scholarly journals COVID-19 PATIENTS ANALYSIS AND RISK PREDICTION BASED ON LIFESTYLE DISEASES THROUGH INDIAN DATASET

Author(s):  
Vijaykumar Patil ◽  
Dr. Dayanand Ingle

A Novel Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a transferable virus triggered by a recently revealed coronavirus. World Health Organization (WHO) declared it as pandemic worldwide. COVID-19 was originated from Wuhan, a city of China and spared over the more than 190 countries over the word. The USA, Spain, Italy, France even India and every country suffered a lot by this epidemic. The indications of COVID-19 are Fever, Cough, Shortness of breath or trouble in breathing, Chills, Repeated shaking with chills, Muscle torment, Headache, Sore throat which is normal as any formal flue which each individual feel during season transition. In this article, the statistical analysis like chi-square analysis, age-wise and diseases-wise classification of recovered and deceased patients are performed and also the different types of Machine Learning models like Multiple linear regression, Naive Bayes Classifier, and Multilayer Perceptron Classifier are proposed for formal analysis and risk prediction of patients with different age group and individuals having lifestyle-based diseases with COVID-19. The dataset used for this study downloaded from covid19india.org, available in .csv format which included travel history of patients, relation with any existing COVID-19 patient, and record of any lifestylebased diseases like diabetes, hypertension, respiratory problem, etc.

Author(s):  
Mohammad Reza Mirjalili ◽  
Seyedeh Mahdieh Namayandeh ◽  
Mohammad Hasan Lotfi ◽  
Mohammad Reza Dehghani ◽  
Mohsen Mirzaei ◽  
...  

Introduction: SARS-COV 19 is a new coronavirus that was reported first time in 30 December 2019 in Wuhan, China. The first case of coronary heart disease in Iran was reported with a definitive test on February 18 in Qom province and the first case in Yazd province on 24 February. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared a Covid infection on March 11 a pandemic. The aim of this study was to investigate the seroepidemiology of COVID 19 in Yazd province. Methods: The present study was a cross-sectional population-based study of seroepidemiological type that was conducted to investigate the serological prevalence of Covid-19 in the period of 3 to 20 May 2020 in Yazd Province. Sampling was clustered and it was without age and sex restrictions. Information was collected including demographic information, adherence to health protocols, and history of clinical symptoms of COVID 19."Pishtaz ELISA Kit" was used to evaluate the IgG and IgM antibody titers against Covid 19. Chi-square, analysis of variance and T tests were used via SPSS.version.16 software Results: Mean age of the participants was 34.3± 17.5. Among the study participants, 507 (54.5%) were women. The serological prevalence of definite cases was 14.91% (95% CI: 12.91-16.91%) and suspicious cases were 2.85% (95% CI:1.85-3.85%). Ardakan City with 32% had the highest and Taft, Mehriz, Khatam with 7% had the lowest prevalence of COVID 19 (P <0.05). Conclusion: By June 2020, nearly 18% of the population of the province was definitively or suspiciously infected with COVID 19. Unfortunately, up to 25% of the population does not follow the early prevention protocols of COVID 19.


Author(s):  
Swati Arora ◽  
Rishabh Jain ◽  
Harendra Pal Singh

In Wuhan city of China, an episode of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) happened. during late December and it has quickly spread to all places in the world. Until May 29, 2020, cases were high in the USA with 1.7 Million, Russia with approximately 387 thousand, the UK with 271 thousand confirmed cases. Everybody on the planet is anxious to know when the coronavirus pandemic will end. In this scourge, most nations force extreme medication measures to contain the spread of COVID-19. Modeling has been utilized broadly by every national government and the World Health Organization in choosing the best procedures to seek after in relieving the impacts of COVID-19. Many epidemiological models are studied to understand the spread of the illness and its prediction to find maximum capacity for human-to-human transmission so that control techniques can be adopted. Also, arrangements for the medical facilities required such as hospital beds and medical supplies can be made in advance. Many models are used to anticipate the results keeping in view the present scenario. There is an urgent need to study the various models and their impacts. In this study, we present a systematic literature review on epidemiological models for the outbreak of novel coronavirus in India. The epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19 is also studied. Here, In addition, an attempt to take out the results from the exploration and comparing it with the real data. The study helps to choose the models that are progressive and dependable to predict and give legitimate methods for various strategies.


