scholarly journals An Attitude Prediction Method for Autonomous Recovery Operation of Unmanned Surface Vehicle

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (19) ◽  
pp. 5662
Author(s):  
Yang Yang ◽  
Ping Pan ◽  
Xingang Jiang ◽  
Shuanghua Zheng ◽  
Yongjian Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Sea Waves ◽  
Unmanned Surface Vehicle ◽  
System L ◽  
Efficiency And Effectiveness ◽  
Ejection Mechanism ◽  
Autonomous Recovery ◽  
Stabilized Platform

The development of launch and recovery technology is key for the application to the unmanned surface vehicle (USV). Also, a launch and recovery system (L&RS) based on a pneumatic ejection mechanism has been developed in our previous study. To improve the launch accuracy and reduce the influence of the sea waves, we propose a stacking model of one-dimensional convolutional neural network and long short-term memory neural network predicting the attitude of the USV. The data from experiments by “Jinghai VII” USV developed by Shanghai University, China, under levels 1–4 sea conditions are used to train and test the network. The results show that the stabilized platform with the proposed prediction method can keep the launching angle of the launching mechanism constant by regulating the pitching joint and rotation joint under the random influence from the wave. Finally, the efficiency and effectiveness of the L&RS are demonstrated by the successful application in actual environments.

scholarly journals Predicting Student Achievement Based on Temporal Learning Behavior in MOOCs

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (24) ◽  
pp. 5539 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaojie Qu ◽  
Kan Li ◽  
Bo Wu ◽  
Shuhui Zhang ◽  
Yongchao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Data Mining ◽  
Student Achievement ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Online Courses ◽  
Educational Data Mining ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Learning Processes ◽  
Achievement Prediction ◽  
Temporal Learning

With the development of data mining technology, educational data mining (EDM) has gained increasing amounts of attention. Research on massive open online courses (MOOCs) is an important area of EDM. Previous studies found that assignment-related behaviors in MOOCs (such as the completed number of assignments) can affect student achievement. However, these methods cannot fully reflect students’ learning processes and affect the accuracy of prediction. In the present paper, we consider the temporal learning behaviors of students to propose a student achievement prediction method for MOOCs. First, a multi-layer long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network is employed to reflect students’ learning processes. Second, a discriminative sequential pattern (DSP) mining-based pattern adapter is proposed to obtain the behavior patterns of students and enhance the significance of critical information. Third, a framework is constructed with an attention mechanism that includes data pre-processing, pattern adaptation, and the LSTM neural network to predict student achievement. In the experiments, we collect data from a C programming course from the year 2012 and extract assignment-related features. The experimental results reveal that this method achieves an accuracy rate of 91% and a recall of 94%.

Short-term traffic flow prediction based on 1DCNN-LSTM neural network structure

2020 ◽  
pp. 2150042
Author(s):  
Yihuan Qiao ◽  
Ya Wang ◽  
Changxi Ma ◽  
Ju Yang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Spatial Information ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Traffic Data ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
The Past ◽  
Flow Prediction

In the past decade, the number of cars in China has significantly raised, but the traffic jam spree problem has brought great inconvenience to people’s travel. Accurate and efficient traffic flow prediction, as the core of Intelligent Traffic System (ITS), can effectively solve the problems of traffic travel and management. The existing short-term traffic flow prediction researches mainly use the shallow model method, so they cannot fully reflect the traffic flow characteristics. Therefore, this paper proposed a short-term traffic flow prediction method based on one-dimensional convolution neural network and long short-term memory (1DCNN-LSTM). The spatial information in traffic data is obtained by 1DCNN, and then the time information in traffic data is obtained by LSTM. After that, the space-time features of the traffic flow are used as regression predictions, which are input into the Fully-Connected Layer. In the end, the corresponding prediction results of the current input are calculated. In the past, most of the researches are based on survey data or virtual data, lacking authenticity. In this paper, real data will be used for research. The data are provided by OpenITS open data platform. Finally, the proposed method is compared with other road forecasting models. The results show that the structure of 1DCNN-LSTM can further improve the prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals A RUL prediction method of equipments based on MSDCNN-LSTM

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 407-413
Author(s):  
Chang Liu ◽  
Wenbai Chen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Deep Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Memory ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

In order to solve the problems of high data dimension and insufficient consideration of time series correlation information, a multi-scale deep convolutional neural network and long-short-term memory (MSDCNN-LSTM) hybrid model is proposed for remaining useful life (RUL) of equipments. First, the sensor data is processed through normalization and sliding time window to obtain input samples; then multi-scale deep convolutional neural network (MSDCNN) is used to capture detailed spatial features, at the same time, time-dependent features are extracted for effective prediction combining with long short-term memory (LSTM). Experiments on simulation dataset of commercial modular aero-propulsion system show that, compared with other state-of-the-art methods, the prediction method proposed in this paper has achieved better RUL prediction results, especially for the prediction of the life of equipment with complex failure modes and operating conditions. The effect is obvious. It can be seen that the prediction method proposed in this paper is feasible and effective.

