scholarly journals Reproducibility, Diversity, and the Crisis of Inference in Psychology

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Moin Syed

Psychological researchers have long sought to make universal claims about behavior and mental processes. The various crises in psychology—reproducibility, replication, measurement, theory, generalizability—have all demonstrated that such claims are premature, and perhaps impossible using mainstream theoretical and methodological approaches. Both the lack of diversity of samples and simplistic conceptualizations of diversity (e.g., WEIRD, individualism/collectivism) have contributed to an “inference crisis,” in which researchers are ill equipped to make sense of group variation in psychological phenomena, particularly with respect to race/ethnicity. This talk will highlight how the lack of sophisticated frameworks for understanding racial/ethnic differences is a major barrier to developing a reproducible, cumulative psychology.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruby Castilla-Puentes ◽  
Jacqueline Pesa ◽  
Caroline Brethenoux ◽  
Patrick Furey ◽  
Liliana Gil Valletta ◽  
...  

BACKGROUND The prevalence of depression symptoms in the United States is >3 times higher mid–COVID-19 versus pre-pandemic. Racial/ethnic differences in mindsets around depression and the potential impact of the COVID-19 pandemic are not well characterized. OBJECTIVE To describe attitudes, mindsets, key drivers, and barriers related to depression pre– and mid–COVID-19 by race/ethnicity using digital conversations about depression mapped to health belief model (HBM) concepts. METHODS Advanced search, data extraction, and AI-powered tools were used to harvest, mine, and structure open-source digital conversations of US adults who engaged in conversations about depression pre– (February 1, 2019-February 29, 2020) and mid–COVID-19 pandemic (March 1, 2020-November 1, 2020) across the internet. Natural language processing, text analytics, and social data mining were used to categorize conversations that included a self-identifier into racial/ethnic groups. Conversations were mapped to HBM concepts (ie, perceived susceptibility, perceived severity, perceived benefits, perceived barriers, cues to action, and self-efficacy). Results are descriptive in nature. RESULTS Of 2.9 and 1.3 million relevant digital conversations pre– and mid–COVID-19, race/ethnicity was determined among 1.8 million (62%) and 979,000 (75%) conversations pre– and mid–COVID-19, respectively. Pre–COVID-19, 1.3 million conversations about depression occurred among non-Hispanic Whites (NHW), 227,200 among Black Americans (BA), 189,200 among Hispanics, and 86,800 among Asian Americans (AS). Mid–COVID-19, 736,100 conversations about depression occurred among NHW, 131,800 among BA, 78,300 among Hispanics, and 32,800 among AS. Conversations among all racial/ethnic groups had a negative tone, which increased pre– to mid–COVID-19; finding support from others was seen as a benefit among most groups. Hispanics had the highest rate of any racial/ethnic group of conversations showing an avoidant mindset toward their depression. Conversations related to external barriers to seeking treatment (eg, stigma, lack of support, and lack of resources) were generally more prevalent among Hispanics, BA, and AS than among NHW. Being able to benefit others and building a support system were key drivers to seeking help or treatment for all racial/ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS Applying concepts of the HBM to data on digital conversation about depression allowed organization of the most frequent themes by race/ethnicity. Individuals of all groups came online to discuss their depression. There were considerable racial/ethnic differences in drivers and barriers to seeking help and treatment for depression pre– and mid–COVID-19. Generally, COVID-19 has made conversations about depression more negative, and with frequent discussions of barriers to seeking care. These data highlight opportunities for culturally competent and targeted approaches to address areas amenable to change that might impact the ability of people to ask for or receive mental health help, such as the constructs that comprise the HBM.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 131 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jia Pu ◽  
Sukyung Chung ◽  
Beinan Zhao ◽  
Vani Nimbal ◽  
Elsie J Wang ◽  
...  

