scholarly journals Crime and the Regional Disparities in Tourist Inflows: A Case Study of South Africa

2013 ◽  
Vol 5 (6) ◽  
pp. 356-375
Author(s):  
Busani Moyo
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
North America ◽  
Southern Europe ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Sexual Crime ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
World Income ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of crime proxied by different indicators on regional tourist inflows to South Africa. The estimations are carried out using the Johansen estimation techniques. Monthly data gathered from March 2003 to April 2011 is employed and the results from the estimations found that total crime has a negative effect on tourists from Africa, North America, Central and Southern America, West and Southern Europe. However, the level of crime in the country appears to have no influence at all to tourist from the Middle East whilst those from Asia are more sensitive to the level of sexual crime. At the different categories of crime investigated, tourists react differently. In line with the findings of the existing literature, the real exchange rate and world income remain to have a significant effect on tourist inflows from most of the regions.

scholarly journals Do the Pandemic of COVID- 19 Affect Cosmetic Export of Thailand?

2021 ◽  
pp. 115-121
Author(s):  
Sauwaluck Koojaroenprasit
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Online Platform ◽  
Gdp Growth Rate ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Media Platform ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this research was to find the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on the cosmetic export of Thailand. The multiple linear regression was employed. The monthly data period of study was from January 2010 to March 2021. The result showed that exchange rate, inflation, GDP growth rate, average wage, real effective exchange rate, business sentimental index, and the pandemic of COVID-19 affected the cosmetic export of Thailand. The result showed that pandemic of COVID-19 had a negative effect on the value of cosmetic export. Therefore, the cosmetics industry must adapt to handle with that situation. Though people work less on the workplace and using more online platform for working the cosmetics still be one of the significant things to make people confidential for working in term of social media platform or online platform that they still need to communicate with others.

scholarly journals The Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Exports in South Africa

2015 ◽  
Vol 06 (01) ◽  
pp. 1550004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Goodness C. Aye ◽  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Prudence S. Moyo ◽  
Nehrunaman Pillay
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregression ◽  
Exchange Rate Uncertainty ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Structural Vector

This paper examines the impact of real effective exchange rate uncertainty (REER) on aggregate exports of South Africa for the period 1986Q4–2013Q2. Using a bivariate framework where the structural vector autoregression (VAR) is modified to accommodate bivariate GARCH-in-Mean (GARCH-M) errors, we find that exchange rate uncertainty has a significant and negative effect on exports. Comparing the response of exports to a shock in exchange rate from a model that includes the REER uncertainty with results from a model that restricts the coefficient of the exchange rate uncertainty to zero, we find that the response is more pronounced in the former model. Furthermore, real exports respond asymmetrically to negative and positive shocks of REER of the same size.

scholarly journals The Impacts of Oil Prices, Exchange Rate and COVID-19 Pandemic on BIST Petrochemical Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-33
Author(s):  
Seval Mutlu Çamoğlu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Raw Materials ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Information Index ◽  
Market Index ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Index Exchange ◽  
Liberal Market Economy

Stock markets are developing with the economic growth of the countries in a liberal market economy. Petrochemicals is an indicator of the performance of the country's industry with high inter-industry linkage by providing input to several sectors, producing various outputs with a certain number of raw materials. The COVID-19 pandemic period has affected all markets worldwide and caused fluctuations in the index values of large firms in the petrochemical industry in Borsa Istanbul (BIST). This study analyzes the impact of the pandemic period and change in the oil prices and exchange rate on the petrochemical market in Turkey. The monthly data of petrochemical stock market index, exchange rate, oil prices are used in this time series analysis. A pandemic information index representing the COVID-19 pandemic was derived and included in the model. According to the results, it is observed that the most important determinant of the fluctuations on the BIST petrochemical index is the oil prices. While a shock in oil prices negatively affects the BIST petrochemical index, the petrochemical index responds positively to the shock in the pandemic index.

scholarly journals EFEK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN PADA VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-45
Author(s):  
Wayrohi Meilvidiri ◽  
Syahruddin Syahruddin ◽  
Romualdus Turu Putra Maro Djanggo
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Normality Test ◽  
Lm Test ◽  
Exchange Rate Movements ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
The Impact

This study uses the q to q dataset for the period 2011-2018, to examine the effect of trade openness on the exchange rate, on the other hand variable money supply, inflation and GDP growth and high-low exchange rates (dummy) will smooth the impact of shocks to the exchange rate . Using the OLS econometric estimator to see the effect of variables and the ARCH method to measure the uncertainty of exchange rate movements. Estimation results show that trade openness (open trade index); the money supply (money supply) and the high-low peak value of the exchange rate have a significant positive effect while the growth variable has a significant negative effect on exchange rate volatility. The LM test simultaneously found ARCH in residual data in lag 1 and lag 2. The normality test found abnormal residuals, while the residual heteroscedasticity test showed no ARCH problems in the last residuals.

