scholarly journals Pengaruh Ekonomi Global dan Domestik Terhadap Inflasi di Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 64
Author(s):  
Dini Hariyanti ◽  
Soeharjoto Soekapdjo
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Local Resources ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Determine Effect

One of the biggest obstacles for countries economic growth compound is inflation. Government attempted to have lower and stable inflation.  Purpose of this research is to determine effect of the global and domestic economy to inflation in Indonesia. Using quarterly time series data from 2009-2018 derived from the Indonesian Economic and Financial Statistics (SEKI), International Financial Statistics (IFS), and Investing. ECM regression model used for this research. For short term, interest rate and exchange rates have positive and significant effect to inflation. But money supply, GDP and oil price not significant, while in long term, interest rate and oil price have positive and significant to inflation, while money supply, GDP and exchange rates are not significant. Government policies are monitoring and anticipating global and domestic fluctuation, by  maintaining  the stability of interest rate and exchange rates, and also using environmentally friendly alternatives resources, in order to reducing dependence on oil. Besides that, government needs to undertake increasing of GDP to maintain people purchasing power and money supply distribution for productive sector which have biggest adding value by utilizing local resources.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Aspek Moneter Dan Fiskal Terhadap Inflasi Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 64-73
Author(s):  
Nurhayun Fatmayani ◽  
Jihad Lukis Panjawa
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Tax Revenue ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Relationship Of

The economic stability of a country can be seen from the inflation rate. This study aimed to analyze the influence of monetary and fiscal aspects on inflation and the most effective policies for inflation problems in Indonesia, using time series data for 2010-2019 and the VECM model. The result showed that the money supply and tax revenue influence inflation and that there is a one-way causality relationship. The interest rate variable has not control inflation. The result of the causality test also shows that interest rate does not affect the money supply variabel, and tax revenue variables do not affect the money supply variable. The explanation of the estimation result of the VECM model generally shows that there is a long-term relationship and short-term relationship of each variable.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) Stock Market Return in Malaysia

2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uma Murthy ◽  
Paul Anthony ◽  
Rubana Vighnesvaran
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Kuala Lumpur ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Stock Market Return

This paper studies the relationship between Kuala Lumpur Composite Index Stock Market Return with four macroeconomic determinants, namely interest rate, exchange rate, money supply and oil price from January 1997 to December 2015 on a monthly basis with a total of 228 observations. However, most of the studies are carried out in developed countries and large economic nations instead of in emerging markets such as Malaysia. Thus, this study aims to extend the existing studies to include the impact of several macroeconomics determinants namely interest rate, exchange rate, money supply and oil price on KLCI stock market return. This paper employed Multiple Linear Regression to examine the statistical relationship and to test the hypotheses. The data was analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Science, SPSS. For diagnostic checking, there is existence of autocorrelation problem which is typically found in time-series data.  Results indicated that there is negative relationship between exchange rate and stock market return and positive relationship between money supply and stock market return. Interest rate and oil price are found to have insignificant relationship with stock market return.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic variables and banking sector development: Evidence from Nigeria

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
pp. 288-301
Author(s):  
Ojo Johnson Adelakun ◽  
Babatunde Afolabi ◽  
Uwasejike B Abuh
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Banking Sector Development ◽  
Bound Test

The study assessed the relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Development in the Nigerian Banking Sector using annual time series data. Models were specified using Ratio of Credits to Private Sector to Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a proxy for Banking Sector Development. At the same time, GDP growth rate, Poverty, Exchange Rate, Oil Price, Poverty, Money Supply, Inflation, and Interest rates were the selected Macroeconomic Variables used in the study. Data used were sourced from the Statistical Bulletin of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for various editions and estimated using ARDL Bound Test and Vector Error Correction Mechanism (VECM). The study found that there exists a long-run relationship between Macroeconomic Variables selected and Banking Sector Development. The VECM coefficients revealed that all variables except Interest Rates have negative effects on Banking Sector Development. The VECM (-1), which showed the speed of adjustment, was rightly signed and significant, indicating a long-run causality relationship running from macroeconomic variables to banking sector development. The Impulse response from restricted VAR revealed that Banking Sector responded to the Macroeconomic Variables of which GDPGR and INT were transmitting negatively to Banking Sector Development while others were transmitting positive impulses. However, the variance decomposition found that oil price, followed by GDPGR and poverty, caused more variation in Banking Sector Development. In contrast, inflation and money supply caused the least variation in Banking Sector Development. The study, therefore, concluded that selected Macroeconomic Variables have a significant long-run relationship with Banking Sector Development. It is therefore recommended, among others that, Macroeconomic indicators should be well monitored and controlled using macroeconomic instruments promptly since when they are well managed would lead to a better developed Banking Sector in Nigeria.

scholarly journals PENGARUH HARGA PROPERTI RESIDENSIAL DAN KEBIJAKAN FINANCING TO VALUE TERHADAP STABILITAS PERBANKAN SYARIAH DI INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Fatoni
Keyword(s):  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Residential Property ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Property Price ◽  
Banking Stability ◽  
The Stability

This study aims to analyze the effect of residential property prices and Financing to Value policies on the stability of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data, namely time series data from all Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia during the period March 2010 to December 2020. The model used in this study is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results of the study found that the Residential Property Price Index of small and medium types in the long term has an influence on the stability of Islamic Commercial Banks. However, each of them supports a different hypothesis, namely the collateral value hypothesis and the deviation hypothesis. Meanwhile, it was found that in the long and short term the Financing to Value policy had an influence on the stability of Islamic Commercial Banks in Indonesia. Keywords: Islamic Banking Stability, Property Price, Financing to Value

scholarly journals PENGARUH INFLASI DAN EKSPOR MINYAK KELAPA SAWIT TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA MENGGUNAKAN MODEL DINAMIS REGRESSION

