scholarly journals Assessment of land cover resolution impact on flood modeling uncertainty

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihui Fan ◽  
Majid Galoie ◽  
Artemis Motamedi ◽  
Jing Huang
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Cell Size ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Flood Modeling ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Scs Cn

Abstract The main objective of this paper is to evaluate the impact of land cover resolution, in comparison with the digital elevation model (DEM) resolution, on hydrological modeling outputs. Three different basins in the various resolutions of DEM (12.5, 25, 50, 100, 500 and 1,000 m) and land-use maps (250, 1,000 and 2,500 m) were collected in this study, and the hydrological modeling process was performed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The soil type resolution was 1,000 m for all basins, and the runoff modeling was done based on the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS-CN) method. The final model outputs showed that the DEM cell size variations affect significantly the topographical characteristics of a catchment such as area, mean slope, river network and time to concentration which alter the flood modeling outputs especially in hilly watersheds (mean slope more than 15%) up to 15% for a DEM cell size of 1,000 m in comparison to 12.5 m. Also, the resolution and spatial distribution of land cover maps which directly specify SCS-CN values, can change the output simulated runoff results up to 49% for a land cover cell size of 2,500 m in comparison to 250 m. These results indicated that the quality of the land cover map is more important than the quality of DEM in hydrological modeling. Also, the results showed that for an identical land-use cell size, the differences between model outputs using DEM cell sizes less than 100 m were not very significant. Furthermore, in all models by increasing the DEM cell size, the simulated runoff depth was decreased.

scholarly journals Avaliação de Impactos de Mudanças no Uso e Manejo do Solo Sobre as Vazões da Bacia Hidrográfica do Ribeirão José Pereira, Utilizando o Modelo Swat.

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 619
Author(s):  
Filipe Otávio Passos ◽  
Benedito Cláudio Da Silva ◽  
Fernando Das Graças Braga da Silva
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Water Source ◽  
Distributed Model ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water

Diversos processos naturais podem causar mudanças nos fluxos hidrológicos dentro de bacias hidrográficas, sendo estas ainda mais afetadas devido a ações antrópicas que mudem as suas características físicas, principalmente, o tipo e o uso do solo. Neste contexto, este trabalho apresenta uma calibração de um modelo de transformação chuva x vazão e posterior simulação para a estimativa das vazões na bacia hidrográfica do ribeirão José Pereira, em Itajubá, sul de Minas Gerais, utilizando o modelo distribuído Soil and Water Assessment Tool (Swat). Foram gerados cinco cenários de uso e ocupação do solo, que foram idealizados a partir de características observadas na bacia ou de tendências futuras de ocupação, a saber, o cenário do estado atual, de manejo do solo, de recuperação das áreas de preservação permanente (APPs) de margens de rios, de substituição total por floresta e de crescimento urbano. Os resultados indicam que o modelo Swat pode ser utilizado na simulação das componentes hidrológicas de bacias hidrográficas de pequeno porte, e ainda que o manejo agrícola e o reflorestamento da bacia são mais eficientes na diminuição do escoamento superficial do que a recuperação das APPs, chegando a uma diminuição de aproximadamente 40% nas vazões máximas simuladas. Impact Assessment of Changes in Land Use and Management on the Losses of the Water Source of the José Pereira Stream, Using the SWAT Model A B S T R A C TSeveral natural processes can cause changes in hydrological flows within hydrographic basins, which are even more affected due to anthropic actions that change their physical characteristics, mainly, the type and use of the soil. In this context, this work carries out an analysis of the impact on the flows of a small-scale hydrographic basin (River José Pereira) due to changes in land use and occupation, using the distributed model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Five land use and occupation scenarios were generated, which were designed based on characteristics observed in the basin or future occupation trends, namely, the current state scenario, soil management, recovery of permanent preservation areas (APPs) of river banks, total replacement by forest and urban growth. The results indicate that the SWAT model can be used in the simulation of the hydrological components of small hydrographic basins, and that agricultural management and reforestation of the basin are more efficient in reducing runoff than the recovery of APPs, reaching a decrease of approximately 40% in the maximum simulated flows.Keywords: hydrological modeling, rainfall, SWAT, land use and occupation.

scholarly journals A Review of SWAT Model Application in Africa

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1313
Author(s):  
George Akoko ◽  
Tu Hoang Le ◽  
Takashi Gomi ◽  
Tasuku Kato
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Mitigation Measures ◽  
Model Parameterization ◽  
Basin Scale

The soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) is a well-known hydrological modeling tool that has been applied in various hydrologic and environmental simulations. A total of 206 studies over a 15-year period (2005–2019) were identified from various peer-reviewed scientific journals listed on the SWAT website database, which is supported by the Centre for Agricultural and Rural Development (CARD). These studies were categorized into five areas, namely applications considering: water resources and streamflow, erosion and sedimentation, land-use management and agricultural-related contexts, climate-change contexts, and model parameterization and dataset inputs. Water resources studies were applied to understand hydrological processes and responses in various river basins. Land-use and agriculture-related context studies mainly analyzed impacts and mitigation measures on the environment and provided insights into better environmental management. Erosion and sedimentation studies using the SWAT model were done to quantify sediment yield and evaluate soil conservation measures. Climate-change context studies mainly demonstrated streamflow sensitivity to weather changes. The model parameterization studies highlighted parameter selection in streamflow analysis, model improvements, and basin scale calibrations. Dataset inputs mainly compared simulations with rain-gauge and global rainfall data sources. The challenges and advantages of the SWAT model’s applications, which range from data availability and prediction uncertainties to the model’s capability in various applications, are highlighted. Discussions on considerations for future simulations such as data sharing, and potential for better future analysis are also highlighted. Increased efforts in local data availability and a multidimensional approach in future simulations are recommended.

scholarly journals Evaluating and Predicting the Effects of Land Use Changes on Hydrology in Wami River Basin, Tanzania

Hydrology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sekela Twisa ◽  
Shija Kazumba ◽  
Mathew Kurian ◽  
Manfred F. Buchroithner
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
River System ◽  
Least Squares Regression ◽  
Natural Forests ◽  
The Impact

Understanding the variation in the hydrological response of a basin associated with land use changes is essential for developing management strategies for water resources. The impact of hydrological changes caused by expected land use changes may be severe for the Wami river system, given its role as a crucial area for water, providing food and livelihoods. The objective of this study is to examine the influence of land use changes on various elements of the hydrological processes of the basin. Hybrid classification, which includes unsupervised and supervised classification techniques, is used to process the images (2000 and 2016), while CA–Markov chain analysis is used to forecast and simulate the 2032 land use state. In the current study, a combined approach—including a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model and Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR)—is used to explore the influences of individual land use classes on fluctuations in the hydrological components. From the study, it is evident that land use has changed across the basin since 2000 (which is expected to continue in 2032), as well as that the hydrological effects caused by land use changes were observed. It has been found that the major land use changes that affected hydrology components in the basin were expansion of cultivation land, built-up area and grassland, and decline in natural forests and woodland during the study period. These findings provide baseline information for decision-makers and stakeholders concerning land and water resources for better planning and management decisions in the basin resources’ use.

scholarly journals Analysis of Changes in Land Use/Land Cover and Hydrological Processes Caused by Earthquakes in the Atsuma River Basin in Japan

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13041
Author(s):  
Yuechao Chen ◽  
Makoto Nakatsugawa
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Sediment Transport ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Sediment Transportation ◽  
Bare Land ◽  
Safety And Stability

The 2018 Hokkaido Eastern Iburi earthquake and its landslides threaten the safety and stability of the Atsuma River basin. This study investigates land use and land cover (LULC) change by analyzing the 2015 and 2020 LULC maps of the basin, and its impact on runoff and sediment transport in the basin by using the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) model to accurately simulate the runoff and sediment transport process. This study finds that the earthquake and landslide transformed nearly 10% of the forest into bare land in the basin. The simulation results showed that the runoff, which was simulated based on the 2020 LULC data, was slightly higher than that based on the 2015 LULC data, and the sediment transport after the earthquake is significantly higher than before. The rate of sediment transportation after the earthquake, adjusted according to the runoff, was about 3.42 times more than before. This shows that as the forest land decreased, the bare land increased. Conversely, the runoff increased slightly, whereas the sediment transport rate increased significantly in the Atsuma River basin after the earthquake. In future, active governance activities performed by humans can reduce the amount of sediment transport in the basin.

scholarly journals Assessment of the Impact of Land Cover Type on the Water Quality in Lake Tondano Using a SWAT Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moh Sholichin ◽  
Tri Budi Prayogo
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Organic N ◽  
Lake Water Quality ◽  
Total N ◽  
The Impact

Lake Tondano is the largest natural lake in North Sulawesi, Indonesia, which functions as a provider of clean water, hydroelectric power, rice field irrigation, inland fisheries, and tourism. This research aims to determine the effect of land cover types from the Tondano watershed on the lake water quality. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to evaluate the rate of soil erosion and the pollutant load of various land types in the watershed during the last ten years. Rainfall data is obtained from two rainfall stations, namely Paleloan Station and Noonan Station. The model is calibrated and validated before being used for analysis. We use climatological data from 2014 to 2019. The process of the SWAT model calibration and validation was carried out with the statistical formulas of the coefficient of determination (R2) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). The results show that the potential for pollution load from the Tondao watershed is organic N of 0.039 kg/ha and organic P of 0.006 kg/ha coming from the agricultural land. The results of this study conclude that the fertility conditions of Lake Tondano are at the eutrophic level, where the pollutant inflow is collected in the lake waters, especially for the parameters of total N (1503697.44kg/year) and total P (144831.36kg/year). The SWAT simulation results show deviation between the modeling and field data collected with the value of R2 = 0.9303, and the significant level ≤ 10.

