scholarly journals PROBLEMS OF PERSONNEL SUPPORT OF INNOVATIVE DEVELOPMENT OF ORGANIZATION

2020 ◽  
pp. 17-23
Author(s):  
М. С. Ибрагимова ◽  
Т. В. Якубов
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Management ◽  
Actual State ◽  
Innovative Development ◽  
Central Object ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Long Term Forecasting

Уровень конкуренции на современных рынках таков, что у производителей товаров и услуг повышаются требования к качеству долгосрочного прогнозирования, а активное использование принципов стратегического управления уже, скорее, обыденность. В статье анализируются ключевые проблемы кадрового обеспечения организации, реализующей стратегию инновационного развития. Персонал, как ключевой ресурс, всегда является центральным объектом анализа в ходе разработки стратегии независимо от ее характера. В статье речь идет о принципиальных отличиях, характерных для инновационного развития, а именно: разработка необходимых компетенций и оценка их соответствия фактическому состоянию кадров. The level of competition in modern markets is such that manufacturers of goods and services have increased requirements for the quality of long-term forecasting, and the active use of the principles of strategic management is more likely to be commonplace. The article analyzes the key problems of staffing the organization implementing the strategy of innovative development. Personnel, as a key resource, is always the central object of analysis during the development of a strategy, regardless of its nature. The article deals with the fundamental differences characteristic of innovative development, namely: the development of the necessary competencies and assessment of their compliance with the actual state of personnel.

scholarly journals Tradition and Modernity in the Romanian Rural Space. Case Study: the Arges Sub-Carpathian Foothills

2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 127-151 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriela Manea ◽  
Elena Matei ◽  
Iuliana Vijulie ◽  
Marian Marin ◽  
Octavian Cocos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Spiritual Values ◽  
Rural Settlements ◽  
Rural Space ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Space Case ◽  
Geographical Space

Abstract This paper intends to demonstrate on the basis of a case study that rural people’s access to modern goods and services is not necessarily a relentless source of deculturalisation, because it sometimes allows a better management and valorisation of the main characteristics of the rural space. Despite socio-economic unrest and successive changes of political regimes that took place in Romania during the last century, the human communities within the Arges foothills have defended with dignity their traditional material and spiritual values, passing them down from generation to generation. In the medium and long-term, the valorisation of the Romanian rural space, in general, and of that belonging to the Arges foothills, in particular, will imply the creation of a balance between the valuable cultural potential and the quality of life of the inhabitants, who are the keepers of rural cultural heritage. At present, the best thing to do to pass on the traditions of this area is to proudly accept the affiliation to this geographical space. This is true not only for the permanent inhabitants of rural settlements, but mostly for those who have left the countryside to carry it in their minds and souls. In our opinion, this fact is a pre-requisite for preventing the loss of material and spiritual values of this cultural-historical space.

Long-Term Forecasting of World Economy

2014 ◽  
pp. 5-14
Author(s):  
Y. Lukashin ◽  
L. Rakhlina
Keyword(s):  
Quality Of Life ◽  
Life Quality ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
New Era ◽  
Spare Time ◽  
Processing Gain ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
High Level

The paper considers contemporary approaches of long-term forecasting of world and national economics. Foreign practice is of especial interest of authors. Researches and results of PricewaterhouseCoopers and Goldman Sachs are exposed in details. Authors make the following conclusions: a production function model is used often to generate forecasts. The parameters of these models are postulated by experts in coincidence with their scenario of World development. Main indicators to forecast are GDP, GDP per capita and changes in country ranks. Authors consider GDP as not ideal indicator for the goal since it may be calculated by three methods. Besides, it has different structure and quality in different countries. Authors point to the need for estimation and comparison of quality of life. They suggest to take into account the revolutionary changing in technologies and to schedule the optimum and the most realistic path to improve the quality of life. Authors suggest that the most developed countries are entering a new era when robots will work more and more instead of people in industry, agriculture, and services. Many operations in control, management and data processing gain higher productivity due to endless progress in computer science. As a result authors foresee further shortening of the working week. On their opinion this is the way which leads to real success in struggle against unemployment. ICT technologies enable many employees to work now at home. Growing of spare time leads to new pattern of life, new possibilities of education, new types of creative work, new possibilities of communication, additional possibilities for health care, high level of life quality. So far, comparison of national economy development on the basis of measuring GDP seems to become obsolete and irrelevant to current social and economic conditions. Now we can expect to see negative rates of GDP growth and augmentation of life quality. Thus, to construct the countries’ ranks in world competition correctly it is of great importance to take into account the social factors and the role of innovation technologies in world economic development.

