scholarly journals Distribution of Air Temperature Multifractal Characteristics Over Greece

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Kalamaras ◽  
Chris Tzanis ◽  
Despina Deligiorgi ◽  
Kostas Philippopoulos ◽  
Ioannis Koutsogiannis

In this study, Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) is applied to daily temperature time series (mean, maximum and minimum values) from 22 Greek meteorological stations with the purpose of examining firstly their scaling behavior and then checking if there are any differences in their multifractal characteristics. The results showed that the behavior is the same at almost all stations, i.e., time series are positive long-term correlated and their multifractal structure is insensitive to local fluctuations with large magnitude. Moreover, this study deals with the spatial distribution of the main characteristics of multifractal (singularity) spectrum: the dominant Hurst exponent, the width of the spectrum, the asymmetry and the truncation type of the spectrum. The spatial distributions are discussed in terms of possible effects from various climatic features. In general, local atmospheric circulation and weather conditions are found to affect the shape of the spectrum and the corresponding spatial distributions. Furthermore, the intercorrelation of the main multifractal spectrum parameters resulted in a well-defined group of stations sharing similar multifractal characteristics. The results indicate the usefulness of the non-linear analysis in climate research due to the complex interactions among the natural processes.

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Jian Wang ◽  
Junseok Kim ◽  
Wei Shao

In this work, the air pollution index in three cities (Seoul, Busan, and Daegu) in South Korea was studied using multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). Hurst, Renyi, and Holder exponents were used to analyze the characteristics of the concentration time series of PM2.5 and NO2. The results showed that multifractality exists in each season interval and the multifractal degree of PM2.5 is stronger than that of NO2. To investigate the effects of the implementation of the “haze special law” on February 15, 2019, we analyzed the time series of PM2.5 during the time periods from February 15, 2018, to December 16, 2018, and February 15, 2019, to December 16, 2019. We found that the multifractal spectrum width after the implementation of the law was narrower than that before the law for all the cities, which shows that the enactment of the law has played a role in improving the efficiency of air pollution control in South Korea. We also conclude that the major effects of the law will be particularly visible in larger cities. To study the main causes of multifractality, the shuffled and phase-randomized series were analyzed using MF-DFA, and the results demonstrated that the fat-tailed distribution resulted in the multifractality of the time series before and after the implementation of the “haze special law” in Seoul and Daegu, whereas long-range correlation resulted in multifractality of the series before and after the implementation of the law in Busan.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vahid Rezania ◽  
Ferry C. Sudirga ◽  
Jack A. Tuszynski

AbstractThe irregularity of growing and shortening patterns observed experimentally in microtubules reflects a dynamical system that fluctuates stochastically between assembly and disassembly phases. The observed time series of microtubule lengths have been extensively analyzed to shed light on structural and dynamical properties of microtubules. Here, for the first time, Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) has been employed to investigate the multifractal and topological properties of both experimental and simulated microtubule time series. We find that the time dependence of microtubule length possesses true multifractal characteristics and cannot be described by monofractal distributions. Based on the multifractal spectrum profile, a set of multifractal indices have been calculated that can be related to the level of dynamical activities of microtubules. We also show that the resulting multifractal spectra for the simulated data might not be comparable with experimental data.Statement of SignificanceMicrotubules are some of the most important subcellular structures involved in a multitude of functions in all eukaryotic cells. In addition to their cylindrical geometry, their polymerization/depolymerization dynamics, termed dynamic instability, is unique among all protein polymers. In this paper we demonstrate that there is a very specific mathematical representation of microtubule growth and shrinkage time series in terms of multifractality. We further show that using this characteristic, one can distinguish real experimental data from synthetic time series generated from computer simulations.


Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 336 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kostas Philippopoulos ◽  
Nikolaos Kalamaras ◽  
Chris G. Tzanis ◽  
Despina Deligiorgi ◽  
Ioannis Koutsogiannis

The Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MF-DFA) is used to examine the scaling behavior and the multifractal characteristics of the mean daily temperature time series of the ERA-Interim reanalysis data for a domain centered over Greece. The results showed that the time series from all grid points exhibit the same behavior: they have a positive long-term correlation and their multifractal structure is insensitive to local fluctuations with a large magnitude. Special emphasis was given to the spatial distribution of the main characteristics of the multifractal spectrum: the value of the Hölder exponent, the spectral width, the asymmetry, and the truncation type of the spectra. The most interesting finding is that the spatial distribution of almost all spectral parameters is decisively determined by the land–sea distribution. The results could be useful in climate research for examining the reproducibility of the nonlinear dynamics of reanalysis datasets and model outputs.


Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 1116
Author(s):  
Adarsh Sankaran ◽  
Jaromir Krzyszczak ◽  
Piotr Baranowski ◽  
Archana Devarajan Sindhu ◽  
Nandhineekrishna Kumar ◽  
...  

