scholarly journals Understanding nitrogen transport in the unsaturated zone with fluctuations in groundwater depth

Author(s):  
Jianmin Bian ◽  
Qian Wang ◽  
Siyu Nie ◽  
Hanli Wan ◽  
Juanjuan Wu

Abstract Fluctuations in groundwater depth play an important role and are often overlooked when considering the transport of nitrogen in the unsaturated zone. To evaluate directly the variation of nitrogen transport due to fluctuations in groundwater depth, the prediction model of groundwater depth and nitrogen transport were combined and applied by least squares support vector machine and Hydrus-1D in the western irrigation area of Jilin in China. The calibration and testing results showed the prediction models were reliable. Considering different groundwater depth, the concentration of nitrogen was affected significantly with a groundwater depth of 3.42–1.71 m, while it was not affected with groundwater depth of 5.48–6.47 m. The total leaching loss of nitrogen gradually increased with the continuous decrease of groundwater depth. Furthermore, the limited groundwater depth of 1.7 m was found to reduce the risk of nitrogen pollution. This paper systematically analyzes the relationship between groundwater depth and nitrogen transport to form appropriate agriculture strategies.

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 168781401879916 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Chen ◽  
Li Zu ◽  
Li Wang

Ball screw is a mechanical device widely used in mechanical field. The reverse clearance of ball screw will reduce its precision. In order to eliminate the reverse clearance, it is necessary to apply preload to the ball screw. It is very difficult to measure the preload in real time, and the data are large and time-consuming. By using machine learning method to predict and supervise preload, the changing trend of working condition of ball screw can be evaluated in advance, and the working precision of screw is controlled, which has important engineering significance. In this article, the relationship between the preload and the friction torque is obtained through theoretical derivation and experimental verification. Then, the support vector machine is used as a tool to model the friction torque of ball screw with the parameters of material, lubrication, and revolution, and predict the value and trend of preload to complete the supervision and prediction of the preload of the ball screw. By comparing the experimental results, it is proved that the support vector machine is feasible in predicting and supervising the attenuation of the preload of ball screw.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lance F Merrick ◽  
Dennis N Lozada ◽  
Xianming Chen ◽  
Arron H Carter

Most genomic prediction models are linear regression models that assume continuous and normally distributed phenotypes, but responses to diseases such as stripe rust (caused by Puccinia striiformis f. sp. tritici) are commonly recorded in ordinal scales and percentages. Disease severity (SEV) and infection type (IT) data in germplasm screening nurseries generally do not follow these assumptions. On this regard, researchers may ignore the lack of normality, transform the phenotypes, use generalized linear models, or use supervised learning algorithms and classification models with no restriction on the distribution of response variables, which are less sensitive when modeling ordinal scores. The goal of this research was to compare classification and regression genomic selection models for skewed phenotypes using stripe rust SEV and IT in winter wheat. We extensively compared both regression and classification prediction models using two training populations composed of breeding lines phenotyped in four years (2016-2018, and 2020) and a diversity panel phenotyped in four years (2013-2016). The prediction models used 19,861 genotyping-by-sequencing single-nucleotide polymorphism markers. Overall, square root transformed phenotypes using rrBLUP and support vector machine regression models displayed the highest combination of accuracy and relative efficiency across the regression and classification models. Further, a classification system based on support vector machine and ordinal Bayesian models with a 2-Class scale for SEV reached the highest class accuracy of 0.99. This study showed that breeders can use linear and non-parametric regression models within their own breeding lines over combined years to accurately predict skewed phenotypes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanyou Xu ◽  
Andreomar Kurek ◽  
Steven B. Cannon ◽  
Williams D. Beavis

