scholarly journals INSURANCE MARKET DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM WESTERN BALKANS REGION

TEME ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nemanja Lojanica ◽  
Владимир Станчић ◽  
Stevan Luković
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Specific Area ◽  
Insurance Market ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Western Balkans ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Insurance Sector ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
Basic Objective

The basic objective of the paper is the examination of mutual interdependence of the parameters on insurance market and the economic growth at the specific area of ex-Yugoslavia. Time horizon of the observation encompasses the period 2005-2019, and as the appropriate methodological framework the econometrics of panel data was used. Accompanying cointegration tests and tests of long-term effects have shown that the insurance sector and economic growth are long-term related, as well as that the insurance sector exerts positive and statistically significant influence on the economic growth. Additionally, it was shown that nonlife insurance realizes more significant effects on growth. To confirm robustness, causality test has shown that changes in insurance sector cause the changes in economic growth. Economic policy makers have an important task ahead of them, which consists in promoting insurance markets, improvement of regulation, and legislation framework that should contribute to the growth of economic activity in analyzed countries.

Financial Fragility and Its Impacts on International Trade and Economic Growth

2021 ◽  
pp. 158-173
Author(s):  
Ayberk Şeker
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Panel Cointegration ◽  
Financial Fragility ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Fragility Index ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Tests

International trade cannot be considered separate from the current financial system in the context of imports and exports. In this context, the impact on international trade should be analyzed under the financial fragility hypothesis. This chapter aims to analyze the effects of financial fragility on Fragile Five and Troubled Ten countries' economic growth and trade strategies. In this direction, long-term relationships between variables are analyzed by Westerlund panel cointegration tests. According to the result of the panel cointegration tests, there are long-term relationships between exports, imports, gross domestic product, and financial fragility index. After determining the long-term relationships between variables, causality analyses have been carried out to reveal the direction of these relationships. According to Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test results, there are bidirectional causality relationships between financial fragility index and export, import, and gross domestic product.

Health Expenditure and Economic Growth Nexus: Empirical Evidence from South Asian Countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 097215092096306
Author(s):  
Narayan Sethi ◽  
Saileja Mohanty ◽  
Aurolipsa Das ◽  
Malayaranjan Sahoo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Health Expenditure ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Cointegration Tests

This study aims to empirically investigate the short-term and long-term effects of healthcare expenditure, institutional quality and domestic and foreign investments on the economic growth of South Asian countries during the period 1996–2018. The pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) and random effects models, Johansen–Fisher cointegration test and Granger causality test have been employed to assess the short-term and long-term relationships and the direction of causality among the variables. The cointegration tests indicate the existence of a long-term equilibrium among the variables. The results reveal that there runs a bidirectional causality from health expenditure to economic growth in the concerned countries in the short run. Further, institutional quality is seen to have a unidirectional effect on health expenditure. Therefore, the authorities of the South Asian nations are required to strengthen the accessibility to and affordability and accountability of the healthcare services being provided to their population.

scholarly journals FOREIGN INVESTMENTS AS DEVELOPMENT FACTOR FOR OVERCOMING ECONOMIC STAGNATION IN THE REPUBLIC OF MACEDONIA

2013 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nada Petrusheva ◽  
Aleksandar Nikolovski
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Capital ◽  
Added Value ◽  
Living Standard ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Western Balkans ◽  
Republic Of Macedonia ◽  
Economic Stagnation ◽  
The Republic

Amongst economists there is a broad consensus that in order to overcome economic stagnation the economic growth model should be more directed towards increasing investments and export and less reliant on consumption. The stable commitment towards improving the business ambient, the implementation of structural reforms in the field of competitiveness, the export sector as well as investments in infrastructure and education are the fundamental prerequisites to be realized for the opening of perspectives in the overall social development of the countries in the Western Balkans, including the Republic of Macedonia. The dominant driving force of economic growth – investments (foreign and domestic) have not been sufficiently implemented so that structural economic problems such as the low GDP growth rate, unsatisfactory export, unfavourable industrial structure have been present during the entire periodsince the independence of the Republic of Macedonia. Unlike other countries in Middle and Eastern Europe such as Poland, the Czech Republic and Slovakia in which foreign capital was steered towards manufacturing higher added value products, in the Republic of Macedonia investment entered mainly the trade and the banking industry, and quite less in manufacturing.Lacking own significant capacities for considerable increase of the gross-investment rate, assets sources for investments must be found in foreign accumulation, particularly via foreign direct investments so as not to increase the degree indebting the country. The global economic and financial crisis which spread over Europe in the last years has motivated the countries in the Western Balkans, including the Republic of Macedonia, to engage into a more active and more aggressive attraction of foreign capital. Foreign direct investments are considered the highest economic priority for long-term development, whereas the benefits to the national economy are multiple and influence the reduction of unemployment, increase of export, inflow of new technology, knowledge and skills, as well as improvement of the population’s living standard. However, despite the commitment, reforms and activities undertaken to attract FDI, the countries of the Western Balkans are facing remarks from investors for having an insufficiently reformed judicial system, bureaucratic issues, inefficient public administration and corruption. Therefore, it is essential to work continually on improving the macroeconomic environment and implement a long-term strategy to attract FDI through active policies.

