scholarly journals Peramalan Pencemaran Udara Di Kota Surabaya Menggunakan Metode DSARIMA dengan Pendekatan Percentile Error Bootstrap (PEB)

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 987
Author(s):  
Novi Koesoemaningroem ◽  
Endroyono Endroyono ◽  
Supeno Mardi Susiki Nugroho
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Actual Data ◽  
Forecast Data ◽  
Accuracy Result ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Air Pollution Forecasting

<p>Peramalan pencemaran udara yang  akurat  diperlukan untuk mengurangi dampak pencemaran udara. Peramalan yang belum akurat akan berdampak kurang efektifnya tindakan yang dilakukan untuk mengantisipasi dampak pencemaran udara. Sehingga diperlukan sebuah pendekatan yang dapat mengetahui keakuratan plot data hasil peramalan. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan melakukan peramalan pencemaran udara berdasarkan parameter PM<sub>10</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub>, CO, SO<sub>2</sub>, dan O<sub>3</sub>dengan metode DSARIMA. Data dalam penelitian ini sebanyak 8.760 data yang berasal dari Dinas Lingkungan Hidup Kota Surabaya. Berdasarkan hasil peramalan selama 168 jam kadar parameter PM<sub>10</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub>, SO<sub>2</sub> dan O<sub>3</sub> cenderung  menurun. Hasil peramalan selama 168 jam dengan menggunakan DSARIMA memberikan hasil peramalan yang nilainya mendekati data aktual terbukti dari polanya yang sesuai atau mirip dengan grafik plot data aktual dengan hasil ramalan. Dengan pendekatan PEB, selisih antara data aktual dan data ramalan kecil dan plot grafik PEB mengikuti plot grafik di data aktual, sehingga dapat dikatakan bahwa model sudah sesuai. Hasil akurasi terbaik yang dihasilkan adalah model DSARIMA dengan RMSE terkecil 0,59 didapatkan dari parameter CO yaitu ARIMA(0,1,[1,2,3])(0,1,1)<sup>24</sup>(0,1,1)<sup>168</sup>.</p><p> </p><p><em><strong>Abstract</strong></em></p><p class="Judul2"><em>Accurate air pollution forecasting is needed to reduce the impact of air pollution. Inaccurate forecasting will result in less effective actions taken to anticipate the impact of air pollution. So we need an approach that can determine the accuracy of the forecast data plot. This research was conducted with the aim of forecasting air pollution based on the PM<sub>10</sub>, NO<sub>2</sub>, CO, <sub>SO2</sub>, and O<sub>3</sub> parameters using the DSARIMA method. The data in this study were 8.760 data from the Surabaya City Environmental Service. Based on the results of forecasting for 168 hours, the levels of PM<sub>10</sub>, NO<sub>2, </sub>SO<sub>2</sub>, and O<sub>3</sub> parameters tend to decrease. Forecasting results for 168 hours using DSARIMA provide forecasting results whose values are close to the actual data as evidenced by the pattern that matches or is similar to the actual data plot graph with the forecast results. With the PEB approach, the difference between the actual data and the forecast data is small and the PEB graph plot follows the graph plot in the actual data, so it can be said that the model is appropriate. The best accuracy result is DSARIMA with the smallest RMSE 0,59 obtained from the CO parameter, namely </em>ARIMA(0,1,[1,2,3])(0,1,1)<sup>24</sup>(0,1,1)<sup>168</sup>.</p><p> </p><p> </p>

scholarly journals Can the Target Responsibility System of Air Pollution Control Achieve a Win-Win Situation of Pollution Reduction and Efficiency Enhancement?

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Wang ◽  
Hao Xu ◽  
Jingxuan Xu
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Pollution Control ◽  
Environmental Law ◽  
Pollutant Emissions ◽  
Air Pollution Control ◽  
Sample Interval ◽  
The Difference ◽  
High Degree ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Responsibility System

Whether the environmental target responsibility system, a typical mandatory environmental regulation, can realize the coordinated development of environmental protection and economic growth has attracted widespread attention. With the difference-in-differences (DID) method, this paper utilizes a policy, “China’s Key Cities for Air Pollution Control to Meet the Standards within the Time Limit (APCMS),” as a quasi-natural experiment to empirically examine the target responsibility system of air pollution control’s effect on both firms’ pollutant emissions and their total factor productivity (TFP). The corresponding mechanisms are also investigated. The results show: 1) The policy not only significantly decreases firms’ pollutant emissions, but also improves their TFP. The results are robust to the exclusion of the impact of other policies in the same period, propensity score matching DID (PSM-DID) test, the adoption of alternative dependent variables, and altering sample interval; 2) The dynamic analysis shows that the policy effect on reducing pollutant emissions has increased over years after a lag of 2 years; 3) The policy reduces pollutant emissions mainly through stimulating the internal innovation rather than end-pipe treatment or production cuts. 4) Capital-intensive and private firms and firms in regions with a high degree of marketization or strong environmental law enforcement are found more responsive to the environmental target responsibility system.

