scholarly journals Threshold Effect of Tourism Development on Economic Growth Following a Disaster Shock: Evidence from the Wenchuan Earthquake, P.R. China

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Zhang ◽  
Li Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Wenchuan Earthquake ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Industrial Structure ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Threshold Effect ◽  
Development Stage ◽  
Threshold Regression ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Panel Threshold Regression

To examine whether tourism can effectively stimulate economic growth following a disaster shock, we apply a panel threshold regression technique to test the threshold effect of tourism development on economic growth of the 36 Wenchuan earthquake-affected counties in 2008–2016. The empirical results using the panel fixed-effects model show that tourism significantly contributes to economic growth, supporting the validity of the tourism-led growth hypothesis (TLGH) for the disaster-affected destinations. The results of the panel threshold regression model also indicate a threshold effect of tourism development on economic growth, implying that counties with different conditions of tourism specialization and industrial structure experience different impacts on the tourism-growth nexus. Specifically, the estimated coefficients of tourism on economic growth decrease with the levels of tourism specialization and industrial structure exceeding the threshold value. Based on the Tourism Area Life Cycle theory (TALC), we further divide the 36 disaster-stricken counties into six types based on the evolution of tourism specialization: Exploration-stage type, involvement-stage type, transition-stage type, development-stage type, consolidation-stage type, and stagnation-stage type. The empirical findings and managerial implications discussed are generally applicable to policymakers seeking new ways to invigorate the economy in other disaster-affected destinations.

scholarly journals Islamic Bank Financing and Its Effects on Economic Growth: A Cross Province Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Anif Afandi ◽  
Muhammad Amin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Islamic Banking ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Islamic Bank ◽  
Bank Financing ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Almost All

Islamic banking industry shows a reasonably good development, one of which is marked by an increase in service coverage in almost all provinces in Indonesia. However, the question is how far Islamic banking capable of contributing to the improvement of Indonesia's economic growth? The purpose of this research is to examine the role of Islamic banking in promoting inclusive economic growth with a sample of 33 provinces in Indonesia. The method used in this research is panel data regression using the fixed effects model. The results show that Islamic bank financing does not have an impact on Indonesia's economic growth. In other words, the results of the research provide information that the existence of Islamic banking in Indonesia has not yet give a significant impact on the welfare of Indonesian society

Evaluating the impact of changes in human capital structure on Russia's economic growth dynamics

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 200-222
Author(s):  
Roman M. MEL'NIKOV ◽  
Valentina A. TESLENKO
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rates ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Growth Dynamics ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Long Term Effects ◽  
Academic Degree ◽  
The Impact

Subject. The article explores the impact of changes in the educational structure of the employed population on the dynamics of economic growth. Objectives. The purpose is to evaluate the impact of changes in the share of employed persons, having secondary vocational and higher education, and researchers with academic degree on the growth rates of the Russian economy. Methods. The study employs the regression analysis of panel data of Russian regions, the specification with a quadratic dependence of economic growth rates on the share of employed persons, having the higher education and secondary vocational education. A fixed-effects model is used to analyze the short-term effects, the sustainability of results, and long-term effects, using the pool models and random effects models. Results. The increase in the share of researchers with academic degree has a positive and significant effect on economic growth, but only if adequate R&D funding is provided. The increase in the share of employed persons with higher education up to thirty percent is accompanied by an increase in the growth rate of real GRP in the long run, however, further expansion of higher education has no positive effect on economic growth. Conclusions. A powerful form of personnel training for Russian high-tech companies is a special model of ‘industrial postgraduate training’, which involves the collaboration of universities with industrial partners.

Tourism and environmental performance: New evidence using a threshold regression analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 135481662110424
Author(s):  
Zhike Lv ◽  
Ting Xu
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Performance ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Tourism Development ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Optimal Level ◽  
Negative Influence ◽  
Threshold Regression ◽  
Regression Approach ◽  
New Evidence ◽  
Panel Threshold Regression

To verify whether the effect of tourism on environmental performance differs by the level of tourism development, a panel threshold regression approach is applied to observe the effects of tourism on environmental performance in 97 countries over the 2002–2012 periods. Our results suggest that tourism always has a significant negative influence on the environmental performance, implying that tourism will unavoidably result in environmental degradation, irrespective of how high the level of tourism development. However, when tourism development exceeds a certain value, tourism will relatively have less influence on environmental performance. In terms of policy prescriptions, considering that tourism wills inevitably worse environmental qualities, this finding implies that policymakers should consider the optimal level of tourism development at around the estimated threshold level to minimize the negative impact of tourism on environmental quality.