scholarly journals Relationship between Financial Liberalization and Economic Growth in Emerging Economies: The Case of Vietnam

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (01) ◽  
pp. 25-49
Author(s):  
Hoang Tran Huy ◽  
Huan Nguyen Huu ◽  
Linh Nguyen Thi Thuy
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Financial Liberalization ◽  
Response Analysis ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Vector Error ◽  
Term Relation

This paper examines the process of financial liberalization in Vietnam over the period from 1993 to 2013. On adopting Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), the results suggest that there is a long-term relation between economic growth and financial liberalization, in which the financial market liberalization and financial services liberalization provide better support during the growth of Vietnam’s economy. In addition, using various techniques including Granger causality test, impulse response analysis, and variance decomposition, the paper also clarifies the motives for financial liberalization from the process of short-term financial development and economic growth in the country.

scholarly journals The effects of carbon emissions, rainfall, temperature, inflation, population, and unemployment on economic growth in Saudi Arabia: An ARDL investigation

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. e0248743
Author(s):  
Md Mazharul Islam ◽  
Majed Alharthi ◽  
Md Wahid Murad
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Carbon Emissions ◽  
Annual Rainfall ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Unemployment Problem

Objective While macroeconomic and environmental events affect the overall economic performance of nations, there has not been much research on the effects of important macroeconomic and environmental variables and how these can influence progress. Saudi Arabia’s economy relies heavily on its vast reserves of petroleum, natural gas, iron ore, gold, and copper, but its economic growth trajectory has been uneven since the 1990s. This study examines the effects of carbon emissions, rainfall, temperature, inflation, population, and unemployment on economic growth in Saudi Arabia. Methods Annual time series dataset covering the period 1990–2019 has been extracted from the World Bank and General Authority of Meteorology and Environmental Protection, Saudi Arabia. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration has served to investigate the long-run relationships among the variables. Several time-series diagnostic tests have been conducted on the long-term ARDL model to check its robustness. Results Saudi Arabia can still achieve higher economic growth without effectively addressing its unemployment problem as both the variables are found to be highly significantly but positively cointegrated in the long-run ARDL model. While the variable of carbon emissions demonstrated a negative effect on the nation’s economic growth, the variables of rainfall and temperate were to some extent cointegrated into the nation’s economic growth in negative and positive ways, respectively. Like most other nations the short-run effects of inflation and population on economic growth do vary, but their long-term effects on the same are found to be positive. Conclusions Saudi Arabia can achieve both higher economic growth and lower carbon emissions simultaneously even without effectively addressing the unemployment problem. The nation should utilize modern scientific technologies to annual rainfall losses and to reduce annual temperature in some parts of the country in order to achieve higher economic growth.

Investigating the Roles of Physical Infrastructure, Financial Development and Human Capital on Economic Growth in Bangladesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 154-175
Author(s):  
Faroque Ahmed ◽  
Md. Jamal Hossain ◽  
Mohammad Tareque
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Human Capital ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Physical Infrastructure ◽  
Long Term Impact

This article investigates the dynamic relationship among physical infrastructure, financial development, human capital and economic growth in Bangladesh, employing Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound co-integration and Granger causality test for the period 1985–2019. The study finds a significantly positive long-term impact of physical infrastructure and human capital on economic growth. However, the effect of financial development on growth is found to be negative, and the result suggests that financial development will take place with economic growth. From the policy perspective, this study emphasises increasing investment in physical infrastructure and human capital for Bangladesh to foster long-term economic growth.

