Predictors of mortality within the first year post-hepatectomy for hepatocellular carcinoma (Preprint)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanaa Sheriff ◽  
Sudharsan Madhavan ◽  
Geraldine Lei ◽  
Yiong H. Chan ◽  
Sameer P Junnarkar ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND Hepatic resection (HR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is safe with good perioperative and long-term oncologic outcomes. There is a paucity of data with regards to intermediate-term outcomes, i.e. beyond 90-day and within one-year mortality. OBJECTIVE This paper studies the risk factors for within one-year mortality after elective HR with curative intent in patients with HCC. METHODS An audit of patients who underwent curative HR for HCC from January 2007 to April 2016 was conducted. Univariate and multivariate analysis were sequentially performed on perioperative variables using Cox-regression analysis to identify factors predicting intermediate-term outcomes defined as within one-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and hazard ratios were obtained. RESULTS 348 patients underwent HR during the study period and 163 patients had curative hepatectomy for HCC. 15 patients (9.2%) died within one-year after HR. Multivariate analysis identified Child-Pugh class B/C [HR 5.5, p=0.035], multinodularity [HR 7.1, p=0.001], macrovascular invasion [HR 4.2, p=0.04] post-operative acute renal failure [HR 5.8, p=0.049] and post-hepatic liver failure [HR 9.6, p=0.009] as significant predictors of one-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS One-year mortality following HR for HCC remains high and can be predicted preoperatively by multinodularity, Child-Pugh class, and macrovascular invasion. Postoperative acute renal failure and liver failure are associated with one-year mortality.

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Liu ◽  
Cheng Zhang ◽  
Yan Zhao ◽  
Xingshun Qi ◽  
Hui Chen ◽  
...  

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) could achieve a better survival benefit than conservative treatment for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT). In this retrospective study, all HCC patients with Child-Pugh score <7 and PVTT who were consecutively admitted to our center between January 2006 and June 2012 and underwent TACE were enrolled. The efficacy and safety of TACE were analyzed. Prognostic factors were determined by Cox regression analysis. Of the 188 patients included, 89% had hepatitis B virus infection, 100% were at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage C, and 81% (n=152) and 19% (n=36) were at Child-Pugh classes A and B, respectively. The incidence of procedure-related complications was 88%. No procedure-related death was found. The median overall survival was 6.1 months. Type of PVTT (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.806), number of tumor lesions (HR = 2.288), Child-Pugh class (HR = 2.981), and presence of metastasis (HR = 1.909) were the independent predictors of survival. In conclusion, TACE could be selectively used for the treatment of advanced HCC with PVTT. But a high rate of postoperative adverse events should not be undermined in spite of no procedure-related death. Preoperative type of PVTT, number of tumor lesions, Child-Pugh class, and metastasis could predict the prognosis of these patients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 428
Author(s):  
Ji Hoon Sim ◽  
In-Gu Jun ◽  
Young-Jin Moon ◽  
A Rom Jeon ◽  
Sung-Hoon Kim ◽  
...  

Various biological indicators are reportedly associated with postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in the surgical treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, only a few studies have evaluated the association between the preoperative prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and postoperative AKI. This study evaluated the association of the preoperative PNI and postoperative AKI in HCC patients. We retrospectively analyzed 817 patients who underwent open hepatectomy between December 2007 and December 2015. Multivariate regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association between the PNI and postoperative AKI. Additionally, we evaluated the association between the PNI and outcomes such as postoperative renal replacement therapy (RRT) and mortality. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the risk factors for one-year and five-year mortality. In the multivariate analysis, high preoperative PNI was significantly associated with a lower incidence of postoperative AKI (odds ratio (OR): 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85 to 0.99, p = 0.021). Additionally, diabetes mellitus and the use of synthetic colloids were significantly associated with postoperative AKI. PNI was associated with postoperative RRT (OR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.60 to 0.98, p = 0.032) even after adjusting for other potential confounding variables. In the Cox regression analysis, high PNI was significantly associated with low one-year mortality (Hazard ratio (HR): 0.87, 95% CI: 0.81 to 0.94, p < 0.001), and five-year mortality (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90–0.97, p < 0.001). High preoperative PNI was significantly associated with a lower incidence of postoperative AKI and low mortality. These results suggest that the preoperative PNI might be a predictor of postoperative AKI and surgical prognosis in HCC patients undergoing open hepatectomy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 292-292
Author(s):  
Yoshiyuki Miyazawa ◽  
Nobuaki Shimizu ◽  
Yutaka Takezawa ◽  
Toshiyuki Nakamura ◽  
Takeshi Miyao ◽  
...  

