scholarly journals Dampak Faktor Makroekonomi terhadap Non Performing Loan pada Kredit Produktif Bank Umum di Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-28
Author(s):  
Alben Hernando ◽  
◽  
Elvaretta Miranda ◽  
Lauw Luvena Aileen Theodora ◽  
Yohanes B. Kadarusma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Loan Interest Rates

This study aims to find out the factors that affect non-performing loans of productive loans of commercial banks registeredin oritas Jasa Keuangan. This study examined the macroeconomic variables that affect productive credit NPLs. The sample used is a commercial bank in Indonesia, which is registered in OJK. Productive credit NPL data are taken quarterly from 2003 to 2017,and 56 observationsare obtained. The regression model used in this study is ARDL, with the help of processing Eviews 10 software. The macroeconomic variables tested in this research consist of GDP growth, loan interest rates growth, and IDR/ USD exchangerate growth. GDP growth and exchange rate growth has a negative relationship, while loan interest rates growth does not have a significant relationship with the dependent variable.

Macroeconomic Variables and Sukuk Outstanding in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (6) ◽  
pp. 561-570
Author(s):  
Nur Habibah Asri ◽  
Dwi Wulandari
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
19Th Century ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Vector Autoregression ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Quantitative Descriptive ◽  
The 19Th Century ◽  
Descriptive Method

Sukuk or Sharia bonds are one of the investment instruments in Indonesia. Since the 19th century, Sukuk has become popular with investors. Several previous studies found contradictory results that macroeconomic variables have a relationship and influence on Sukuk by observing the year before the pandemic. This study uses a quantitative descriptive method with a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach. Through the optimum lag value, namely, lag 3, statistically it was found that there was a significant relationship between the variables of GDP, interest rates, and the exchange rate on Sukuk. In addition, several analysis results found a causal relationship between these variables.

scholarly journals Money supply, interest rate, exchange rate and oil price influence on inflation in South Africa

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 594-605 ◽  
Author(s):  
Raphael Tabani Mpofu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables

Price stability is critical for South Africa’s economic development strategy, and, based on previous studies, to effectively achieve this, requires a good understanding of the relationship between inflation and selected macroeconomic variables of broad money supply, interest rate, exchange rate and oil price. Monthly data are employed from January, 1999 through September, 2010. To determine this relationship, the independent variables were tested for multicollinearity, and thereafter a multiple regression model was developed. The findings from the study show that approximately 97% of the consumer price index movement is explained by the four macroeconomic variables. The study confirms that money supply and exchange rates have a strong positive relationship with inflation and have to be managed. Interest rates and oil price, on the other hand, have a significant negative relationship with inflation and should be part of a macroeconomic policy framework. This requires managing the delicate balance between a desirable level of inflation in support of economic growth and development and an unacceptable level of inflation that leads to price instability.

scholarly journals PENGARUH FAKTOR INTERNAL DAN FAKTOR MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP STABILITAS BANK UMUM SYARIAH DI INDONESIA PERIODE 2012-2018

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 2062
Author(s):  
Dian Rizqi Lestari ◽  
Noven Suprayogi
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Annual Report ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Score Method ◽  
Size Efficiency

ABSTRAKPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh ukuran bank, efisiensi, capital buffer, PDB, Inflasi, dan suku bunga terhadap tingkat stabilitas Bank Umum Syariah di Indonesia periode 2012-2018. Penelitian ini menggunakan data panel dan metode z-score dalam mengukur stabilitas. Data diambil dari website resmi Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan annual report masing masing bank umum syariah. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan variabel ukuran bank (size), efisiensi, capital buffer, PDB (Produk Domestik Bruto), inflasi dan suku bunga (BI rate) secara simultan memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan. Kata Kunci: Stabilitas, Bank Umum Syariah, ukuran bank, efisiensi, capital buffer, PDB, Inflasi, suku bunga ABSTRACTThis study aims to determine the effect of bank size, efficiency, capital buffer, GDP, inflation, and interest rates on the level of stability of Sharia Commercial Banks in Indonesia for the period of 2012-2018. This study uses panel data and z-score method in measuring stability. This study used data obtained from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency and the annual report of each Islamic commercial bank. The results of this study indicate that the variable of bank size, efficiency, capital buffer, GDP (Gross Domestic Product), inflation and interest rates (BI rate) simultaneously have a significant effect.Keywords: Stability, Sharia Commercial Banks, bank size, efficiency, capital buffer, GDP, inflation, and interest rates

