scholarly journals Analysis of the Transition of an Explosive Cyclone to a Mediterranean Tropical-like Cyclone

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1438
Author(s):  
John Kouroutzoglou ◽  
Ioannis Samos ◽  
Helena A. Flocas ◽  
Maria Hatzaki ◽  
Christos Lamaris ◽  
...  

This study investigates the dynamics of the development phases of a Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone (medicane) in the southern Ionian Sea, on 28 September 2018 that caused high impact phenomena in the central and eastern Mediterranean, focusing on the transition from explosive cyclone to medicane. The symmetry and the warm core structure of the system have been demonstrated via phase space diagrams determining three phases of the system development that are then supported on a dynamical basis. During the first phase of the system, baroclinic instability triggered the formation of the explosive cyclone, when strong upper-level PV anomalies at the dynamic tropopause level moved towards a pre-existed area of enhanced low-level baroclinicity over the coastal areas of Libya along with positive SST anomalies. The surface frontal structure was enhanced under the influence of the upper-level dynamic processes. During the second phase when the medicane formed, low-level diabatic processes determined the evolution of the surface cyclone, without any significant support from baroclinic processes in the upper troposphere. The distortion of the low-level baroclinicity and the frontal structure began after the initial weakening of the upper-level dynamics. During the third phase, the system remained barotropic, being affected by similar mechanisms as in the second phase but with lower intensity. The transition mechanism is not only the result of the seclusion of warm air in the cyclone core but, mainly, the continuation of an explosive cyclone or an intense cyclone when the occlusion began to form.

2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (4) ◽  
pp. 1687-1707 ◽  
Author(s):  
Talia Tamarin ◽  
Yohai Kaspi

Abstract The poleward propagation of midlatitude storms is studied using a potential vorticity (PV) tendency analysis of cyclone-tracking composites, in an idealized zonally symmetric moist GCM. A detailed PV budget reveals the important role of the upper-level PV and diabatic heating associated with latent heat release. During the growth stage, the classic picture of baroclinic instability emerges, with an upper-level PV to the west of a low-level PV associated with the cyclone. This configuration not only promotes intensification, but also a poleward tendency that results from the nonlinear advection of the low-level anomaly by the upper-level PV. The separate contributions of the upper- and lower-level PV as well as the surface temperature anomaly are analyzed using a piecewise PV inversion, which shows the importance of the upper-level PV anomaly in advecting the cyclone poleward. The PV analysis also emphasizes the crucial role played by latent heat release in the poleward motion of the cyclone. The latent heat release tends to maximize on the northeastern side of cyclones, where the warm and moist air ascends. A positive PV tendency results at lower levels, propagating the anomaly eastward and poleward. It is also shown here that stronger cyclones have stronger latent heat release and poleward advection, hence, larger poleward propagation. Time development of the cyclone composites shows that the poleward propagation increases during the growth stage of the cyclone, as both processes intensify. However, during the decay stage, the vertical alignment of the upper and lower PV anomalies implies that these processes no longer contribute to a poleward tendency.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (9) ◽  
pp. 6033-6067
Author(s):  
A. Chevuturi ◽  
A. P. Dimri ◽  
U. B. Gunturu

Abstract. This study analyzes the cause of rare occurrence of winter hailstorm over New Delhi/NCR (National Capital Region), India. The absence of increased surface temperature or low level of moisture incursion during winter cannot generate the deep convection required for sustaining a hailstorm. Consequently, NCR shows very few cases of hailstorms in the months of December-January-February, making the winter hail formation a question of interest. For this study, recent winter hailstorm event on 17 January 2013 (16:00–18:00 UTC) occurring over NCR is investigated. The storm is simulated using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model with Goddard Cumulus Ensemble (GCE) microphysics scheme with two different options, hail or graupel. The aim of the study is to understand and describe the cause of hailstorm event during over NCR with comparative analysis of the two options of GCE microphysics. On evaluating the model simulations, it is observed that hail option shows similar precipitation intensity with TRMM observation than the graupel option and is able to simulate hail precipitation. Using the model simulated output with hail option; detailed investigation on understanding the dynamics of hailstorm is performed. The analysis based on numerical simulation suggests that the deep instability in the atmospheric column led to the formation of hailstones as the cloud formation reached upto the glaciated zone promoting ice nucleation. In winters, such instability conditions rarely form due to low level available potential energy and moisture incursion along with upper level baroclinic instability due to the presence of WD. Such rare positioning is found to be lowering the tropopause with increased temperature gradient, leading to winter hailstorm formation.