Analisis pengaruh makroekonomi terhadap dana pihak ketiga (DPK) dengan equivalent rate (ER) sebagai variabel intervening

2021 ◽  
pp. 100-123
Author(s):  
Salma Firdayanti Salma ◽  
Yusvita Nena Arinta Nena
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Quantitative Research ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Equivalent Rate ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Party Funding

This study aims to determine the Effect of Macroeconomics on Third-Party Funding (TPF) with the Equivalent Rate (ER) as the Intervening Variable (Case Study of Islamic Commercial Banks Period 2016-2020). This type of research is quantitative research which utilizes secondary data in the form of time-series data. Purposive sampling was used as the sampling method. The data that has been obtained later processed using the E-views version 9 application tool. Based on the results, it is shown that the Inflation, BI Rate, and Equivalent Ratevariables partially have a negative effect on TPF, while the Exchange Rate has a positive effect on TPF. Moreover, the variables of Inflation, Exchange Rate, and BI Rate have a positive and significant effect on the Equivalent Rate (ER). It is also found thatThe Equivalent Rate variable cannot mediate the effect of Inflation, Exchange Rate, and BI Rate on TPF.

The Effect of Macroeconomic Conditions on the Performance of Vietnamese Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 73-82
Author(s):  
Hien-Ly Pham ◽  
Ching-Chung Lin ◽  
Shih-Ju Chan
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global Supply Chain ◽  
Gold Price ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Conditions ◽  
The Impact

Vietnam plays an important role in the global supply chain. As one of important emerging markets, many studies have focused on Vietnam-related issues. Vietnam established two stock markets in 2000s. The market performance becomes one of interesting issues to explore. This study is to investigate the impact of macroeconomic variables, including inflation rate, exchange rate, interest rate, imports, exports, and gold price, on Ho Chi Minh stock market. The study period is from July 2000 to October 2014. Using the monthly data collected from Vietnam General Statistic Office, IMF International Financial Statistics, and Ho Chi Minh stock exchange, the empirical findings of our regression model show that there exists a positive relationship for imports and gold price, while the relationships for exchange rate and interest rate are negative. No significant relationship has been found for the variables of inflation rate and exports.

The Impact of Cutbacks From a Major State Financial Crisis on Organizational Trust

2021 ◽  
pp. 027507402110530
Author(s):  
Marco Tulio Zanini ◽  
Carmen Migueles ◽  
Juliana Carvalho
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Organizational Trust ◽  
Longitudinal Case Study ◽  
Public Servants ◽  
Negative Behaviors ◽  
The Public ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

Previous research has shown that cutbacks in public spending often impact the range and quality of the public services delivered, leading to negative behaviors on the part of public servants. This article examines how sudden cutbacks caused by a major state financial crisis have an impact on interpersonal trust within a special police unit. We present the results of a longitudinal case study using a combination of qualitative methods. The lack of foreseeability and reliability caused by drastic changes resulting from cutbacks has a negative effect on members’ trust in their capacity to perform.

Measuring the Impact of Financial Crisis

2016 ◽  
pp. 274-283
Author(s):  
İsmail Yıldırım
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Stress Index ◽  
Destructive Effect ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Financial Stress Index ◽  
The Impact

Crisis in 2001 and global financial crisis in 2008 effect Turk economy in a lot of ways. Financial crisis creates destructive effect especially on increasing market economies. It is not so easy to watch occurring of this financial crisis and determining of its expanding. First of all determining of crisis terms are needed to predict of financial crisis. In this part, a financial stress index is composed by using TL interest rate and monthly data of global gross reserves belongs to $/TL exchange rate between 1997:01-2014:12 terms for Turkey. Months when financial stress index raised to top level for Turkey and financial crisis are observed on, are found as February(2001) and November (2008).

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