The provincial trend of population aging in China – based on population expansion forecast formula

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Lingyun Duan ◽  
Ziyuan Liu ◽  
Wen Yu ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Dongyan Jin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Population Aging ◽  
Population Expansion ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Development Trend ◽  
National Bureau ◽  
Prediction Formula ◽  
Population Sampling ◽  
The Government ◽  
Population Prediction

China is one of the countries that have entered the stage of population aging. At present, the phenomenon of aging population has become a widespread concern of the whole society. Scientific and accurate prediction of aging population will help relevant departments to formulate specific countermeasures. This paper uses the Yearbook of China’s 1% population sampling survey in 2015 and the data published by the National Bureau of statistics. Based on the basic population prediction formula, the population prediction formula is established by using the index extrapolation method to predict the population aging development trend of provinces and cities in China from 2020 to 2050. The results show that: China’s aging degree will continue to increase, the size of the elderly population will continue to increase, 2020–2030 will be a period of rapid growth of the national population aging, after then the aging ratio will decline. The government should formulate security countermeasures for the elderly from various aspects as soon as possible and actively respond to aging the population.

scholarly journals Aging Population and Its Impacts on Economy of Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 1681-1685
Author(s):  
Nguyen Tan Danh
Keyword(s):  
Population Aging ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
General Situation ◽  
Medical Field ◽  
Common Interests ◽  
The Common ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Right ◽  
The Impact

The proportion of the elderly in Vietnam is happening with rapidly growing numbers. This is an inevitable trend in Vietnamese society, and also a problem - a challenge for the government. The main goal of our country in particular is to point out and face the immediate situation (high aging rate of the population), and at the same time find a strategy that is suitable for the development of the country as well as consistent with the common interests of the current elderly group; making predictions to take the right steps to minimize the risks and risks from its negative sides. This article discusses the general situation of population aging in recent years in Vietnam; give specific numbers and statistics on this issue. From there, this article will highlight the opportunities and challenges that this country is facing - especially the impact on the country's economy and give a number of recommendations related to the improvementin order to build a satisfactory welfare and welfare system for the elderly in the current aging population in Vietnam. The article uses the method of surveying a number of interviewers to find suitable solutions, and the results show that the problem of the elderly, even though not alarmed since the elderly in Vietnam are still taken care by children and their families rather well. However, there is quite a big concern we need to pay more attention, that is, the economic burden will be an issue for society in the future, especially in the medical field.

scholarly journals Polityka społeczna wobec ludzi starych w Polsce — uwarunkowania, rozwój i kierunki zmian

Ekonomia ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 73-84
Author(s):  
Sylwia Wojtczak
Keyword(s):  
Social Policy ◽  
Older People ◽  
Senior Citizens ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Social Activity ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Modern Medicine ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Government ◽  
Human And Social Capital

Social policy toward old people in Poland — conditions, development and directions of changesSocial policy shapes people’s living conditions. In the era of dynamic demographic changes, especially the aging of the population observed in Poland and across the world, the activity of the state focused on improving the quality of life of the elderly is particularly important. Population aging is a demographic process of increasing the proportion of older people while reducing the proportion of children in the society of a given country. Elderly people will continue to be a part of society, mainly due to the progress of civilization, advances in modern medicine and the popularization of so-called healthy living.Social policy toward the elderly should not be limited to managing the social security system and social welfare. Eff ective use of human and social capital of the elderly will be a growing challenge for this policy, and for senior citizens — spending satisfactorily the last years of one’s life. However, for some senior citizens, old age means or will mean poverty and living on the margins of civil society. The Ministry of Family, Labor and Social Polic y is responsible for the social policy of people in Poland, off ering for example in the years 2014–2020 to senior citizens such programs as “Senior +”, the Government Program for Social Activity of the Elderly ASOS or “Care 75+.” Each of the above programs have appropriate criteria that must be met to be able to use them. Are older people eager to use them, or are the eff ects of these programs already visible? This study will attempt to answer the above questions. The main purpose of the article is to diagnose and analyze selected government programs targeted at older people. In addition, perspectives for changes in social policy toward older people in Poland will be determined.

scholarly journals International strategies in the face of aging population

2016 ◽  
Vol 126 (2) ◽  
pp. 55-58
Author(s):  
Bartłomiej Drop ◽  
Marian Jędrych ◽  
Agnieszka Barańska ◽  
Ewelina Firlej ◽  
Mariola Janiszewska
Keyword(s):  
Population Aging ◽  
Age Groups ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
World Health ◽  
Modern World ◽  
The European Union ◽  
The Face ◽  
International Strategies