2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (6) ◽  
pp. 2267-2285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Zhu ◽  
Da-Lin Zhang ◽  
Stefan F. Cecelski ◽  
Xinyong Shen

Abstract The “bottom up” generation of low-level vortices (LVs) and midlevel vortices (MVs) during the genesis of Tropical Storm Debby (2006) and the roles of a midlevel “marsupial pouch” associated with an African easterly wave (AEW) are examined using an 84-h simulation with the finest grid size of 1.33 km. Results show that several MVs are generated in leading convective bands and then advected rearward into stratiform regions by front-to-rear ascending flows. Because of different Lagrangian storm-scale circulations, MVs and LVs are displaced along different paths during the early genesis stages. MVs propagate cyclonically inward within the AEW pouch while experiencing slow intensification and merging under the influence of converging flows. The MVs’ merging into a mesovortex is accelerated as they come closer to each other in the core region. In contrast, the low-level Lagrangian circulation is opened as a wave trough prior to tropical depression (TD) stage, so the LVs tend to “escape” from the pouch region. Only after the low-level flows become closed do some LVs congregate and contribute directly to Debby’s genesis. The TD stage is reached when the midlevel mesovortex and an LV are collocated with a convective zone having intense low-level convergence. Results also show the roles of upper-level warming in hydrostatically maintaining the midlevel pouch and producing mesoscale surface pressure falls. It is found that the vertically tilted AEW with a cold dome below is transformed to a deep warm-core TD vortex by subsiding motion. A conceptual model describing the key elements in the genesis of Debby is also provided.


2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (3) ◽  
pp. 811-832 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caleb T. Grunzke ◽  
Clark Evans

The predictability and dynamics of the warm-core mesovortex associated with the northern flank of the 8 May 2009 “super derecho” event are examined by coupling the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting Model with the ensemble adjustment Kalman filter implementation within the Data Assimilation Research Testbed facility. Cycled analysis started at 1200 UTC 2 May 2009, with observations assimilated every 6 h until 1200 UTC 7 May 2009, at which time a 50-member ensemble of 36-h convection-allowing ensemble forecasts were launched. The ensemble forecasts all simulated a mesoscale convective system, but only 7 out of 50 members produced a warm-core mesovortex-like feature similar in intensity to the observed mesovortex. Ensemble sensitivity and composite analyses were conducted to analyze the environmental differences between ensemble members. A more amplified upstream upper-level trough near the time of observed convection initiation is associated with a stronger simulated mesovortex. The amplification of the trough results in increases in the magnitudes of the low-level jet and thermal gradient. Consequently, more moisture is transported poleward into western Kansas, leading to earlier convection initiation in ensemble members with the strongest mesovortices. A circulation budget is performed on the ensemble members with the strongest (member 10) and weakest (member 5) time-averaged circulations. The ascending front-to-rear flow, descending rear-to-front flow, and divergent low-level flow of an MCS are more prominent in member 10, which is hypothesized to allow for the convergence of more background cyclonic absolute vorticity and, thus, facilitating the development of a stronger mesovortex.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 650
Author(s):  
Robert F. Rogers

Recent (past ~15 years) advances in our understanding of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change processes using aircraft data are summarized here. The focus covers a variety of spatiotemporal scales, regions of the TC inner core, and stages of the TC lifecycle, from preformation to major hurricane status. Topics covered include (1) characterizing TC structure and its relationship to intensity change; (2) TC intensification in vertical shear; (3) planetary boundary layer (PBL) processes and air–sea interaction; (4) upper-level warm core structure and evolution; (5) genesis and development of weak TCs; and (6) secondary eyewall formation/eyewall replacement cycles (SEF/ERC). Gaps in our airborne observational capabilities are discussed, as are new observing technologies to address these gaps and future directions for airborne TC intensity change research.