scholarly journals Is the High-Speed Rail Opening Environmentally Friendly? Taking the Difference-in-Differences Test in Jiangsu, China

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Shijin Wang ◽  
Huiying Zhou ◽  
Guihong Hua
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Central City ◽  
Control Variable ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
High Speed Rail ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

In view of rapid development of high-speed rail, the relationship between high-speed rail and air pollution needs to be tested and determined. Most research studies focused on the impact of high-speed rail on environmental pollution and just viewed high-speed rail as a control variable, which lacked a direct study on this relationship. Also, these rarely involved regional research, which is short of pertinence and insufficient understanding of regional issues. Therefore, based on the difference-in-differences (DID) model which is a natural experiment evaluation method, this study examined the impact of high-speed rail opening on air pollution by using the panel data of Jiangsu province, China, from the year of 2000 to 2017. The empirical results showed that the opening of Jiangsu high-speed rail, which increases cities’ good day significantly by 21.5%, has inhibitory effect on air pollution. Among control variables, there is no inverted “U” relationship between the economic development level and air pollution. Personal income and urbanization significantly improve air pollution, whereas foreign direct investment exacerbates it. And the results are still valid after robustness tests, including trend test and counterfactual test. Moreover, this study explores the relationship between the degree of reducing pollution caused by high-speed rail and the location of cities, which found that the opening of high-speed rail can greatly improve air pollution of areas in central city circle. Finally, it is found that when high-speed rail and other possible pollution items coexist, the improved effect of high-speed rail on air pollution is still obvious. Therefore, in order to exert the mitigating effect of high-speed rail on air pollution, it is necessary to rationally plan high-speed railway lines and develop the high-speed railways in cities closer to Shanghai.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF CHEMICAL INDUSTRY EMISSIONS ON THE CONDITION OF TREE STANDS IN THE CITY OF VORONEZH

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Popova
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Residential Buildings ◽  
Control Point ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Chemical Pollution ◽  
Pathological State ◽  
Industrial Emissions ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact

The sanitary and hygienic condition of tree stands exposed to increased anthropogenic load, namely, the impact of industrial chemical pollution in the urban environment, is evaluated. The difference in the forest pathological state of trees is explained by their age, proximity to emission sources, highways, residential buildings, as well as different degrees of resistance to chemical pollutants in urban areas. The main types exposed to industrial emissions affecting the condition of tree stands are identified, with subsequent distribution by condition categories. Five reference points are proposed for studying the effects of chemical air pollution on plant biota. The characteristic species composition of woody vegetation growing on the territory of the selected objects under study was determined, and the percentage of their occurrence was calculated. At the test sites located near the sources of emissions, a high percentage of individuals affected by spot or spot necrosis and having pathological signs of the trunk, water shoots, shrunken skeletal branches and tops were noted, in contrast to the plantings located in the so-called zone of moderate pollution and at the control point at the maximum distance from the sources of emissions. Individuals promising in monitoring of atmospheric air pollution have been identified.

Evaluation of the impact of public investment programs on social and economic performance of territories

2019 ◽  
pp. 109-123
Author(s):  
I. E. Limonov ◽  
M. V. Nesena
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Modeling ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Public Investment ◽  
Difference In Differences ◽  
The Public ◽  
Export Activity ◽  
Regional Investment ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Development Institution

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the impact of public investment programs on the socio-economic development of territories. As a case, the federal target programs for the development of regions and investment programs of the financial development institution — Vnesheconombank, designed to solve the problems of regional development are considered. The impact of the public interventions were evaluated by the “difference in differences” method using Bayesian modeling. The results of the evaluation suggest the positive impact of federal target programs on the total factor productivity of regions and on innovation; and that regional investment programs of Vnesheconombank are improving the export activity. All of the investments considered are likely to have contributed to the reduction of unemployment, but their implementation has been accompanied by an increase in social inequality.

The Use of Multimedia and its Impact on Bangladeshi EFL Learners at Tertiary Level

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 150
Author(s):  
Farzana Sharmin Pamela Islam
Keyword(s):  
Language Learning ◽  
Academic Writing ◽  
Teaching And Learning ◽  
English Language ◽  
Capital City ◽  
Tertiary Level ◽  
Language Classroom ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Impact

