scholarly journals A Risk Prediction Model by LASSO for Radiation-Induced Xerostomia in Patients With Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Treated With Comprehensive Salivary Gland–Sparing Helical Tomotherapy Technique

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Teng ◽  
Wenjun Fan ◽  
Yanrong Luo ◽  
Shouping Xu ◽  
Hanshun Gong ◽  
...  

ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO)-based multivariable normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model to predict radiation-induced xerostomia in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with comprehensive salivary gland–sparing helical tomotherapy technique.Methods and MaterialsLASSO with the extended bootstrapping technique was used to build multivariable NTCP models to predict factors of patient-reported xerostomia relieved by 50% and 80% compared with the level at the end of radiation therapy within 1 year and 2 years, R50-1year and R80-2years, in 203 patients with NPC. The model assessment was based on 10-fold cross-validation and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).ResultsThe prediction model by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation showed that radiation-induced xerostomia recovery could be predicted by prognostic factors of R50-1year (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, parotid Dmean, oral cavity Dmean, and treatment options) and R80-2years (age, gender, T stage, UICC/AJCC stage, oral cavity Dmean, N stage, and treatment options). These prediction models also demonstrated a good performance by the AUC.ConclusionThe prediction models of R50-1year and R80-2years by LASSO with 10-fold cross-validation were recommended to validate the NTCP model before comprehensive salivary gland–sparing radiation therapy in patients with NPC.

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gang Ren ◽  
Shou-Ping Xu ◽  
Lei Du ◽  
Lin-Chun Feng ◽  
Bao-Lin Qu ◽  
...  

The goal of this study was to evaluate the actual anatomical and dosimetric changes of parotid glands in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients during intensity modulated radiation therapy. With helical tomotherapy, its planning system, and adaptive software, weekly anatomical and dosimetric changes of parotid glands in 35 NPC patients were evaluated. Interweekly parotid volume varied significantly (P<0.03). The rate of volume change reached the highest level at the 16th fraction. The averageV1increased by 32.2 (left) and 28.6 (right), and the averageD50increased by 33.9 (left) and 24.93 (right), respectively. Repeat data comparison indicated that theV1andD50varied significantly among different fractions (both withP=0.000). The variation of parotid volume was inversely correlated with that of theV1andD50(both withP=0.000). In conclusion, parotid volume and actual dose vary significantly in NPC patients during IMRT. Replanning at the end of the fourth week of IMRT may have clinical benefits.


Author(s):  
Luke A Matkovic ◽  
Tonghe Wang ◽  
Yang Lei ◽  
Oladunni O Akin-Akintayo ◽  
Olayinka A Abiodun Ojo ◽  
...  

Abstract Focal dose boost to dominant intraprostatic lesions (DILs) has recently been proposed for prostate radiation therapy. Accurate and fast delineation of the prostate and DILs is thus required during treatment planning. We propose a learning-based method using positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) images to automatically segment the prostate and its DILs. To enable end-to-end segmentation, a deep learning-based method, called cascaded regional-Net, is utilized. The first network, referred to as dual attention network (DAN), is used to segment the prostate via extracting comprehensive features from both PET and CT images. A second network, referred to as mask scoring regional convolutional neural network (MSR-CNN), is used to segment the DILs from the PET and CT within the prostate region. Scoring strategy is used to diminish the misclassification of the DILs. For DIL segmentation, the proposed cascaded regional-Net uses two steps to remove normal tissue regions, with the first step cropping images based on prostate segmentation and the second step using MSR-CNN to further locate the DILs. The binary masks of DILs and prostates of testing patients are generated from PET/CT by the trained network. To evaluate the proposed method, we retrospectively investigated 49 PET/CT datasets. On each dataset, the prostate and DILs were delineated by physicians and set as the ground truths and training targets. The proposed method was trained and evaluated using a five-fold cross-validation and a hold-out test. The mean surface distance and DSC values were 0.666±0.696mm and 0.932±0.059 for the prostate and 1.209±1.954mm and 0.757±0.241 for the DILs among all 49 patients. The proposed method has demonstrated great potential for improving the efficiency and reducing the observer variability of prostate and DIL contouring for DIL focal boost prostate radiation therapy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael Massahiro Yassue ◽  
José Felipe Gonzaga Sabadin ◽  
Giovanni Galli ◽  
Filipe Couto Alves ◽  
Roberto Fritsche-Neto

