scholarly journals Analisis Kinerja Keuangan Sektor Manufacture dengan Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankcruptcy Model di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode 2014 – 2017

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 298
Author(s):  
Yunan Surono ◽  
Sindy Dwiroro Pangestu
Keyword(s):  
Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Total Asset ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Multiple Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Manufacture Sector ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company

This research aims to prove the financial performance of Manufacture sector with Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankruptcy Model when measured using the Altman's Z-score first model, Altman's Z-score revision and Altman's Z-score modifications, Springate model and Zmiejewski model as well as to get the stocks that have the best performance based on the model. In this research the population used is the stock sector manufacturing group on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the year 2014 – 2017 as many as 166 issuers manufacture. This research sample is the manufacture sector company, which provides complete data, and has a total asset of positive value and fluctuates as many as 22 companies. This form of research is an explolanatoris research (explanatory Research). The results showed, that based on the first Altman's Z-score model, in 2014 the company's performance in a healthy or not bankrupt category was 31.82%, while the company had a gray performance of 22.73%, as for The company's performance with the category broke by 45.45%. In 2015 the company's performance with a healthy category of 27, 27, 82%, a company that had a gray performance of 27.27%, the company's performance of the category went bankrupt by 45.45%. In 2016 the company's performance with a healthy category of 22, 73, 82%, the company had a gray performance of 36.36%, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 36.36%. In 2017 the company's performance with a category of 40.91%, the company has a gray performance of 22.73%, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 36.36%. Based on the model Altman Z-Score revision can be concluded that in 2014 the company's performance with a healthy category of 31.82%, a company that has a gray performance of 54.55%, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt 13.64%. Year 2015 the performance of the company with a healthy category of 27.27%, the company has a gray performance of 54.55%, the company with the category went bankrupt by 18.18%. Year 2016 the company's performance with a healthy category of 45.45%, while the company has a gray performance of 36.36%, the company with the category went bankrupt by 18.18%. Year 2017 the performance of the company with a healthy category of 50.00%, the company that has a gray performance of 31.82%, the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 18.18%. Based on the model of Altman Z-score modification can be concluded, namely in 2014 the performance of the company with a healthy category of 72.73%, the company that has a gray performance of 22.73%, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt of 4.55%. In 2015 the company's performance with a healthy category of 72.73%, while the company had a gray performance of 18.18%, as for the company's performance in the category went bankrupt by 9.09%. In 2016 the company's performance with a healthy category of 77.27%, the company had a gray performance of 13.64%, the company's performance in the category went bankrupt by 18.18%. In 2017 the company's performance with a healthy category of 81.82%, while the company had a gray performance of 13.64%, as for the company's performance in the category went bankrupt by 4.55%. Based on Springate model can be concluded, namely in 2014 the performance of the company with a healthy category of 59.09%, while companies that have a gray performance is not there, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 40.91%. In 2015 the company's performance with a healthy category of 50.00%, while companies that had a gray performance did not exist, the performance of the company with the category went bankrupt by 50.00%. In 2016 the company's performance with a healthy category of 59.09%, while companies that have a gray performance does not exist, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 40.91%. In 2017 the company's performance with a healthy category of 63.64%, while companies that have a gray performance does not exist, as for the performance of the company with the category bankrupt by 36.36%. Based on Zmiejewski model can be concluded, in 2014 to 2017 the performance of companies with a healthy or not bankrupt category is 100%, while companies that have a gray performance does not exist, as for the performance of the company with Bankruptcy category does not exist. Stocks that have the best performance based on each multiple discriminant analysis bankruptcy models respectively, namely INTP, CEKA, MERK, GGRM, LMSH, CPIN, MLBI, IKBI, TRIS UNIC and INDF, who have never experienced bankruptcy or in financial distress.

scholarly journals Analysis of bankruptcy issues at manufacturing companies, sub-sectors of cosmetics and houseappliances registered in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) year 2015-2017 using Altman Z-score

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Indar Khaerunnisa ◽  
Nur Anisa Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Marketing Performance ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Model

This research aims to figure out the level of companies bankruptcy by applying Altman Z-Score at the manufacturing companies registered in the Indonesia Stocks Exchange. The result of the research has indicated that ZScore model is applicable to detect the company’s potential bankruptcy issues, especially manufacturing company subsectors of cosmetics and houseappliances. Altman Z-Score model has classified the companies into three categories; safe, grey area and distress. Based on the result of the research, for the companies which are in the grey area category are suggested to improve their financial performance and to use the benefit of all the assets properly to get the revenue as much as possible. However, for the companies which are in the safe category are suggested to increase their performance, especially marketing performance so that they will receive bigger amount of the revenue, nevertheless, the potential of financial distress can be minimized accordingly. Keywords: manufacturing company, financial distress, Altman Z-Score.

