scholarly journals BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION USING ALTMAN Z-SCORE MODEL: A CASE OF PUBLIC LISTED MANUFACTURING COMPANIES IN MALAYSIA

2015 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 178-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishioma Odibi ◽  
◽  
Abdul Basit ◽  
Zubair Hassan ◽  
Owner ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 343-355
Author(s):  
Muhammad Yunus ◽  
Calen Calen ◽  
Sarida Sirait

This study aims to determine the effect of the bankruptcy prediction of the Altman z-score model, auditor reputation and opinion shopping on going concern audit opinion in manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019. This research is a causal associative research with a quantitative approach. The sample in this study were 25 manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange which were determined using purposive sampling technique. Observations in this study were carried out throughout the period 2015 to 2019 so that the number of observations was 125 data. The type of data used in this study is secondary data. While the data analysis method used in this research is panel data regression analysis with statistical data processing software, namely STATA. Based on the results obtained in this study, it can be seen that the prediction of bankruptcy based on the Altman z-score model has no significant effect on going concern audit opinion on manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Auditor reputation is proven to have a negative and significant effect on going concern audit opinion on manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. And opinion shopping is also proven to have a negative and significant effect on going concern audit opinion on manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange.


Jurnal Ecogen ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 197
Author(s):  
Diana Novita

This study discusses the use of bankruptcy prediction model that does not exist applied in Indonesia and determine the accuracy of each model. The research objective is to analyze the differences in outcome prediction and know the model that has the best accuracy level between the model Altman Z-Score, Bankruptcy Index, and IN05 Index. This type of research is a comparative study, the population of all manufacturing companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2011 to 2015. The sample is determined by purposive sampling method so acquired 28 companies, and the total sample is 140 years old company. Data used is secondary data obtained from the official website of Indonesia Stock Exchange (www.idx.co.id). The analytical method used is the analysis of different test-independent k-sample test, descriptive statistics and the accuracy of the model using post hoc test and the type of error. The results show that: 1) there are significant differences between the model of the Altman Z-Score model Insolvency Index, and models IN05 index on manufacturing companies listed on the Stock Exchange. 2) The model has the best accuracy by post hoc test is a model of the Altman Z-Score and by type of error is the most accurate models are models IN05 index.Keywords: Altman Z-Score, Insolvency Index, IN05, Bankruptcy


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Agnes Anggun Minati ◽  
Gustati ◽  
Hidayatul Ihsan

The development of Islamic banks in Indonesia increasingly shows that Islamic banks are ready to become competitors for conventional banks. Islamic banks that use margin systems or profit sharing whereas conventional banks use interest systems give rise to different expectations. It is possible to have a difference in terms of bankruptcy prediction using the Altman EM Z-Score Model ratio. The Altman EM Z-Score Model is a modification of the Altman ratio in 2002 that is used for non-manufacturing companies and has not gone public. This final project aims to analyze the comparison of predictions of bankruptcy of conventional Islamic banks and banks using Altman's EM Z-Score Model for the period 2012-2014. This type of research is descriptive comparative research. The sample used was 11 Islamic Commercial Banks and 23 Conventional Commercial Banks selected using the purposive sampling method. Data analysis techniques use different tests in whitney SPSS version 20. Based on the results of Z '' - Score shows that Indonesian banks are in a healthy state, but Islamic banks are more stable than conventional banks, while the results of whitney test show there are differences in working capital to total assets, retained earnings to total assets, EBIT to total assets, but there is no difference in the book value of equity to total liabilities of Islamic banks and conventional banks.


2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 74-83
Author(s):  
Shinta Disky Azzharah

Research use the panel data regression analysis model aims to determine the predictions of bankruptcy with the Altman Z-Score model and residual income influence the stock prices of companies listed in the Indonesian Syariah Stock Index (ISSI) in the period 2014 to 2018. Research This is a quantitative study using secondary data in the form of annual financial statements published by companies, with sampling using purposive sampling to obtain a sample of 23 manufacturing companies engaged in various industrial sectors. The research method uses the fixed effect model approach. The analysis said that the bankruptcy prediction using the Altman Z-Score model showed a significant negative effect on stock prices, while residual income had no effect on stock prices. In addition, the Altman Z-Score shows that many companies enter the gray area cut-off point and even go bankrupt, thus making shareholders reduce their share prices for the safety of their shares in the capital market.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 121-128
Author(s):  
Barcha Handal Sakti ◽  
Ely Kartikaningdyah