Background: This study assesses racial/ethnic differences in CVD outcomes among patients with hypertension (HTN) or type 2 diabetes (T2DM) across Asian American subgroups (Asian Indian, Chinese, Filipino, Japanese, Korean, Vietnamese), Mexican, non-Hispanic black (NHB), and non-Hispanic White (NHW) in a large, mixed payer ambulatory care setting in northern California. Study Design: We estimated the rate of CVD incidence among adult patients with HTN (N=171,864) or T2DM (N=10,570), or both (N=36,589) using electronic health records between 2000-2013. Average follow-up was 4.5 years. CVD, including CHD (410-414), PVD (415, 440.2, 440.3, 443.9, 451, 453), and stroke (430-434), was defined by ICD-9 codes; HTN and T2DM were defined by ICD-9 codes, medication history, or two or more elevated blood pressure measures/abnormal glucose lab test results. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios for CHD, PVD, and stroke across race/ethnicity. Results: Among these patients, 10.5% developed CVD by the end of year 2013 (5.4% CHD, 3.4%PVD, 3.6% stroke). There was a gender difference in the risk of incident CHD. Among males, the age-adjusted hazard ratios for CHD were significantly higher for Asian Indians (HR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.2-1.5) and significantly lower for Chinese (HR: 0.6, CI: 0.5-0.7) and Japanese (HR: 0.8, CI: 0.6-0.9) compared to NHWs. Among females, the age-adjusted hazard ratios for CHD were significantly higher for Mexican (HR: 1.3, CI: 1.1-1.5) and NHBs (HR: 1.7, CI: 1.4-2.0) and significantly lower for Chinese (HR: 0.6, CI: 0.5-0.7) and Japanese (HR: 0.5, CI: 0.4-0.7). NHB men and women also had significantly higher age-adjusted hazard ratios for PVD (men: HR: 1.5, CI: 1.2-1.9; women: HR: 1.6, CI: 1.3-1.9) and stroke (men: HR: 1.3, CI: 1.1-1.7; women: HR: 1.3, CI: 1.1-1.6) compared to NHWs. The age-adjusted hazard ratios for PVD and stroke were lower or equivalent to NHWs for all Asian subgroups and Mexican men and women. Patients with both HTN and T2DM were at elevated risk to develop CVD compared to patients with only one of the two conditions, regardless of their race/ethnicity. Conclusions: Compared to previous studies, we found less racial/ethnic variation in CVD outcomes, in particular stroke, among patients with HTN or T2DM. Our finding suggests the higher stroke incidence rates in several races/ethnicities are likely to be explained by the higher prevalence of HTN and T2DM among these groups. However, Asian Indian men and NHB and Mexican women with HTN or T2DM were at elevated risk for CHD compared to NHWs. Since the majority of patients in the study cohort had health insurance, further studies are needed to better understand the reasons for the observed racial/ethnic differences beyond disparities in access to health care. Special attention needs to be paid to patients with multiple conditions.


Blood ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 136 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 53-55
Author(s):  
Tatini Datta ◽  
Ann M Brunson ◽  
Anjlee Mahajan ◽  
Theresa Keegan ◽  
Ted Wun

Introduction Risk factors for cancer-associated venous thromboembolism (CAT) include tumor type, stage at diagnosis, age, and patient comorbidities. In the general population, race/ethnicity has been identified as a risk factor for venous thromboembolism (VTE), with an increased risk of VTE in African Americans (AA) and a lower risk in Asians/Pacific Islanders (API) and Hispanics compared to non-Hispanic Whites (NHW) after adjustment for confounders such as demographic characteristics and patient comorbidities. However, the impact of race/ethnicity on the incidence of CAT has not been as well-studied. Methods We performed an observational cohort study using data from the California Cancer Registry linked to the California Patient Discharge Dataset and Emergency Department Utilization database. We identified a cohort of patients of all ages with first primary diagnosis of the 13 most common cancers in California between 2005-2014, including breast, prostate, lung, colorectal, bladder, uterine, kidney, pancreatic, stomach, ovarian, and brain cancer, Non-Hodgkin lymphoma, and multiple myeloma, and followed them for a diagnosis of VTE using specific ICD-9-CM codes. The 12-month cumulative incidences of VTE [pulmonary embolism (PE) alone, PE + lower extremity deep venous thrombosis (LE DVT), proximal LE DVT alone, and isolated distal DVT (iDDVT)] were determined by race/ethnicity, adjusted for the competing risk of death. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were performed to determine the effect of race/ethnicity on the risk of CAT adjusted for age, sex, cancer stage, type of initial therapy (surgery, chemotherapy, radiation therapy), neighborhood socioeconomic status, insurance type, and comorbidities. Patients with VTE prior to cancer diagnosis were excluded. Results A total of 736,292 cancer patients were included in the analysis cohort, of which 38,431 (5.2%) developed CAT within 12 months of diagnosis. When comparing the overall cancer cohort to those that developed VTE, AA (7.2 vs 10.5%) and NHW (61.9 vs 64.3%) appear to be over-represented, and API (11.6 vs 7.6%) under-represented in VTE cohort (Figure 1). The greatest disparities in incidence by race/ethnicity were seen in PE. AA had the highest and API had the lowest 12-month cumulative incidences for all cancer types except for brain cancer (Figure 2). These racial/ethnic differences were also seen among cumulative incidences of proximal LE DVT. For iDDVT, AA again had the highest cumulative incidence compared to the other racial groups among all cancer types except for myeloma. Racial differences were not as prominent when examining cumulative incidence of all VTE (PE+DVT). In adjusted multivariable models of overall CAT, compared to NHW, AA had the highest risk of CAT across all cancer types except for brain cancer and myeloma. API had significantly lower risk of CAT than NHW for all cancer types. When examining PE only in multivariable models, AA had significantly higher risk of PE compared to NHW in all cancer types except for kidney, stomach, brain cancer, and myeloma (Hazard Ratio (HR) ranging from 1.36 to 2.09). API had significantly lower risk of PE in all cancer types except uterine, kidney, and ovarian cancer (HR ranging from 0.45 to 0.87). Hispanics had lower risk of PE than NHW in breast, prostate, colorectal, bladder, pancreatic cancer, and myeloma (HR ranging from 0.64 to 0.87). [Figure 3] Conclusion In this large, diverse, population-based cohort of cancer patients, race/ethnicity was associated with risk of CAT even after adjusting for cancer stage, type of treatment, sociodemographic factors, and comorbidities. Overall, AA had a significantly higher incidence and API had a significantly lower incidence of CAT than NHW. These racial/ethnic differences were especially prominent when examining PE only, and PE appears to be the main driver for the racial differences observed in overall rates of CAT. Current risk prediction models for CAT do not include race/ethnicity as a parameter. Future studies might examine if incorporation of race/ethnicity into risk prediction models for CAT may improve their predictive value, as this may have important implications for thromboprophylaxis in this high-risk population. Disclosures Wun: Glycomimetics, Inc.: Consultancy.