292 Background: Recent studies have shown that an early PSA response to AR-targeting agents in mCRPC is associated with a better prognosis. We analyzed the early PSA response to enzalutamide (ENZ) by measuring the PSA doubling time (PSADT) and PSA Velocity while monitoring oncologic outcomes and survival in Japanese patients. Methods: A total of 241 patients with mCRPC treated with ENZ were analyzed. Patients’ median age is 75±7.9 (range 53-93). The patients pre-docetaxel settings were 171 cases (71 %), post-docetaxel settings were 70 cases (29 %). The PSA-PFS and OS were assessed according to PCWG2 criteria. This study was approved by the institutional review board of Gunma University Hospital (No.1595). Results: A case where PSA did not decline at all was defined as Primary Resistance (PR). A case in which PSA once declined after treatment but then progressed was defined as Acquired Resistance (AR). Those in which PSA remained low after treatment were defined as Good Response (GR). We observed 77 PR cases (31.9 %), 125 AR cases (51.9 %) and 39 GR cases (16.2 %).PSA-PFS and OS pre-docetaxel were significantly increased as compared to patients’ post-docetaxcel (PSA-PFS; 47.0 wks vs. 13.4 wks p < 0.001, OS; Not Yet Reached vs. 80.7 wks p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors, including the PSA response at 4 weeks, was performed using a Cox regression analysis. The PS (0 or 1-2), Hb (≧11.4 or < 11.4), time to CRPC(≧12 m or < 12 m), docetaxel treatment history (none or done) and a PSA decrease of 50% at 4 weeks were all significant factors for the prediction of OS (all variables, p < 0.05). In cases of acquired resistance (n = 125), a multivariate analysis using PSA kinetics factors such as PSADT and PSA Velocity (ng/mL/month) at PSA progression, Hb, time to CRPC(≧12 m or < 12 m), PSADT (≧2 months or < 2 months) and PSA Velocity ( < 20 ng/mL/month or≧20 ng/mL/month), were all factors predicting OS following PSA progression (p < 0.05). Conclusions: Our study has demonstrated that PSA dynamics after ENZ administration may be a useful prognostication factor for mCRPC patients.


Author(s):  
Philip J. Johnson ◽  
Sofi Dhanaraj ◽  
Sarah Berhane ◽  
Laura Bonnett ◽  
Yuk Ting Ma

Abstract Background The neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a presumed measure of the balance between neutrophil-associated pro-tumour inflammation and lymphocyte-dependent antitumour immune function, has been suggested as a prognostic factor for several cancers, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods In this study, a prospectively accrued cohort of 781 patients (493 HCC and 288 chronic liver disease (CLD) without HCC) were followed-up for more than 6 years. NLR levels between HCC and CLD patients were compared, and the effect of baseline NLR on overall survival amongst HCC patients was assessed via multivariable Cox regression analysis. Results On entry into the study (‘baseline’), there was no clinically significant difference in the NLR values between CLD and HCC patients. Amongst HCC patients, NLR levels closest to last visit/death were significantly higher compared to baseline. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that NLR was an independent prognostic factor, even after adjustment for the HCC stage. Conclusion NLR is a significant independent factor influencing survival in HCC patients, hence offering an additional dimension in prognostic models.


2009 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 62-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valentina Zipoli ◽  
Benedetta Goretti ◽  
Bahia Hakiki ◽  
Gianfranco Siracusa ◽  
Sandro Sorbi ◽  
...  