scholarly journals Land Use/Land Cover Change Impact on Hydrological Process in the Upper Baro Basin, Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Tewodros Getu Engida ◽  
Tewodros Assefa Nigussie ◽  
Abreham Berta Aneseyee ◽  
John Barnabas
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Cover ◽  
Agricultural Land ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
The United States ◽  
United States Geological Survey ◽  
Hydrological Process ◽  
Land Use Land Cover ◽  
Validation Period ◽  
The Impact

Understanding the hydrological process associated with Land Use/Land Cover (LU/LC) change is vital for decision-makers in improving human wellbeing. LU/LC change significantly affects the hydrology of the landscape, caused by anthropogenic activities. The scope of this study is to investigate the impact of LU/LC change on the hydrological process of Upper Baro Basin for the years 1987, 2002, and 2017. The Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used for the simulation of the streamflow. The required data for the SWAT model are soils obtained from the Food and Agriculture Organization; Digital Elevation Model (DEM) and LU/LC were obtained from the United States Geological Survey (USGS). The meteorological data such as Rainfall, Temperature, Sunshine, Humidity, and Wind Speeds were obtained from the Ethiopian National Meteorological Agency. Data on discharge were obtained from Ministry of Water, Irrigation and Electricity. Ecosystems are deemed vital. Landsat images were used to classify the LU/LC pattern using ERDAS Imagine 2014 software and the LU/LC were classified using the Maximum Likelihood Algorithm of Supervised Classification. The Sequential Uncertainty Fitting (SUFI-2) global sensitivity method within SWAT Calibration and Uncertainty Procedures (SWAT-CUP) was used to identify the most sensitive streamflow parameters. The calibration was carried out using observed streamflow data from 01 January 1990 to 31 December 2002 and a validation period from 01 January 2003 to 31 December 2009. LU/LC analysis shows that there was a drastic decrease of grassland by 15.64% and shrubland by 9.56% while an increase of agricultural land and settlement by 18.01% and 13.01%, respectively, for 30 years. The evaluation of the SWAT model presented that the annual surface runoff increased by 43.53 mm, groundwater flow declined by 27.58 mm, and lateral flow declined by 5.63 mm. The model results showed that the streamflow characteristics changed due to the LU/LC change during the study periods 1987–2017 such as change of flood frequency, increased peak flows, base flow, soil erosion, and annual mean discharge. Curve number, an available water capacity of the soil layer, and soil evaporation composition factor were the most sensitive parameters identified for the streamflow. Both the calibration and validation results disclosed a good agreement between measured and simulated streamflow. The performance of the model statistical test shows the coefficient of determination (R2) and Nash–Sutcliffe (NS) efficiency values 0.87 and 0.81 for calibration periods of 1990–2002 and 0.84 and 0.76 for the validation period of 2003 to 2009, respectively. Overall, LU/LC significantly affected the hydrological condition of the watershed. Therefore, different conservation strategies to maintain the stability and resilience of the ecosystem are vital.

scholarly journals Assessment of land-use change on streamflow using GIS, remote sensing and a physically-based model, SWAT

2014 ◽  
Vol 364 ◽  
pp. 38-43 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Y. G. Dos Santos ◽  
R. M. Da Silva ◽  
J. G. Carvalho Neto ◽  
S. M. G. L. Montenegro ◽  
C. A. G. Santos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Northeastern Brazil ◽  
Monthly Basis ◽  
Model Response ◽  
Compensation Factor ◽  
Physically Based ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. This study aims to assess the impact of the land-use changes between the periods 1967−1974 and 1997−2008 on the streamflow of Tapacurá catchment (northeastern Brazil) using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. The results show that the most sensitive parameters were the baseflow, Manning factor, time of concentration and soil evaporation compensation factor, which affect the catchment hydrology. The model calibration and validation were performed on a monthly basis, and the streamflow simulation showed a good level of accuracy for both periods. The obtained R2 and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency values for each period were respectively 0.82 and 0.81 for 1967−1974, and 0.93 and 0.92 for the period 1997−2008. The evaluation of the SWAT model response to the land cover has shown that the mean monthly flow, during the rainy seasons for 1967−1974, decreased when compared to 1997−2008.

scholarly journals Analyzing the impacts of climate and land use changes on the water quality in the 3S river basin

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 125-131
Author(s):  
Loi Thi Pham ◽  
Khoi Nguyen Dao
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Quality ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
River Basin ◽  
Water Resource Management ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
The Impact

