Estimation of 1-km Resolution All-Sky Instantaneous Erythemal UV-B with MODIS Data Based on a Deep Learning Method

Although ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation reaching the ground represents a tiny fraction of the total solar radiant energy, it significantly affects human health and global ecosystems. Therefore, erythemal UV-B monitoring has recently attracted significant attention. However, traditional UV-B retrieval methods rely on empirical modeling and handcrafted features, which require expertise and fail to generalize to new environments. Furthermore, most traditional products have low spatial resolution. To address this, we propose a deep learning framework for retrieving all-sky, kilometer-level erythemal UV-B from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. We designed a deep neural network with a residual structure to cascade high-level representations from raw MODIS inputs, eliminating handcrafted features. We used an external random forest classifier to perform the final prediction based on refined deep features extracted from the residual network. Compared with basic parameters, extracted deep features more accurately bridge the semantic gap between the raw MODIS inputs, improving retrieval accuracy. We established a dataset from 7 Surface Radiation Budget Network (SURFRAD) stations and 1 from 30 UV-B Monitoring and Research Program (UVMRP) stations with MODIS top-of-atmosphere reflectance, solar and view zenith angle, surface reflectance, altitude, and ozone observations. A partial SURFRAD dataset from 2007–2016 trained the model, achieving an R2 of 0.9887, a mean bias error (MBE) of 0.19 mW/m2, and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 7.42 mW/m2. The model evaluated on 2017 SURFRAD data shows an R2 of 0.9376, an MBE of 1.24 mW/m2, and an RMSE of 17.45 mW/m2, indicating the proposed model accurately generalizes the temporal dimension. We evaluated the model at 30 UVMRP stations with different land cover from those of SURFRAD and found most stations had a relative RMSE of 25% and an MBE within ±5%, demonstrating generalization in the spatial dimension. This study demonstrates the potential of using MODIS data to accurately estimate all-sky erythemal UV-B with the proposed algorithm.

Comparison of evapotranspiration models

Actual evapotranspiration of wheat crop during different year from 1978-79 to 1992-93 was measured daily in Varanasi, Uttar Pradesh using lysimeter. In this study three evapotranspiration computing models namely Doorenbos and Pruitt, Thornthwaite and Soil Plant Atmosphere Water (SPAW) have been used. Comparisons of these three methods show that the SPAW model is better than the other two methods for evapotraspiration estimation. In the present study the MBE (Mean-Bias-Error), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and t-statistic have also been obtained for better evaluations of a model performance.

Convolutional Neural Network Models Help Effectively Estimate Legume Coverage in Grass-Legume Mixed Swards

Evaluation of the legume proportion in grass-legume mixed swards is necessary for breeding and for cultivation research of forage. For objective and time-efficient estimation of legume proportion, convolutional neural network (CNN) models were trained by fine-tuning the GoogLeNet to estimate the coverage of timothy (TY), white clover (WC), and background (Bg) on the unmanned aerial vehicle-based images. The accuracies of the CNN models trained on different datasets were compared using the mean bias error and the mean average error. The models predicted the coverage with small errors when the plots in the training datasets were similar to the target plots in terms of coverage rate. The models that are trained on datasets of multiple plots had smaller errors than those trained on datasets of a single plot. The CNN models estimated the WC coverage more precisely than they did to the TY and the Bg coverages. The correlation coefficients (r) of the measured coverage for aerial images vs. estimated coverage were 0.92–0.96, whereas those of the scored coverage by a breeder vs. estimated coverage were 0.76–0.93. These results indicate that CNN models are helpful in effectively estimating the legume coverage.

Construction of Nominal Ionospheric Gradient Using Satellite Pair Method Based on GNSS CORS Observation in Indonesia

Ground-Based Augmentation System (GBAS) is a GNSS augmentation system that meets International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) requirements to support precision approach and landing. GBAS is based on the local differential GNSS technique with reference stations located around the airport to provide necessary integrity and accuracy. The performance of the GBAS system can be affected by the gradient in the ionospheric delay between the aircraft and the reference stations. A nominal ionospheric gradient, which is bounded by a conservative error bound, is represented by a parameter σvig. σvig was commonly determined using station pair to GNSS Continuous Operating Reference Station (CORS) data. The station pair method is susceptible to doubling of receiver bias error and is not suitable with the CORS conditions in Indonesia. We propose a satellite pair method that is found to be more suitable for the CORS network over Indonesia which is centered in Java and Sumatra islands. The value of σvig (4.48 mm/km) is obtained using this method along with the preliminary results of a comparison of σvig from Java and Sumatra islands.

ELECTRICAL PARAMETERS ESTIMATION OF SINGLE DIODE PV MODULE MODEL USING HYBRID METAHEURISTIC ALGORIHM

In this paper, an improved hybrid algorithm called differential evolution with integrated mutation per iteration (DEIM) is proposed to extract five parameters of single-diode PV module model obtained by combining differential evolution (DE) algorithm and electromagnetic-like (EML) algorithm. The EML algorithm's attraction-repulsion idea is employed in DEIM in order to enhance the mutation process of DE. The proposed algorithm is validated with other methods using experimental I-V data. The results of presented method reveal that simulated I-V characteristics have a high degree of agreement with experimental ones. The proposed model has an average root mean square error of 0.062A, an absolute error of 0.0452A, a mean bias error of 0.006A, a coefficient of determination of 0.992, a standard test deviation around 0.04540, and 15.33sec as execution time. The results demonstrate that the proposed method is better in terms of the accuracy and execution time (convergence) when compared with other methods where provide less errors.

