scholarly journals Classification of bankruptcy with cash flow information: Evidence from small size firms

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 86-95
Author(s):  
Lious Ntoung Agbor Tabot ◽  
Helena Maria Santos de Oliveira ◽  
Cláudia M. F. Pereira

Corporate financial ratios have been debated in the past as the most importance measures in predicting corporate failure, yet gaps remain in the literature about cash flow information in classifying between bankrupted and non-bankrupted firms. This study test whether cash flow components is more useful in classifying bankrupted and non-bankrupted of small and unlisted firms in Spain. The results of this study suggest that cash flows components are superior to financial ratios for classifying small failed and non-failed companies with the logit model. Particularly, most failing firms, reduce or avoid paying dividend to their owner. This reduction or the absence of dividend payments as a proportion of total outflow is often related to either a significant decrease in the net operating inflow and/or an increase in the relative outflow to fixed charges resulting from increased external debt financing.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (18) ◽  
pp. 4832
Author(s):  
Jaehong Lee ◽  
Eunsoo Kim

A company’s sustainability is generally determined by whether it is able to create a positive long-term cash flow. This paper investigates whether the predictive ability of cash flows and earnings in forecasting future cash flows differs depending on the foreign investors’ ownership. Based on firms listed in the Korea Stock Exchange market from 2000 to 2017, we find that earnings and cash flow components of financial statements enhance the predictability of future cash flow in the Korean stock market. Conversely, foreign investors showed a tendency to decide on investments based on operating cash flow instead of earnings when predicting future cash flow. These findings indicate that reliability towards earnings may fall since foreign investors’ concerns are on the prospects of earnings management. These results were strengthened by the addition of several more analyses including cluster analyses, consideration of information asymmetry and the chaebol governance.


Author(s):  
Amani Kahloul ◽  
Ezzeddine Zouari

R&D investments are a channel for growth, at the macro and micro levels. However, they are known to be characterized with high adjustment costs, therefore, it is generally admitted in the literature that firms try to smooth their R&D investments in face of shocks to internal finance, and the literature supposes that the observed investment – current cash-flow sensitivities are downward biased because R&D expenses are expected to respond to the permanent component of cash-flow but not to its transitory component. However, very few proofs, if at all, exist on the link between R&D and cash-flow components and its implications in terms of its contribution to the corporate sustainable growth. The authors decompose cash-flow into its permanent and transitory components and provide formal evidence that R&D- current cash-flow sensitivity is downward biased and that R&D- permanent cash-flow sensitivity better informs about the contribution of cash-flow to R&D smoothing, which shows a managerial commitment to sustainability. Unexpectedly, and in spite of the negligible observed sensitivities of R&D to the transitory component of cash-flow, the authors’ regressions reveal that these sensitivities have an asymmetric pattern: they are higher when cash-flow is expanding than when it is declining. This reveals a managerial preference for immediate growth, which jeopardizes sustainable growth, because of the risk of costly liquidation inherent to the reliance on the volatile transitory cash-flows.


2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 464-479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Khansalar ◽  
Mohammad Namazi

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the incremental information content of estimates of cash flow components in predicting future cash flows. Design/methodology/approach The authors examine whether the models incorporating components of operating cash flow from income statements and balance sheets using the direct method are associated with smaller prediction errors than the models incorporating core and non-core cash flow. Findings Using data from US and UK firms and multiple regression analysis, the authors find that around 60 per cent of a current year’s cash flow will persist into the next period’s cash flows, and that income statement and balance sheet variables persist similarly. The explanatory power and predictive ability of disaggregated cash flow models are superior to that of an aggregated model, and further disaggregating previously applied core and non-core cash flows provides incremental information about income statement and balance sheet items that enhances prediction of future cash flows. Disaggregated models and their components produce lower out-of-sample prediction errors than an aggregated model. Research limitations/implications This study improves our appreciation of the behaviour of cash flow components and confirms the need for detailed cash flow information in accordance with the articulation of financial statements. Practical implications The findings are relevant to investors and analysts in predicting future cash flows and to regulators with respect to disclosure requirements and recommendations. Social implications The findings are also relevant to financial statement users interested in better predicting a firm’s future cash flows and thereby, its firm’s value. Originality/value This paper contributes to the existing literature by further disaggregating cash flow items into their underlying items from income statements and balance sheets.


2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 44-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shadi Farshadfar

This study investigates whether the direct method of presenting cash flows from operations is superior to the indirect method in its ability to forecast future cash flows. It also considers the effect of industry characteristics on the relative usefulness of direct and indirect methods of cash flow presentation. The study, which uses a sample of Australian firms, finds that both the direct and indirect methods improve the forecast of future cash flows. However, the indirect method of reporting cash flows from operations is more relevant than the direct method in predicting future cash flows. Evidence from the industry-level analysis overall reinforces the main results.