2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (3) ◽  
pp. 711-737 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthew F. Garvert ◽  
Bradley Smull ◽  
Cliff Mass

Abstract This study combines high-resolution mesoscale model simulations and comprehensive airborne Doppler radar observations to identify kinematic structures influencing the production and mesoscale distribution of precipitation and microphysical processes during a period of heavy prefrontal orographic rainfall over the Cascade Mountains of Oregon on 13–14 December 2001 during the second phase of the Improvement of Microphysical Parameterization through Observational Verification Experiment (IMPROVE-2) field program. Airborne-based radar detection of precipitation from well upstream of the Cascades to the lee allows a depiction of terrain-induced wave motions in unprecedented detail. Two distinct scales of mesoscale wave–like air motions are identified: 1) a vertically propagating mountain wave anchored to the Cascade crest associated with strong midlevel zonal (i.e., cross barrier) flow, and 2) smaller-scale (<20-km horizontal wavelength) undulations over the windward foothills triggered by interaction of the low-level along-barrier flow with multiple ridge–valley corrugations oriented perpendicular to the Cascade crest. These undulations modulate cloud liquid water (CLW) and snow mixing ratios in the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5), with modeled structures comparing favorably to radar-documented zones of enhanced reflectivity and CLW measured by the NOAA P3 aircraft. Errors in the model representation of a low-level shear layer and the vertically propagating mountain waves are analyzed through a variety of sensitivity tests, which indicated that the mountain wave’s amplitude and placement are extremely sensitive to the planetary boundary layer (PBL) parameterization being employed. The effects of 1) using unsmoothed versus smoothed terrain and 2) the removal of upstream coastal terrain on the flow and precipitation over the Cascades are evaluated through a series of sensitivity experiments. Inclusion of unsmoothed terrain resulted in net surface precipitation increases of ∼4%–14% over the windward slopes relative to the smoothed-terrain simulation. Small-scale waves (<20-km horizontal wavelength) over the windward slopes significantly impact the horizontal pattern of precipitation and hence quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) accuracy.


2018 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 10-16
Author(s):  
Sudirman Sudirman ◽  
I Nyoman Gede Baliarta

Sistem supplay air bersih pasti ada dipasang disuatu gedung. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menciptakan modul praktek mahasiswa Program Studi Teknik Pendingin  dalam mata Kuliah Praktek Utility Gedung dan BAS. Sehingga kompetensi mahasiswa tentang utility gedung, khususnya dibidang system pompa supplai air bersih bisa tercapai dengan lebih mudah. Modul praktek ini menggunakan 2 buah pompa, 2 buah tangki air, 1 sebagai tangki sebagai tangki underground tank dan 1 lagi sebagai tower tank. Menggunakan WLC (water level control) untuk mengontrol hidup mati pompa berdasarkan level  air pada tangki tower. Dan menggunakan Relay Change over untuk merubah pompa on duty secara otomatis. Hasil uji kerja alat simulasi ini, saat level air pada tangki tower low level, Pompa 1 akan hidup sampai level air mencapai upper level dan akan Off, secara otomatis Relay change over merubah pompa on duty dari Pompa 1 ke Pompa 2. Pada saat level air mencapai low level lagi di tangki tower, yang hidup adalah Pompa 2.


2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (11) ◽  
pp. 4395-4420 ◽  
Author(s):  
Falko Judt ◽  
Shuyi S. Chen