As 21st century is the era of modern technologies with different aspects, it offers us to make the best use of them. After tape recorder and overhead projector (OHP), multimedia has become an important part of language classroom facilities for its unique and effective application in delivering and learning lesson. Although in many parts of Bangladesh, a South Asian developing country, where English enjoys the status of a foreign language, the use of multimedia in teaching and learning is viewed as a matter of luxury. However, nowadays the usefulness and the necessity of it are well recognized by the academics as well as the government. The study aims to focus on the difference between a traditional classroom void of multimedia and multimedia equipped classrooms at university level by explaining how multimedia support the students with enhanced opportunity to interact with diverse texts that give them more in-depth comprehension of the subject. It also focuses on audio-visual advantage of multimedia on the students’ English language learning. The study has followed a qualitative method to get an in-depth understanding of the impact of using multimedia in an English language classroom at tertiary level. For this purpose, the data have been collected from two different sources. Firstly, from students’ written response to  an open ended question as to their comparative experience of learning  lessons with and without multimedia facilities; and secondly, through  observation of English language classes at a private university of Dhaka, the capital city of Bangladesh. The discussion of the study is limited to  the use of multimedia in English language classroom using cartoons, images and music with a view to enhance students’ skills in academic writing, critical analysis of image and critical appreciation of music. For this purpose, cartoons in English language, images from Google and music from You Tube have got focused discussion in this paper.

THE IMPACT OF METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS ON SULPHURIC AIR POLLUTION IN KOHTLA-JÄRVE

Oil Shale ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (2) ◽  
pp. 337
Author(s):  
J PAVLENKOVA ◽  
M KAASIK ◽  
E-S KERNER ◽  
A LOOT ◽  
R OTS
Keyword(s):  
Air Pollution ◽  
Meteorological Parameters ◽  
The Impact

Case study: Prediction and field tests of railway noise and effects of a low-height noise barrier

2020 ◽  
Vol 68 (4) ◽  
pp. 303-314
Author(s):  
Yuna Park ◽  
Hyo-In Koh ◽  
University of Science and Technology, Transpo ◽  
University of Science and Technology, Transpo ◽  
University of Science and Technology, Transpo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Field Tests ◽  
Residential Areas ◽  
Railway Systems ◽  
Railway Noise ◽  
Sound Levels ◽  
Noise Barrier ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Reduction Effect ◽  
The Impact

Railway noise is calculated to predict the impact of new or reconstructed railway tracks on nearby residential areas. The results are used to prepare adequate counter- measures, and the calculation results are directly related to the cost of the action plans. The calculated values were used to produce noise maps for each area of inter- est. The Schall 03 2012 is one of the most frequently used methods for the production of noise maps. The latest version was released in 2012 and uses various input para- meters associated with the latest rail vehicles and track systems in Germany. This version has not been sufficiently used in South Korea, and there is a lack of standard guidelines and a precise manual for Korean railway systems. Thus, it is not clear what input parameters will match specific local cases. This study investigates the modeling procedure for Korean railway systems and the differences between calcu- lated railway sound levels and measured values obtained using the Schall 03 2012 model. Depending on the location of sound receivers, the difference between the cal- culated and measured values was within approximately 4 dB for various train types. In the case of high-speed trains, the value was approximately 7 dB. A noise-reducing measure was also modeled. The noise reduction effect of a low-height noise barrier system was predicted and evaluated for operating railway sites within the frame- work of a national research project in Korea. The comparison of calculated and measured values showed differences within 2.5 dB.

THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT URBAN LAND USE TYPES ON AIR POLLUTION IN THE MEGACITY OF SÃO PAULO

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 91
Author(s):  
Júlio Barboza Chiquetto ◽  
Maria Elisa Siqueira Silva ◽  
Rita Yuri Ynoue ◽  
Flávia Noronha Dutra Ribieiro ◽  
Débora Souza Alvim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Air Pollution ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Sao Paulo ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
São Paulo ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
The Impact

A poluição do ar é influenciada por fatores naturais e antropogênicos. Quatro pontos de monitoramento (veicular, comercial, residencial e background urbano (BGU))da poluição do ar em São Paulo foram avaliados durante 16 anos, revelando diferenças significativas devidoao uso do solo em todas as escalas temporais. Na escala diurna, as concentrações de poluentes primários são duas vezes mais altas nos pontos veicular e residencial do que no ponto BGU, onde a concentração de ozonio (O3) é 50% mais alta. Na escala sazonal, as concentrações de monóxido de carbono(CO) variaram em 80% devido ao uso do solo, e 55% pela sazonalidade.As variações sazonais ede uso do solo exercem impactos similares nas concentrações de O3 e monóxido de nitrogênio (NO). Para o material particulado grosso (MP10) e o dióxido de nitrogênio(NO2), as variações sazonais são mais intensas do que as por uso do solo. Na série temporal de 16 anos, o ponto BGU apresentou correlações mais fortes e significativas entre a média mensal de ondas longas (ROL) e o O3 (0,48) e o MP10 (0,37), comparadas ao ponto veicular (0,33 e 0,22, respectivamente). Estes resultados confirmam que o uso do solo urbano tem um papel significativo na concentração de poluentes em todas as escalas de análise, embora a sua influência se torne menos pronunciada em escalas maiores, conforme a qualidade do ar transita de um sistema antropogênico para um sistema natural. Isto poderá auxiliar decisões sobre políticas públicas em megacidades envolvendo a modificação do uso do solo.

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