Significant cognitive impairment has been found in 20—30% of patients with clinically isolated syndromes suggestive of multiple sclerosis. In this study we aimed to assess the prognostic value of the presence of cognitive impairment for the conversion to multiple sclerosis in patients with clinically isolated syndromes. All patients with clinically isolated syndromes consecutively referred to our centre since 2002 and who had been followed-up for at least one year underwent cognitive assessment through the Rao’s Battery and the Stroop test. Possible predictors of conversion to clinically definite multiple sclerosis were evaluated through the Kaplan Meier curves and Cox regression analysis. A total of 56 patients (41 women; age 33.2 ± 8.5 years; expanded disability scale score 1.2 ± 0.7) were recruited. At baseline, 32 patients (57%) fulfilled McDonald’s criteria for dissemination in space. During the follow-up (3.5 ± 2.3 years), 26 patients (46%) converted to a diagnosis of multiple sclerosis. In particular, 64% of patients failing ≥ 2 tests and 88% of patients failing ≥ 3 tests converted to multiple sclerosis. In the Cox regression model, the failure of at least three tests (HR 3.3; 95% CI 1.4—8.1; p = 0.003) and the presence of McDonald’s dissemination in space at baseline (HR 3.8; 95% CI 1.5—9.7; p = 0.005), were found to be predictors for conversion to multiple sclerosis. We conclude that cognitive impairment is detectable in a sizable proportion of patients with clinically isolated syndromes. In these subjects cognitive impairment has a prognostic value in predicting conversion to multiple sclerosis and may therefore play a role in therapeutic decision making.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Shuai He ◽  
Jin-Feng Li ◽  
Hao Tian ◽  
Ye Sang ◽  
Xiao-Jing Yang ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND: Early recurrence is the main obstacle for long-term survival of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after curative resection. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop a long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) based signature to predict early recurrence. METHODS: Using bioinformatics analysis and quantitative reverse transcription PCR (RT-qPCR), we screened for lncRNA candidates that were abnormally expressed in HCC. The expression levels of candidate lncRNAs were analyzed in HCC tissues from 160 patients who underwent curative resection, and a risk model for the prediction of recurrence within 1 year (early recurrence) of HCCs was constructed with linear support vector machine (SVM). RESULTS: A lncRNA-based classifier (Clnc), which contained nine differentially expressed lncRNAs including AF339810, AK026286, BC020899, HEIH, HULC, MALAT1, PVT1, uc003fpg, and ZFAS1 was constructed. In the test set, this classifier reliably predicted early recurrence (AUC, 0.675; sensitivity, 72.0%; specificity, 63.1%) with an odds ratio of 4.390 (95% CI, 2.120–9.090). Clnc showed higher accuracy than traditional clinical features, including tumor size, portal vein tumor thrombus (PVTT) in predicting early recurrence (AUC, 0.675 vs 0.523 vs 0.541), and had much higher sensitivity than Barcelona Clinical Liver Cancer (BCLC; 72.0% vs 50.0%), albeit their AUCs were comparable (0.675 vs 0.678). Moreover, combining Clnc with BCLC significantly increased the AUC, compared with Clnc or BCLC alone in predicting early recurrence (all P< 0.05). Finally, logistic and Cox regression analysis suggested that Clnc was an independent prognostic factor and associated with the early recurrence and recurrence-free survival of HCC patients after resection, respectively (all P= 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our lncRNA-based classifier Clnc can predict early recurrence of patients undergoing surgical resection of HCC.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinxin Chen ◽  
Wenxia Qiu ◽  
Xuekun Xie ◽  
Zefeng Chen ◽  
Zhiwei Han ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: This work was designed to establish and verify our nomograms integrating clinicopathological characteristics with hematological biomarkers to predict both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in solitary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients following hepatectomy.Methods: We scrutinized the data retrospectively from 414 patients with a clinicopathological diagnosis of solitary HCC from Guangxi Medical University Cancer Hospital (Nanning, China) between January 2004 and December 2012. Following the random separation of the samples in a 7:3 ratio into the training set and validation set, the former set was assessed by Cox regression analysis to develop two nomograms to predict the 1-year and 3-year DFS and OS (3-years and 5-years). This was followed by discrimination and calibration estimation employing Harrell’s C-index (C-index) and calibration curves, while the internal validation was also assessed.Results: In the training cohort, the tumor diameter, tumor capsule, macrovascular invasion, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) were included in the DFS nomogram. Age, tumor diameter, tumor capsule, macrovascular invasion, microvascular invasion, and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) were included in the OS nomogram. The C-index was 0.691 (95% CI: 0.644-0.738) for the DFS-nomogram and 0.713 (95% CI: 0.670-0.756) for the OS-nomogram. The survival probability calibration curves displayed a fine agreement between the predicted and observed ranges in both data sets. Conclusion: Our nomograms combined clinicopathological features with hematological biomarkers to emerge effective in predicting the DFS and OS in solitary HCC patients following curative liver resection. Therefore, the potential utility of our nomograms for guiding individualized treatment clinically and monitor the recurrence monitoring in these patients.