Abstract Introduction. Population aging poses many important economic, social, and health challenges to the modern world. This applies mostly to developed countries. The phenomenon requires joint action of Member States of the European Union, the World Health Organization, the United Nations, the Council of Europe as well as some unified strategies for the actions taken by these entities. Aim. The aim of this study was to demonstrate international strategies implemented in the face of demographic changes. Material and methods. The authors analyzed the documents outlining strategies for both organizations and entities, as well as recommendations for international scientific consultation on strategy of the aging population. Results. Analysis of changes happening to the oldest age groups showed the need for cooperation between countries. An overview of the strategies being taken at the moment and those that had been undertaken previously by international entities can contribute to modify the arrangements of the elderly; in order to improve the living conditions in multidimensional aspect. Conclusions. The key to achieving the desired effect through implementing the policies of individual countries is to monitor them on a regular basis.

Population Aging and Prospect of China's Elderly Care and Its Related Industries

2021 ◽  
pp. 87-113
Author(s):  
Mei Liu ◽  
Qing-Ping Ma
Keyword(s):  
Social Security ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Elderly Care ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Current Situation ◽  
Government Policies ◽  
Care Industry ◽  
Aging Society ◽  
Child Policy ◽  
The Government

China becomes an aging society in a pace much faster than other countries because of its one-child policy implemented since 1980. This chapter examines the current situation of population aging in China, the government policies and regulations surrounding elderly care, and the experiences of other Asian and Oceanian countries in dealing with population aging. The rapid population aging poses severe challenges for the elderly care in China, which has not established an adequate social security system, but it also provides abundant opportunities for enterprises and entrepreneurs in the aging industry from other Asian and Oceanian countries as well as China. China can learn from the experiences of industrialized Asian and Oceanian countries and regions in developing its elderly care industry.

scholarly journals Family Changes and China’s Elderly Support System

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 584-584
Author(s):  
Zhan Hu ◽  
Ke Shen
Keyword(s):  
Support System ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Community Services ◽  
Life Course Perspective ◽  
Intergenerational Solidarity ◽  
National Surveys ◽  
Frail Elders ◽  
New Family ◽  
The Government

Abstract Population aging has become the norm in China. Improving or reconstructing the elderly support system is therefore essential. While the government and institutional support has been improving and enhancing in China, family remains the most important source of elderly support for a long period in the future. Based on data from censuses and national surveys (1982-2015), we examine recent changes in household size and structure across ages from an individual life course perspective, to reveal the complexities and ambiguities behind the nationwide household change. Our findings suggest that multi-generational co-residence is a major vehicle to accommodate the needs of family members at critical stages of life. These salient features of family change in China call for new family-oriented policies, including pragmatic incentives to strengthen intergenerational solidarity, essential support for family caregivers, and diversified community services to care for frail elders.

scholarly journals Analysis of Mortality Improvement on the Pension Cost Due to Aging Population

MATEMATIKA ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 209-216
Author(s):  
Rose Irnawaty Ibrahim ◽  
Norazmir Mohd Nordin
Keyword(s):  
Life Expectancy ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Malaysian Population ◽  
Pension Costs ◽  
The Government ◽  
Mortality Improvement ◽  
Life Annuities ◽  
Near Future ◽  
Economic Outlook

Aging is a good indicator in demographic and health areas as the lifespanof the elderly population increases. Based on the government’s Economic Outlook 2019,it was found that an aging population would increase the government pension paymentsas the pensioners and their beneficiaries have longer life expectancy. Due to mortalityrates decreasing over time, the life expectancy tends to increase in the future. Theaims of this study are to forecast the mortality rates in the years 2020 and 2025 usingthe Heligman-Pollard model and then analyse the effect of mortality improvement onthe pension cost (annuity factor) for the Malaysian population. However, this studyonly focuses on estimating the annuity factor using life annuities through the forecastedmortality rates. The findings indicated that the pension cost is expected to increase ifthe life expectancy of the Malaysian population increases due to the aging population inthe near future. Thus, to reduce pension costs and help the pensioners from insufficientfinancial income, the government needs to consider an extension of the retirement age infuture.

scholarly journals The Current of Population Aging and Its Impact on Economic Growth in the Mekong Delta

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Phan Thuan ◽  
Vu Thi Thu Hien
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Elderly Population ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Mekong Delta ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Group Population