2004 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-14
Author(s):  
Richard W. Titball

Yersinia pestis is the aetiological agent of plague, a disease that has a place in history as one the major causes of death from the 14th to the 17th Centuries1. It is estimated that, during the Black Death pandemic, approximately 30% of the population of Europe died of plague, and so great in number were the corpses that, in many parts of Europe, the dead were placed in burial pits rather than receiving individual burials. Y. pestis has also been responsible for two other pandemics of disease. The first of these, the Justinian plague, occurred during the 1st Century. The third pandemic occurred during the latter part of the 19th Century and was confined mainly to South-East Asia1. Even today, several thousand cases of plague are reported to the World Health Organization each year, mainly from South-East Asia, the southwestern parts of the USA, Madagascar and Africa.


2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 851-856
Author(s):  
Yosintha Dilina Wanda ◽  
Fardila Elba ◽  
Didah Didah ◽  
Ari Indra Susanti ◽  
Fedri Ruluwedrata Rinawan

Background: According to the World Health Organization (WHO) 2018, the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia is the third country with the highest prevalence in the Southeast Asia Region (SEAR). The average prevalence of children under five in Indonesia in 2005-2017 was 36.4%. In West Java the incidence of stunting is 29.9% and in Sumedang Regency the figure is still quite high at 36%, and based on data from the Jatinangor Health Center in 2020 there are 60 stunting toddlers.Purpose: The purpose to analyze the relationship between the history of basic immunization status and the incidence of  in toddler in Hegarmanah Village, Jatinangor District in 2020.Methods: This research design is a quantitative research conducted in Hegarmanah Village in November. This study use a case control design with a ratio of 1:1. The case group of this study was stunting and the control group was non-stunted. The groups of stunting and non-stunted toddlers were determined by a matching system of age and gender categorization. Sampling used proportionate stratified random technique. The sample in this study were stunted and non-stunted toddlers with a total sample of 120 respondents, 60 case groups and 60 control groups. The research instrument is a questionnaire and a microtoise to measure height. Bivariate analysis was carried out with Chi-Square and Odds Ratio testsResults: The results showed that 30 (25%) stunting toddlers aged 24-<36 months, 23 (19%) toddlers aged 24-<36 months and 19 (16%) boys with a history of incomplete basic immunization status . Bivariate analysis was carried out with Chi-Square and Odds Ratio tests with a 95% confidence level obtained (p = 0.000) with OR and CI (4.958 (2.074-11.852)). This states that there is a relationship between the history of basic immunization status on the incidence of stunting under five in Hegarmanah Village, Jatinangor District.Conclusion: There is a relationship between the history of basic immunization status on the incidence of stunting in toddlers in Hegarmanah Village, Jatinangor District with a value of p<0.05 (p=0.00<0.05) and there is a risk of stunting in toddlers with incomplete immunization 4.9 times compared to toddlers with complete immunization.Suggestion Future researchers are expected to be able to further investigate what types of immunization can affect stunting. Keywords: Relationship, Stunting, Basic Immunization, Toddler ABSTRAK  Latar Belakang: Menurut World Health Organization (WHO) data prevalensi kejadian stunting Indonesia termasuk negara ketiga dengan prevalensi tertinggi di regional Asia Tenggara /South-East Asia Regional (SEAR). Rata-rata prevalensi balita di Indonesia tahun 2005-2017 adalah 36,4%. Di Jawa Barat angka kejadian stunting yaitu 29,9% dan di Kabupaten Sumedang angkanya masih cukup tinggi yaitu sebesar 36%, dan berdasarkan data Puskesmas Jatinangor pada tahun 2020 terdapat 60 balita stunting.Tujuan: Menganalisis hubungan riwayat status imunisasi dasar dengan kejadian balita stunting di Desa Hegarmanah Kecamatan Jatinangor Tahun 2020.Metode: Rancangan penelitian ini merupakan penelitian kuantitatif yang dilakukan di Desa Hegarmanah pada Bulan November. Penelitian ini menggunakan desain case control dengan perbandingan 1:1. Kelompok kasus penelitian ini yaitu stunting dan kontrol yaitu non stunting. Kelompok balita stunting dan non stunting ditentukan dengan sistem matching kategorisasi usia dan jenis kelamin. Pengambilan sampel menggunakan teknik proportionate stratified random. Sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah balita yang stunting dan non stunting dengan jumlah sampel 120 responden, sebanyak 60 kelompok kasus dan 60 kelompok kontrol. Instrumen penelitian ini yaitu kuisioner dan microtoise untuk mengukur tinggi badan. Analisis bivariate dilakukan uji Chi-Square dan Odds RatioHasil: Hasil penelitian didapatkan 30 (25%) balita stunting dengan usia 24-<36 bulan, 23 (19%) balita usia 24-<36 bulan dan 19 (16%) balita laki-laki dengan riwayat status imunisasi dasar yang tidak lengkap. Analisis bivariate dilakukan uji Chi-Square dan Odds Ratio dengan tingkat kepercayaan 95% didapatkan (p=0,000) dengan OR dan CI (4,958 (2,074-11,852)).Kesimpulan: Terdapat hubungan antara riwayat status imunisasi dasar pada kejadian balita stunting di Desa Hegarmanah Kecamatan Jatinangor dengan nilai p<0,05 (p=0.00<0.05) serta terdapat risiko kejadian stunting pada balita dengan imunasi tidak lengkap 4,9 kali dibanding balita dengan imunisasi yang lengkap.Saran Peneliti selanjutnya diharapkan dapat meneliti lebih lanjut mengenai jenis imunisasi apa yang dapat mempengaruhi stunting. Kata kunci : Hubungan, Stunting, Imunisasi Dasar, Balita


