Modeling of the Public Opinion Polarization Process with the Considerations of Individual Heterogeneity and Dynamic Conformity

Nowadays, hot issues are likely become bipolar or multipolar after heated discussion on the Internet. This article is focused on the study of the polarization phenomenon and establishes a public opinion polarization model with the considerations of individual heterogeneity and dynamic conformity. At first, this article introduces the dynamic changing function of an individual’s conformity tendency to other’s attitudes in the interaction process. It further defines the influential weight between different interactive individuals, and expands the interactive individual from complete homogeneity to initial attitude heterogeneity, and finally, conformity heterogeneity. Then, through simulation experiments, we find that the degree of changing in individual attitude is limited. That is, it is difficult for the individuals who have one directional attitude at the initial time to change into another opposite attitude through interaction. In addition, individuals with low conformity within a certain threshold are more likely to form polarization. Finally, the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed model are verified by the typical case “Mimeng Event”.

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The cooperative and competitive mechanisms of a leader’s opinion transmission

International Journal of Modern Physics C ◽

10.1142/s0129183120501272 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 31 (09) ◽

pp. 2050127

Author(s):

Adil Amirjanov

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Numerical Experiments ◽

Continuous Model ◽

Opinion Formation ◽

Agent Based ◽

The Public ◽

Proposed Model ◽

Cooperative Process ◽

Competitive Mechanisms ◽

The Individual

The paper modeled a leader’s opinion transmission in a population. The proposed model develops the cooperation agent-based continuous model in which the cooperation of individuals is based on the similarity of evolved “tags” which are relative to evolved tag-difference tolerances. In proposed model, an individual’s opinion and the individual’s tolerance are specified as variables in the model. During communication with each other and with a leader, the resources of individuals are incremented, if they are tolerable to the opinions of their opponents. An opinion formation in population is established by a cooperative process — changing individual’s opinion, if the individual is tolerable to the opinions of opponents, and by a competitive process — copying opinions and tolerances of successful individuals who have higher resource. Numerical experiments have proven that the public opinion reached a consensus followed the leader’s opinion.

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Analysis of Public Opinion in Colleges and Universities Based on Wireless Web Crawler Technology in the Context of Artificial Intelligence

Mobile Information Systems ◽

10.1155/2022/7745028 ◽

2022 ◽

Vol 2022 ◽

pp. 1-10

Author(s):

WenNing Wu ◽

ZhengHong Deng

Keyword(s):

Artificial Intelligence ◽

Public Opinion ◽

Colleges And Universities ◽

Web Crawler ◽

The Public ◽

User Influence ◽

Proposed Model ◽

Wide Range ◽

Different Dimensions ◽

The Web

Wi-Fi-enabled information terminals have become enormously faster and more powerful because of this technology’s rapid advancement. As a result of this, the field of artificial intelligence (AI) was born. Artificial intelligence (AI) has been used in a wide range of societal contexts. It has had a significant impact on the realm of education. Using big data to support multistage views of every subject of opinion helps to recognize the unique characteristics of each aspect and improves social network governance’s suitability. As public opinion in colleges and universities becomes an increasingly important vehicle for expressing public opinion, this paper aims to explore the concepts of public opinion based on the web crawler and CNN (Convolutional Neural Network) model. Web crawler methodology is utilised to gather the data given by students of college and universities and mention them in different dimensions. This CNN has robust data analysis capability; this proposed model uses the CNN to analyse the public opinion. Preprocessing of data is done using the oversampling method to maximize the effect of classification. Through the association of descriptions, comprehensive utilization of image information like user influence, stances of comments, topics, time of comments, etc., to suggest guidance phenomenon for various schemes, helps to enhance the effectiveness and targeted social governance of networks. The overall experimentation was carried out in python here in which the suggested methodology was predicting the positive and negative opinion of the students over the web crawler technology with a low rate of error when compared to other existing methodology.