AbstractUsually, the comparison among genomic prediction models is based on validation schemes as Repeated Random Subsampling (RRS) or K-fold cross-validation. Nevertheless, the design of training and validation sets has a high effect on the way and subjectiveness that we compare models. Those procedures cited above have an overlap across replicates that might cause an overestimated estimate and lack of residuals independence due to resampling issues and might cause less accurate results. Furthermore, posthoc tests, such as ANOVA, are not recommended due to assumption unfulfilled regarding residuals independence. Thus, we propose a new way to sample observations to build training and validation sets based on cross-validation alpha-based design (CV-α). The CV-α was meant to create several scenarios of validation (replicates x folds), regardless of the number of treatments. Using CV-α, the number of genotypes in the same fold across replicates was much lower than K-fold, indicating higher residual independence. Therefore, based on the CV-α results, as proof of concept, via ANOVA, we could compare the proposed methodology to RRS and K-fold, applying four genomic prediction models with a simulated and real dataset. Concerning the predictive ability and bias, all validation methods showed similar performance. However, regarding the mean squared error and coefficient of variation, the CV-α method presented the best performance under the evaluated scenarios. Moreover, as it has no additional cost nor complexity, it is more reliable and allows the use of non-subjective methods to compare models and factors. Therefore, CV-α can be considered a more precise validation methodology for model selection.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhang-Zan Huang ◽  
Wen Wen ◽  
Xin Hua ◽  
Chen-Ge Song ◽  
Xi-Wen Bi ◽  
...  

BackgroundA higher ratio of pretreatment C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) is associated with poor prognosis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC), and Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA level is known to not only participate in the occurrence of nasopharyngeal carcinoma but also affect the development and prognosis of the disease. Herein, we proposed that a combination of both these markers could improve the predictive prognostic ability.MethodsIn all, 842 NPC patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) were entered in this study. We collected all patients’ blood samples and EBV DNA copy numbers within one week before any treatment. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off. We employed the Kaplan–Meier method for survival analyses and the univariate and multivariate analyses (Cox proportional hazards regression model) for statistical analysis. A nomogram was constructed based on multivariate analyses results of the validation set. The model was internally validated using 1000 bootstrap samples to avoid overfitting. Another validation of 10-fold cross-validation was also applied. Calibration curves and concordance index (C-index) were calculated to determine predictive and discriminatory capacity.ResultsIn the whole cohort, we observed that higher CAR, EBV DNA level, and CAR-EBV DNA (C-E) grade were associated with shorter overall survival (OS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) (all P&lt;0.05). In univariate and multivariate analyses, C-E grade was an independent prognostic factor (all P&lt;0.05). In the training set, we gained the similar results with the whole set. According to multivariate analyses of the training set, we constructed a nomogram. The results of bootstrap samples and 10-fold cross-validation showed favorable predictive efficacy. And calibration curves of the model provided credibility to its predictive capability.ConclusionC-E grade was confirmed as an independent prognostic predictor in patients with NPC who received CCRT. Higher level of pretreatment C-E grade could signify a higher risk of metastasis and shorter OS. The prognostic nomogram based on C-E grade was dependable in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Taka-aki Hirose ◽  
Hidetaka Arimura ◽  
Kenta Ninomiya ◽  
Tadamasa Yoshitake ◽  
Jun-ichi Fukunaga ◽  
...  

AbstractThis study developed a radiomics-based predictive model for radiation-induced pneumonitis (RP) after lung cancer stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) on pretreatment planning computed tomography (CT) images. For the RP prediction models, 275 non-small-cell lung cancer patients consisted of 245 training (22 with grade ≥ 2 RP) and 30 test cases (8 with grade ≥ 2 RP) were selected. A total of 486 radiomic features were calculated to quantify the RP texture patterns reflecting radiation-induced tissue reaction within lung volumes irradiated with more than x Gy, which were defined as LVx. Ten subsets consisting of all 22 RP cases and 22 or 23 randomly selected non-RP cases were created from the imbalanced dataset of 245 training patients. For each subset, signatures were constructed, and predictive models were built using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression. An ensemble averaging model was built by averaging the RP probabilities of the 10 models. The best model areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) calculated on the training and test cohort for LV5 were 0.871 and 0.756, respectively. The radiomic features calculated on pretreatment planning CT images could be predictive imaging biomarkers for RP after lung cancer SBRT.