The multifractal properties of six acknowledged agro-meteorological parameters, such as reference evapotranspiration (ET0), wind speed (U), incoming solar radiation (SR), air temperature (T), air pressure (P), and relative air humidity (RH) of five stations in California, USA were examined. The investigation of multifractality of datasets from stations with differing terrain conditions using the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) showed the existence of a long-term persistence and multifractality irrespective of the location. The scaling exponents of SR and T time series are found to be higher for stations with higher altitudes. Subsequently, this study proposed using the novel multifractal cross correlation (MFCCA) method to examine the multiscale-multifractal correlations properties between ET0 and other investigated variables. The MFCCA could successfully capture the scale dependent association of different variables and the dynamics in the nature of their associations from weekly to inter-annual time scales. The multifractal exponents of P and U are consistently lower than the exponents of ET0, irrespective of station location. This study found that joint scaling exponent was nearly the average of scaling exponents of individual series in different pairs of variables. Additionally, the α-values of joint multifractal spectrum were lower than the α values of both of the individual spectra, validating two universal properties in the MFCCA studies for agro-meteorological time series. The temporal evolution of cross-correlation determined by the MFCCA successfully captured the dynamics in the nature of associations in the P-ET0 link.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongzhou Zhao ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Dehua Li ◽  
Yiming Ding

We study the multifractal properties of water level with a high-frequency and massive time series using wavelet methods (estimation of Hurst exponents, multiscale diagram, and wavelet leaders for multifractal analysis (WLMF)) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA). The dataset contains more than two million records from 10 observation sites at a northern China river. The multiscale behaviour is observed in this time series, which indicates the multifractality. This multifractality is detected via multiscale diagram. Then we focus on the multifractal analysis using MF-DFA and WLMF. The two methods give the same conclusion that at most sites the records satisfy the generalized binomial multifractal model, which is robust for different times (morning, afternoon, and evening). The variation in the detailed characteristic parameters of the multifractal model indicates that both human activities and tributaries influence the multifractality. Our work is useful for building simulation models of the water level of local rivers with many observation sites.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (7) ◽  
pp. 1157
Author(s):  
Faheem Aslam ◽  
Saima Latif ◽  
Paulo Ferreira

The use of multifractal approaches has been growing because of the capacity of these tools to analyze complex properties and possible nonlinear structures such as those in financial time series. This paper analyzes the presence of long-range dependence and multifractal parameters in the stock indices of nine MSCI emerging Asian economies. Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (MFDFA) is used, with prior application of the Seasonal and Trend Decomposition using the Loess (STL) method for more reliable results, as STL separates different components of the time series and removes seasonal oscillations. We find a varying degree of multifractality in all the markets considered, implying that they exhibit long-range correlations, which could be related to verification of the fractal market hypothesis. The evidence of multifractality reveals symmetry in the variation trends of the multifractal spectrum parameters of financial time series, which could be useful to develop portfolio management. Based on the degree of multifractality, the Chinese and South Korean markets exhibit the least long-range dependence, followed by Pakistan, Indonesia, and Thailand. On the contrary, the Indian and Malaysian stock markets are found to have the highest level of dependence. This evidence could be related to possible market inefficiencies, implying the possibility of institutional investors using active trading strategies in order to make their portfolios more profitable.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (11) ◽  
pp. 1850109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emrah Oral ◽  
Gazanfer Unal

This leading primary study is about modeling multifractal wavelet scale time series data using multiple wavelet coherence (MWC), continuous wavelet transform (CWT) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) and forecasting with vector autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (VARFIMA) model. The data is acquired from Yahoo Finances!, which is composed of 1671 daily stock market of eastern (NIKKEI, TAIEX, KOPSI) and western (SP500, FTSE, DAX) markets. Once the co-movement dependencies on time-frequency space are determined with MWC, the coherent data is extracted out of raw data at a certain scale by using CWT. The multifractal behavior of the extracted series is verified by MFDFA and its local Hurst exponents have been calculated obtaining root mean square of residuals at each scale. This inter-calculated fluctuation function time series has been re-scaled and used to estimate the process with VARFIMA model and forecasted accordingly. The results have shown that the direction of price change is determined without difficulty and the efficiency of forecasting has been substantially increased using highly correlated multifractal wavelet scale time series data.


2010 ◽  
Vol 88 (8) ◽  
pp. 545-551 ◽  
Author(s):  
Srimonti Dutta

The fluctuation of SENSEX in the Indian stock market for the period Jan 2003–Dec 2009 is studied using the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) approach. The effect of the fall in the stock market in 2008 is also investigated. The data exhibits that the nonstationary time series of SENSEX fluctuations are multifractal in nature. An increase in the degree of multifractality prior to the anomalous behaviour in the SENSEX values is also observed. The increase in the degree of correlation for the period 2007–2009 is also responsible for the meteoric rise and the catastrophic fall in the values of SENSEX.


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