scholarly journals International Quality-Controlled Ocean Database (IQuOD) v0.1: The Temperature Uncertainty Specification

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Cowley ◽  
Rachel E. Killick ◽  
Tim Boyer ◽  
Viktor Gouretski ◽  
Franco Reseghetti ◽  
...  

Ocean temperature observations are crucial for a host of climate research and forecasting activities, such as climate monitoring, ocean reanalysis and state estimation, seasonal-to-decadal forecasts, and ocean forecasting. For all of these applications, it is crucial to understand the uncertainty attached to each of the observations, accounting for changes in instrument technology and observing practices over time. Here, we describe the rationale behind the uncertainty specification provided for all in situ ocean temperature observations in the International Quality-controlled Ocean Database (IQuOD) v0.1, a value-added data product served alongside the World Ocean Database (WOD). We collected information from manufacturer specifications and other publications, providing the end user with uncertainty estimates based mainly on instrument type, along with extant auxiliary information such as calibration and collection method. The provision of a consistent set of observation uncertainties will provide a more complete understanding of historical ocean observations used to examine the changing environment. Moving forward, IQuOD will continue to work with the ocean observation, data assimilation and ocean climate communities to further refine uncertainty quantification. We encourage submissions of metadata and information about historical practices to the IQuOD project and WOD.


2007 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 174-187 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. E. Harrison ◽  
Mark Carson

Abstract Subsurface temperature trends in the better-sampled parts of the World Ocean are reported. Where there are sufficient observations for this analysis, there is large spatial variability of 51-yr trends in the upper ocean, with some regions showing cooling in excess of 3°C, and others warming of similar magnitude. Some 95% of the ocean area analyzed has both cooled and warmed over 20-yr subsets of this period. There is much space and time variability of 20-yr running trend estimates, indicating that trends over a decade or two may not be representative of longer-term trends. Results are based on sorting individual observations in World Ocean Database 2001 into 1° × 1° and 2° × 2° bins. Only bins with at least five observations per decade for four of the five decades since 1950 are used. Much of the World Ocean cannot be examined from this perspective. The 51-yr trends significant at the 90% level are given particular attention. Results are presented for depths of 100, 300, and 500 m. The patterns of the 90% significant trends are spatially coherent on scales resolved by the bin size. The vertical structure of the trends is coherent in some regions, but changes sign between the analysis depths in a number of others. It is suggested that additional attention should be given to uncertainty estimates for basin average and World Ocean average thermal trends.



2021 ◽  
pp. 1-50
Author(s):  
Ge Song ◽  
Bohua Huang ◽  
Rongcai Ren ◽  
Zeng-Zhen Hu

AbstractIn this paper, the interannual variability of upper-ocean temperature in the equatorial Indian Ocean (IO) and its basin-wide connections are investigated using 58-year (1958-2015) comprehensive monthly mean ocean reanalysis data. Three leading modes of an empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis dominate the variability of upper-ocean temperature in the equatorial IO in a wide range of timescales. A coherent interannual band within the first two EOF modes identifies an oscillation between the zonally tilting thermocline across the equatorial IO in its peak phases and basin-wide displacement of the equatorial thermocline in its transitional phases. Consistent with the recharge oscillation paradigm, this oscillation is inherent of the equatorial IO with a quasi-periodicity around 15 months, in which the wind-induced off-equatorial Rossby waves near 5°S-10°S provide the phase-transition mechanism. This intrinsic IO oscillation provides the biennial component in the observed IOD variations. The third leading mode shows a nonlinear long-term trend of the upper-ocean temperature, including the near-surface warming along the equatorial Indian Ocean, accompanied by cooling trend in the lower thermocline originating further south. Such vertical contrary trends may lead to an enhanced stratification in the equatorial IO.



Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1256
Author(s):  
Jan El Kassar ◽  
Cintia Carbajal Henken ◽  
Rene Preusker ◽  
Jürgen Fischer