2008 ◽  
Vol 111 (7) ◽  
pp. 533-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akira Okoshi ◽  
Kiyoto Shiga ◽  
Kazuha Sasaki ◽  
Yukinori Asada ◽  
Hitoshi Nishikawa ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 4521
Author(s):  
Biswajeet Pradhan ◽  
Maher Ibrahim Sameen ◽  
Husam A. H. Al-Najjar ◽  
Daichao Sheng ◽  
Abdullah M. Alamri ◽  
...  

Optimisation plays a key role in the application of machine learning in the spatial prediction of landslides. The common practice in optimising landslide prediction models is to search for optimal/suboptimal hyperparameter values in a number of predetermined hyperparameter configurations based on an objective function, i.e., k-fold cross-validation accuracy. However, the overhead of hyperparameter optimisation can be prohibitive, especially for computationally expensive algorithms. This paper introduces an optimisation approach based on meta-learning for the spatial prediction of landslides. The proposed approach is tested in a dense tropical forested area of Cameron Highlands, Malaysia. Instead of optimising prediction models with a large number of hyperparameter configurations, the proposed approach begins with promising configurations based on several basic and statistical meta-features. The proposed meta-learning approach was tested based on Bayesian optimisation as a hyperparameter tuning algorithm and random forest (RF) as a prediction model. The spatial database was established with a total of 63 historical landslides and 15 conditioning factors. Three RF models were constructed based on (1) default parameters as suggested by the sklearn library, (2) parameters suggested by the Bayesian optimisation (BO), and (3) parameters suggested by the proposed meta-learning approach (BO-ML). Based on five-fold cross-validation accuracy, the Bayesian method achieved the best performance for both the training (0.810) and test (0.802) datasets. The meta-learning approach achieved slightly lower accuracies than the Bayesian method for the training (0.769) and test (0.800) datasets. Similarly, based on F1-score and area under the receiving operating characteristic curves (AUROC), the models with optimised parameters either by the Bayesian or meta-learning methods produced more accurate landslide susceptibility assessment than the model with the default parameters. In the present approach, instead of learning from scratch, the meta-learning would begin with hyperparameter configurations optimal for the most similar previous datasets, which can be considerably helpful and time-saving for landslide modelings.


2022 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Wang ◽  
Xiong Han ◽  
Zongya Zhao ◽  
Na Wang ◽  
Pan Zhao ◽  
...  

Objective: Antiseizure medicine (ASM) is the first choice for patients with epilepsy. The choice of ASM is determined by the type of epilepsy or epileptic syndrome, which may not be suitable for certain patients. This initial choice of a particular drug affects the long-term prognosis of patients, so it is critical to select the appropriate ASMs based on the individual characteristics of a patient at the early stage of the disease. The purpose of this study is to develop a personalized prediction model to predict the probability of achieving seizure control in patients with focal epilepsy, which will help in providing a more precise initial medication to patients.Methods: Based on response to oxcarbazepine (OXC), enrolled patients were divided into two groups: seizure-free (52 patients), not seizure-free (NSF) (22 patients). We created models to predict patients' response to OXC monotherapy by combining Electroencephalogram (EEG) complexities and 15 clinical features. The prediction models were gradient boosting decision tree-Kolmogorov complexity (GBDT-KC) and gradient boosting decision tree-Lempel-Ziv complexity (GBDT-LZC). We also constructed two additional prediction models, support vector machine-Kolmogorov complexity (SVM-KC) and SVM-LZC, and these two models were compared with the GBDT models. The performance of the models was evaluated by calculating the accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of these models.Results: The mean accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity, AUC of GBDT-LZC model after five-fold cross-validation were 81%, 84%, 91%, 87%, 91%, 64%, 81%, respectively. The average accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, sensitivity, specificity, AUC of GBDT-KC model with five-fold cross-validation were 82%, 84%, 92%, 88%, 83%, 92%, 83%, respectively. We used the rank of absolute weights to separately calculate the features that have the most significant impact on the classification of the two models.Conclusion: (1) The GBDT-KC model has the potential to be used in the clinic to predict seizure-free with OXC monotherapy. (2). Electroencephalogram complexity, especially Kolmogorov complexity (KC) may be a potential biomarker in predicting the treatment efficacy of OXC in newly diagnosed patients with focal epilepsy.


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