scholarly journals ANALISIS PERMINTAAN DAN PENAWARAN UANG DI INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Arwin Arwin ◽  
Said Muhammad ◽  
Raja Masbar
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
National Income ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Data Processing Method

This study aims to determine the determinants of the money demand and money supply function in Indonesia. To formulate the equation between money demand (Md) and money supply (Ms) using LM function by looking at the effect of real income and interest rate. The data in this study constitutes Indonesia's economic data from 1986 to 2015 drawn from secondary data sources such as Bank Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), International Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds (IMF) and World Bank . The Data Processing method used is to use the equations and completed with Two Stage Least Square. The results showed that the balance occurred at the national income level of 277559.05 billion Rupiah with an interest rate of 7.05%. Keywords: Demand and Supply of Money, Gross Domestic Product, Interest Rate, Inflation, and Exchange Rate. Abstrak Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk megetahui determinan dari fungsi permintaan uang dan penawaran uang di Indonesia. Untuk merumuskan persamaan antara permintaan uang (Md) dengan penawaran uang (Ms) menggunakan fungsi LM dengan melihat pengaruh pendapatan riil dan tingkat suku bunga. Data dalam penelitian ini merupakan data perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun 1986 – 2015 yang diambilkan dari sumber data sekunder baik seperti Bank Indonesia(BI), Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), Internasional Financial Statistics (IFS), International Monetary Funds ( IMF) dan World Bank. Metode Pengolahan datayang digunakan adalah menggunakan persamaan simultan dan diselesaikan dengan Two Stage Least Square. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa keseimbangan terjadi pada tingkat pendapatan nasional sebesar 277559.05 milyar Rupiah dengan tingkat bunga sebesar 7,05%. 

scholarly journals ANALISIS INTERAKSI KEBIJAKAN FISKAL DAN MONETER TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 112-123
Author(s):  
Muhammad Akhyar ◽  
Sofyan Syahnur ◽  
Asmawati Asmawati
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
World Bank ◽  
National Income ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Money Market ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
The Government

 The Purpose of this research is to determine the balance of income and interest rate in both money market and goods market in improving economic performance shown through some macro economic indicators. The method used is simultaneous equation method and completed with Two Stage Least Square. The data in this study constitutes Indonesia's economic data from 1986 to 2015 drawn from secondary data sources such as Bank Indonesia (BI), Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and World Bank . The results show that the balance occurs at the national income level of 211.243,69 billion Rupiah with an interest rate of 3.86% and the more dominant fiscal policy currently applied in the economy. This IS-LM model can help the government in making policy to predict what happens to outputs and the aggregate interest rate if the government decides to increase government spending and increase the money supply.  Keywords: Aggregate output, interest rate, fiscal policy, monetary policy, good market, money market, IS-LM.  ABSTRAK Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui keseimbangan pendapatan dan tingkat bunga baik di pasar uang maupun pasar barang dalam meningkatkan kinerja perekonomian yang ditunjukkan melalui beberapa indikator makro ekonomi. Metode yang digunakan menggunakan persamaan simultan dan diselesaikan dengan Two Stage Least Square. Data dalam penelitian ini merupakan data perekonomian Indonesia dari tahun 1986 – 2015 yang diambilkan dari sumber data sekunder baik seperti Bank Indonesia(BI), Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS), dan World Bank. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa keseimbangan terjadi pada tingkat pendapatan nasional sebesar Rp211.243,69  milyar dengan tingkat bunga sebesar 3.86% dan kebijakan fiskal lebih dominan saat ini diterapkan dalam perekonomian. Model IS-LM ini dapat membantu pemerintah dalam membuat kebijakan untuk memprediksikan yang terjadi pada output dan tingkat bunga agregat jika pemerintah memutuskan untuk meningkatkan pengeluaran pemerintah maupun meningkatkan jumlah uang beredar.

scholarly journals Determinan Jumlah Uang Beredar, Tingkat Bunga, dan Inflasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia

Al-Buhuts ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 45-64
Author(s):  
Adya Utami
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Independent Variable ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine the determinants of the money supply, the interest rate, and inflation on Indonesia's economic growth in the 2009-2018 period. This research uses descriptive method and is strengthened by the OLS (ordinary least square) method with secondary data. The data used is sourced from the Central Statistics Agency and Bank Indonesia. The results of this study indicate that the money supply and the interest rate have a negative effect but inflation has a positive effect on Indonesia's economic growth. The JUB variable is not significant with a probability value of 0.1326. The JUB regression coefficient value has a negative relationship to the economic growth variable with a coefficient of 0.9288. The interest rate variable entered in the above equation turns out to be negative and significant with a probability value of 0.0571. The value of the coefficient of the exchange rate is (0.4843). The independent variable inflation gives a negative and not significant result with a probability value of 0.1134. Inflation coefficient value is 0.1724. In the equation model that uses economic growth as the dependent variable above, the magnitude of the coefficient of determination (R Squared) is 0.573429. This shows that the ability of the independent variable in explaining the diversity of the independent variables is 57.34% while the remaining 42.66% is influenced by other variables not included in the model.

