scholarly journals Municipal Water Consumption and Urban Economic Growth in El Paso

Water ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 2656
Author(s):  
Daniel J. Pastor ◽  
Thomas M. Fullerton
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Water Consumption ◽  
Water Conservation ◽  
El Paso ◽  
Real Income ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Vector Autoregression Model ◽  
Conservation Policies ◽  
Municipal Water ◽  
The Relationship

This study investigates the nexus between municipal water consumption and economic growth for El Paso, TX, USA. Located in the semi-arid southwestern United States, El Paso water consumption has been the subject of prior economic studies. However, the relationship between water consumption and economic growth has not been previously analyzed for El Paso or any other metropolitan economies in the region. Empirical results indicate that municipal water usage and real personal income are integrated of order one, but are not co-integrated. Given that, a vector autoregression model is estimated and a Granger causality test is performed. Estimation results show unidirectional causation from real income growth to water consumption, indicating that water conservation policies will not inhibit economic growth in this urban economy.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

scholarly journals FDI and Economic Growth in EU13 Countries: Cointegration and Causality Tests

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-63
Author(s):  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship

Foreign direct investments are seen as a prerequisite for gaining and maintaining competitiveness. The research objective of this study is to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in “new” European Union member countries using various unit root, cointegration, as well as causality tests. The paper employs annual data for FDI and gross domestic product (GDP) from 2002 to 2018 for the 13 most recent members of European Union (EU13): Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. An estimated panel ARDL (PMG) model found evidence that there is a long-run equilibrium between the LogGDP, LogFDI and LogFDIP series, with the rate of adjustment back to equilibrium between 3.27% and 20.67%. In the case of the LogFDI series, long-run coefficients are highly statistically significant in all four models, varying between 0.0828 and 0.3019. These coefficients indicate that a 1% increase in LogFDI increases LogGDP between 0.0828% and 0.3019%. Results of a Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test indicated that a relationship between the GDP growth rate and FDI growth rate is only indirect. Finally, only weak evidence was shown that FDI had a statistically significant impact on GDP in the EU13 countries over the period 2002-2018. This report of findings contributes to the literature concerning FDI and economic growth, namely regarding the current understanding of the relationship between these two factors.

scholarly journals Modeling the Impact of Inflation Uncertainty on Food Sector Growth

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Reza Eslami ◽  
Ali Akbar Baghestany
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Policy Decision ◽  
Macroeconomic Policies ◽  
Inflation Uncertainty ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Agricultural Growth ◽  
Growth Variability ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Relationship

Background: One of the most fundamental objectives of the macroeconomic policies is to realize the relationship between economic growth and inflation. According to some monetary policy advisors, inflation reflects erosion in consumer’s purchasing power. Inflation as an important economic variable, affect the economic growth and its impact on economic growth has been proposed in various theories. Agriculture plays an important role in providing the food security in Iran. Methods: A Bivariate GARCH model was employed to investigate the relationship between inflation uncertainty and agricultural growth. Results: The Augmented Dickey Fuller and Phillips Perron tests indicated all variables were stationary. Estimated models were utilized to generate the conditional variances of inflation and agriculture growth as proxies of inflation and growth variability. During the entire period 1990-2012, Bivariate Granger Causality test indicated that inflation uncertainty was the cause of growth in agriculture. This finding was in line with the hypothesis presented by (Logue and Sweeney, 1981). Conclusion: Due to the causality relation of inflation uncertainty and growth in agriculture, macro policy decision-makers are recommended to consider the price policies for improving agricultural production.

The Relationship Between R&D Expenditures and Economic Growth ın OECD Countries With Different Causality Tests

2020 ◽  
pp. 107-118
Author(s):  
Gökhan Karhan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Research And Development ◽  
Oecd Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Rolling Window ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
Mathematical Techniques ◽  
Rolling Windows ◽  
The Relationship

In this chapter, the relationship between research and development (R&D) expenditures and economic growth was investigated with both Emirmahmutoğlu and Köse Causality test and the Dimitrescu and Hurlin Panel Causality test based on Rolling Windows Regression for the selected 19 OECD member countries for the period 1996-2015. The results concluded that for all panel there is a causality from economic growth to R&D expenditures. In this study, the relationship between variables was investigated using different mathematical techniques like rolling windows. According to the results of the Dimitrescu and Hurlin Panel Causality Test based on Rolling Window Regression, which is applied differently from other studies in the literature, there was a causality from economic growth to R&D expenditures in 2010. In 2011, there was causality from R&D expenditures to economic growth for all panels.