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Combining Public Opinion Dissemination with Polarization Process Considering Individual Heterogeneity

Healthcare ◽

10.3390/healthcare9020176 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 9 (2) ◽

pp. 176 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Tinggui Chen ◽

Jingtao Rong ◽

Jianjun Yang ◽

Guodong Cong ◽

Gongfa Li

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Formation Mechanism ◽

Individual Heterogeneity ◽

State Transitions ◽

False Information ◽

Seir Model ◽

Relationship Strength ◽

Transmission Parameters ◽

Proposed Model ◽

Wide Dissemination

The wide dissemination of false information and the frequent occurrence of extreme speeches on online social platforms have become increasingly prominent, which impact on the harmony and stability of society. In order to solve the problems in the dissemination and polarization of public opinion over online social platforms, it is necessary to conduct in-depth research on the formation mechanism of the dissemination and polarization of public opinion. This article appends individual communicating willingness and forgetting effects to the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model to describe individual state transitions; secondly, it introduces three heterogeneous factors describing the characteristics of individual differences in the Jager-Amblard (J-A) model, namely: Individual conformity, individual conservative degree, and inter-individual relationship strength in order to reflect the different roles of individual heterogeneity in the opinions interaction; thirdly, it integrates the improved SEIR model and J-A model to construct the SEIR-JA model to study the formation mechanism of public opinion dissemination and polarization. Transmission parameters and polarization parameters are simulated and analyzed. Finally, a public opinion event from the pricing of China’s self-developed COVID-19 vaccine are used, and related Weibo comment data about this event are also collected so as to verify the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed model.

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Trust in the Police: Cross-country Comparisons

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2012-11-24-47 ◽

2012 ◽

pp. 24-47

Author(s):

V. Gimpelson ◽

G. Monusova

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Public Attitudes ◽

Crime Rates ◽

Authoritarian Regimes ◽

Data Sets ◽

The Public ◽

Positive Attitudes ◽

Cross Country ◽

Police Activity

Using different cross-country data sets and simple econometric techniques we study public attitudes towards the police. More positive attitudes are more likely to emerge in the countries that have better functioning democratic institutions, less prone to corruption but enjoy more transparent and accountable police activity. This has a stronger impact on the public opinion (trust and attitudes) than objective crime rates or density of policemen. Citizens tend to trust more in those (policemen) with whom they share common values and can have some control over. The latter is a function of democracy. In authoritarian countries — “police states” — this tendency may not work directly. When we move from semi-authoritarian countries to openly authoritarian ones the trust in the police measured by surveys can also rise. As a result, the trust appears to be U-shaped along the quality of government axis. This phenomenon can be explained with two simple facts. First, publicly spread information concerning police activity in authoritarian countries is strongly controlled; second, the police itself is better controlled by authoritarian regimes which are afraid of dangerous (for them) erosion of this institution.

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The elementary forms of digital culture. Knowledge, connections and sociality

EDUCATION SCIENCES AND SOCIETY ◽

10.3280/ess2-2019oa8750 ◽

2020 ◽

pp. 316-328

Author(s):

Vincenzo Susca

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Daily Life ◽

Digital Culture ◽

Social Boundaries ◽

Public Spheres ◽

The Public ◽

Nation States ◽

The Senses ◽

Point Of Intersection ◽

Dark Web

Contemporary communicative platforms welcome and accelerate a socio-anthropological mutation in which public opinion (Habermas, 1995) based on rational individuals and alphabetic culture gives way to a public emotion whose emotion, empathy and sociality are the bases, where it is no longer the reason that directs the senses but the senses that begin to think. The public spheres that are elaborated in this way can only be disjunctive (Appadurai, 2001), since they are motivated by the desire to transgress the identity, political and social boundaries where they have been elevated and restricted. The more the daily life, in its local intension and its global extension, rests on itself and frees itself from projections or infatuations towards transcendent and distant orders, the more the modern territory is shaken by the forces that cross it and pierce it. non-stop. The widespread disobedience characterizing a significant part of the cultural events that take place in cyberspace - dark web, web porn, copyright infringement, trolls, even irreverent ... - reveals the anomic nature of the societal subjectivity that emerges from the point of intersection between technology and naked life. Behind each of these offenses is the affirmation of the obsolescence of the principles on which much of the modern nation-states and their rights have been based. Each situation in which a tribe, cloud, group or network blends in a state of ecstasy or communion around shared communications, symbols and imaginations, all that surrounds it, in material, social or ideological terms, fades away. in the air, being isolated by the power of a bubble that in itself generates culture, rooting, identification: transpolitic to inhabit

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A Subtle but Intractable Problem? Public Attitudes to Sectarianism in 2014

Scottish Affairs ◽

10.3366/scot.2015.0078 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 24 (3) ◽

pp. 266-287 ◽

Cited By ~ 4

Author(s):