scholarly journals Impak Struktur Modal, Struktur Kepemilikkan dan Karakteristik Perusahaan Terhadap Financial Distress dan Financial Health Perusahaan

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 135-149
Author(s):  
Ratnawati Raflis ◽  
Enny Arita
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
Financial Performance ◽  
Ownership Structure ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Health ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Score Model ◽  
The Impact

Corona Virus Pandemic affected the world economy, including Indonesia. Many companies are out of business due to this pandemic.With the background of the conditions mentioned above, the researchers are interested in examining more deeply the variables that determine the level of financial distress and at the same time the financial health of the company. Furthermore, the variables that are used as independent variables and are thought to affect the company's financial performance are capital structure, ownership structure and company characteristics. In assessing financial performance, the Altman Z Score model is used and then to see the impact of the variables that are thought to affect the company's financial performance.The research model used is the Logistic Regression equation.Population and sample are taken from financial data of companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Data is taken manually on the website: www.idx.co.id. And the period in this study was taken from 2015-2019. The test results prove that the Capital Structure and Ownership Structure are factors that have a significant influence on the Company's Financial Distress and Financial Health. ABSTRAK Pandemi Virus Corona berimbas pada perekonomian dunia tidak terkecuali pada perekonomian di Indonesia. Banyak perusahaan yang gulung tikar akibat pandemik ini. Dengan berlatar belakang kondisi tersebut diatas maka peneliti tertarik untuk mengkaji lebih dalam menentukkan variabel yang sangat menentukan tingkat Financial Distress dan sekaligus financial health (Kinerja Keuangan) perusahaan. Selanjutnya variabel yang di jadikan variabel independen dan di duga berpengaruh terhadap kinerja keuangan perusahaan adalah struktur modal, struktur kepemilikkan dan Kharakteristik Perusahaan. Dalam menilai kinerja keuangan maka digunakan model Altman Z Score dan selanjutnya untuk melihat dampak variabel yang di duga berpengaruh terhadap kinerja keuangan perusahaan. Model penelitian yang di pakai adalah persamaan Logistic Regression. Model ini kemudian akan di lakukan uji T , Uji F dan Uji Asumsi Klasik sebelum di gunakan dalam melihat signifikasi variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen. Populasi dan sampel diambil dari data keuangan perusahaan yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Data diambil secara manual di website: www.idx.co.id. Periode pada penelitian ini diambilkan data dari tahun 2015-2019. Hasil Pengujian membuktikan bahwa Struktur Modal dan Struktur Kepemilikkan adalah faktor yang sangat berpengaruh signifikan terhadap Financial Distress dan Financial Health Perusahaan.

scholarly journals Using Beneish M-Score and Altman Z-Score models to detect financial fraud and company failure

2021 ◽  
Vol 69 (4) ◽  
pp. 20-29
Author(s):  
Snežana Knežević ◽  
Marko Špiler ◽  
Marko Milašinović ◽  
Aleksandra Mitrović ◽  
Stefan Milojević ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Reporting ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Financial Statements ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Fraudulent Financial Reporting ◽  
Financial Decisions ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company

Bankruptcy is a risk that any company can face, regardless of its size. The importance of predicting a company's bankruptcy for years before its development is enormous, and it is important for financial sustainability. Financial reporting is an important platform for making financial decisions of investors and creditors. In recent years, the frequency of false financial reporting by firms has increased and there are concerns about investors' confidence in capital market. Academics and industry experts adopt a variety of risk management techniques to detect fraudulent financial reporting. A case study was applied in this paper. Based on publicly available financial data (disclosed financial statements) of a domestic textile company for the period 2017-2020, whose shares are listed on the stock exchange, a survey was conducted based on the application of Altman's Z-Score model and Beneish M-Score model. Financial distress is an important criterion to monitor when assessing the likelihood of fraud reporting. When a company is operating poorly, there is a greater motivation to engage in fraudulent financial reporting. The findings show that the results differ according to the applied method in terms of identifying the possibility of bankruptcy and the possibility of fraud in the financial statements of the observed company. The results of the study can be important to investors, auditors, regulators, bankers, tax and other government bodies.

