a sample of annual observations of European banks to examine whether the liquidity risk affects a bank’s risk-taking behavior and its future loan growth. Methodology – A sample of European banks (27 member countries of the European Union plus U.K.) over the period of 2005 to 2019 are used in this study. Liquidity risk is measured by the ratio of liquid assets to total assets. Given the longitudinal nature of the data, the authors use panel regression with bank fixed effects to control for unobserved characteristics that might affect the dependent variable. Findings – The authors find that banks holding more liquid assets take less risk and show a higher subsequent loan growth rate. These results hold for both small and large banks. Novelty – To the authors’ best knowledge, this is one of the earliest studies to carefully examine the effects of liquidity risk on risk-taking behavior and loan growth rate for European banks. Our research suggests that the current Basel III requirement on liquidity ratio can decrease bank’s risking-taking behavior while not necessarily impact their future loan growth. Type of Paper: Empirical JEL Classification: G21, G01, G18. Keywords: Bank Liquidity Risk; Risk-taking Behavior; Loan Growth; Basel III

Empirical Analysis of Non-Performing Loans and Liquidity of Deposit Money Banks: Nigeria Experience

Nigerian Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) tend to have suffered the plight of Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in recent times in no small quantum. Consequently, a large chunk of them have had to increase their loan loss provisions and this may dwindle their liquidity. This study investigates the effect of non-performing loans on liquidity of Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) in Nigeria. A panel regression analysis was performed on a data of 15 quoted DMBs from 2009 to 2019, in order to examine the correlation between the explained variable (banks’ liquidity) and Non-Performing Loans (NPL) while other explanatory variables- Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Bank Size (BS), Loan Growth (LG), Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Inflation were taken into consideration. Data were extracted from the banks’ yearly financial statements and the World Bank Financial Statistics. Based on the empirical findings, the study found only four variables-Non Performing Loans, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Bank Size and Inflation significantly related at 5% significant level with banks’ liquidity while the other three; Gross Domestic Product, Loan Growth and Monetary Policy Rate were identified as insignificant. The finding also revealed that NPLs has negative effect on banks’ liquidity while CAR, BS and INF showed positive relationship. The study recommends strict compliance of banks with the NPLs tolerable limit set by the Central bank. It also suggests that the CBN take proactive measure to ensure the banks’ compliance with the minimum capital requirement. Keywords: Banks, Financial Institutions, Liquidity, Non-Performing Loans, Performance

Economics of loan growth, credit risk and bank capital in Islamic banks

PurposeThis study aims to analyze the moderating role of capital on the relationship between loan growth and credit risk for Islamic banks in the post-crisis era.Design/methodology/approachThe study used annual data of 217 Islamic banks from 38 countries and ranges from 2010–2019. The study applies a two-step system GMM method for hypotheses testing about the moderating role of bank capital on the relationship between loan growth and credit risk in Islamic banks.FindingsThe findings showed that an increase in loan growth increases the credit risk of Islamic banks, as evidenced by loan loss provisions, loan loss reserves and nonperforming loans. The results indicate that capital positively moderates the relationship between loan growth and credit risk in Islamic banking. The positive relationship between bank capital and risk-taking is in line with the “regulatory hypothesis” in banking. The findings predict lower impacts of capital on the relationship between loan growth and credit risk in the South Asian region than MENA, Africa, South, East and Central Asia regions. However, the impact of capital is higher for larger Islamic banks than medium and smaller ones.Practical implicationsThe findings of the study add value to the current debate on the role of bank capital to reduce risk-taking in Islamic banks. The study's findings have implications for policymakers, managers, especially in Islamic banking, for improving the Islamic financial system by managing the role of capital, loan growth and credit risk.Originality/valueThis is the first study to explore the moderating role of bank capital on the relationship between loan growth and credit risk in the post-crisis era, especially in Islamic banking. This is the first study in the Islamic banking context, which is providing empirical evidence for the impact of loan growth on the back looking and forward-looking proxies of credit risk under the moderating role of bank capitalization in the post-crisis era. This is the first study, which providing findings based on regions and size to compare the differences in Islamic banks for the impact of loan growth on credit risk under the moderating role of capitalization.

Determinants of mergers and acquisitions among Finnish cooperative and savings banks

This study is the first to examine mergers and acquisitions among small, regional stakeholder banks that belong to the same group. Using data on Finnish unlisted cooperative and savings banks, we investigate the relationship between bank-specific factors and the likelihood of a bank being an acquirer or an acquisition target. We find that large banks tend to acquire small and inefficient banks. Additionally, we examine the loan growth and find a negative (positive), statistically significant association with the likelihood of a bank being an acquisition target (acquirer). Finally, we document an increase in the likelihood of a bank being an acquisition target subsequent to an increase in the share of net fees and commission income against total assets.

The Macroeconomic Effects on Non-Performing Loan and its Implication on Allowance for Impairment Losses

The change in the Allowance for Impairment Losses calculation method from FASS 55 to FASS 71 in Indonesia requires banks to consider macroeconomic variables as variables in calculating Allowance for Impairment Losses. This research has an objective to study and analyze the effect of macroeconomic proxied by GDP, inflation, exchange rate, unemployment rate, BI rate, and loan growth on NPL and its implications for Allowance for Impairment Losses. The population of this research was issuers of foreign exchange banks in 2011-2019, with a total sample of 26 issuers of foreign exchange banks. This research uses the panel data regression method to analyze the data. The research results found that macroeconomic variables proxied by GDP, inflation, exchange rates, unemployment rate, BI rate, and loan growth did not significantly affect NPL. In contrast, NPL had a significant effect on Allowance for Impairment Losses. This research implies that banks are expected to improve credit quality management against the effects of macroeconomic fluctuations. As a result, the NPL ratio remains under control and does not increase the burden of Allowance for Impairment Losses.

Factors affecting credit risk in lending activities of joint-stock commercial banks in Vietnam

This paper studies factors affecting credit risk in lending activities of joint-stock commercial banks in Vietnam. Data is collected from audited financial statements of 23 banks, and macroeconomic data from General Statistics Office of Vietnam in the period of 2009 – 2019. This paper uses GMM method which is carried out by using R programing language in Jupyter Notebook. The findings show that lagged credit risk, profitability and inflation have positive effects on credit risk, while bank capital, bank size, economic growth and loans to deposits ratio have negative ones. In addition, the findings also show that the nonlinear effects of loan growth on credit risk with U shape relationship, and this paper also calculates the relative importance of each variable.