Author(s):  
Corey J. Hiti ◽  
Jennifer Chang ◽  
Kriti Gwal ◽  
Eva Escobedo ◽  
Margaret Rea ◽  
...  

Abstract On March 11, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) a pandemic. Hospitals throughout the USA and the residency programs housed therein have drastically altered their standard operations to slow the spread of disease. Maintaining the educational mission of a residency program within the parameters of social distancing mandates is an unprecedented challenge to graduate medical education and will remain so for the near future. We evaluated resident perception of our efforts to transition educational activities within the residency to an online, remote format utilizing Microsoft SharePoint. Educational conferences were transitioned to a videoconferencing platform on March 13, 2020 in conjunction with the deployment of an intradepartmental Microsoft SharePoint site to provide educational resources, disseminate scheduling changes, and provide wellness resources in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. An 11-question survey available from 4 Jan 2020–4 Jun 2020 surveyed resident perceptions of the instituted changes. Twenty-six of 31 residents (83.8%) responded to the resident survey invitation. Twenty-four of 26 residents (92.3%) characterized the SharePoint as useful. Twenty of 26 residents (76.9%) desired attending guidance as to how to utilize the online resources for each resident rotation. A total of 92.3% (24/26) of residents felt that the program’s response utilizing SharePoint engendered a greater sense of belonging to their work community. Resident perception of the transition to online learning utilizing Microsoft SharePoint as a distribution platform was generally positive, helping to mitigate untoward educational consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic.


2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (2(Suppl.)) ◽  
pp. 1086
Author(s):  
Haider Turky Mousa Al-Mousawi ◽  
Qabas Neamah AL-Hajjar