scholarly journals ANALISIS HUTANG LUAR NEGERI INDONESIA PENDEKATAN KESEIMBANGAN MAKROEKONOMI

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 535-551
Author(s):  
Imamudin Yuliadi
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Analytical Method ◽  
Development Process ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
National Income ◽  
Secondary Data

There are so many interesting phenopenon if we discuss of Indonesian economy especially at monetary sector. Foreign debt is one of several popular problem on developing countries like Indonesia. It is one of practice solution about saving debt to maintain the development process. The aim of this research is to analyse some factors that affect foreign debt and their implications on Indonesian economy. Analytical method used in this research is explanatory method is to test hyphotesis about simultaneous relationship among variables that research by developing the characteristics of verificative research by doing some testing at every step of research. We used secondary data taken from BI, BPS, World Bank and IFS. The result of this research shows that ratio between domestic interest rate and international interest rate, government expenditure and national income did not affect significantly to foreign debt. Exchange rate affected positive and significantly to foreign debt

scholarly journals PERANAN PENDAPATAN RIIL, TINGKAT BUNGA DAN INFLASI DALAM FUNGSI PERMINTAAN UANG

2017 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 30
Author(s):  
Daryono Soebagiyo
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Demand ◽  
Demand Function ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Money Demand Function ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Log Linear

This writing to see problem of real income, inflation, and interest rate in money demand function. There are some perception similarities that money demand largely depends on the income or GNP (Gross National Product), besides other factors involved, like interest and inflation rates. However, to make and estimation about money demand in and economic system, it will involved some interrelated problems. (I) The definition of the most suitable money, (2) argumentation about money demand function, (3) the stability of the function statistically from period to period.The writer persons a study model from M. Semudram with OLS (Ordinary Least Square) method towards function in the form of log linear where the variable inserted is the demanded sum of nominal money, consumers price index, nominal GNP, interest rate, and inflation rate.

scholarly journals ANALISIS HUTANG LUAR NEGERI INDONESIA PENDEKATAN KESEIMBANGAN MAKROEKONOMI

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 535
Author(s):  
Imamudin Yuliadi
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Analytical Method ◽  
Development Process ◽  
Foreign Debt ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
National Income ◽  
Secondary Data

There are so many interesting phenopenon if we discuss of Indonesian economy especially at monetary sector. Foreign debt is one of several popular problem on developing countries like Indonesia. It is one of practice solution about saving debt to maintain the development process. The aim of this research is to analyse some factors that affect foreign debt and their implications on Indonesian economy. Analytical method used in this research is explanatory method is to test hyphotesis about simultaneous relationship among variables that research by developing the characteristics of verificative research by doing some testing at every step of research. We used secondary data taken from BI, BPS, World Bank and IFS. The result of this research shows that ratio between domestic interest rate and international interest rate, government expenditure and national income did not affect significantly to foreign debt. Exchange rate affected positive and significantly to foreign debt.

scholarly journals ANALISIS SIMULTAN SEKTOR MONETER DI INDONESIA (PENDEKATAN PARSIAL MUNDELL-FLEMING)

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aula Ahmad Hafidh Saiful Fikri
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Rate Equation ◽  
Negative Relationship ◽  
National Income ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Economic Variables ◽  
The Interest Rate

Abstrak: Kebijakan moneter merupakan salah satu usaha pemerintah untuk mengendalikan keadaan ekonomi makro. Perubahan yang terjadi pada kebijakan moneter akan mempengaruhi variabel-variabel ekonomi yang lain. Berdasarkan hal tersebut, studi ini bertujuan untuk melakukan analisis secara simultan shocks kebijakan moneter dalam perekonomian terbuka terhadap variabel-variabel ekonomi dengan menggunakan data Indonesia periode 2000:1 - 2019:8 dengan menggunakan pendekatan secara parsial Teori Mundell-Fleming. Metode yang digunakan dalam studi ini adalah Two-Stage Least Square (TSLS). Hasil yang diperoleh dalam studi ini menunjukkan bahwa (1) shock kebijakan moneter terhadap variabel-variabel ekonomi menunjukkan adanya suatu fenomena puzzle atau tidak sesuai teori dan (2) kontribusi BI rate yang paling besar dirasakan oleh variabel harga (inflasi). Penelitian ini memakai model IS-LM parsial dari sisi LM. Hasil penelitian menunjukan bahwa ada hubungan simultan antara variabel endogen persamaan tingkat bunga dan inflasi. Dari model persamaan tingkat bunga semua variabel mempunyai pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap tingkat bunga kecuali harga minyak dunia (OP). hubungan negatif ditunjukkan oleh permintaan uang (MD), pendapatan nasional (IPI) dan inflasi (INF). Sedangkan dalam persamaan inflasi, hanya variabel IPI yang tidak signifikan, hubungan negatif ditunjukkan oleh IPI dan aset luar negeri bersih (NFA).Abstract: Monetary policy is one of the government's efforts to control macroeconomic conditions. Changes in monetary policy will affect other economic variables. This study aims to simultaneously analyze monetary policy shocks in the open economy using Indonesian monthly data for the period 2000:1 - 2019:8 using a partial approach to the Mundell-Fleming Theory. The method used in this study is Two-Stage Least Square. The results obtained indicate that (1) the shock of monetary policy on economic variables indicates the phenomenon of puzzle or not according to theory and (2) contribution Bank Indonesia rate is the biggest to the price variable (inflation). This study uses a partial IS-LM model from the LM side. The results showed a simultaneous relationship between the endogenous variables of the interest rate equation and inflation. From the interest rate equation model, all variables significantly affect the interest rate, except for the world oil price; negative relationship is shown by money demand, national income, and inflation. Meanwhile, in the inflation equation, only the national income variable is insignificant; a negative relationship is shown by national income and net foreign assets.

