scholarly journals Validating Hourly Satellite Based and Reanalysis Based Global Horizontal Irradiance Datasets over South Africa

Geomatics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 429-450
Author(s):  
Brighton Mabasa ◽  
Meena D. Lysko ◽  
Sabata J. Moloi
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
South African ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Surface Radiation ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
In Situ Data

This study validates the hourly satellite based and reanalysis based global horizontal irradiance (GHI) for sites in South Africa. Hourly GHI satellite based namely: SOLCAST, Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS), and Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CMSAF SARAH) and two reanalysis based, namely, Fifth generation European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5) and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA2) were assessed by comparing in situ measured data from 13 South African Weather Service radiometric stations, located in the country’s six macro climatological regions, for the period 2013–2019. The in situ data were first quality controlled using the Baseline Surface Radiation Network methodology. Data visualization and statistical metrics relative mean bias error (rMBE), relative root mean square error (rRMSE), relative mean absolute error (rMAE), and the coefficient of determination (R2) were used to evaluate the performance of the datasets. There was very good correlation against in situ GHI for the satellite based GHI, all with R2 above 0.95. The R2 correlations for the reanalysis based GHI were less than 0.95 (0.931 for ERA5 and 0.888 for MERRA2). The satellite and reanalysis based GHI showed a positive rMBE (SOLCAST 0.81%, CAMS 2.14%, CMSAF 2.13%, ERA5 1.7%, and MERRA2 11%), suggesting consistent overestimation over the country. SOLCAST satellite based GHI showed the best rRMSE (14%) and rMAE (9%) combinations. MERRA2 reanalysis based GHI showed the weakest rRMSE (37%) and rMAE (22%) combinations. SOLCAST satellite based GHI showed the best overall performance. When considering only the freely available datasets, CAMS and CMSAF performed better with the same overall rMBE (2%), however, CAMS showed slightly better rRMSE (16%), rMAE(10%), and R2 (0.98) combinations than CMSAF rRMSE (17%), rMAE (11%), and R2 (0.97). CAMS and CMSAF are viable freely available data sources for South African locations.

scholarly journals The Performance Assessment of Six Global Horizontal Irradiance Clear Sky Models in Six Climatological Regions in South Africa

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2583
Author(s):  
Brighton Mabasa ◽  
Meena D. Lysko ◽  
Henerica Tazvinga ◽  
Nosipho Zwane ◽  
Sabata J. Moloi
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Detection Algorithm ◽  
Surface Radiation ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Clear Sky ◽  
Satellite Platform ◽  
Hourly Data

This study assesses the performance of six global horizontal irradiance (GHI) clear sky models, namely: Bird, Simple Solis, McClear, Ineichen–Perez, Haurwitz and Berger–Duffie. The assessment is performed by comparing 1-min model outputs to corresponding clear sky reference 1-min Baseline Surface Radiation Network quality controlled GHI data from 13 South African Weather Services radiometric stations. The data used in the study range from 2013 to 2019. The 13 reference stations are across the six macro climatological regions of South Africa. The aim of the study is to identify the overall best performing clear sky model for estimating minute GHI in South Africa. Clear sky days are detected using ERA5 reanalysis hourly data and the application of an additional 1-min automated detection algorithm. Metadata for the models’ inputs were sourced from station measurements, satellite platform observations, reanalysis and some were modelled. Statistical metrics relative Mean Bias Error (rMBE), relative Root Mean Square Error (rRMSE) and the coefficient of determination (R2) are used to categorize model performance. The results show that each of the models performed differently across the 13 stations and in different climatic regions. The Bird model was overall the best in all regions, with an rMBE of 1.87%, rRMSE of 4.11% and R2 of 0.998. The Bird model can therefore be used with quantitative confidence as a basis for solar energy applications when all the required model inputs are available.

An Improved Model of Estimation Global Solar Irradiation From in Situ Data: Case of Algerian Oranie’s Region

2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Houcine Naim ◽  
Redouane Fares ◽  
Abed Bouadi ◽  
Abdelatif Hassini ◽  
Benabadji Noureddine
Keyword(s):  
Meteorological Parameter ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Solar Irradiation ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
Experimental Values ◽  
Improved Model

Abstract The total monthly average of daily radiation on a horizontal surface at the site of Oran (35.38 deg N, 0.37 deg W) is achieved by applying two models. We present a comparison between the first one which is a regression equation of the Angstrom type and the second model, developed by the present authors: Some modifications were recommended using relative humidity as the input meteorological parameter) and longitude, latitude, and altitude as the astronomical parameters. The process of examining similarities is made using root mean square error (RMSE), the mean bias error (MBE), mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). This comparison shows that the second model is closer to the experimental values of the Angstrom model.