Rachel Ormston ◽

John Curtice ◽

Stephen Hinchliffe ◽

Anna Marcinkiewicz

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Public Attitudes ◽

Evidence Base ◽

Social Attitudes ◽

The Public ◽

Public Beliefs ◽

Intractable Problem ◽

Robust Evidence

Discussion of sectarianism often focuses on evidence purporting to show discriminatory behaviour directed at Catholics or Protestants in Scotland. But attitudes also matter – in sustaining (or preventing) such discriminatory behaviours, and in understanding the nature of the ‘problem of sectarianism’ from the perspective of the Scottish public. This paper uses data from the Scottish Social Attitudes survey 2014. The survey fills a gap in the evidence base by providing robust evidence on what the public actually thinks about sectarianism in modern Scotland. It assesses public beliefs about the extent and nature of sectarianism and its perceived causes. Tensions in public opinion and differences in the attitudes of different sections of Scottish society are explored.

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The Noise Abatement Campaign in Industrializing Japan, 1923–37

Resonance ◽

10.1525/res.2020.1.3.298 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 1 (3) ◽

pp. 298-327

Author(s):

Shuhei Hosokawa

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Legal Regulation ◽

Public Realm ◽

Political Responsibility ◽

Noise Abatement ◽

Public And Private ◽

The Public ◽

Causal Responsibility ◽

Kanto Earthquake ◽

Definition Of

Drawing on Karin Bijsterveld’s triple definition of noise as ownership, political responsibility, and causal responsibility, this article traces how modern Japan problematized noise, and how noise represented both the aspirational discourse of Western civilization and the experiential nuisance accompanying rapid changes in living conditions in 1920s Japan. Primarily based on newspaper archives, the analysis will approach the problematic of noise as it was manifested in different ways in the public and private realms. In the public realm, the mid-1920s marked a turning point due to the reconstruction work after the Great Kantô Earthquake (1923) and the spread of the use of radios, phonographs, and loudspeakers. Within a few years, public opinion against noise had been formed by a coalition of journalists, police, the judiciary, engineers, academics, and municipal officials. This section will also address the legal regulation of noise and its failure; because public opinion was “owned” by middle-class (sub)urbanites, factory noises in downtown areas were hardly included in noise abatement discourse. Around 1930, the sounds of radios became a social problem, but the police and the courts hesitated to intervene in a “private” conflict, partly because they valued radio as a tool for encouraging nationalist mobilization and transmitting announcements from above. In sum, this article investigates the diverse contexts in which noise was perceived and interpreted as such, as noise became an integral part of modern life in early 20th-century Japan.

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The Influence of Modern Party System on the Development of Parliamentarism in Russia: Institutional, Political and Psychological Aspects

Almanac “Essays on Conservatism” ◽

10.24030/24092517-2018-0-4-266-273 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 42 ◽

pp. 266-273

Author(s):

Ivan S. Palitai

Keyword(s):

Public Opinion ◽

Party System ◽

Psychological Aspects ◽

Political Activity ◽

The Public ◽

Political Processes ◽

The People ◽

Voting System ◽

New Ideas ◽

Opinion Polls

The article is devoted to the modern Russian party system. In the first part of the article, the author shows the historical features of the parties formation in Russia and analyzes the reasons for the low turnout in the elections to the State Duma in 2016. According to the author the institutional reasons consist in the fact that the majority of modern political parties show less and less ability to produce new ideas, and the search for meanings is conducted on the basis of the existing, previously proposed sets of options. Parties reduce the topic of self-identification in party rhetoric, narrowing it down to “branded” ideas or focusing on the image of the leader. In addition, the author shows the decrease in the overall political activity of citizens after the 2011 elections, and points out that the legislation amendments led to the reduction of the election campaigns duration and changes in the voting system itself. The second part of the article is devoted to the study of the psychological aspects of the party system. The author presents the results of the investigation of images of the parties as well as the results of the population opinion polls, held by the centers of public opinion study. On the basis of this data, the author concludes that according to the public opinion the modern party system is ineffective, and the parties don’t have real political weight, which leads to the decrease of the interest in their activities and confidence in them. The author supposes that all this may be the consequence of the people’s fatigue from the same persons in politics, but at the same time the electorate’s desire to see new participants in political processes is formulated rather vaguely, since, according to the people, this might not bring any positive changes.

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