The Empirical Research of the Relationship between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in Hebei Province

2014 ◽  
Vol 962-965 ◽  
pp. 2191-2194
Author(s):  
Xiao Gang Li ◽  
Han Meng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Hebei Province ◽  
Total Energy Consumption ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Correction Model ◽  
Model Studies ◽  
Energy Dependent ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Integration Analysis

According to the statistics from 1980 to 2010 in Hebei province's GDP growth, as well as the total energy consumption EC statistics., the author conducted an empirical study on the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in Hebei, using co-integration analysis, Granger causality test and error correction model. Studies have shown that it exists cointegration between economic growth and energy consumption in Hebei Province, and there was unidirectional causality from energy consumption to economic growth. that is, economic growth in Hebei Province is energy-dependent. Based on the research results, this paper gives some suggestions for economic development in Hebei Province.

scholarly journals Causality of Economic Growth and Openness in ASEAN-5

2019 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-09
Author(s):  
Yarlina Yacoub ◽  
Nindya Lestari
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Jel Classification ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Panel Regression ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Relationship

Objective - This study aims to determine the relationship between FDI and trade and its effect on economic growth in ASEAN-5 countries using the Engel-Granger causality method. Methodology/Technique - The study uses OLS panel regression analysis to identify the relationship between the variables in each country. The results of the Engel-Granger causality test indicate that there is a two-way relationship between economic growth and FDI, and economic growth and international trade. Findings - When tested together through panel regression, it is concluded that the best model is a random effect method (REM) in which FDI and international trade significantly influence economic growth in the same direction. However, the relationship between FDI and international trade and its effect on economic growth in Indonesia, the Philippines and Thailand was negative, whilst in Malaysia and Singapore the relationship has a directional trend. Novelty - To reinforce the FDI inflows, authorities should continue the progressive reduction of barriers, and increase the sophistication of quality exports to compete in the global market. This paper is the first of its kind to analyze the role of both FDI and exports in the ASEAN5 economies using panel analysis. Type of Paper: Empirical. Keywords: Economic Growth; FDI; Openness; Engle-Granger Causality. JEL Classification: F02, F10, F41. DOI: https://doi.org/10.35609/jber.2019.4.1(1)

scholarly journals Exports and Economic Growth: The Arab Experience

2000 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Ibrahim EL-Sakka ◽  
Naief hamad Al-Murairi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Theoretical Background ◽  
Arab Countries ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
Stationarity Tests ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Cointegration Relationship

This paper aims at analysing the relationship between exports and economic growth in the Arab countries using annual data for the period 1970-1999. Section two of this study presents a theoretical background of the relationship between exports and economic growth. Literature review is found in Section 3. In Section 4, the methodological issues of studying this relationship are discussed. Results of stationarity tests using Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and Phillips-Perron (PP) as well as Bivariate Johansen-Juseluis tests for cointegration are presented in Section 5. Stationarity tests suggest that time series are non-stationary in their levels and seem to be stationary in their first differences. Testing for long-run cointegration relationship using Johansen-Juseluis approach, it is found that in general there is no cointegration relationship between exports and GDP. For this reason, we abandoned the error correction model and tested for causality using different versions of Granger’s causality test. We found mixed results about the causal relationship between exports and GDP in Arab countries.

scholarly journals The Role of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Economic Growth in Malaysia

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. g11-17
Author(s):  
Tien Siew
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Ordinary Least Square ◽  
The Relationship

The purpose of this study is to investigate the relationship between the inflows of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth in Malaysia. The sample collected for this empirical study covered 30 years of data from 1991 to 2020. The secondary data was collected annually and a total of 30 observations were taken for each variable. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression, unit root test, several diagnostic tests and Granger causality test were used in this research to investigate the relationship between FDI inflows and economic growth. Eviews 11 was used to analyze the time series data throughout all the tests. The result showed that the inflows of FDI has a significant negative relationship with economic growth and there is no causal relationship between FDI and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Keywords: Economic growth, FDI inflows, Granger Causality Test, Ordinary Least Square regression, Unit Root Test

scholarly journals Tourism and Economic Growth in G10 Countries

Tourism ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-126
Author(s):  
Uğur Korkut Pata
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Negative Events ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Causality ◽  
Tourism Sector ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The Relationship

This study proposes an asymmetric panel causality test to analyze the relationship between tourist arrivals and economic growth. To this end, annual data over the period 1995–2017 are examined for the G10 countries. The findings demonstrate that the relationship between tourism and economic growth varies according to positive and negative shocks. In terms of positive shocks, tourism development causes economic growth. The study also finds a bidirectional causality relationship between the negative shocks of the variables. Therefore, positive developments in tourism contribute to economic growth, while negative events in tourism impede growth. In sum, tourism is strongly linked to economic activities in G10 countries, and thus policymakers should attach importance to the tourism sector in order to support sustainable development.

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