scholarly journals Demand Forecasting of E-Commerce Enterprises Based on Horizontal Federated Learning from the Perspective of Sustainable Development

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (23) ◽  
pp. 13050
Author(s):  
Juntao Li ◽  
Tianxu Cui ◽  
Kaiwen Yang ◽  
Ruiping Yuan ◽  
Liyan He ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Bullwhip Effect ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Supply Chain System ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Demand Forecasting Model

Public health emergencies have brought great challenges to the stability of the e-commerce supply chain. Demand forecasting is a key driver for the sound development of e-commerce enterprises. To prevent the potential privacy leakage of e-commerce enterprises in the process of demand forecasting using multi-party data, and to improve the accuracy of demand forecasting models, we propose an e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting method based on Horizontal Federated Learning and ConvLSTM, from the perspective of sustainable development. First, in view of the shortcomings of traditional RNN and LSTM demand forecasting models, which cannot handle multi-dimensional time-series problems, we propose a demand forecasting model based on ConvLSTM. Secondly, to address the problem that data cannot be directly shared and exchanged between e-commerce enterprises of the same type, the goal of demand information sharing modeling is realized indirectly through Horizontal Federated Learning. Experimental results on a large number of real data sets show that, compared with benchmark experiments, our proposed method can improve the accuracy of e-commerce enterprise demand forecasting models while avoiding privacy data leakage, and the bullwhip effect value is closer to 1. Therefore, we effectively alleviate the bullwhip effect of the entire supply chain system in demand forecasting, and promote the sustainable development of e-commerce companies.

scholarly journals Research on Intelligent Supply Chain Management Under Unconventional Emergencies

2021 ◽  
Vol 235 ◽  
pp. 03015
Author(s):  
Yonghui Cao ◽  
He Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Emergency Management ◽  
Supply Chain System ◽  
Logistics System ◽  
Chain Management ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
The Face ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Important Means

The harm of unconventional emergencies is increasingly prominent, which seriously restricts the sustainable development of society. Therefore, how to effectively deal with all kinds of unconventional emergencies and improve the ability of emergency management in the face of unconventional emergencies has attracted extensive attention from all walks of life. Therefore, the establishment of a sound emergency intelligent supply chain system is an important means to speed up the development of China’s emergency industry and enhance the emergency support capacity of government. This paper mainly analyzes the problems existing in China’s logistics system under unconventional emergencies, and puts forward the necessity and specific measures of introducing intelligent supply chain under unconventional emergencies.

scholarly journals Supply chain – a key factor of the sustainable development of city centers

Pomorstvo ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-50
Author(s):  
Mladen Jardas ◽  
Čedomir Dundović ◽  
Paola Badurina-Tomić
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Future Development ◽  
Distribution Center ◽  
End User ◽  
City Center ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Efficient Delivery ◽  
The Future ◽  
Key Factor

In the paper importance is given to the organization of the supply chain for a more efficient delivery of goods to city centers. Logistics activities are closely related because they depend on each other. The ultimate goal is to bring the product/goods to the end customer/consumer as soon as possible, on time, at the lowest cost, in perfect condition and in the appropriate quantity. The mutual coordination and cooperation of all participants in the supply chain can result in a satisfied end-user/customer. The development of information – telecommunication technologies – will greatly affect the future development and efficiency of the supply chain by finding new transport solutions that would mostly affect city centers. The paper mostly emphasizes the context of the delivery conditions in Rijeka’s city center with a proposal for the location of a future centralized distribution center.

scholarly journals Does the Price Support Policy Drive a Balanced Distribution of Profits in the Chinese Dairy Supply Chain? Implications for Supplier and Consumer Psychology

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Hu ◽  
Xun Xi ◽  
Rongjian Yu ◽  
Rong Xiang ◽  
Yueyue Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Consumer Psychology ◽  
Raw Milk ◽  
Price Increase ◽  
Price Support ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Balanced Distribution ◽  
Support Policy ◽  
The Impact

Evaluating the price policy of raw milk is of great significance to the sustainable development of an industry supply chain. In this context, our study used the multi-period difference-in-difference method to systematically examine the impact of the policy implementation on product price and profit distribution in the supply chain. The results showed the following: (1) the price of raw milk in the implementation area of the price support policy is 13.54% higher than that of the unimplemented area; (2) the effect of price increase in the western region (15.5%) is higher than that in the eastern region (13%), and the central region (10.73%); (3) furthermore, the purchase price guidance policy of raw milk drives price increase or price suppression in the links of the supply chain to promote a balanced distribution of profits among the participants in the chain. These conclusions all have good stability and have reference significance for further improving and adjusting the price support policy of raw milk to realize the sustainable development of the Chinese dairy industry. This will enhance the production confidence of Chinese raw milk producers and improve Chinese consumers’ expectations and consumer psychology regarding domestic dairy products.