The purpose of the article is to analyze the current of aging population and its impact on economic growth in the Mekong Delta. The article pointed out that aging population has being occured quickly with the trends: the rapid increase of group population aged 60 and over, the differences between localities in the area and the elderly population feminization. This has impacted strongly on the region's economic growth. From the evidences of this study, aging population has influenced both positive and negative to the region's economic growth.

scholarly journals Demografia polityczna i możliwości dla polityki pronatalistycznej w Polsce

2016 ◽  
pp. 65-91
Author(s):  
Mateusz Łakomy
Keyword(s):  
Financial Stability ◽  
Pension System ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Low Fertility ◽  
Support Network ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Number Of Children ◽  
The Government

Political demography links demographic findings with public policies aimed at achieving state goals. Current challenge of population aging causes threat to internal financial stability and well-being of the elderly. Aging also questions countries’ international position due to possibly reduced financial capability to maintain geopolitical power, and in extreme situation of lowest low fertility also due to continuous, unstoppable decline in the population size. In case of Poland, aging alone would result in almost doubling expenditure on pensions and healthcare. To respond to social and geopolitical challenges, the government should primarily focus on policies aimed at stimulating births. To foster pronatalist policies, factors affecting fertility may be grouped into five categories: economic, cultural, psychological, infrastructural and unplanned. All these factors influence childbearing behaviour simultaneously. Some of them constitute barriers to fertility (which need to be eliminated) and the others facilitate fertility (and they need to be strengthened). The barriers include financial constraints, individualistic values, financial insecurity, union instability, insufficient support network and lack of family-friendly employment. Identified facilitators in turn include pension system linking benefits with number of children (family pension system) and family-oriented aspirations and values with religion as a vital ingredient. Father commitment to family life impacts both as facilitator and by eliminating barriers.

scholarly journals Impacts of Social Participation on Self-Rated Health of Aging Women in China: With a Mediating Role of Caring for Grandchildren

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (11) ◽  
pp. 5790
Author(s):  
Shuliu Tian ◽  
Lei Xu ◽  
Xiangling Wu
Keyword(s):  
Social Participation ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Well Being ◽  
The Elderly ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Social Activities ◽  
Self Rated Health ◽  
Aging Women ◽  
The Government

Population aging is a global challenge and the degree of population aging is continuing to deepen in China. Under the active aging policy framework by WHO, great importance has been attached to aging women and participation is emphasized for the well-being of the elderly. This study aimed to investigate the relation between social participation and self-rated health status of aging women in China and whether caring for grandchildren mediated such an association. Adopting data from the 2018 China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), this study used Oprobit regression, propensity score matching (PSM), and instrument variable regression to estimate the effects. The result showed that there was a positive association between social participation and self-rated health among aging women in China, and social activities that directly made contributions to others had the most significant impacts on self-rated health. Furthermore, the mediator analysis confirmed that caring for grandchildren played a role between social participation and self-rated health. In conclusion, to deal with population aging challenges, the society should recognize the value of intergenerational care for aging women and the government need to strengthen policy supports to guarantee platforms and opportunities for the elderly to participate in social activities.

Robert L. Brown. Economic Security in an Aging Population. Butterworths Perspectives on Individual and Population Aging series. Toronto and Vancouver: Butterworths, 1991, pp. 137.

1994 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-121
Author(s):  
Denis Fugère
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Population Aging ◽  
Pension Plan ◽  
Aging Population ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Retirement Savings ◽  
Retirement Plans ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Income Security ◽  
The Government

ABSTRACTRobert Brown's work constitutes an excellent synthesis of the foreseeable evolution of income-security plans, as regards seniors and the problems relative to these plans in an aging-of-the-population context. However, it contains nothing new on the measures that the State should institute to diminish the effects of an aging population. Brown believes that retirement plans implemented by employers as well as personal retirement-savings plans should be the preferred forms of retirement savings encouraged by the government. Within this framework, the fiscal reform of 1990, which significantly increases the allowable deductions for a registered-retirement savings plan, comprises a step in the right direction. Unlike the author, I believe that public retirement plans like the Quebec Pension Plan (Q.P.P.) and the Canada Pension Plan (C.P.P.) should constitute the cornerstone of any policy on income security upon retirement. Consequently, in a an-aging-of-the-population context, it seems important to rapidly increase the level of contribution to these plans, in order to better capitalize them and to stabilize the long-term level of contribution. We should also study the possibility of integrating the old age income-security pension into these plans, so that the level of compensation for revenue from work guaranteed by the public plan is stabilized at a rate of 70 per cent for low-income earners and 40 per cent for middle-income earners, as is the case in the American social security plan.

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