scholarly journals Analysis of bankruptcy issues at manufacturing companies, sub-sectors of cosmetics and houseappliances registered in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) year 2015-2017 using Altman Z-score

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (01) ◽  
pp. 27
Author(s):  
Indar Khaerunnisa ◽  
Nur Anisa Rahayu
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Marketing Performance ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Manufacturing Company ◽  
Score Model

This research aims to figure out the level of companies bankruptcy by applying Altman Z-Score at the manufacturing companies registered in the Indonesia Stocks Exchange. The result of the research has indicated that ZScore model is applicable to detect the company’s potential bankruptcy issues, especially manufacturing company subsectors of cosmetics and houseappliances. Altman Z-Score model has classified the companies into three categories; safe, grey area and distress. Based on the result of the research, for the companies which are in the grey area category are suggested to improve their financial performance and to use the benefit of all the assets properly to get the revenue as much as possible. However, for the companies which are in the safe category are suggested to increase their performance, especially marketing performance so that they will receive bigger amount of the revenue, nevertheless, the potential of financial distress can be minimized accordingly. Keywords: manufacturing company, financial distress, Altman Z-Score.

scholarly journals MODEL ALTMAN Z-SCORE UNTUK MEMPREDIKSI FINANCIAL DISTRESS : STUDI EMPIRIS PADA INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA

JURNAL PUNDI ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lidya Martha ◽  
Sri Mardhatillah ◽  
Zusmawati Zus
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Manufacturing Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
Grey Area ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company

Financial distress is the financial difficulties experience by a company before the company become bankruptcy (Mafiroh, 2016). The purpose of this study was to determine which firms would be predicted financial distress. The population in this research is manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015. In this study, the population is used 365 companies. The process of collecting samples are using purposive sampling method. The model used to analyze the rate of financial distress is Altman Z-Score Model. The results showed that of the 15 companies that were sampled 5 (five) of them were healthy (>2,99), 2 (two) of them were financial distress (<1,81) and 8 (eight) indicated in grey area (1,81 – 2,99).  

scholarly journals Usability of Z Score: A Case Study on Peoples Leasing and Financial Services Limited & Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company Limited

2020 ◽  
pp. 38-46 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Multiple Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Finance Company ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Retained Earnings

This study aims to identify whether or not the Z score is usable enough in doing prediction at the early stage of the financial distress of People’s Leasing and Financial Services (PLFS) and Bangladesh Industrial Finance Company (BIFC). To predict corporate failure, Multiple Discriminant Analysis is an effective solution. Z"-Score by Altman is a widely used model of multiple discriminant analysis. Using the data from 2011 to 2017 of PLFS and 2015-2017 of BIFC, this study applied the Altman Z"-Score Model as well as used SPSS software to analyze the descriptive statistics of the financial information and ratios of both company to know the level of financial distresses and attributes for reaching toward distress level. The analysis was presented in tables. The finding shows that Z"-Score by Altman is usable enough to predict the failure of the firm. The descriptive analysis shows that working capital, retained earnings, and income before interest and tax were negative which could be considered as the reasons for the distressed position. This study contributes by showing the usefulness of the Z score of Altman in emerging countries like Bangladesh. This is significant because early prediction can prevent liquidation which ultimately protects various stakeholders of an organization.

scholarly journals Analisis Perbandingan Financial Distress Pada Perusahaan Sub Sektor Rokok Periode 2015-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 157-163
Author(s):  
Anang Makruf ◽  
Deni Ramdani
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Quantitative Models ◽  
A Company ◽  
Analyze Data

