The problem of choosing the optimal strategy to achieve a given level of the socio-economic system development in a reasonable time

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Mikhail Pavlovich Bazilevskiy
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Optimal Strategy ◽  
System Development ◽  
Reasonable Time

First International Lvov Forum

2021 ◽  
pp. 155-162
Author(s):  
Svetlana L. Sazanova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Theory ◽  
Economic System ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
System Development ◽  
Basic Research ◽  
Economic Science ◽  
Economic Knowledge ◽  
New Paradigm ◽  
Russian Scientific ◽  
The Face

The article is devoted to the analysis of the content and results of the First International Lvov Forum, dedicated to the 90th anniversary of the birth of Academician D. S. Lvov (1930–2007). The forum was held on October 20–21, 2020 at the State University of Management with the support of the Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR), project No. 20-010-22058. Major Russian and foreign scientists, academicians and corresponding members of the Russian Academy of Sciences, leading Russian universities, universities of the Czech Republic, France, Bulgaria and other countries took part in the First Lvov Forum. The Forum discussed fundamental problems of modern Russian and world economic science, including: the problem of the crisis of the paradigm of economic theory; the problem of the relationship between philosophical and economic knowledge; the need to form a new paradigm of economic science; the problem of interaction between society, state and business at the micro, meso and macro levels in the face of modern challenges; place and role of Russia in the world socio-economic system; development strategy of the Russian socio-economic system in the context of the new paradigm of economic science in the context of modern challenges. The discussion of the above fundamental problems was on the basis of a synthesis of the principle of dichotomy and a systematic approach. The First Lvov Forum took a significant place among such major Russian scientific events as the Gaidar Economic Forum, the Krasnoyarsk Economic Forum, the Moscow Economic Forum, etc. due to the relevance of the problems considered at the Forum, the novelty of the methods proposed for their solution. The ideas of Russian and foreign scientists presented at the Forum can be used for the further development of modern economic theory, as well as for the development of programs for the development of the Russian economy at the micro, meso and macro levels.

Application of Modified Ecological Footprint Model: A Case Study of Tibet, China

2013 ◽  
Vol 295-298 ◽  
pp. 987-991
Author(s):  
Guan Nan Cui ◽  
Xuan Wang
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Carrying Capacity ◽  
Ecological Footprint ◽  
System Development ◽  
Energy Resources ◽  
Emergy Analysis ◽  
Development Index ◽  
Footprint Model ◽  
Ecological Carrying Capacity

To improve the ecological footprint model in aspect of reflecting sustainability of the economic, social and technological, the emergy analysis and socio-economic system development index were introduced into the model. The modified ecological footprint model was applied in the calculation of ecological carrying capacity and ecological footprint in Tibet, China. The ecological carrying capacity/cap is 19.13hm2, and the ecological footprint/cap is 8.96hm2. The result shows that the Tibet region is under the condition of ecological surplus and it is suitable for further programs development to some extent. But the high proportion of energy resources, cement and fertilizer utility should draw attention during the exploitation or construction progress.

scholarly journals Diagnostics of the Macroeconomic Environment on the Subject of Generation of Financial Risks

2021 ◽  
Vol 110 ◽  
pp. 01046
Author(s):  
Arthur Panasyuk ◽  
Mikhail Shatokhin ◽  
Maria Bulavina ◽  
Lyubov Dedusheva
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
System Development ◽  
Financial Risks ◽  
Money Markets ◽  
Regular Monitoring ◽  
Macroeconomic Indicators ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Basic Characteristics ◽  
Macroeconomic Environment

The study presents the results of diagnosing the macroeconomic environment for the generation of financial risks. The author substantiates the relevance and necessity of regular monitoring of macroeconomic indicators in terms of their impact on the volatility of the probability of systemic financial risks. The paper analyzes the main indicators of the functioning of the credit, foreign exchange, financial, money markets, as well as the basic characteristics of the state of the economic system of Russia. The performed diagnostics of the main indicators of the country’s financial system development makes it possible to form a comprehensive opinion on the intensity of the influence of the macroeconomic environment on the generation of financial risks..

scholarly journals METHODS OF SYSTEM ANALYSIS IN THE FORMATION OF INFORMATION SECURITY POLICY ON TRANSPORT

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (13) ◽  
pp. 81-91
Author(s):  
Valerii Lakhno ◽  
Borys Husiev ◽  
Victor Smolii ◽  
Andrii Blozva ◽  
Dmytro Kasatkin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Information Security ◽  
Optimal Strategy ◽  
Security Policy ◽  
System Analysis ◽  
System Development ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Security System ◽  
Enterprise Management ◽  
Final Decision ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages

Approaches to the application of methods of system analysis to solve problems related to information security of enterprises in transport, which have a complex IT structure with a large number of components. It is shown that the active expansion of the areas of informatization of the transport industry, especially in the segment of mobile, distributed and wireless technologies, is accompanied by the emergence of new threats to information security. It is shown that in order to build an effective information security system, the selection and implementation of adequate technical means of protection should be preceded by a stage of description, analysis and modeling of threats, vulnerabilities, followed by calculation of risks for IS and determining the optimal strategy for information security system. After evaluating the different NIB options according to several criteria, a decision is made: if the recommendations coincide, the optimal solution is chosen with greater confidence. If there is a contradiction of recommendations, the final decision is made taking into account its advantages and disadvantages, for example, the strategy of information security system development is chosen, which turned out to be optimal for at least two criteria. If different NIB development strategies are obtained for all three criteria, it is necessary to vary the values of pessimism-optimism in the Hurwitz criterion or change the data, for example, about possible threats to IP or automated enterprise management system. An algorithm for modeling the decision-making process for selecting the optimal strategy for managing investment design components of the information security system for the transport business entity is proposed.

scholarly journals Problems in Developing a Comprehensive Toolkit for Macro-economic, Inter-regional, Inter-sectoral Analysis and Forecasting

2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 1072-1086
Author(s):  
Valery A. Kryukov ◽  
Alexandr O. Baranov ◽  
Victor N. Pavlov ◽  
Victor I. Suslov ◽  
Nikita I. Suslov
Keyword(s):  
General Equilibrium ◽  
Economic System ◽  
System Development ◽  
Complex Model ◽  
Level System ◽  
National Economic ◽  
Complex Models ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
Calculation System ◽  
Theoretical Foundations

The study reviews approaches to macro-economic and macro-territorial modelling presented in international and Russian economic publications. We focus on opportunities to improve forecasting the development of economic system in Russia at the macro-economic, inter-sectoral and inter-regional levels. We described dynamic macro-economic, inter-sectoral and inter- regional models developed in the Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IEIE SB RAS). We analyse more in details three complex models proposed in IEIE SB RAS: CAISI (comprehensive analysis of inter-sectoral information), SRNES (synthesis of regional and national economic systems) and CSNES (coordination of sectoral and national economic solutions). We consider theoretical foundations of the complex models and their application in analysing and forecasting economic system development at various levels. The three complex models are based on different basic models that influence their development. IEIE SB RAS has been developing a two-level system of forecasting models, which combines advantages of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models and dynamic input-output models applied in the CAISI system. The paper describes theoretical foundations of the SRNES system, whose latest versions are premised on the general equilibrium and cooperative games theories. Then, we characterised the most developed elements of the complex model CSNES, which has the CSNES-TEK subsystem used in forecasting developments in the fuel and energy industry of Russia’s territories and SIBARP (balance calculation system for the future). The conclusion outlines directions for further research on improving the methods of macro-economic, inter-regional, and inter-sectoral forecasting based on harmonisation of analytical and forecast calculations performed using the CAISI, SRNES and CSNES systems. The results of forecast calculations using the two-level system of macro-level models can be applied in the complex models SRNES and CSNES to ensure coordination between the forecasts of socio-economic development of the Asian part of Russia and projected dynamics of macro-indicators.

scholarly journals Modeling assessment of investment risks in the regional socio-economic system

2018 ◽  
Vol 239 ◽  
pp. 08015
Author(s):  
Evgeniy Butko ◽  
Lyudmila Selivanova ◽  
Natalia Vasileva
Keyword(s):  
Economic System ◽  
Optimal Strategy ◽  
Regional Economy ◽  
Regional Level ◽  
Risk Indicators ◽  
Financial Resources ◽  
Investment Risk ◽  
Average Annual Rate ◽  
The Social ◽  
Methodological Approaches

The paper defines methodological approaches to the assessment of investment risks in the social and economic system of the region. Based on the analysis of the conducted studies, a new model for assessing investment risk at the regional level in the conditions of certainty, uncertainty, and risk is proposed, which will allow assessing the probability of losing funds from investing financial resources. As a part of this model, a methodology for developing and making decisions under different conditions depending on the determinism or randomness based on the availability of information is presented. The calculations made allow choosing the optimal strategy of investment in the regional economy with different risk indicators, which are determined as the average annual rate of inflation.

Deformation of Institution of Ownership in Ukraine and Problems of Effective Owner Formation in Inefficient State

2010 ◽  
pp. 123-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu. Kindzersky
Keyword(s):  
Economic Development ◽  
Economic System ◽  
System Development ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Economic Basis ◽  
Social And Economic Development ◽  
Ukrainian Society

The article analyzes changes in ownership relations in post-Soviet Ukraine from the point of view of their adequacy to the goals of the Ukrainian society and countrys economic system development. The author considers deformations in reforming the corresponding institution that impose restrictions on achieving desirable parameters of social and economic development and forming the effective owner. The attention is focused on the impossibility of overcoming deviations in ownership relations development without ousting structural, organizational and technological backwardness of the Ukrainian industry. Recommendations are given on further reforming ownership relations that are based on the idea of subordination of ownership institutions separate components to the tasks of modernization of the countrys economic basis.

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