scholarly journals The impact of agriculture and renewable energy on climate change in Central and East European Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (No. 10) ◽  
pp. 447-457
Author(s):  
Nicoleta Mihaela Florea ◽  
Roxana Maria Badircea ◽  
Ramona Costina Pirvu ◽  
Alina Georgiana Manta ◽  
Marius Dalian Doran ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Greenhouse Gas Emissions ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Gas Emissions ◽  
The Impact

According to the objectives of the European Union concerning the climate changes, Member States should take all the necessary measures in order to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions. The aim of this study is to identify the causality relations between greenhouse gases emissions, added value from agriculture, renewable energy consumption, and economic growth based on a panel consisting of 11 states from the Central and Eastern Europe (CEECs) in the period between 2000 and 2017. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method was used to estimate the long-term relationships among the variables. Also a Granger causality test based on the ARDL – Error Correction Model (ECM) and a Pairwise Granger causality test were used to identify the causality relationship and to detect the direction of causality among the variables. The results obtained reveal, in the long term, two bidirectional relationships between agriculture and economic growth and two unidirectional relationships from agriculture to greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy. In the short term, four unidirectional relationships were found from agriculture to all the variables in the model and one unidirectional relationship from renewable energy to greenhouse gas emissions.

scholarly journals A DSGE-VAR Analysis for Tourism Development and Sustainable Economic Growth

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 3635
Author(s):  
David Alaminos ◽  
Ana León-Gómez ◽  
José Ramón Sánchez-Serrano
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Dsge Model ◽  
External Effects ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Tourist Demand ◽  
Sustainable Economic Growth

This paper aims to provide a better basis for understanding the transmission connection between tourism development and sustainable economic growth in the empirical scenario of International countries. In this way, we have applied the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model in different countries in order to check the power of generalization of this framework to study the tourism development. Also, we extend this model to obtain the long-term effects of tourism development with confidence intervals. The influence of tourism development on sustainable economic growth is proved by our results and show the indirect consequences between tourist activity and other industries produced through the external effects of investment and human capital and public sector. Our study confirms that the DSGE technique can be a generalized model for the analysis of tourism development and, especially, can improve previous precision results with the DSGE-VAR model, where vector autoregression (VAR) is introduced in the DSGE model. The simulation results reveal even more than when the productivity of the economy in general enhances, as the current tourist demand increases in greater proportion than more than the national tourism demand. For its part, the consumption of domestic tourism rises more than the consumption of inbound tourism if the productivity of the tourism production enhances, but non-tourism prices decrease at a slower rate and tourism investment needs a longer time to recover to what is established.

scholarly journals Does Stock Market Performance Affect Economic Growth? Empirical Evidence from Saudi Arabia

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moayad H. Al Rasasi ◽  
Soleman O. Alsabban ◽  
Omar A. Alarfaj
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Steady State Condition ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Cointegration Tests ◽  
The Impact

This research paper investigates the impact of stock prices on real economic activity in the Saudi Arabian economy. We utilize various econometric techniques – Johansen and Juselius’s (1990) cointegration tests and Granger’s (1969) causality test – to assess such a relationship, based on quarterly observations spanning the period from the first quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2018. Our empirical evidence indicates the presence of a significant cointegrating relationship between the two variables being examined; in other words, stock prices have a significant impact on real economic growth. Specifically, the estimated long-run relationship reveals that a 1 percent increase in stock prices would boost economic growth by 0.32 percent. In addition, the error correction model suggests that when the economy deviates from its steady state condition, it needs about a year and a half to return to its equilibrium condition. Lastly, this paper applies the most common Granger causality test, which confirms the essential role of stock prices in predicting changes in economic growth.

scholarly journals Insurance for Msme Development in Indian Context

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (12S) ◽  
pp. 819-823
Keyword(s):  
Life Insurance ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Insurance Market ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Insurance Sector ◽  
Commercial Activities ◽  
Indian Context

MSME development is a much required function for the development of an economy. Insurance is very old business cum service that supports the commercial activities by owning the risk associated in exchange for premium. The objective of this paper is to find out whether any relationship exists between the insurance and development of MSMEs in Indian context. The study uses Ordinary Least Square method to draw the regression equation and Granger Causality test to check for causality between Non-life Insurance sector development and development of MSME. It was found that non-life insurance and MSME are highly positively correlated. Though there is no causal relationship between these two variables but insurance has a positively significant influence on the development of MSME. The finding of this study indicates the requirement of favorable policies to develop the Insurance market in order to promote MSME leading to economic growth.

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