Vascular ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 198-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bahare Fazeli ◽  
Hassan Ravari ◽  
Reza Assadi

The aim of this study was first to describe the natural history of Buerger's disease (BD) and then to discuss a clinical approach to this disease based on multivariate analysis. One hundred eight patients who corresponded with Shionoya's criteria were selected from 2000 to 2007 for this study. Major amputation was considered the ultimate adverse event. Survival analyses were performed by Kaplan–Meier curves. Independent variables including gender, duration of smoking, number of cigarettes smoked per day, minor amputation events and type of treatments, were determined by multivariate Cox regression analysis. The recorded data demonstrated that BD may present in four forms, including relapsing-remitting (75%), secondary progressive (4.6%), primary progressive (14.2%) and benign BD (6.2%). Most of the amputations occurred due to relapses within the six years after diagnosis of BD. In multivariate analysis, duration of smoking of more than 20 years had a significant relationship with further major amputation among patients with BD. Smoking cessation programs with experienced psychotherapists are strongly recommended for those areas in which Buerger's disease is common. Patients who have smoked for more than 20 years should be encouraged to quit smoking, but should also be recommended for more advanced treatment for limb salvage.


2006 ◽  
Vol 124 (5) ◽  
pp. 257-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geraldo Bezerra da Silva Júnior ◽  
Elizabeth De Francesco Daher ◽  
Rosa Maria Salani Mota ◽  
Francisco Albano Menezes

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE: Acute renal failure is a common medical problem, with a high mortality rate. The aim of this work was to investigate the risk factors for death among critically ill patients with acute renal failure. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective cohort at the intensive care unit of Hospital Universitário Walter Cantídio, Fortaleza. METHODS: Survivors and non-survivors were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to establish risk factors for death. RESULTS: Acute renal failure occurred in 128 patients (33.5%), with mean age of 49 ± 20 years (79 males; 62%). Death occurred in 80 (62.5%). The risk factors most frequently associated with death were hypotension, sepsis, nephrotoxic drug use, respiratory insufficiency, liver failure, hypovolemia, septic shock, multiple organ dysfunction, need for vasoactive drugs, need for mechanical ventilation, oliguria, hypoalbuminemia, metabolic acidosis and anemia. There were negative correlations between death and: prothrombin time, hematocrit, hemoglobin, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, arterial pH, arterial bicarbonate and urine volume. From multivariate analysis, the independent risk factors for death were: need for mechanical ventilation (OR = 3.15; p = 0.03), hypotension (OR = 3.48; p = 0.02), liver failure (OR = 5.37; p = 0.02), low arterial bicarbonate (OR = 0.85; p = 0.005), oliguria (OR = 3.36; p = 0.009), vasopressor use (OR = 4.83; p = 0.004) and sepsis (OR = 6.14; p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: There are significant risk factors for death among patients with acute renal failure in intensive care units, which need to be identified at an early stage for early treatment.


Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 5717-5717
Author(s):  
RAM V Nampoothiri ◽  
Arjun Law ◽  
Wilson Lam ◽  
Zeyad Al-Shaibani ◽  
David Loach ◽  
...  

Introduction Therapy related acute leukemias are late complications of treatment with mutagenic agents for both malignant and non-malignant disorders. The prevalence of therapy induced Acute lymphoblastic leukemia(t-ALL) is thought to be much less than that of t-AML/MDS, with our institute reporting a 6.9% prevalence of t-ALL among all patients of adult ALL. There is limited data on role of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) in t-ALL. Recent reports suggested comparable outcomes with de-novo ALL after allo-HSCT. We aim to report our 20-year experience of allo-HSCT in t-ALL. Patients and Methods We retrospectively reviewed all cases of t-ALL who underwent allo-HSCT at our centre from October 1998 to July 2019. Patients were analysed and compared for demographic features, prior malignancy and its treatment, latent period before ALL, clinical, cytogenetic and molecular characteristics of ALL, induction and consolidation treatment received, transplant details including donor details, conditioning regimens, GVHD prophylaxis as well as post-transplant complications (including transplant related mortality, occurrence and severity of acute and chronic GVHD, CMV and EBV reactivations), relapse rate, relapse free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS). Predictors of survival were calculated by Cox-Regression Analysis. Results A total of 18 patients underwent allo-HSCT for t-ALL. M:F ratio was 1:1. Median age at allo-HSCT was 44 years (range 20-70 years). Baseline characteristics, prior malignancy and treatment received are summarized in Table 1. Median latent period from prior malignancy to diagnosis of ALL was 44.8 months (range 6-157 months). Complex cytogenetics was present in 16.7% patients (n=3) while 11q23 rearrangement (KMT2A-MLL) and t(9;22) rearrangement was seen in 33.3% (n=6) and 22.2% (n=4) patients respectively. Median time to allo-HSCT from diagnosis of t-ALL was 5 months. Stem cell donors were matched related, matched unrelated and haplo-identical in 27.8% (n=5), 55.6% (n=10), and 16.7% (n=3) patients, respectively. Conditioning regimen was myeloablative in 44.4% (n=8) patients and reduced intensity in 55.6% (n=10) patients. GVHD Prophylaxis used was ATG-CSA-PTCy in 50% (n=9) patients, CSA/MMF in 22.2% (n=4) patients, and other regimens in 27.8% (n=5) patients. Post HSCT CMV and EBV virus reactivation occurred in- 33.3% (n=6) and 47.1% (n=8) patients, respectively. Acute GVHD (any grade) occurred in 70.6% (n = 12) while chronic GVHD (any grade) occurred in 31.3% (n=5) patients. Transplant related mortality (Death before day 100) occurred in 27.8% (n=5) patients. Four (22.2%) patients relapsed. Median RFS was 4 months (Range 0.5-194 months) while median OS was 5.88 months (Range 0.5-194 months) (Figure 1a&b). One patient (5.5%) had relapse of their primary malignancy (CA Breast) 12 years after allo-HSCT. One year RFS and OS for all patients (excluding patients who have not completed one year of followup after HSCT but have not relapsed or died) was 43.8% and 46.7% respectively. None of the basic disease characteristics, treatment characteristics, or transplant or post-transplant parameters including donor type, conditioning received, GVHD prophylaxis used, occurrence of Acute or chronic GVHD etc. were significantly predictive of OS and RFS on Cox-Regression analysis, though the analysis is limited by the small sample size. Conclusions Therapy related ALL is an uncommon but increasingly recognized disease entity. Our outcomes of Allogeneic HSCT in t-ALL were comparable to that in de novo ALL as per previously reported literature. Multicenter studies on t-ALL with more patients and longer follow up duration may provide us with predictive factors of relapse and survival post allogeneic HSCT. Disclosures Michelis: CSL Behring: Other: Financial Support. Mattsson:Celgene: Honoraria; Therakos: Honoraria; Gilead: Honoraria.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document