Author(s):  
Fatima Rodriguez ◽  
Nicole Solomon ◽  
James A. de Lemos ◽  
Sandeep R. Das ◽  
David A. Morrow ◽  
...  

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed longstanding racial/ethnic inequities in health risks and outcomes in the U.S.. We sought to identify racial/ethnic differences in presentation and outcomes for patients hospitalized with COVID-19. Methods: The American Heart Association COVID-19 Cardiovascular Disease Registry is a retrospective observational registry capturing consecutive patients hospitalized with COVID-19. We present data on the first 7,868 patients by race/ethnicity treated at 88 hospitals across the US between 01/17/2020 and 7/22/2020. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality; secondary outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE: death, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure) and COVID-19 cardiorespiratory ordinal severity score (worst to best: death, cardiac arrest, mechanical ventilation with mechanical circulatory support, mechanical ventilation with vasopressors/inotrope support, mechanical ventilation without hemodynamic support, and hospitalization without any of the above). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the relationship between race/ethnicity and each outcome adjusting for differences in sociodemographic, clinical, and presentation features, and accounting for clustering by hospital. Results: Among 7,868 patients hospitalized with COVID-19, 33.0% were Hispanic, 25.5% were non-Hispanic Black, 6.3% were Asian, and 35.2% were non-Hispanic White. Hispanic and Black patients were younger than non-Hispanic White and Asian patients and were more likely to be uninsured. Black patients had the highest prevalence of obesity, hypertension, and diabetes. Black patients also had the highest rates of mechanical ventilation (23.2%) and renal replacement therapy (6.6%) but the lowest rates of remdesivir use (6.1%). Overall mortality was 18.4% with 53% of all deaths occurring in Black and Hispanic patients. The adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for mortality were 0.93 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76-1.14) for Black patients, 0.90 (95% CI 0.73-1.11) for Hispanic patients, and 1.31 (95% CI 0.96-1.80) for Asian patients compared with non-Hispanic White patients. The median OR across hospitals was 1.99 (95% CI 1.74-2.48). Results were similar for MACE. Asian patients had the highest COVID-19 cardiorespiratory severity at presentation (adjusted OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.16-1.90). Conclusions: Although in-hospital mortality and MACE did not differ by race/ethnicity after adjustment, Black and Hispanic patients bore a greater burden of mortality and morbidity due to their disproportionate representation among COVID-19 hospitalizations.