Exchange Rates and the Effectiveness of Actual and Oral Official Interventions: A Survey on Findings, Issues and Policy Implications

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1850213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nevin Cavusoglu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Consistent Finding ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Explanatory Variables ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
Exchange Markets

Monetary authorities of many open economies have been regularly intervening in foreign exchange markets for years to limit volatility in exchange rates and/or push exchange rates back to some desired level. Such interventions have taken the form of actual and oral official interventions. Review of studies investigating the effectiveness of interventions reveals one major issue, related to the assumption that interventions are mostly sterilized. This assumption might lead to unreliable results when changes in interest rates and interventions are both used as explanatory variables for exchange rates. One major consistent finding is that intervention has a significant but short-lasting effect on exchange rates. Studies have reached this conclusion by investigating whether intervention has been effective in turning around the exchange rate over the few days, weeks or months following intervention(s). Only a few studies have investigated and provided evidence that intervention has been effective in limiting long swings in exchange rates. Studies testing for the effectiveness of interventions specifically through the signaling channel also provide evidence on the importance of macroeconomic variables for exchange rates. The significance of official intervention and official communication for exchange rate movements combined with the importance of macroeconomic variables for exchange rates provide a role for official intervention and parity announcement to influence exchange rate movements and limit the magnitude of exchange rate swings.

scholarly journals Commercial Banks’ Attributes and Annual Voluntary Disclosure: The case of Libya

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 208 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdallah Al-mahdy Hawashe
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Empirical Study ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Voluntary Disclosure ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Annual Reports ◽  
Government Ownership ◽  
Insight Into

AbstractThis study aims to investigateempirically whether there is any significant association between seven commercial bank-specific attributes (i.e. age of bank, size of bank, bank liquidity position, profitability, government ownership, foreign ownership, and listing status) and the extent of voluntary disclosure in the annual reports. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) regression model is used to test the association between bank attributes and voluntary disclosure. The results of regression analysis indicate that banks size and listing status are significantly associated with the level of voluntary information disclosures. The findings also revealed the extent of voluntary disclosure in annual reports is notsignificantly influenced by other bank’s attributes.The current empirical study contributes to that investigation in the context of banking companies andprovides new insight into determinants of voluntary disclosure in the annual reports of listed and unlisted commercial banks.Keywords: Commercial Bank Attributes; Voluntary Disclosure;Annual reports; Libya

scholarly journals Determinants of Non-Performing Loan in Nepalese Commercial Banks

2017 ◽  
pp. 22-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seema Bhattarai
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Percent Level ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The non-performing loans (NPL) of financial institutions are considered as a significant issue in the context of Nepal for last few decades. The paper aims to identify the impact of macroeconomic variables (GDP, Inflation, and Real Effective Exchange Rate) and bank specific variables (size, change in loan, real lending rate of interest, and share of loan to total assets) on the non-performing loan of the commercial banks in Nepal. The study was conducted mainly with secondary sources. The data were collected for 26 commercial banks covering the period of 2002-2012 with 227 observations. The study found that macroeconomic variables such as the real effective exchange rate have significantly negative impact on non-performing loan. The impact of GDP growth rate was found to be insignificant in this study. One year lagged inflation rate has significant positive impact on non-performing loan. The banks which charge relatively higher real interest rate have higher non-performing loan, which is consistent with the findings of previous studies. The ownership dummy has positive coefficient and significant at one percent level showing that if the bank is government owned the non-performing loan would be higher than that of the private owned banks. As well, more lending in the previous years and current year reduces the non-performing loan since the coefficient of change in loan in current and previous years have negative coefficient and significant at one percent level.Economic Journal of Development Issues Vol. 19 & 20 No. 1-2 (2015) Combined Issue, Page: 22-38

scholarly journals Investigation of Turkey and Azerbaijan Economy Macroeconomic Variables

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Volkan Öngel ◽  
Hasan Sadık Tatlı ◽  
Gözde Bozkurt
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Gdp Growth ◽  
Employment Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Annual Frequency ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The One ◽  
Data Frequency