2011 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stanley Martens ◽  
Thomas Berry

In February 2000, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued Statement of Financial Accounting Concepts No. 7, Using Cash Flow Information and Present Value in Accounting Measurements.  In this document the FASB asserts without proof that a present value computation along its lines will provide a good estimate of the fair value of an asset or liability.  Using numerical examples provided by the FASB, we attempt to construct arguments in support of the FASB’s claim.  We find that such arguments require strong and not at all obvious assumptions about players in hypothetical markets.


2021 ◽  
pp. 16-20
Author(s):  
Olha MATVIEIEVA ◽  
Olena KOSTIUNIK ◽  
Anastasiia TITARENKO

Introduction. At the present stage of economic development, it is impossible to imagine the activities of an economic entity in any industry without paying in cash. Today, the study of the nature of cash is one of the most promising, as increasing the efficiency of economic activity of the entity is based on maintaining its financial stability and maximizing profits, as well as the value of the entity, which is formed by organizing cash flows. Under the condition of controlling the constant movement of cash flows, businesses have the opportunity to provide a high level of economic potential. Thus, a critical analysis of the nature and classification of cash is not only relevant but also necessary. Purpose. As the concept of “cash” is not regulated at the legislative level, its essence and classification features can be explained in different ways. The purpose of the paper is to study the problems of economic essence and classification of funds, generalization and optimization of results. Results. A critical analysis of the economic essence of cash. The problems of economic essence of money and their classification are studied. The essence of the concept of “cash flow” is investigated. The results of critical analysis are generalized and optimized. Conclusion. We have the opportunity to draw the following conclusions: cash – liquid assets of the entity, including cash on hand, bank accounts, cash in transit, electronic money, deposits, etc., on which depends the financial potential of the entity, the prospect of achieving financial goals of any level and which guarantee solvency, financial stability and liquidity of the business entity; сash flows – is the economic process of receipt and expenditure of cash costs in identical and non-cash form, generated in the course of economic activity of the entity, distributed according to production needs in times and spaces to ensure solvency and high efficiency. Thus, a critical analysis of the nature and classification of cash in the process of organizing and conducting business activities, proved that the study of the nature of cash, their qualifications is not only relevant and necessary, but requires further research.


2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry J. Ward

<span>This study tests whether cash flow information is more useful to creditors in predicting financially distressed mining, oil and gas firms than it is in predicting financial distress in other industries. The results of this study suggest that cash flows are more useful to creditors in predicting financially distressed mining, oil and gas firms than they are predicting financially distressed firms in other industries. Results also show that different cash flows are useful in predicting financial distressed mining, oil and gas firms than are useful in predicting financially distressed control firms.</span>


2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Jooste

Purpose: With the introduction of the cash flow statement it became an integral part of financial reporting. A need arose to develop ratios for the effective evaluation of cash flow information. This article investigates cash flow ratios suggested by various researchers and suggests a list of ratios with the potential to predict financial failure. Design: The cash flow ratios suggested by researchers, from as early as 1966, are investigated and eight cash flow ratios selected for inclusion in an analysis to predict financial failure. Ten failed entities are selected for a cash flow evaluation by means of the selected ratios for five years prior to failure. For a comparison, non-failed entities in similar sectors are selected and also evaluated by means of the cash flow ratios. The mean values of each ratio, for each year prior to failure, were then calculated and the means of the failed entities were compared to the non-failed entities. Findings: The comparison revealed that cash flow ratios have predictive value with the cash flow to total debt identified as the best indicator of failure. It was also determined that, although failed entities have lower cash flows than non-failed entities, they also had smaller reserves of liquid assets. Furthermore, they have less capacity to meet debt obligations and they tend to incur more debt. The ratios of the failed entities were unstable and fluctuated from one year to the next. Finally, bankruptcy could be predicted three years prior to financial failure. Implications: Income statement and balance sheet ratios are not enough to measure liquidity. An entity can have positive liquidity ratios and increasing profits, yet have serious cash flow problems. Ratios developed from the cash flow statement should supplement traditional accrual-based ratios to provide additional information on the financial strengths and weaknesses of an entity .


2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 51 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas L. Zeller ◽  
Brian B. Stanko

<span>Analysts derive a broad array of financial ratios from published financial reports to assess business enterprise performance. Only a few, however, may be necessary for meaningful insight. This study explores whether operating cash flow ratios provide unique or redundant insight in financial ratio analysis of retail firms. Adoption of Financial Accounting Standard #95, The Statement of Cash Flows, by the Financial Accounting Standards Board in 1987 provides the impetus for the ongoing interest in cash flow ratios. We find that operating cash flow ratios provide unique insight, relative to traditional accrual-based financial ratios, regarding a retail firms ability to pay. Therefore, financial ratio analysis of a retail firm should include cash flow ratios for predictive, explanatory or descriptive purposes.</span>


2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 47 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. McEnroe

Cash flow reporting has attracted increased attention in the United States, especially in the past decade. However, despite the use of per share cash flow information by security analysts, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has prohibited its disclosure. This article provides a historical perspective of cash flow accounting in the U.S., as well as a discussion of cash flow advocates. The final section presents arguments for increased disclosures in the area of cash flows, including operating cash flow on a per share basis and a schedule of free cash flows.


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