Human cytomegalovirus (CMV) is the globally highly prevalent herpesvirus worldwide. CMV infects populations of all ages according to the Center for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and World Health Organization (WHO). CMV infections remain the most common viral complication potentially multiple in humans and are a major cause of congenital normality in women, which is why they are critical for diagnosis in several times when it happens during pregnancy. Pregnant women with CMV infection can be in charge of abortion or congenital expandaedby. This study involves the collection a total of (90) samples taken from each aborted and pregnant woman (70 with abortion cases and 20 of pregnant without history of abortion as control subjects) referring to Babylon teaching hospital for Maternity and Children, covering a period from (October 2018 to March 2019) to investigate the occurrence of Cytomegalovirus (CMV) in Babylon city. Patients and controls were evaluated for IgG, IgM antibodies and anti-HCMV IgG, IgM for (90) subjects were controlled in this study using the Enzyme Immunoassay Test Kit and read by enzyme - linked immunosorbent analyze (ELISA). In addition the  polymerase  chain reaction (PCR)  DNA  detection  for  CMV  are  based  on  the  amplification  of  pathogen  genomes  in  a particular  region  using different primers. The Chi-square test was used to analyze the data. The results show among 90 samples, women were evaluated for CMV infection, the seroprevalence titer was significantly higher at P <0.05 in seropositive cases ranging from 62(89%) toward positive CMV IgG, while the 65 (93%) of patients were positive CMV IgM from (70) women with abortions. By contrast, the results obtained from the controls were 9 (45%) subjects seropositive for IgG and all of them were seronegative with IgM. The anti – HCMV IgG finding showed high positivity that represents the furthermost of CMV infections among females through ages ranging between 20-29 years. Furthermore, the outcomes of molecular detection showed that a small number of samples 13 (19%) were HCMV DNA detectable in aborted women less than in pregnant women 3 (15%).       


2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Supangat ◽  
Elly Nurus Sakinah ◽  
Muhammad Yuda Nugraha ◽  
Tegar Syaiful Qodar ◽  
Bagus Wahyu Mulyono ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) caused by Novel Coronavirus named as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) was declared Pandemic by The World Health Organization (WHO) and a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) on January 30, 2020. Many COVID-19 vaccines have been developed, including CoronaVac vaccines by Sinovac. Health care workers, along with medical clerkship students are the priority to receive the vaccine. However, the Adverse Events Following Immunization (AEFI) of the CoronaVac remains unclear. This study aims to describe and analyze the adverse events following immunization (AEFI) of COVID-19 vaccination in medical students in clerkship programs. Method We conducted a cross-sectional study using a questionnaire to assess AEFI after CoronaVac vaccination among medical clerkship students. A Chi-Square test with 95 % of CI was used to determine whether gender correlated with symptoms of AEFI. Result We identified 144 medical clerkship students. The most common AEFI of SARS-CoV-2 vaccinations was localized pain in the injection site during the first dose with 25 (45 %) reports and the booster dose with 34 (67 %) reports. Then followed by malaise, the first dose with 20 (36 %) reports and the booster dose with 21 (41 %) reports. Other symptoms like headache, fever, shivering, sleepiness, nausea, dysphagia, and cold were also reported. Conclusions CoronaVac SARS-COV-2 vaccine has several mild symptoms of AEFI and not correlated with gender. Nevertheless, follow-up after vaccination is needed to prevent immunologic responses that may occur in some patients.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Khidir Mustafa Elnimeiri ◽  
Mohanad Kamaleldin Mahmoud Ibrahim ◽  
Shahenaz Seifaldeen Mustafa Satti

Abstract Background: A novel Coronavirus was identified as severe acute respiratory syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and the syndrome of clinical manifestation was named (COVID-19). Consequently, on Jan 30, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak as a pandemic and a public health emergency of international concern. The objectives of this research are to investigate the response of the health system at different levels towards the control of the COVID-19 epidemic and to explore the COVID-19 transmission dynamics among Sudanese community. Methods: A community and institutional-based cross sectional based study will be conducted in Khartoum State include all the seven localities. The sample size of participant is estimated at 920 using the population formula (n=N/1+ (n*d2)) and considering the response rate. The sample will be drawn using multistage cluster sampling. Data will be collected using interview with key informant and concerned bodies/institutes involved in the response at both the federal and Khartoum State levels. Administered pre-coded, pretested closed ended questionnaire will be developed to collect data from community participants. Data will be managed and analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences version 21. Analysis is mostly univariate descriptive and bi-variate with Chi Square & Fischer Exact tests analysis to find associations between variables of interest.Discussion: This study is expected to evaluate the extent and magnitude of the epidemic response at different levels in addition to the adequacy of the epidemic response. The study participants will be screened to estimate proportion of individuals per age strata who show sero-positivity for virus infection, thus it will estimate the percentages of individuals reporting symptoms/signs of infection and asymptomatic fraction. The results of this study will strengthen the current interventional approaches of COVID-19 epidemic control and will provide set of database for better planning and implementation of COVID-19 control across the country. It will contribute to in-depth understanding of the COVID-19 transmission dynamics among Sudanese community and will improve the community awareness about COVID-19.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 12-27
Author(s):  
Luciana Knop ◽  
Roberto Badaró