The study aims to determine the presence or absence of causality relationship between economic growth, employment, inflation, exchange rate, import, export in Turkey, and Azerbaijan. In the study, the two countries' annual frequency data from 1992-2018 were analyzed with the Granger causality test. According to the study, the employment rate of GDP growth appears to be the one-way Granger cause for Turkey. Also, it has been determined that the import and exchange rate is caused to the employment rate. It was observed that GDP growth and export were active on inflation and were Granger cause to inflation. It is determined that GDP growth in Azerbaijan is Granger cause to exchange rate and employment. It is also observed that the exchange rate affects inflation. According to the findings, GDP growth has an impact on the employment rate in both countries. While GDP growth is found to be active over inflation in Turkey, it is seen to be valid on the exchange rate in Azerbaijan. Research differs from similar studies in the literature in terms of variables used and countries. The findings of the research have some limitations. The data frequency used in the research starts in 1992, depending on Azerbaijan gaining its independence in 1991. The data used in the research are on an annual basis. Also, local/regional and global crisis effects have been ignored for both countries.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH FAKTOR VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI TERHADAP JAKARTA ISLAMIC INDEX (JII) PERIODE 2010 – 2013

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Herni Ali
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Multiple Regression Models ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

The aim of this study is examining the relationship between cointergration and causality levels of Exchange Rate, GDP, BI interest rates and inflation on Islamic Capital Markets. The data used in this study is a quantitative secondary data in the form of time series of the period January 2010 to December 2013. The test were conducted with the approach of multiple regression models with variable index research JII (Y), the exchange rate (X1), GDP (X2) , BI rate (X3) and inflation (X4) as for hypothesis testing performed using SPSS statistical software. From the results obtained by testing the hypothesis that: a positive effect on the exchange rate, positive effect on GDP, interest harga sewa rates BI negative effect and inflation positive effect on JII. Simultanious testing into four macroeconomic variables affect the JII.DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v3i2.2061   

scholarly journals DETERMINANTS OF NON-PERFORMING LOANS: EVIDENCE FROM CONVENTIONAL BANKS IN MALAYSIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 423-430 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eni Noreni Mohamad Zain ◽  
Puspa Liza Ghazali ◽  
Wan Mohd Nazri Wan Daud
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Data Streams ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Significant Negative Relationship ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

Purpose of the study: This paper attempts to determine the determinants of non-performing loans in commercial banks in Malaysia. This study attempts to explore the specific bank factors as well as macroeconomics factors that are contributing to the non-performing loans. Methodology: This paper analyzes the data using eight local commercial banks in Malaysia. The data collected from the annual report and Data Streams database for the year 2009 to 2018. A panel data approach has been used to analyze the data. All the determinants regressed against non-performing loans by using STATA 14 as a tool. Main Findings: The results of this study present that capitalization had a significant negative relationship with non-performing loans, while the real effective exchange rate had a significant positive correlation with non-performing loans. Applications of this study: This study highlights the crucial factors of the non-performing loans that can be used by the bank or financial institutions. Novelty/Originality of this study: This study includes one new variable for the macroeconomics factors, which is the real effective exchange rate, and the result shows it is significant towards non-performing loans. Therefore, this study enhances the existing model with the new variable that can be used to find what is affecting the non-performing loans.

scholarly journals The Prediction of Third Party Funds, Interest Rates, and Non-Performing Loans toward Loan To Deposit Ratios and Its Impact on Return on Assets on Commercial Banks in Indonesia

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 409
Author(s):  
Ni Nyoman Sawitri
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Path Analysis ◽  
Hypothesis Testing ◽  
Commercial Bank ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Return On Assets ◽  
Analysis Techniques

This research aims to analyze the influence of third party funds, Bank Indonesia Certificates, and non-performing loans on return on assets and loan deposit ratio and the effect of loan deposit ratio on return on assets of commercial banks in Indonesia. The sample of this research is commercial bank listed Bursa Efek Indonesia period 2011 - 2015. There are 15 banks that meet the criteria as research samples with assets above IDR 50 Trillion. Hypothesis testing uses path analysis techniques. The results of this research indicate that TPF, BIC and NPL are partially and simultaneously influential and significant to the LDR, while TPF, BIC, NPL simultaneously also have an effect and significant effect on ROA, and LDR affects ROA but is not significant.

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