Abstract Rapid intensification (RI) of tropical cyclones (TCs) remains one of the most challenging issues in TC prediction. This study investigates the predictability of RI, the uncertainty in predicting RI timing, and the dynamical processes associated with RI. To address the question of environmental versus internal control of RI, five high-resolution ensembles of Hurricane Earl (2010) were generated with scale-dependent stochastic perturbations from synoptic to convective scales. Although most members undergo RI and intensify into major hurricanes, the timing of RI is highly uncertain. While environmental conditions including SST control the maximum TC intensity and the likelihood of RI during the TC lifetime, both environmental and internal factors contribute to uncertainty in RI timing. Complex interactions among environmental vertical wind shear, the mean vortex, and internal convective processes govern the TC intensification process and lead to diverse pathways to maturity. Although the likelihood of Earl undergoing RI seems to be predictable, the exact timing of RI has a stochastic component and low predictability. Despite RI timing uncertainty, two dominant modes of RI emerged. One group of members undergoes RI early in the storm life cycle; the other one later. In the early RI cases, a rapidly contracting radius of maximum wind accompanies the development of the eyewall during RI. The late RI cases have a well-developed eyewall prior to RI, while an upper-level warm core forms during the RI process. These differences indicate that RI is associated with distinct physical processes during particular stages of the TC life cycle.


Author(s):  
Jace Wolfe ◽  
Mila Duke ◽  
Sharon Miller ◽  
Erin Schafer ◽  
Christine Jones ◽  
...  

Background: For children with hearing loss, the primary goal of hearing aids is to provide improved access to the auditory environment within the limits of hearing aid technology and the child’s auditory abilities. However, there are limited data examining aided speech recognition at very low (40 dBA) and low (50 dBA) presentation levels. Purpose: Due to the paucity of studies exploring aided speech recognition at low presentation levels for children with hearing loss, the present study aimed to 1) compare aided speech recognition at different presentation levels between groups of children with normal hearing and hearing loss, 2) explore the effects of aided pure tone average (PTA) and aided Speech Intelligibility Index (SII) on aided speech recognition at low presentation levels for children with hearing loss ranging in degree from mild to severe, and 3) evaluate the effect of increasing low-level gain on aided speech recognition of children with hearing loss. Research Design: In phase 1 of this study, a two-group, repeated-measures design was used to evaluate differences in speech recognition. In phase 2 of this study, a single-group, repeated-measures design was used to evaluate the potential benefit of additional low-level hearing aid gain for low-level aided speech recognition of children with hearing loss. Study Sample: The first phase of the study included 27 school-age children with mild to severe sensorineural hearing loss and 12 school-age children with normal hearing. The second phase included eight children with mild to moderate sensorineural hearing loss. Intervention: Prior to the study, children with hearing loss were fitted binaurally with digital hearing aids. Children in the second phase were fitted binaurally with digital study hearing aids and completed a trial period with two different gain settings: 1) gain required to match hearing aid output to prescriptive targets (i.e., primary program), and 2) a 6-dB increase in overall gain for low-level inputs relative to the primary program. In both phases of this study, real-ear verification measures were completed to ensure the hearing aid output matched prescriptive targets. Data Collection and Analysis: Phase 1 included monosyllabic word recognition and syllable-final plural recognition at three presentation levels (40, 50, and 60 dBA). Phase 2 compared speech recognition performance for the same test measures and presentation levels with two differing gain prescriptions. Results and Conclusions: In phase 1 of the study, aided speech recognition was significantly poorer in children with hearing loss at all presentation levels. Higher aided SII in the better ear (55 dB SPL input) was associated with higher CNC word recognition at a 40 dBA presentation level. In phase 2, increasing the hearing aid gain for low-level inputs provided a significant improvement in syllable-final plural recognition at very low-level inputs and resulted in a non-significant trend toward better monosyllabic word recognition at very low presentation levels. Additional research is needed to document the speech recognition difficulties children with hearing aids may experience with low-level speech in the real world as well as the potential benefit or detriment of providing additional low-level hearing aid gain


Significance A win-win deal for both, it strengthens their long-standing excellent relations. It also enhances Greece’s military position in the Aegean Sea and France’s presence in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, following a peaceful summer in the Aegean, the pact risks raising tensions between Greece (and Cyprus) and Turkey over maritime borders and drilling rights. Impacts US-Greek defence agreement will be updated to cover a long-term arrangement, allowing for more investment in US bases in Greece. Turkish defence procurement from Russia is likely to rise, straining ties with Washington. Low-level exploratory talks between Greece and Turkey will continue as scheduled amid mutual recriminations.


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