AbstractSelection of markers linked to alleles at quantitative trait loci (QTL) for tolerance to Iron Deficiency Chlorosis (IDC) has not been successful. Genomic selection has been advocated for continuous numeric traits such as yield and plant height. For ordinal data types such as IDC, genomic prediction models have not been systematically compared. The objectives of research reported in this manuscript were to evaluate the most commonly used genomic prediction method, ridge regression and it’s equivalent logistic ridge regression method, with algorithmic modeling methods including random forest, gradient boosting, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbors, Naïve Bayes, and artificial neural network using the usual comparator metric of prediction accuracy. In addition we compared the methods using metrics of greater importance for decisions about selecting and culling lines for use in variety development and genetic improvement projects. These metrics include specificity, sensitivity, precision, decision accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. We found that Support Vector Machine provided the best specificity for culling IDC susceptible lines, while Random Forest GP models provided the best combined set of decision metrics for retaining IDC tolerant and culling IDC susceptible lines.


Electronics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (12) ◽  
pp. 381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yaping Liao ◽  
Junyou Zhang ◽  
Shufeng Wang ◽  
Sixian Li ◽  
Jian Han

Motor vehicle crashes remain a leading cause of life and property loss to society. Autonomous vehicles can mitigate the losses by making appropriate emergency decision, and the crash injury severity prediction model is the basis for autonomous vehicles to make decisions in emergency situations. In this paper, based on the support vector machine (SVM) model and NASS/GES crash data, three SVM crash injury severity prediction models (B-SVM, T-SVM, and BT-SVM) corresponding to braking, turning, and braking + turning respectively are established. The vehicle relative speed (REL_SPEED) and the gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) are introduced into the impact indicators of the prediction models. Secondly, the ordered logit (OL) and back propagation neural network (BPNN) models are established to validate the accuracy of the SVM models. The results show that the SVM models have the best performance than the other two. Next, the impact of REL_SPEED and GVWR on injury severity is analyzed quantitatively by the sensitivity analysis, the results demonstrate that the increase of REL_SPEED and GVWR will make vehicle crash more serious. Finally, the same crash samples under normal road and environmental conditions are input into B-SVM, T-SVM, and BT-SVM respectively, the output results are compared and analyzed. The results show that with other conditions being the same, as the REL_SPEED increased from the low (0–20 mph) to middle (20–45 mph) and then to the high range (45–75 mph), the best emergency decision with the minimum crash injury severity will gradually transition from braking to turning and then to braking + turning.


Author(s):  
Xiue Gao ◽  
Wenxue Xie ◽  
Shifeng Chen ◽  
Junjie Yang ◽  
Bo Chen

Background: Abdominal adiposity is an important risk factor of chronic cardiovascular diseases, thus the prediction of abdominal adiposity and obesity can reduce the risks of contracting such diseases. However, the current prediction models display low accuracy and high sample size dependence. The purpose of this study is to put forward a new prediction method based on an improved support vector machine (SVM) to solve these problems. Methods: A total of 200 individuals participated in this study and were further divided into a modeling group and a test group. Their physiological parameters (height, weight, age, the four parameters of abdominal impedance and body fat mass) were measured using the body composition tester (the universal INBODY measurement device) based on BIA. Intelligent algorithms were used in the modeling group to build predictive models and the test group was used in model performance evaluation. Firstly, the optimal boundary C and parameter gamma were optimized by the particle swarm algorithm. We then developed an algorithm to classify human abdominal adiposity according to the parameter setup of the SVM algorithm and constructed the prediction model using this algorithm. Finally, we designed experiments to compare the performances of the proposed method and the other methods. Results: There are different abdominal obesity prediction models in the 1 KHz and 250 KHz frequency bands. The experimental data demonstrates that for the frequency band of 250 KHz, the proposed method can reduce the false classification rate by 10.7%, 15%, and 33% in relation to the sole SVM algorithm, the regression model, and the waistline measurement model, respectively. For the frequency band of 1 KHz, the proposed model is still more accurate. (4) Conclusions: The proposed method effectively improves the prediction accuracy and reduces the sample size dependence of the algorithm, which can provide a reference for abdominal obesity.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4083-4102
Author(s):  
Abelardo Montesinos-López ◽  
Humberto Gutierrez-Pulido ◽  
Osval Antonio Montesinos-López ◽  
José Crossa