Statistical prediction of seasonal cyclonic activity over North Indian Ocean

The Northeast monsoon season of October to December (OND) is the primary season of cyclonic activity over the North Indian Ocean (NIO). The mean number of days of cyclonic activity over NIO during this season is about 20 days. In the present study, statistical prediction for seasonal cyclonic activity over the North Indian Ocean during the cyclone season of October to December is attempted using well known climate indices and regional circulation features during the recent 30 years of 1971-2000.Potential predictors are identified using correlation analysis and optimum numbers of predictors are chosen using screening regression technique. A qualitative prediction for number of Cyclonic Disturbance (CD) days is attempted by analysing the conditional means of the number of CD days during OND over NIO for different intervals of each predictor based on the 30 year data of 1971-2000. Predictions and their validations for the subsequent test period of 2001 to 2009, based on this scheme, are discussed. An attempt for quantitative prediction is also made by developing a multiple regression model for prediction of number of CD days over the NIO during OND using the same predictors. The regression model accounts for 70% of the inter annual variance. The root mean square error of estimate is 5 days and the bias error is 0.36 days. The regression model is cross validated by Jackknife method for each individual year using the data of 29 years from the sample excluding the year under consideration. The model is also tested for independent dataset for the years 2001 to 2009. Salient features of the model performance are discussed.

Long-gap Filling Method for the Coastal Monitoring Data

Technique for the long-gap filling that occur frequently in ocean monitoring data is developed. The method estimates the unknown values of the long-gap by the summation of the estimated trend and selected residual components of the given missing intervals. The method was used to impute the data of the long-term missing interval of about 1 month, such as temperature and water temperature of the Ulleungdo ocean buoy data. The imputed data showed differences depending on the monitoring parameters, but it was found that the variation pattern was appropriately reproduced. Although this method causes bias and variance errors due to trend and residual components estimation, it was found that the bias error of statistical measure estimation due to long-term missing is greatly reduced. The mean, and the 90% confidence intervals of the gap-filling model’s RMS errors are 0.93 and 0.35~1.95, respectively.

Comparison between Energy Simulation and Monitoring Data in an Office Building

One of the most important steps in the retrofitting process of a building is to understand its pre-retrofitting stage energy performance. The best choice for carrying this out is by means of a calibrated building energy simulation (BES) model. Then, the testing of different retrofitting solutions in the validated model allows for quantifying the improvements that may be obtained, in order to choose the most suitable solution. In this work, based on the available detailed building drawings, constructive details, building operational data and the data sets obtained on a minute basis (for a whole year) from a dedicated energy monitoring system, the calibration of an in-use office building energy model has been carried out. It has been possible to construct a detailed white box model based on Design Builder software. Then, comparing the model output for indoor air temperature, lighting consumption and heating consumption against the monitored data, some of the building envelope parameters and inner building inertia of the model were fine tuned to obtain fits fulfilling the ASHRAE criteria. Problems found during this fitting process and how they are solved are explained in detail. The model calibration is firstly performed on an hourly basis for a typical winter and summer week; then, the whole year results of the simulation are compared against the monitored data. The results show a good agreement for indoor temperature, lighting and heating consumption compared with the ASHRAE criteria for the mean bias error (MBE).

Reference crop evapotranspiration in distinct agricultural regions of Southern Brazil: a comparison of improved empirical models

The FAO56 Penman-Monteith model is globally accepted for the accurate determination of reference evapotranspiration (ETo). However, a lack of appropriate data encouraged the improved model’s approach to estimate ETo. This study compared the performance of 10 empirical models of ETo estimation (Penman, Priestley & Taylor, Tanner & Pelton, Makkink, Jensen & Haise, Hargreaves & Samani, Camargo, Benevides & Lopes, Turc, and Linacre) contrasted with the FAO56 model in two regions in Southern Brazil. Data were collected from automatic stations of the Brazilian National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) from December 21, 2019, to February 28, 2021. The determination coefficient (R²), mean square error (nRMSE), mean bias error (MBE), Willmott index (d), and Pearson’s correlation coefficient (r), clustering, and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) were performed. For the different regions, the radiation-based model proposed by Penman was the best alternative for estimating ETo. The model showed the most appropriated values for R2 (0.9015) and r (0.9494). The clustering and PCA analyses indicated the interrelations of the meteorological data and the combination of the models according to the parameters used for the determination of ETo.

An Improved Assessment Method and Its Application to the Latest IMERG Rainfall Product in Mainland China

Quantification of uncertainties associated with satellite precipitation products is a prior requirement for their better applications in earth science studies. An improved scheme is developed in this study to decompose mean bias error (MBE) and mean square error (MSE) into three components, i.e., MBE and MSE associated hits, missed precipitation, and false alarms, respectively, which are weighted by their relative frequencies of occurrence (RFO). The trend of total MBE or MSE is then naturally decomposed into six components according to the chain rule for derivatives. Quantitative estimation of individual contributions to total MBE and MSE is finally derived. The method is applied to validation of Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) in Mainland China. MBE associated with false alarms is an important driver for total MBE, while MSE associated with hits accounts for more than 85% of MSE, except in inland semi-arid area. The RFO of false alarms increases, whereas the RFO of missed precipitation decreases. Both factors lead in part to a growing trend for total MBE. Detection of precipitation should be improved in the IMERG algorithm. More specifically, the priority should be to reduce false alarms.