A new algorithm for the retrieval of day-time total column water vapour (TCWV) from measurements of a MSG-SEVIRI (Meteosat Second Generation Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager) instrument is presented. The retrieval is based on a forward operator, at the core of which lies Radiative Transfer for TIROS Operational Vertical Sounder (RTTOV). This forward model relates TCWV and surface temperature to brightness temperatures in the split window at 11 and 12µm with the use of a first guess for temperature and humidity profiles from the ERA5 reanalysis. The forward model is then embedded in a full Optimal Estimation (OE) method, which yields pixel by pixel uncertainty estimates and performance indicators. The algorithm is applicable to any instrument which features the split window configuration, given a first guess for atmospheric conditions (i.e., from NWP) and an estimate of surface emissivity at 11 µm. The algorithm was developed within the framework of RealPEP (Near-Realtime Quantitative Precipitation Estimation and Prediction) in which the advancement of the estimation and nowcasting of extreme precipitation and flooding in Germany are studied. Thus, processing and validation has been limited to the German domain. Three independent ground-based TCWV observation data sets were used as reference, i.e., AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network), GNSS Germany (Global Navigation Satellite System) and measurements from two MWR (Microwave Radiometer) sites. The validation concludes with good agreement, with absolute biases between 0.11 and 2.85 kg/m2, root mean square deviations (rmsds) between 1.63 and 3.24 kg/m2 and Pearson correlation coefficients ranging from 0.96 to 0.98. The retrievals uncertainty estimates were evaluated against AERONET. The comparison suggests that, in sum, uncertainties are estimated well, while still some error sources seem to be over- and underestimated. In limited case studies it could be shown that SEVIRI TCWV is capable to both display large scale variabilities in water vapour fields and reproduce the daily course of water vapour exposed by ground-based observations.



2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 2259-2268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Carson ◽  
D. E. Harrison

Abstract There is great interest in World Ocean temperature trends, yet the historical global ocean database has very uneven coverage in space and time. Previous work on 50-yr upper ocean temperature trends from the NOAA ocean data archive is extended here. Trends at depths from 50 to 1000 m are examined, based on observations gridded over larger regions than in the earlier study. Despite the use of larger grid boxes, most of the ocean does not have significant 50-yr trends at the 90% confidence level (CL). In fact only 30% of the ocean at 50 m has 90% CL trends, and the percentage decreases significantly with increasing depth. As noted in the previous study, there is much spatial structure in 50-yr trends, with areas of strong warming and strong cooling. These trend results are compared with trends calculated from data interpolated to standard levels and from a highly horizontally interpolated version of the dataset that has been used in previous heat content trend studies. The regional trend results can differ substantially, even in the areas with statistically significant trends. Trends based on the more interpolated analyses show more warming. Together with major temporal and spatial sampling limitations, the previously described strong interdecadal and spatial variability of trends makes it very difficult to formally estimate uncertainty in World Ocean averages, but these results suggest that upper ocean heat content integrals and integral trends may be substantially more uncertain than has yet been acknowledged. Further exploration of uncertainties is needed.



Author(s):  
Suzanne Brunke ◽  
Guy Aubé ◽  
Serge Legaré ◽  
Claude Auger

On July 6, 2013 a train owned by Montréal, Maine & Atlantic Railway (MMA) Company derailed in Lac-Mégantic, Quebec, Canada triggering the explosion of the tankers carrying crude oil. Several buildings in the downtown core were destroyed. The Sûreté du Québec confirmed the death of 47 people in the disaster. Through the Canadian Space Agency (CSA) Rapid Information Products and Services (RIPS) program, MDA developed value-added products that allowed stakeholders and all levels of government (municipal, provincial and federal) to get an accurate picture of the disaster. The goal of this RIPS Project was to identify the contribution that remote sensing technology can provide to disasters such as the train derailment and explosion at Lac-Mégantic through response and remediation monitoring. Through monitoring and analysis, the Lac-Mégantic train derailment response and remediation demonstrated how Earth observation data can be used for situational awareness in a disaster and in documenting the remediation process. Both high resolution optical and RADARSAT-2 SAR image products were acquired and analyzed over the disaster remediation period as each had a role in monitoring. High resolution optical imagery provided a very clear picture of the current state of remediation efforts, however it can be difficult to acquire due to cloud cover and weather conditions. The RADARSAT-2 SAR images can be acquired in all weather conditions at any time of day making it ideal for mission critical information gathering. MDA’s automated change detection processing enabled rapid delivery of advanced information products.



Data ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
Lloyd Hughes ◽  
Simon Streicher ◽  
Ekaterina Chuprikova ◽  
Johan Du Preez

When it comes to land cover classification, the process of deriving the land classes is complex due to possible errors in algorithms, spatio-temporal heterogeneity of the Earth observation data, variation in availability and quality of reference data, or a combination of these. This article proposes a probabilistic graphical model approach, in the form of a cluster graph, to boost geospatial classifications and produce a more accurate and robust classification and uncertainty product. Cluster graphs can be characterized as a means of reasoning about geospatial data such as land cover classifications by considering the effects of spatial distribution, and inter-class dependencies in a computationally efficient manner. To assess the capabilities of our proposed cluster graph boosting approach, we apply it to the field of land cover classification. We make use of existing land cover products (GlobeLand30, CORINE Land Cover) along with data from Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI), namely OpenStreetMap (OSM), to generate a boosted land cover classification and the respective uncertainty estimates. Our approach combines qualitative and quantitative components through the application of our probabilistic graphical model and subjective expert judgments. Evaluating our approach on a test region in Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany, our approach was able to boost the overall land cover classification accuracy by 1.4% when compared to an independent reference land cover dataset. Our approach was shown to be robust and was able to produce a diverse, feasible and spatially consistent land cover classification in areas of incomplete and conflicting evidence. On an independent validation scene, we demonstrated that our cluster graph boosting approach was generalizable even when initialized with poor prior assumptions.