This research aimed to know whether the predictor variables on Bhandari’s z-score model having discriminating power which in each of the group has significant difference. Sample which was being used to assist was the manufacture company that consisted of healthy company and the unhealthy company enrolled in Indonesia stock exchange in the period of 2012-2014. Sample collecting method used purposive sampling and cross section was the data used in this research. This research was conducted by using Multivariat Discriminant Analysis (MDA). The result of this study showed predictor variable that gave discriminating power which stood of quality of earning (EAQ), operating cash flow divided by current liabilities (OCFCL), operating cash flow margin (OCFM), and operating cash flow return on total assets (OCFA) in distinguishing the healthy and unhealthy company significantly.


2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Indar Khaerunnisa ◽  
Nur Anisa Rahayu

This research aims to figure out the level of companies bankruptcy by applying Altman Z-Score at the manufacturing companies registered in the Indonesia Stocks Exchange. The result of the research has indicated that ZScore model is applicable to detect the company’s potential bankruptcy issues, especially manufacturing company subsectors of cosmetics and houseappliances. Altman Z-Score model has classified the companies into three categories; safe, grey area and distress. Based on the result of the research, for the companies which are in the grey area category are suggested to improve their financial performance and to use the benefit of all the assets properly to get the revenue as much as possible. However, for the companies which are in the safe category are suggested to increase their performance, especially marketing performance so that they will receive bigger amount of the revenue, nevertheless, the potential of financial distress can be minimized accordingly. Keywords: manufacturing company, financial distress, Altman Z-Score.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (08) ◽  
pp. 857-865
Author(s):  
Nidhi Sharma ◽  
◽  
Shivani Peppal ◽  

Financial distressed from a decade has become a common condition for manufacturing companies of India. Many public sector manufacturing companies have also witnessing poor financial health. This study has examined the financial health of eighteen selected public sector manufacturing companies which are further divided into four sectors as Metal, Sugar, Paper and Textile. The examination of financial health of selected companies has been performed by calculating Altman Z-score model for four year prior to become distressed. And it has been found by the analysis that most of the company was in either distressed zone or in grey zone. The study also finds that Altman Z-Score Model is a perfect tool to examine the health of public sector manufacturing companies.


Author(s):  
Wong Ming Nok

We make comparison between 6 models including (1) Altman’s (1968) z-score; (2) Model 1: z-score model with adjusted coefficients; (3) Model 2: z-score model with modified variables; (4) Model 3: dynamic logic model; (5) Merton distance to default (DD) model (Bharath & Shumway, 2008) and (6) back-propagation network model (Lippman, 1987). We assess the relative information content of these models regarding their bankruptcy prediction capability. Our tests show that dynamic logic model and DD model both provide significantly more information than the others while DD model has the highest prediction accuracy in the out of sample test. It is also worth noticing that altering coefficients and adjusting variables of the original z-score model could not significantly improve the predictive power of z-score model regarding companies in the industrial industry in the UK.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (02) ◽  
pp. 11
Author(s):  
Irwansyah .

This study was conducted to prove the accuracy of bankruptcy prediction of Altman Z-Score model on conventional banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the annual financial statements of conventional banks during the period of 2013-2016 mentioned on the official website of the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis technique used is bankruptcy prediction of Altman Z-Score model, using five variables representing liquidity ratios X1, profitability ratios X2 and X3, and activity ratios X4 and X5. The formula Z-score = 1.2X1 + 1.4X2 + 3.3X3 + 0.6X4 + X5. When Z-Score criteria is Z > 2.90 it is categorized as a healthy company. Z-Score between 1.23 to 2.90 is categorized as a company in area. While Z-Score Z < 1.23 is categorized as a potential bankrupt company. Based on the results of the research, Z-Score analysis that has been done in the period of 2013-2016 indicating that most conventional banks are predicted bankrupt. The lowest score of the Z-Score is 1.23. Only one Bank Jtrust Indonesia Tbk (BCIC bank code) is in a healthy category. Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk with BMRI bank code, has been increasing from the prediction of bankruptcy category to the prediction of gray area category.Keywords: Altman Z-Score, Conventional Banks Listed on BEI 2013-2016, Prediction of Bankruptcy.


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