2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 583-587 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea H Weinberger ◽  
Cristine D Delnevo ◽  
Jiaqi Zhu ◽  
Misato Gbedemah ◽  
Joun Lee ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Although there are racial/ethnic differences in cigarette use, little is known about how non-cigarette tobacco use differs among racial/ethnic groups. This study investigated trends in cigar use from 2002 to 2016, by racial/ethnic group, in nationally representative US data. Methods Data were drawn from the 2002–2016 National Survey on Drug Use and Health public use data files (total analytic sample n = 630 547 including 54 060 past-month cigar users). Linear time trends of past-month cigar use were examined by racial/ethnic group (Non-Hispanic [NH] White, NH Black, Hispanic, NH Other/Mixed Race/Ethnicity) using logistic regression models. Results In 2016, the prevalence of past-month cigar use was significantly higher among NH Black respondents than among other racial/ethnic groups (ps < .001). Cigar use was also higher among NH White respondents than among Hispanic and NH Other/Mixed Race/Ethnicity respondents. The year by racial/ethnic group interaction was significant (p < .001). Past-month cigar use decreased significantly from 2002 to 2016 among NH White and Hispanic respondents (ps = .001), whereas no change in prevalence was observed among NH Black (p = .779) and NH Other/Mixed Race/Ethnicity respondents (p = .152). Cigar use decreased for NH White men (p < .001) and did not change for NH White women (p = .884). Conversely, cigar use increased for NH Black women (p < .001) and did not change for NH Black men (p = .546). Conclusions Cigar use remains significantly more common among NH Black individuals in the United States and is not declining among NH Black and NH Other/Mixed Race/Ethnicity individuals over time, in contrast to declines among NH White and Hispanic individuals. Implications This study identified racial/ethnic differences in trends in past-month cigar use over 15 years among annual cross-sectional samples of US individuals. The highest prevalence of cigar use in 2016 was found among NH Black individuals. In addition, cigar use prevalence did not decline from 2002 to 2016 among NH Black and NH Other/Mixed Race/Ethnicity groups over time, in contrast to NH White and Hispanic groups. Further, cigar use increased over time for NH Black women. Targeted public health and clinical efforts may be needed to decrease the prevalence of cigar use, especially for NH Black individuals.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. 6529-6529 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tracy A. Balboni ◽  
Paul K Maciejewski ◽  
Michael J. Balboni ◽  
Andrea Catherine Enzinger ◽  
M. Elizabeth Paulk ◽  
...  

6529 Background: Racial/ethnic minorities and patients who turn to religion to cope receive more aggressive EOL care. Beliefs underlying these associations are unknown. Methods: Coping with Cancer is an ongoing, multi-site, NCI-funded study examining factors influencing racial/ethnic EoL disparities. From 11/2010-10/2012, 133 advanced cancer patients underwent baseline interviews, including 7 items assessing religious beliefs about EoL care (RBEC). Univariate analyses assessed racial/ethnic differences in RBEC and EoL treatment preferences. Multivariable analyses (MVA) modeled mean RBEC score as a function of race/ethnicity, controlling for confounders, and assessed the relationship of race/ethnicity and RBEC to treatment preferences. Results: Religious beliefs about EoL care are common and more often held by racial/ethnic minorities (Table); racial/ethnic differences persisted in MVA (p<.0001). Black patients were more likely than Whites to prefer aggressive EOL care (OR=5.03, p=.02), whereas Latino’s EOL preferences did not differ from Whites (p=.87). In MVA including race and RBEC score, Black race was not related to EOL care preferences (OR 1.61, p=0.55), whereas greater RBEC score was associated with greater preference for aggressive care (OR 2.48, p=0.003). Conclusions: Religious beliefs about EoL care are common and significantly more so among racial/ethnic minorities. Preliminary data suggest these beliefs mediate the relationship between race/ethnicity and EoL treatment preferences. [Table: see text]


2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 5-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert A. Hummer ◽  
Juanita J. Chinn

AbstractAlthough there have been significant decreases in U.S. mortality rates, racial/ethnic disparities persist. The goals of this study are to: (1) elucidate a conceptual framework for the study of racial/ethnic differences in U.S. adult mortality, (2) estimate current racial/ethnic differences in adult mortality, (3) examine empirically the extent to which measures of socioeconomic status and other risk factors impact the mortality differences across groups, and (4) utilize findings to inform the policy community with regard to eliminating racial/ethnic disparities in mortality. Relative Black-White differences are modestly narrower when compared to a decade or so ago, but remain very wide. The majority of the Black-White adult mortality gap can be accounted for by measures of socioeconomic resources that reflect the historical and continuing significance of racial socioeconomic stratification. Further, when controlling for socioeconomic resources, Mexican Americans and Mexican immigrants exhibit significantly lower mortality risk than non-Hispanic Whites. Without aggressive efforts to create equality in socioeconomic and social resources, Black-White disparities in mortality will remain wide, and mortality among the Mexican-origin population will remain higher than what would be the case if that population achieved socioeconomic equality with Whites.


Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsay Pool ◽  
Xiaoyun Yang ◽  
Amy Krefman ◽  
Amanda M Perak ◽  
Matthew Davis ◽  
...  

Introduction: Racial/ethnic differences in CVH beginning at age 8 have been identified and linked with the development of cardiometabolic disease in adulthood; however, there is scarce research on CVH in very childhood. Our objective was to use a large, diverse pediatric EHR consortium to identify racial/ethnic patterns of clinical CVH from ages 2-12 years. Methods: We used ambulatory visit data spanning 2010-2018 from children aged 2-12 years within CAPriCORN - an EHR repository that combines medical records throughout the city of Chicago. The 4 clinical CVH metrics - BMI, blood pressure, cholesterol, and glucose - were categorized as ideal or non-ideal using available values of weight, height, blood pressure, laboratory readings, and ICD diagnosis codes. Multiple measurements within a given integer age were averaged by individual. Frequency of ideal and non-ideal status for each CVH metric was plotted by age in years and stratified by race/ethnicity (Figure). Results: There were 162,621 children included (47% female) with a median of 2 visits during follow-up. The race/ethnicity distribution was 4% Asian/Pacific Islander (API), 26% non-Hispanic Black (NHB), 44% non-Hispanic white (NHW), 18% Hispanic, and 8% other/unknown. Sustained decrease in ideal BMI occurred across race/ethnicity groups; however, proportion in ideal was consistently lower for NHB and Hispanic children. Ideal BP appeared to increase across childhood with few racial differences. Ideal cholesterol levels were constant across childhood, but the proportion of NHW children in ideal was lower than NHB and Hispanic children. Almost all individuals had ideal glucose levels throughout early childhood. Conclusions: Early childhood declines in CVH appeared to be driven by changes in ideal BMI. Racial/ethnic differences in ideal BMI and cholesterol were present by age 2 and were mostly sustained through age 12. Selection bias may account for some of these findings; consistent monitoring in early childhood is needed to better understand observed differences.


2018 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jo-Ana D. Chase ◽  
David Russell ◽  
Liming Huang ◽  
Alexandra Hanlon ◽  
Melissa O’Connor ◽  
...  

Few studies have explored racial/ethnic differences in health care outcomes among patients receiving home health care (HHC), despite known differences in other care settings. We conducted a retrospective cohort study examining racial/ethnic disparities in rehospitalization and emergency room (ER) use among post-acute patients served by a large northeastern HHC agency between 2013 and 2014 ( N = 22,722). We used multivariable binomial logistic regression to describe the relationship between race/ethnicity and health care utilization outcomes, adjusting for individual-level factors that are conceptually related to health service use. Overall rates of rehospitalization and ER visits were 10% and 13%, respectively. African American and Hispanic patients experienced higher odds of ER visits or rehospitalization during their HHC episode. Racial/ethnic differences in utilization were mediated by enabling factors, such as caregiver availability, and illness-level factors, such as illness severity, functional status, and symptoms. Intervention targets may include early risk assessment, proactive management of clinical conditions, rehabilitative therapy, and caregiver training.


2019 ◽  
Vol 46 (8) ◽  
pp. 1128-1147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lindsey E. Wylie ◽  
Samantha S. Clinkinbeard ◽  
Anne Hobbs

As “gatekeepers” into the juvenile justice system, diversion programs are positioned to prevent future delinquency. Although research on the effectiveness of diversion is mixed, the risk–needs–responsivity (RNR) model may explain how diversion programming that matches youth to services based on their risk and needs may reduce reoffending. Most RNR research has included juveniles at the deeper end of the system, fewer studies have examined RNR with early system–involved youth. The current study explored the application of risk and needs matching in a juvenile diversion program by gender and race/ethnicity. Furthermore, we estimated a survival function to estimate risk and needs alignment on time to recidivism. Although there were no gender differences in the application of RNR, some racial/ethnic differences did emerge. Findings provide support for assessing diversion youth with the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) and applying the RNR framework to early system–involved youth assessed as low to moderate risk.


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