scholarly journals PERNERAPAN MODEL PERSAMAAN SIMULTAN DENGAN PENDEKATAN TWO STAGE LEAST SQUARE PADA KASUS INFLASI DAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-84
Author(s):  
Rahmawati Yusuf ◽  
Resmawan Resmawan ◽  
Boby Rantow Payu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Rate Equation ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Simultaneous Equation ◽  
Equation Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Factors Affecting

Using the regression model, a method that accommodates variables related to each other is called the simultaneous equation method. The study aims to determine the factors affecting inflation and rupiah exchange rate and model simultaneous equations towards the factors affecting inflation and rupiah exchange rate in Indonesia using Two-Stage Least Square. Data used in this study are secondary data obtained from the website of Statistics of Indonesia. Findings on the simultaneous equation model with two-stage least squares reveal that variables that significantly affect inflation are the Indonesia rupiah exchange rate and money supply. At the same time, variables that significantly affect the Indonesian rupiah exchange rate are inflation and money supply. The predictive value using the inflation and rupiah exchange rate equation indicates that the obtained MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) value does not exceed 50%. In conclusion, the prediction result using the inflation and Indonesia rupiah exchange rate equation is accurate.

DETERMINAN INFLASI DI INDONESIA PERIODE 1980-2015

2016 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Risna Risna
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Quantitative Approach ◽  
State Spending ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine the effect of government spending, the money supply, the interest rate of Bank Indonesia against inflation.This study uses secondary data. Secondary data were obtained directly from the Central Bureau of Statistics and Bank Indonesia. It can be said that there are factors affecting inflationas government spending, money supply, and interest rates BI. The reseach uses a quantitative approach to methods of e-views in the data. The results of analysis of three variables show that state spending significantand positive impact on inflationin Indonesia, the money supply significantand negative to inflationin Indonesia, BI rate a significantand positive impact on inflation in Indonesia

scholarly journals Determinan Suku Bunga dan Likuiditas Bank Terhadap Pertumbuhan Kredit di Indonesia

Jurnal Ecogen ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 200
Author(s):  
Yeniwati Yeniwati
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Bank Credit ◽  
Credit Growth ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
Banking Community ◽  
The Interest Rate

This study aims to determine the effect of the interest rate (BI rate) on bank credit growth in Indonesia, liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia and determine the effect of interest rates and liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia. The method used in this study is Ordinary Least Square (OLS) using secondary data from 2009 Quarter I to 2018 Quarter IV. The results of the analysis showed that there was an influence between interest rates on bank credit growth in Indonesia, there was an influence between liquidity on bank credit growth in Indonesia. Together there is an influence between interest rates and bank liquidity on the growth of bank credit in Indonesia. The policy implication of this research is that Bank Indonesia must maintain the benchmark interest rate set in order to trigger an increase in bank credit growth. In addition, Bank Indonesia must monitor the liquidity of commercial banks in Indonesia so that the trust of the banking community is even greaterKeywords : interest rate, Liquidity, Credit

scholarly journals Selected Macroeconomic Variables and Agricultural Sector in Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (06) ◽  
Author(s):  
James Ese Ighoroje ◽  
Catherine, Ogheneovo Orife
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Agricultural Output ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Ex Post

The study investigated effect of selected macroeconomic variables on agricultural sector output in Nigeria from 1987 - 2019. Annual Agricultural Output (AAO) represented the dependent variable for the study while gross domestic product, interest rate, money supply, and exchange rate represented the explanatory variables. Ex-post factor research design was employed for the study. Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Roots test and Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression techniques were used to analyze data collected. The empirical investigation showed that gross domestic product as well as money supply has a positive and significant effect on agricultural output, while interest rate and exchange rate exerted a negative and insignificant effect on agricultural output. From the study, selected macroeconomic variables have positive effect on agricultural output in Nigeria and this has tremendously contributed to the country's growth and development. The study recommends amongst other; that government should accelerate the rate of economic growth by investing heavily on the agricultural sector so as to boost domestic production and enhance exportation in order to stabilize exchange rate while curbing inflation; give incentives to banks extending agricultural loans by lowering the lending rate on agricultural loans to ease access to funds for agricultural investment.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document