Abstract – The aim of the study was to analyze financial distress in cigarette companies list in Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2015-2019 using 3 methods, Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski, and Springate. Purposive sampling is used in this study to determine the sampling technique. The sample used in this study released 4 cigarette companies. Descriptive asalysis with quantitative models was used to analyze data in this research. Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski, and Springate in 2015-2019 PT. HM Sampoerna Tbk, PT. Gudang Garam Tbk, and PT. Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk is related to safe, but it is needed a company that is estimated to be grey in the Altman Z-Score calculation in 2018, PT. Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk. The Z-score is at the limit because the companie has a ratio with a lower value in market value of equity  to book value of liabilities   Abstrak – Penelitian ini memiliki bertujuan untuk menganalisis perbandingan kesulitan keuangan dalam perusahaan sun sektor rokok di Indonesia Stock Exchange periode 2015-2019 menggunakan tiga metode. Metode yang digunakan yaitu Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski, dan Springate. Purposive sampling digunakan dalam penelitian ini untuk menentukan teknik pengambilan sampel. Sampel yang digunakan berjumlah 4 perusahaan rokok. Analisis deskriptif dengan pendekatan kuantitatif digunakan sebagai teknik analisis data. Dalam penelitian ini menjelaskan financial distress yang dihitung menggunakan metode Altman Z-Score, Zmijewski , dan Springate pada tahun 2015-2019 PT. HM Sampoerna Tbk, PT. Gudang Garam Tbk, dan PT. Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk mengalami dalam kondisi keuangan yang sehat, namun terdapat perusahaan yang diestimasi rawan kebangkrutan pada perhitungan Altman Z-Score pada  tahun 2018 yaitu PT. Wismilak Inti Makmur Tbk. hal ini dapat terjadi  karena nilai Z-Score PT. Wismilak Inti MakmurTbk  berada pada Z < 1,81 salah satu penyebabnya ialah rendahnya rasio market value of equity terhadap liabilities.

scholarly journals Analisis Penilaian Financial Distress Dengan Menggunakan Model Altman Z-Score Dan Model Springate Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur Yang Terdaftar Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Periode Tahun 2015-2019

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Febriana Anindyka ◽  
Makhmud Zulkifli
Keyword(s):  
Data Analysis ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Descriptive Statistics ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Condition ◽  
Similarities And Differences ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Score Model ◽  
A Company ◽  
Data Analysis Methods

The aim of this research to analyze financial distress of Manufature Company by using Altman Z-Score and Springate Models. Moreover, this research aimed to know aims to determine the similarities and differences in the results of the analysis of financial distress assessment using the Altman Z-Score model and the Springate Model. This research used Descriptive statistics and data analysis methods used  in this research were Altman Z-Score and Springate Model. To the finding on the research, it showed that (1) ) After evaluating the Altman Z-Score and Springate models, there are fifty companies that fall into different conditions. (2) The similarities and differences in the results of the Atman Z-Score model and the Springate model are the results of the two models that can be seen from having almost the same variable components and the difference is that the results of the financial distress assessment using the Altman Z-score model and the Springate model show that both These models have different criteria in determining the financial condition of a company.

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENILAIAN FINANCIAL DISTRESS MENGGUNAKAN MODEL ALTMAN (Z-SCORE) PADA PERUSAHAAN FARMASI YANG TERDAFTAR DI BURSA EFEK INDONESIA PERIODE 2013-2015

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 55
Author(s):  
Sri Yati ◽  
Katarina Intan Afni Patunrui
Keyword(s):  
Financial Distress ◽  
Sampling Method ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Pharmaceutical Companies ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Reports ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Total Debt ◽  
Score Model

This study aims to observe the financial distress assessment for pharmaceutical companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange using the Altman Z-Score model. The sample is selected using purposive sampling method. Ten pharmaceutical companies were selected with the criteria listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange (BEI) and regularly published financial reports in 2013 until 2015. Secondary data was derived from www.idx.co.id site.  The results indicate that the Altman Z-Score model can be implemented in detecting the possibility of financial distress in the pharmaceutical company. Working capital to total assets and book value equity to book value of total debt are two determinant variables which is determining the decrease in Z-score value in this research.  One from ten companies have the lowest value of the Z-Score and experiencing financial distress. For two years, the company is in distress zones but in the third year, the company is managed to increase the value of the company and included in the gray zones. This company must continue to strive in order to stabilize the company's financial and asset utilization to obtain maximum profit, and until it was declared as a healthy company.

scholarly journals Analysis of Accuracy Level of Altman Z-Score Model and Springate Model in Measuring the Potential of Financial Distress in Plantations Industries

2019 ◽  
pp. 16-25
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Financial Data ◽  
Z Score ◽  
Financial Difficulties ◽  
Accuracy Level ◽  
Score Model

This study aimed to analyze the level of bankruptcy using Altman Z-Score model of modifications and models Springate, the Plantations Company period 2014-2017. The data used in this research is secondary data, financial data Plantations Company taken from the site www.idx.co.id. Based on the results of this study show that the model of the Altman Z-Score modification Plantations Industries was having financial difficulties which would be potentially bankrupt, it can be seen from the Z-Score of less than 1.1 in the period 2014-2017 and no different from using a model that generates value Springate S-Score <0.862 means that the financial performance Plantations company are experiencing financial difficulties during the 2014-2017 period and potentially going bankrupt.

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