Institutional Change and Economic Growth in East Asia after the Asian Financial Crisis, 1997-98

2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-51
Author(s):  
Kee Hoon Chung
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Institutional Change ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Institutional Quality ◽  
Asian Financial Crisis ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
The World

Theories on institutional change assert that exogenous shocks are critical in transforming path-dependent institutions. There is not much empiric research, however, that has investigated whether that is indeed the case. To fill this gap, this study investigates the effects of institutional quality on economic growth with a focus on East Asia before and after the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis, which delivered a critical shock in economic activities and institutions in East Asia. Using panel data analysis from 1981 and 2007, I investigate whether the effect of institutional quality on economic growth differed in East Asia compared to rest of the world before the crisis and whether such relationship changed after the crisis. Using two-way fixed effects model, the estimation shows that the effect of institutional quality on economic growth was positive on average for the rest of the world after the crisis but negative for East Asia. The negative coefficient was particularly strong for the three countries—South Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand—that suffered the most during the crisis. However, in the long term, there was no significant change of this negative effect.

Is There a Threshold Effect of Public Debt on Economic Growth?

2019 ◽  
pp. 49-64
Author(s):  
Seher Gulsah Topuz ◽  
Taner Sekmen
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Relationship ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Threshold Effect ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Fiscal Policies ◽  
The Public ◽  
Regression Methods ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Panel Threshold Regression

In this chapter, the relationship between public debt and economic growth is examined for OECD countries. In order to determine this relationship, the data between 2002 and 2016 is analyzed using panel threshold regression methods. The findings of the study suggest that the relationship between public debt and economic growth is linear. The public debt threshold is estimated at 99.75% for OECD countries but it is statistically insignificant. While the public debt to GDP ratio is both below and above this threshold, the effect of public debt on economic growth is negative and statistically significant. There is no evidence of the existence of a non-linear relationship between public debt and economic growth. These findings are expected to guide policymakers in the implementation of fiscal policies.

scholarly journals The Determinants of Economic Growth in CEMAC through a Panel Data Approach

2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 483
Author(s):  
Nzingoula Gildas Crepin
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Good Governance ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Central Africa ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Main Determinants ◽  
Determinants Of Economic Growth

<div><p><em>This article highlights through a panel data approach the determinants of economic growth; observed over the last decade in the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) and necessary to reach emerging economies stage. To do this, we essentially used Stata 12 software to come up with the results, and a panel data sample comprising six CEMAC member states, namely Congo, Cameroon, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Central African Republic and Chad, for the period ranging from 2000 to 2013. The results obtained after estimating ordinary least squares, fixed effects model, random effects model, generalized method of moments (GMM) and specification tests show that the best model to estimate these types of data is the fixed effects model. Besides, the main determinants of economic growth in CEMAC over that period are Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and loans lending to the economy (LOAN). After estimation, FDI is found positive and significant on economic growth, while LOAN is significant and found negative maybe due to lack of good governance.</em></p></div>

scholarly journals Media and Economic Growth: Country Groups Difference via Panel Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Viktoriia Ahapova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Panel Data Analysis ◽  
Press Freedom ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Fixed Effects Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Press ◽  
Per Capita

The present article investigates the link between economic growth, namely GDP per capita, and the media activity represented with the indicator of the press freedom alongside other factors such as infrastructure, institutional conditions, and foreign direct investments. A panel of 179 countries was used for the period from 2000 to 2015. In particular, we run two panel data analysis models, fixed effects and random effects models, and examined their output with Hausman’s specification test, which pointed the fixed effects model as more efficient for the presented data set. However due to the presence of serial correlation, heteroskedastic, and cross-panel dependence, a Prais-Winsten regression with panel corrected standard errors (PCSE) was implemented. The comparative analysis of models of four country groups, divided by GNI per capita, was conducted. Both statistically significant correlation coefficients and models’ output provided evidence of an association between economic growth and the press activity.

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