Since the beginning of human history, the pathogens affect the humankind. The emerge of the new outbreak of coronavirus-19 (COVID-19) is not new in the history of plagues. However, this pandemic has a huge difference from the others due to its ability to affect worldwide at the same time, which brings new perspectives to our future. In this review, we listed some of the worst epidemics and pandemics of human civilization and the new outbreak, listing the pathogens, the spread, and the consequences for mankind. Our search included articles in the main database (PubMed/Medline, Elsevier Science Direct, Scopus, Isi Web of Science, Embase, Exerpta Medica, UptoDate, Lilacs, Novel Coronavirus Resource Directory from Elsevier), in the high-impact international scientific Journals (Scimago Journal and Country Rank - SJR - and Journal Citation Reports - JCR), such as The Lancet, Science, Nature, The New England Journal of Medicine, Physiological Reviews, Journal of the American Medical Association, Plos One, Journal of Clinical Investigation, and in the data from Center for Disease Control (CDC), National Institutes of Health (NIH), National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) and World Health Organization (WHO). We prior selected meta-analysis, systematic reviews, article reviews, and original articles in this order. We reviewed 192 articles and used 94 from March to June 2020, using the terms coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, novel coronavirus, Wuhan coronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome, 2019-nCoV, 2019 novel coronavirus, n-CoV-2, COVID, n-SARS-2, COVID-19, corona virus, coronaviruses, history of pandemics and epidemics, pathogens, plagues, with the tools MeSH (Medical Subject Headings), AND, OR, and the characters [,“,; /., to ensure the best review topics. We concluded that this pandemic will change the social and economic order, as well as it is the first that affects us quickly. So, the experience of COVID-19 could teach us how to be prepared for other outbreaks in the future.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 181-187
Author(s):  
Ignatius U. Ezeani ◽  
Innocent I. Chukwuonye ◽  
Ugochukwu U. Onyeonoro ◽  
Abali Chuku ◽  
Okechukwu S. Ogah

Background: Population based studies on diabetes mellitus (DM) are scarce in Nigeria. Introduction: This was a population-based house to house survey aimed at determining the prevalence of DM and assessing the risk factors associated with DM in a state in Southeast Nigeria. Methods: This was a cross-sectional observational study in which 1680 adults were recruited using a multistage sampling method to randomly select not more than two suitable participants of both sex in each household from four enumeration areas (EAs) in each local government area (LGA) and the three senatorial zones in the state. A modified World Health Organization (WHO) Stepwise Approach to Surveillance questionnaire was used for data collection and random blood glucose (RBG) was measured after anthropometric assessment. Test statistics used were chi-square, t-test, and logistic regression. Results: The overall prevalence of DM in this study was 3.3%. A positive family history of DM was significantly higher in patients with diabetes: 18.2% vs. 9.6% (p=0.036). The mean (SD) of weight, body mass index (BMI), hip circumference (HC) and waist circumference (WC) were significantly higher in patients with DM(p=0.001,<0.001,<0.001,<0.001, respectively).The odd ratio (95% CI) of a person>35years developing DM was 3.89(1.11-13.60). The OR (95% CI) for waist-hip ratio (WHR) was 3.04 (1.02-9.03) and family history of DM had an OR of 2.62(0.88-6.50). The odd of developing DM is positively associated with age>35years, increased WHR, WC, family history of DM, BMI>25Kg/m2, and HC. The odd of developing DM was negatively associated with smoking. Conclusion: The prevalence of DM in this study was 3.3%. A BMI>25 kg/m2, WHR >0.85, family history of DM, HC, and older age were associated with significantly higher prevalence.


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