Due to the ever-increasing data collected in genomic breeding programs, there is a need for genomic prediction models that can deal better with big data. For this reason, here we propose a Maximum a posteriori Threshold Genomic Prediction (MAPT) model for ordinal traits that is more efficient than the conventional Bayesian Threshold Genomic Prediction model for ordinal traits. The MAPT performs the predictions of the Threshold Genomic Prediction model by using the maximum a posteriori estimation of the parameters, that is, the values of the parameters that maximize the joint posterior density. We compared the prediction performance of the proposed MAPT to the conventional Bayesian Threshold Genomic Prediction model, the multinomial Ridge regression and support vector machine on 8 real data sets. We found that the proposed MAPT was competitive with regard to the multinomial and support vector machine models in terms of prediction performance, and slightly better than the conventional Bayesian Threshold Genomic Prediction model. With regard to the implementation time, we found that in general the MAPT and the support vector machine were the best, while the slowest was the multinomial Ridge regression model. However, it is important to point out that the successful implementation of the proposed MAPT model depends on the informative priors used to avoid underestimation of variance components.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong-chun Cheng ◽  
Peng Zhang ◽  
Yu-bo Jiao ◽  
Ye-dan Wang ◽  
Jing-lin Tao

In order to accurately simulate the performance changes of asphalt pavement in the hot rainy days, laboratory water-temperature-radiation cycle test is designed and carried out for the damage simulation of asphalt mixture under the environmental effect of rain, high temperatures, and sunshine. Ultrasonic detection method is used to determine the ultrasonic velocity of asphalt mixture specimen under different temperatures and water contents in the process of water-temperature-radiation cycles. Thus, we get the preliminary damage assessment. Splitting strength attenuation is defined as the damage parameter. In addition, the regression prediction models of the ultrasonic velocity and damage coefficient of asphalt mixture are constructed using the grey theory, neural network method, and support vector machine theory, respectively. We compare the prediction results of the three different models. It can be concluded that the model derived from the support vector machine possesses higher accuracy and stability, which can more satisfactorily reflect the relationship between ultrasonic velocity and damage coefficient. Therefore, the damage degree of the asphalt mixture can be obtained.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Fangfang Wang ◽  
Yerong Zhang ◽  
Huamei Zhang

One of the main challenges in through-wall imaging (TWI) is the presence of the walls, whose returns tend to obscure the target behind the walls and must be considered and computed in the imaging procedure. In this paper, a two-step procedure for the through-wall detection is proposed. Firstly, an effective clutter mitigation method based on singular value decomposition (SVD) is used. It does not require knowledge of the background scene or rely on accurate modeling and estimation of wall parameters. Then, TWI problem is cast as a regression one and solved by means of least-squares support vector machine (LS-SVM). The complex scattering process due to the presence of the walls is automatically included in the nonlinear relationship between the feature vector extracted from the target scattered fields and the position of the target. The relationship is obtained through a training phase using LS-SVM. Simulated results show that the proposed approach is effective. We also analyze the impacts of training samples and signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) on test detection accuracy. Simulated results reveal that the proposed LS-SVM based approach can provide comparative performances in terms of accuracy, convergence, robustness, and generalization in comparison with the support vector machine (SVM) based approach.


2014 ◽  
Vol 635-637 ◽  
pp. 1618-1623
Author(s):  
Yue Dan Wang ◽  
Chun Xiang Li

With the rapid development of information science and technology, data-driven approaches are already being the research tide in many fields. BP neural network (BPNN), support vector machine (SVM) and least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) are introduced and adopted to simulate fluctuating time-series wind speeds in this paper. The regression-prediction models developed by implementing machine interpolation learning are established respectively. And the original speeds used as learning and forecast samples for the simulation of the data-driven approaches are obtained through AR numerical modeling. Based on the comparison of evaluation index, the results show that the simulated fluctuating wind speeds through SVM and LS-SVM are more accurate than the simulated speeds through BPNN, but the simulation time of LS-SVM and BPNN are shorter than the SVM.


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