scholarly journals ELECTRICAL PARAMETERS ESTIMATION OF SINGLE DIODE PV MODULE MODEL USING HYBRID METAHEURISTIC ALGORIHM

2022 ◽  
Vol 26 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-78
Author(s):  
Mawj M. Abbas ◽  
◽  
Dhiaa H. Muhsen ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Differential Evolution ◽  
Execution Time ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Standard Test ◽  
Parameters Estimation ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
De Algorithm ◽  
Pv Module

In this paper, an improved hybrid algorithm called differential evolution with integrated mutation per iteration (DEIM) is proposed to extract five parameters of single-diode PV module model obtained by combining differential evolution (DE) algorithm and electromagnetic-like (EML) algorithm. The EML algorithm's attraction-repulsion idea is employed in DEIM in order to enhance the mutation process of DE. The proposed algorithm is validated with other methods using experimental I-V data. The results of presented method reveal that simulated I-V characteristics have a high degree of agreement with experimental ones. The proposed model has an average root mean square error of 0.062A, an absolute error of 0.0452A, a mean bias error of 0.006A, a coefficient of determination of 0.992, a standard test deviation around 0.04540, and 15.33sec as execution time. The results demonstrate that the proposed method is better in terms of the accuracy and execution time (convergence) when compared with other methods where provide less errors.

scholarly journals The Ångström–Prescott Regression Coefficients for Six Climatic Zones in South Africa

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (20) ◽  
pp. 5418
Author(s):  
Brighton Mabasa ◽  
Meena D. Lysko ◽  
Henerica Tazvinga ◽  
Sophie T. Mulaudzi ◽  
Nosipho Zwane ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Sunshine Duration ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Regression Coefficients ◽  
Solar Irradiation ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Observation Data ◽  
Statistical Validation ◽  
Worst Case

The South African Weather Service (SAWS) manages an in situ solar irradiance radiometric network of 13 stations and a very dense sunshine recording network, located in all six macroclimate zones of South Africa. A sparsely distributed radiometric network over a landscape with dynamic climate and weather shifts is inadequate for solar energy studies and applications. Therefore, there is a need to develop mathematical models to estimate solar irradiation for a multitude of diverse climates. In this study, the annual regression coefficients, a and b, of the Ångström–Prescott (AP) model, which can be used to estimate global horizontal irradiance (GHI) from observed sunshine hours, were calibrated and validated with observed station data. The AP regression coefficients were calibrated and validated for each of the six macroclimate zones of South Africa using the observation data that span 2013 to 2019. The predictive effectiveness of the calibrated AP model coefficients was evaluated by comparing estimated and observed daily GHI. The maximum annual relative Mean Bias Error (rMBE) was 0.371%, relative Mean Absolute Error (rMAE) was 0.745%, relative Root Mean Square Error (rRMSE) was 0.910%, and the worst-case correlation coefficient (R2) was 0.910. The statistical validation metrics results show that there is a strong correlation and linear relation between observed and estimated GHI values. The AP model coefficients calculated in this study can be used with quantitative confidence in estimating daily GHI data at locations in South Africa where daily observation sunshine duration data are available.

scholarly journals Hourly Ground-Level PM2.5 Estimation Using Geostationary Satellite and Reanalysis Data via Deep Learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2121
Author(s):  
Changsuk Lee ◽  
Kyunghwa Lee ◽  
Sangmin Kim ◽  
Jinhyeok Yu ◽  
Seungtaek Jeong ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cross Validation ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Air Quality Model ◽  
Quality Model ◽  
Near Surface

This study proposes an improved approach for monitoring the spatial concentrations of hourly particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter (PM2.5) via a deep neural network (DNN) using geostationary ocean color imager (GOCI) images and unified model (UM) reanalysis data over the Korean Peninsula. The DNN performance was optimized to determine the appropriate training model structures, incorporating hyperparameter tuning, regularization, early stopping, and input and output variable normalization to prevent training dataset overfitting. Near-surface atmospheric information from the UM was also used as an input variable to spatially generalize the DNN model. The retrieved PM2.5 from the DNN was compared with estimates from random forest, multiple linear regression, and the Community Multiscale Air Quality model. The DNN demonstrated the highest accuracy compared to that of the conventional methods for the hold-out validation (root mean square error (RMSE) = 7.042 μg/m3, mean bias error (MBE) = −0.340 μg/m3, and coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.698) and the cross-validation (RMSE = 9.166 μg/m3, MBE = 0.293 μg/m3, and R2 = 0.49). Although the R2 was low due to underestimated high PM2.5 concentration patterns, the RMSE and MBE demonstrated reliable accuracy values (<10 μg/m3 and 1 μg/m3, respectively) for the hold-out validation and cross-validation.