Assessing water resources under the influence of environmental change have gained attentions of scientists. The objective of this study was to analyze the impacts of land use change and climate change on water resources in terms quantity and quality in the 3S basin in the period 1981–2008 by using hydrological modeling (SWAT model). The results showed that streamflow and water quality (TSS, T-N, and T-P) tend to increase under individual and combined effects of climate change and land use change. In addition, the impact of land use change on the flow was smaller than the climate change impact. However, water balance components and water quality were equally affected by two factors of climate change and land use change. In general, the results of this study could serve as a reference for water resource management and planning in the river basin.

scholarly journals MODEL OF CLIMATE AND LAND-USE CHANGES IMPACT ON WATER SECURITY IN AMBON CITY, INDONESIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roland Alexander Barkey ◽  
Muh Faisal Mappiasse ◽  
Munajat Nursaputra
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Water Availability ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Water Security ◽  
Forest Area ◽  
Residential Areas ◽  
The Impact

Ambon City is the center of national activities in Maluku province, established under Presidential Decree 77 issued in 2014 about spatial planning of Maluku Islands. Ambon is a strategic region in terms of development in agriculture and fisheries sectors. Development of the region caused this area to be extremely vulnerable to the issues on water security. Seven watersheds which are Air Manis, Hutumury, Passo, Tulehu, Wae Batu Merah, Wae Lela and Wae Sikula affect the water system in Ambon City. Therefore, this study was conducted to determine the impact of climate and land use change on water availability in seven watersheds in Ambon City. The analysis was performed using a Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) Model in order to analyze climate changes on the period of 1987-1996 (past), of 2004-2013 (present) and climate projection on the period 2035s (future) and equally to analyze land use data in 1996 and 2014. The results of the research indicated that land use in the study area has changed since 1996 to 2014. Forest area decreased around 32.45%, while residential areas and agriculture land increased 56.01% and 19.80%, respectively. The results of SWAT model presented the water availability amount to 1127.01 million m3/year on the period of 1987-1996. During the period of 2004-2013, it has been reduced to 1,076.55 million m3/year (around 4.48% decrease). The results of the prediction of future water availability in the period of 2035s estimated a decrease of water availability around 4.69% (1,026.09 million m3/year). Land use and climate change have greatly contributed to the water availability in seven watersheds of Ambon City. Ambon City is in need of land use planning especially the application of spatial plan. The maintenance of forest area is indispensable. In built-up areas, it is essential to implement green space and water harvesting in order to secure water availability in the future.

scholarly journals ANÁLISE DE SENSIBILIDADE DE PARÂMETROS HIDROLÓGICOS NA BACIA DO RIO DAS PEDRAS - GUARAPUAVA-PR

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 1746
Author(s):  
Rafael Adriano de Castro Adriano de Castro ◽  
Elias Machado
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Assessment Tool ◽  
Swat Model ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Land Use And Management ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Water Assessment ◽  
Soil And Water

O modelo Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) é amplamente utilizado para predizer o impacto das alterações no uso e no manejo do solo, entre outros, é extremamente sensível à qualidade dos dados de entrada.  Assim, antes da simulação é necessário que se realize uma análise de sensibilidade de tal forma que se possa dar ênfase maior à aquisição e refinamento de determinados dados, diminuir as incertezas e aumentar a confiança nos resultados gerados. Os resultados simulados na bacia do Rio das Pedras – Guarapuava, foram realizadas a análise de sensibilidade e a calibração do modelo SWAT. Após a calibração do modelo os resultados do Índice de Nash & Sutcliffe alterado (COE), do percentual de tendência (PBIAS), e o coeficiente de determinação (R²) foram, respectivamente, 0,69, -0,5 e 0,7, indicando bom ajuste entre a vazão média mensal da bacia Rio das Pedras simulada pelo modelo SWAT em relação aos dados observados.  Sensitivity analysis of hydrological parameters in the Rio das Pedras basin - Guarapuava-PR A B S T R A C TThe SWAT model is widely used to predict the impact of changes in land use and management, among others, is extremely sensitive to the quality of input data. Thus, prior to the simulation, it is necessary to perform a sensitivity analysis in such a way that greater emphasis can be placed on the acquisition and refinement of certain data, decrease uncertainties and increase confidence in the results generated. The simulated results in the Rio das Pedras - Guarapuava basin, were performed the sensitivity analysis and calibration of the SWAT model. After the calibration of the model, the results of the modified Nash & Sutcliffe Index (COE), percentage of trend (PBIAS), and coefficient of determination (R²) were, respectively, 0.69, -0.5 and 0.7, Indicating a good fit between the average monthly flow of the Rio das Pedras basin simulated by the SWAT model in relation to the observed data. 

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