2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Santiago Belda ◽  
Matías Salinero ◽  
Eatidal Amin ◽  
Luca Pipia ◽  
Pablo Morcillo-Pallarés ◽  
...  

<p>In general, modeling phenological evolution represents a challenging task mainly because of time series gaps and noisy data, coming from different viewing and illumination geometries, cloud cover, seasonal snow and the interval needed to revisit and acquire data for the exact same location. For that reason, the use of reliable gap-filling fitting functions and smoothing filters is frequently required for retrievals at the highest feasible accuracy. Of specific interest to filling gaps in time series is the emergence of machine learning regression algorithms (MLRAs) which can serve as fitting functions. Among the multiple MLRA approaches currently available, the kernel-based methods developed in a Bayesian framework deserve special attention because of both being adaptive and providing associated uncertainty estimates, such as Gaussian Process Regression (GPR).</p><p>Recent studies demonstrated the effectiveness of GPR for gap-filling of biophysical parameter time series because the hyperparameters can be optimally set for each time series (one for each pixel in the area) with a single optimization procedure. The entire procedure of learning a GPR model only relies on appropriate selection of the type of kernel and the hyperparameters involved in the estimation of input data covariance. Despite its clear strategic advantage, the most important shortcomings of this technique are the (1) high computational cost and (2) memory requirements of their training, which grows cubically and quadratically with the number of model’s samples, respectively. This can become problematic in view of processing a large amount of data, such as in Sentinel-2 (S2) time series tiles. Hence, optimization strategies need to be developed on how to speed up the GPR processing while maintaining the superior performance in terms of accuracy.</p><p>To mitigate its computational burden and to address such shortcoming and repetitive procedure, we evaluated whether the GPR hyperparameters can be preoptimized over a reduced set of representative pixels and kept fixed over a more extended crop area. We used S2 LAI time series over an agricultural region in Castile and Leon (North-West Spain) and testing different functions for Covariance estimation such as exponential Kernel, Squared exponential kernel and matern kernel with parameter 3/2 or 5/2. The performance of image reconstructions was compared against the standard per-pixel GPR time series training process. Results showed that accuracies were on the same order (12% RMSE degradation) whereas processing time accelerated up to 90 times. Crop phenology indicators were also calculated and compared, revealing similar temporal patterns with differences in start and end of growing season of no more than five days. To the benefit of crop monitoring applications, all the gap-filling and phenology indicators retrieval techniques have been implemented into the <strong>freely downloadable GUI toolbox DATimeS</strong> (Decomposition and Analysis of Time Series Software - https://artmotoolbox.com/).</p>



2020 ◽  
Vol 221 (1) ◽  
pp. 603-616
Author(s):  
Shuang Yi ◽  
Kosuke Heki

SUMMARY Signal leakage between the land and ocean is a challenge in using Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) observation data to study global mass redistributions. Although the leakage occurs in both directions, more attention has been paid to the land-to-ocean leakage and less to the ocean-to-land leakage. Here, we show that the ocean-to-land leakage is non-uniform and non-negligible and propose a new forward modelling method to fully consider bi-directional leakages with the help of the global Ocean ReAnalysis System ORAS5. This observation-driven model could significantly reduce the variations in ocean grids and thus decrease the ocean-to-land leakage. The results with different treatment of the ocean signal leakage are compared. We find that failing to consider the ocean-to-land leakage will cause an underestimation of ∼20 per cent in the seasonal variation and will introduce a bias of several giga-tons in the secular trend. Although the uniform and non-uniform model have similar results in the global average of seasonal mass variations, the non-uniform ocean model is necessary in most places, especially near the Arctic Ocean, the Sea of Japan and the Gulf of Carpentaria. Despite these achievements, we also point out that there is still much room for improvement in ocean mass models, particularly in long-term trends. Our results indicate the importance of the ocean-to-land leakage correction in the mass estimation in coastal land areas using the GRACE data.



2013 ◽  
Vol 51 (3) ◽  
pp. 450-483 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. P. Abraham ◽  
M. Baringer ◽  
N. L. Bindoff ◽  
T. Boyer ◽  
L. J. Cheng ◽  
...  


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