scholarly journals Evaluation of NASA POWER Reanalysis Products to Estimate Daily Weather Variables in a Hot Summer Mediterranean Climate

Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1207
Author(s):  
Gonçalo C. Rodrigues ◽  
Ricardo P. Braga
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Bias Correction ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Mediterranean Climate ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Weather Variables ◽  
Weather Stations

This study aims to evaluate NASA POWER reanalysis products for daily surface maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures, solar radiation (Rs), relative humidity (RH) and wind speed (Ws) when compared with observed data from 14 distributed weather stations across Alentejo Region, Southern Portugal, with a hot summer Mediterranean climate. Results showed that there is good agreement between NASA POWER reanalysis and observed data for all parameters, except for wind speed, with coefficient of determination (R2) higher than 0.82, with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) varying, from 8 to 20%, and a normalized mean bias error (NMBE) ranging from –9 to 26%, for those variables. Based on these results, and in order to improve the accuracy of the NASA POWER dataset, two bias corrections were performed to all weather variables: one for the Alentejo Region as a whole; another, for each location individually. Results improved significantly, especially when a local bias correction is performed, with Tmax and Tmin presenting an improvement of the mean NRMSE of 6.6 °C (from 8.0 °C) and 16.1 °C (from 20.5 °C), respectively, while a mean NMBE decreased from 10.65 to 0.2%. Rs results also show a very high goodness of fit with a mean NRMSE of 11.2% and mean NMBE equal to 0.1%. Additionally, bias corrected RH data performed acceptably with an NRMSE lower than 12.1% and an NMBE below 2.1%. However, even when a bias correction is performed, Ws lacks the performance showed by the remaining weather variables, with an NRMSE never lower than 19.6%. Results show that NASA POWER can be useful for the generation of weather data sets where ground weather stations data is of missing or unavailable.

scholarly journals Space-Time Sea Surface pCO2 Estimation in the North Atlantic Based on CatBoost

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 2805
Author(s):  
Hongwei Sun ◽  
Junyu He ◽  
Yihui Chen ◽  
Boyu Zhao
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Function Analysis ◽  
Biological Activities ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Sea surface partial pressure of CO2 (pCO2) is a critical parameter in the quantification of air–sea CO2 flux, which plays an important role in calculating the global carbon budget and ocean acidification. In this study, we used chlorophyll-a concentration (Chla), sea surface temperature (SST), dissolved and particulate detrital matter absorption coefficient (Adg), the diffuse attenuation coefficient of downwelling irradiance at 490 nm (Kd) and mixed layer depth (MLD) as input data for retrieving the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic based on a remote sensing empirical approach with the Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) algorithm. The results showed that the root mean square error (RMSE) is 8.25 μatm, the mean bias error (MAE) is 4.92 μatm and the coefficient of determination (R2) can reach 0.946 in the validation set. Subsequently, the proposed algorithm was applied to the sea surface pCO2 in the North Atlantic Ocean during 2003–2020. It can be found that the North Atlantic sea surface pCO2 has a clear trend with latitude variations and have strong seasonal changes. Furthermore, through variance analysis and EOF (empirical orthogonal function) analysis, the sea surface pCO2 in this area is mainly affected by sea temperature and salinity, while it can also be influenced by biological activities in some sub-regions.

scholarly journals Sorption isotherms and their fitted equations for dried chips of cassava roots (Manihot Esculenta Crantz; Tme-7 variety) and the resulting isosteric heats of sorption

Food Research ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 703-711
Author(s):  
A.S. Ajala ◽  
P.O. Ngoddy ◽  
J.O. Olajide
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Shelf Life ◽  
Gravimetric Method ◽  
Sorption Isotherms ◽  
Isosteric Heat ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Isotherm Models ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Manihot Esculenta Crantz