Prediction of cold rolling gas based on EEMD-LSTM deep learning technology

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Zhai ◽  
Wei Xiong ◽  
Fujin Li ◽  
Jie Yang ◽  
Dongyan Su ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Learning Technology ◽  
Intrinsic Mode Functions ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Gas Consumption

Purpose The prediction of by-product gas is an important guarantee for the full utilization of resources. The purpose of this research is to predict gas consumption to provide a basis for gas dispatch and reduce the production cost of enterprises. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, a new method using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and the back propagation neural network is proposed. Unfortunately, this method does not achieve the ideal prediction. Further, using the advantages of long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network for long-term dependence, a prediction method based on EEMD and LSTM is proposed. In this model, the gas consumption series is decomposed into several intrinsic mode functions and a residual term (r(t)) by EEMD. Second, each component is predicted by LSTM. The predicted values of all components are added together to get the final prediction result. Findings The results show that the root mean square error is reduced to 0.35%, the average absolute error is reduced to 1.852 and the R-squared is reached to 0.963. Originality/value A new gas consumption prediction method is proposed in this paper. The production data collected in the actual production process is non-linear, unstable and contains a lot of noise. But the EEMD method has the unique superiority in the analysis data aspect and may solve these questions well. The prediction of gas consumption is the result of long-term training and needs a lot of prior knowledge. Relying on LSTM can solve the problem of long-term dependence.

scholarly journals Coal Thickness Prediction Method Based on VMD and LSTM

Electronics ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 232
Author(s):  
Yaping Huang ◽  
Lei Yan ◽  
Yan Cheng ◽  
Xuemei Qi ◽  
Zhixiong Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Coal Seam ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
High Accuracy ◽  
Mine Safety ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Thickness Prediction

The change in coal seam thickness has an important influence on coal mine safety and efficient mining. It is very important to predict coal thickness accurately. However, the accuracy of borehole interpolation and BP neural network is not high. Variational mode decomposition (VMD) has strong denoising ability, and the long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) is especially suitable for the prediction of complex sequences. This paper presents a method of coal thickness prediction using VMD and LSTM. Firstly, empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and VMD methods are used to denoise simple signals, and the denoising effect of the VMD method is verified. Then, the wedge-shaped coal thickness model is constructed, and the seismic forward modeling and analysis are carried out. The results show that the coal thickness prediction based on seismic attributes is feasible. On the basis of VMD denoising of the original 3D seismic data, VMD-LSTM is used to predict coal thickness and compared with the prediction results of the traditional BP neural network. The coal thickness prediction method proposed in this paper has high accuracy and basically coincides with the coal seam information exposed by existing boreholes. The minimum absolute error of the predicted coal thickness is only 0.08 m, and the maximum absolute error is 0.48 m. This indicates that VMD-LSTM has high accuracy in predicting coal thickness. The proposed coal thickness prediction method can be used as a new method for coal thickness prediction.

Oil Saturation Log Prediction Using Neural Network in New Steamflood Area

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Syahputra
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Water Saturation ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Neural Model ◽  
Training Model ◽  
Acquisition Time ◽  
Oil Saturation ◽  
Full Field ◽  
Remaining Oil ◽  
Observation Wells

Surveillance is very important in managing a steamflood project. On the current surveillance plan, Temperature and steam ID logs are acquired on observation wells at least every year while CO log (oil saturation log or SO log) every 3 years. Based on those surveillance logs, a dynamic full field reservoir model is updated quarterly. Typically, a high depletion rate happens in a new steamflood area as a function of drainage activities and steamflood injection. Due to different acquisition time, there is a possibility of misalignment or information gaps between remaining oil maps (ie: net pay, average oil saturation or hydrocarbon pore thickness map) with steam chest map, for example a case of high remaining oil on high steam saturation interval. The methodology that is used to predict oil saturation log is neural network. In this neural network method, open hole observation wells logs (static reservoir log) such as vshale, porosity, water saturation effective, and pay non pay interval), dynamic reservoir logs as temperature, steam saturation, oil saturation, and acquisition time are used as input. A study case of a new steamflood area with 16 patterns of single reservoir target used 6 active observation wells and 15 complete logs sets (temperature, steam ID, and CO log), 19 incomplete logs sets (only temperature and steam ID) since 2014 to 2019. Those data were divided as follows ~80% of completed log set data for neural network training model and ~20% of completed log set data for testing the model. As the result of neural model testing, R2 is score 0.86 with RMS 5% oil saturation. In this testing step, oil saturation log prediction is compared to actual data. Only minor data that shows different oil saturation value and overall shape of oil saturation logs are match. This neural network model is then used for oil saturation log prediction in 19 incomplete log set. The oil saturation log prediction method can fill the gap of data to better describe the depletion process in a new steamflood area. This method also helps to align steam map and remaining oil to support reservoir management in a steamflood project.

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