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 8
Author(s):  
Isfihani Isfihani ◽  
Devi Andriyani
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Ardl Approach ◽  
Auto Regressive ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Term Analysis

This study aims to determine the effect of inflation and export of palm oil on the economic growth in Indonesia in the short and long term. The data used is the time series data from 1988 to 2016. The data analysis method used is the Auto Regressive Distributed Lagged (ARDL) approach and the analysis tool with the help of Eviews 9. The results of the study show that all stationary variables at the level of first difference and have long-term cointegration. Partially, in the short term analysis shows that inflation has a negative and significant effect on the economic growth, and exports of palm oil have a positive and insignificant effect on the value of economic growth in Indonesia. In the long-term analysis of inflation and export of palm oil has a negative and significant effect on the economic growth in Indonesia. The results of the stability model test show that the model used is stable. The result of the determination coefficient R 2 is 87.40 percent

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI DAN COUNTRY RISK TERHADAP INVESTASI PORTOFOLIO ASING DI INDONESIA

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 135
Author(s):  
Halifah Hadi ◽  
Hasdi Aimon ◽  
Dewi Zaini Putri
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Country Risk ◽  
Growth Effect ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
The Stability

The reseach aims to explain the effect of country risk and variabels macroeconomics to the foreign portofolio invesment in Indonesia in short term and long term. The analysis takes time series time series data from 2006 quarter 1 through 2016 quarter 4by using Error Correction Model (ECM). The source of data are Badan Pusat Statistik, Bank Indonesia, FX Sauder and World Bank. The result are in the short term the exchange rate and economic growth effect the shock that will influence the foreign portofolio invesment. In the long trem the inflation, interst rate, money supply and country risk influence on foreign portofolio invesment significanly. The suggestion in this research is, the goverment sould keep the stability balance of payment in Indonesia .Any change, the condition of  balance of payments effect appreciation and depreciation to Rupiah. To increase the economic growth in Indonesia, goverment could increasing the fiscal income and PMDN realization that will  increase the enterprises productivity.

scholarly journals The Money Supply Process in Bangladesh: An Econometric Analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 137-142
Author(s):  
Monir Uddin Ahmed ◽  
Md. Moniruzzaman Muzib ◽  
Subrata Saha
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Nominal Interest Rate ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Bank Rate ◽  
Annual Time Series ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Jel Code

Bangladesh Bank (BB) conducts monetary policy through targeting broad (M2) and narrow (M1) money  as operating instruments that will be influenced by Real and Nominal interest rate, Remittance, Bank Rate, Deposit interest rate. The success of monetary policy in achieving its objectives depends on the degree of controllability of M1 and M2 by Bangladesh Bank. This paper empirically examines the money supply process on the basis by the mainstream of Post-liberalization period covering the sample period of 1972/73-2009/10. It also Examine how M1 and M2 will be affected by the Speed of adjustment that is equal to the difference between deposit interest rate and nominal interest rate. The money supply function for Bangladesh has been empirically tested by using annual time series data. We have found that remittance is the most significant factor that highly influenced on narrow and broad money supply in Bangladesh. JEL Code: E31, E43, E51, E52

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals THE ANALYSIS OF THE TRANSMISSION MECHANISM OF MONETARY POLICY IN CONVENTIONAL AND SHARIA AGAINST INFLATION IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Julika Rahma Siagian
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Transmission Mechanism ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Short Term

This study aims to analyze the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Indonesia in controlling inflation, both in terms of sharia and conventional terms. The data used in this empirical study is time series data during 2011:1-2017:4 originating from (Bank Indonesia), Financial Services Authority (FSA) and Ministry of Finance (Kemenkue). The analysis tool used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). This study analyzes the relationship between independent and dependent variables both in the short and long term. The results of this study throuht the asset prices indicate that from conventional monetary variable SBI (certifikat of bank indonesia) variables that have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Where as in the long term the variable money supply has a positive effect and variable interest rates on Bank Indonesia, bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation. In Islamic monetary variables, SBIS have a positive and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. Islamic bond variables (Sukuk) have a negative and significant effect on inflation in the short-term. While in the long-term the variable money supply, Islamic interest rates, and Islamic bonds have a positive and significant effect on inflation.

scholarly journals Monetary and fiscal policy mix connectivity towards the business cycle in Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-152
Author(s):  
Regina Niken Wilantari ◽  
Imro'atul Husna Afriani
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Policy Mix ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Monetary And Fiscal Policy

This research is based on the magnitude of the influence of monetary and fiscal aspects, namely the money supply, exchange rates, government spending, and taxes on the business cycle in Indonesia. This study aims to examine the effect of the connection between the monetary and fiscal policy mix on the business cycle in Indonesia. For analysis purposes, secondary data was used in the form of time-series data from 1970–2017. The method used is the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to see long-term and short-term relationships. In the estimation results, it is found that in the long-term period, the monetary variables (money supply and exchange rates) and fiscal variables (government expenditures and taxes) have a significant positive effect on the business cycle in Indonesia.In contrast, the monetary variables that have a significant effect in the short-term period are only the amount variable money supply. There are no fiscal variables that have a significant effect on the business cycle in Indonesia. The interaction of monetary and fiscal policies is still effectively implemented in Indonesia.

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