scholarly journals Complex Characteristics of Multichannel Household Appliance Supply Chain with the Price Competition

Complexity ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhai Ma ◽  
Wandong Lou
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chain ◽  
Supply Chains ◽  
Price Competition ◽  
Domain Of Attraction ◽  
Bullwhip Effect ◽  
Price Adjustment ◽  
Stable Region ◽  
Supply Chain System ◽  
Household Appliance ◽  
Internet Channel

This paper studies the complex characteristics caused by the price competition in multichannel household appliance supply chains. We consider a two-level household appliance supply chain system consisting of a manufacturer with an Internet channel and a retailer with a traditional channel and an Internet channel. Each channel’s price-setting follows the bounded rational decision process in order to obtain the optimal profit or more market share. Considering that the price competition often leads to the demand and order fluctuation, we also investigate the bullwhip effect of the multichannel supply chains on the basis of the order-up-to-inventory policy. From the numerical simulation, we find a system in a chaotic state will suffer larger bullwhip effect than a stable system, and the manufacturer’s Internet channel is helpful to mitigate the bullwhip effect. Our results provide some useful managerial inspirations for the household manufacturer and retailers. Firstly, each channel should make their retail price with a suitable price adjustment speed in the stable region, and each time pricing cannot exceed the domain of attraction. Secondly, the manufacturer can adopt a more radical pricing strategy in their Internet channel to mitigate the bullwhip effect. Thirdly, the price adjustment should be reviewed and be appropriately reduced if the price adjustment is too large.

scholarly journals Study of the Bullwhip Effect in a Multistage Supply Chain with Callback Structure considering Two Retailers

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junhai Ma ◽  
Liqing Zhu ◽  
Ye Yuan ◽  
Shunqi Hou
Keyword(s):  
Supply Chain ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Bullwhip Effect ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Chain Model ◽  
Supply Chain System ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Supply Chain Model ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Demand Processes

With the purpose of researching the bullwhip effect when there is a callback center in the supply chain system, this paper establishes a new supply chain model with callback structure, which has a material supplier, a manufacture, and two retailers. The manufacture and retailers all employ AR(1) demand processes and use order-up-to inventory policy when they make order decisions. Moving average forecasting method is used to measure the bullwhip effect of each retailer and manufacture. We investigate the impact of lead-times of retailers and manufacture, forecasting precision, callback index, and marketing share on the bullwhip effect of both retailers and manufacture. Then we use the method of numerical simulation to indicate the different parameters in this supply chain. Furthermore, this paper puts forward some suggestions to help the enterprises to control the bullwhip effect in the supply chain with callback structure.

scholarly journals Study on the Relations of Supply Chain Digitization, Flexibility and Sustainable Development—A Moderated Multiple Mediation Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 10043
Author(s):  
Qian Zhou ◽  
Shuxiang Wang
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Supply Chain ◽  
Sustainable Growth ◽  
Mediating Effect ◽  
Collaborative Management ◽  
Chain Flexibility ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Supply Chain Flexibility ◽  
The Impact

In the face of an external environment featuring a high level of risk, multiple changes, and high uncertainty, the supply chain’s emergency replenishment, collaborative management, regulation of organic commodity, and low-cost rapid response will promote its’ sustainable growth and development, which is necessary for today’s economic development. The digitization and flexibility of the supply chain are of great value in obtaining the sustainable development of the supply chain. When dealing with an uncertain environment and market risk, current supply chain flexibility not only functions through its internal organizational flexibility, but also through collaborative creation and an extended supply chain network which will proactively form a replenishment supply sub-chain driven by the need for change responsiveness. This article constructs an associated model consisting of digitization, supply chain flexibility, and sustainability using an empirical analysis method to explore the implicit correlation of these factors. The analysis results of the mediating effect model show that both digitization and flexibility have significant positive effects on the sustainable development of the supply chain. Collaborative knowledge creation and supply chain flexibility play multiple mediating roles while market uncertainty positively moderates the impact of supply chain flexibility on supply chain sustainable development.

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