Cassava roots are susceptible to deterioration with 24 hrs of harvest; it needs processing into a more stable material such as dried cassava chips to extend its shelf life for long storage. However, improper knowledge of the effect of atmospheric relative humidity on these dried chips during storage makes it mouldy and unacceptable. This work aimed at studying the effect of sorption isotherms on the dried cassava chips. In this study, adsorption and desorption isotherm were carried out using static gravimetric method and data for equilibrium moisture content (EMC) were generated at five (5) temperatures (53, 60, 70, 80, 86oC). These were fitted into four (4) isotherm-models [Oswin, Peleg, the Modified Oswin and GAB]. The statistical criteria to test the models were coefficient of determination (R2 ), reduced chi-square (χ 2 ), root mean square error (RMSE) and mean bias error (MBE). The values of EMC ranged from 7.21-12.44% wb. The values of R2 ranged from 0.95-0.99; χ 2 ranged from 0.008-0.14; RMSE values ranged from 0.06-0.254 while MBE values ranged from -0.0004-1.1E-5. The values of isosteric heat of sorption calculated from the isosteres recorded a range from 6.579 to 67.829 kJ/mole. The Pelegmodel gave the best fit in the relative humidity range of 10 to 80%. The values of EMC show that the chips can have a stable shelf life without spoilage.

scholarly journals RETRIEVAL OF SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE OVER POTERAN ISLAND WATER OF INDONESIA WITH LANDSAT 8 TIRS IMAGE: A PRELIMINARY ALGORITHM

2015 ◽  
Vol XL-2/W4 ◽  
pp. 87-90 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Syariz ◽  
L. M. Jaelani ◽  
L. Subehi ◽  
A. Pamungkas ◽  
E. S. Koenhardono ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Brightness Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Landsat 8 ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
The North ◽  
Thermal Band

The Sea Surface Temperature (SST) retrieval from satellites data Thus, it could provide SST data for a long time. Since, the algorithms of SST estimation by using Landsat 8 Thermal Band are sitedependence, we need to develop an applicable algorithm in Indonesian water. The aim of this research was to develop SST algorithms in the North Java Island Water. The data used are in-situ data measured on April 22, 2015 and also estimated brightness temperature data from Landsat 8 Thermal Band Image (band 10 and band 11). The algorithm was established using 45 data by assessing the relation of measured in-situ data and estimated brightness temperature. Then, the algorithm was validated by using another 40 points. The results showed that the good performance of the sea surface temperature algorithm with coefficient of determination (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>) and Root Mean Square Error (<i>RMSE</i>) of 0.912 and 0.028, respectively.

scholarly journals A 16-year dataset (2000–2015) of high-resolution (3 h, 10 km) global surface solar radiation

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1905-1915 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenjun Tang ◽  
Kun Yang ◽  
Jun Qin ◽  
Xin Li ◽  
Xiaolei Niu
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Radiant Energy ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Surface Radiation ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Mean Bias Error ◽  
Bias Error ◽  
Surface Solar Radiation ◽  
Global Surface

Abstract. The recent release of the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) HXG cloud products and new ERA5 reanalysis data enabled us to produce a global surface solar radiation (SSR) dataset: a 16-year (2000–2015) high-resolution (3 h, 10 km) global SSR dataset using an improved physical parameterization scheme. The main inputs were cloud optical depth from ISCCP-HXG cloud products; the water vapor, surface pressure and ozone from ERA5 reanalysis data; and albedo and aerosol from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) products. The estimated SSR data were evaluated against surface observations measured at 42 stations of the Baseline Surface Radiation Network (BSRN) and 90 radiation stations of the China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Validation against the BSRN data indicated that the mean bias error (MBE), root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R) for the instantaneous SSR estimates at 10 km scale were −11.5 W m−2, 113.5 W m−2 and 0.92, respectively. When the estimated instantaneous SSR data were upscaled to 90 km, its error was clearly reduced, with RMSE decreasing to 93.4 W m−2 and R increasing to 0.95. For daily SSR estimates at 90 km scale, the MBE, RMSE and R at the BSRN were −5.8 W m−2, 33.1 W m−2 and 0.95, respectively. These error metrics at the CMA radiation stations were 2.1 W m−2, 26.9 W m−2 and 0.95, respectively. Comparisons with other global satellite radiation products indicated that our SSR estimates were generally better than those of the ISCCP flux dataset (ISCCP-FD), the global energy and water cycle experiment surface radiation budget (GEWEX-SRB), and the Earth's Radiant Energy System (CERES). Our SSR dataset will contribute to the land-surface process simulations and the photovoltaic applications in the future. The dataset is available at  https://doi.org/10.11888/Meteoro.tpdc.270112 (Tang, 2019).

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