scholarly journals Issues in Determining the Real Value of Concession Fees When Granting Concession for Commercial Use of Maritime Domain

Pomorstvo ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 255-263
Author(s):  
Vlado Mezak ◽  
Alen Jugović ◽  
Donald Schiozzi ◽  
Filip Vice Lapov
Keyword(s):  
Feasibility Study ◽  
Economic Policies ◽  
The Real ◽  
Legal Provisions ◽  
Analysis And Synthesis ◽  
Real Value ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Concession Contract

This paper analyzes the legislation related to concessions on maritime domains and indicates the need to adjust certain legal provisions to improve the quality of the concession granting procedure. The object of this paper is to indicate the issues in determining the real value of a concession fee in the process of preparing a feasibility study for granting the concession, and to give a scientific contribution by proposing procedures and measures, which can enable setting more precise concession fee values. Using the methods of comparison, analysis, and synthesis, authors prove that in the process of preparing a feasibility study for granting the concession it is not possible to assess the real value of the concession and concession fee with certainty, as it is necessary to estimate economic sizes in the long term. Each concession contract, lasting longer than five years, should be subject to a peer review owing to changes in economic, political, demographic, and other indicators, and if necessary, the value of concession fee should be adjusted accordingly. The authors explain the stated imprecision in the estimate of economic indicators by the index of uncertainty of economic policies, and with the inability of long-term forecasting of potential economic crises.

Studying changes in climate normals in long-term forecasting of the Sea of Okhotsk ice cover.

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
pp. 99-114
Author(s):  
G.I. Anzhina ◽  
◽  
A.N Vrazhkin ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Model ◽  
Quantitative Difference ◽  
Ice Cover ◽  
Absolute Maximum ◽  
Base Period ◽  
Term Forecast ◽  
Skill Scores ◽  
Long Term Forecasting

There is a similarity in dynamics and a quantitative difference in the ice cover regime in four consecutive 30-year periods: 1961–1990, 1971–2000, 1981–2010, 1991–2020 are noted. The greatest differences are observed in the regime characteristics of the first and the last periods. The absolute maximum or minimum recorded in at least one of the months from January to May determines the nature of the ice cover of the entire ice season. The sensitivity of the predictive physical-statistical model to the replacement of climatic norms has been investigated. Estimates of the quality of forecasts of the average monthly ice cover are obtained. Keywords: base period, long-term forecast, physical and statistical model, ice cover, climate characteristics, typification, forecast skill scores

scholarly journals Variability of Lake Ice Growth and Quality in the Schefferville Region, Central Labrador—Ungava

1962 ◽  
Vol 4 (33) ◽  
pp. 337-347 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. T. Andrews
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Lake Ice ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Accumulated Degree Days

Abstract An examination of rates of ice growth, actual ice thickness and the quality of the lake ice profile on Knob Lake, central Labrador—Ungava, showed that all these factors were extremely variable. Three sites were established on Knob Lake from 1957 to 1961, and a similar sequence of sites was established on a neighbouring lake, Maryjo Lake, from 1959 to 1961. Significant variations occurred within a single lake body from site to site, though it was noted that certain patterns of ice growth and quality did occur throughout most years and could be directly related to patterns of snow accumulation on the lake. Variations from lake to lake were found to be least at the centre lake sites, probably because snow cover was always least at these sites and would not affect heat loss so greatly as at the marginal sites. It is suggested that the majority of empirical formulae proposed for lake ice growth are unrealistic for short-term forecasting of ice thickness and growth, and even long-term forecasting, using accumulated degree-days of frost, only gives average values. The only answer is repeated samplings on any lake, until such time that sufficient data are gathered for a full statistical approach based on probability analysis.

scholarly journals MAIN DIRECTLY INTERACTIONS IN THE REAL SECTOR OF THE ECONOMIC AND BANKING SYSTEMS

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Sarancha
Keyword(s):  
Strategic Management ◽  
Development Strategy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Social Infrastructure ◽  
The Real ◽  
Mutual Relations ◽  
Definition Of

The relevance of the article is due to the need to ensure economic growth through the search for new approaches in regulating the interaction of financial and real sectors of the economy. The need to develop such approaches is due to the need for significant investment to ensure the creation of new, expansion and modernization of existing industries and the development of both industrial and social infrastructure. Relevance has determined the purpose of the article, which is to further develop approaches to strategic management of the interaction of the real sector of the economy and the banking system, to determine the main directions of interaction between the banking system and the real sector. The system of relations between enterprises and banks is considered. Namely: between the bank as an intermediary and the enterprise; between the enterprise and the bank within various integrated business groups; between the enterprise and the bank as a producer of financial products and services; between the enterprise and the bank as an agent; between the enterprise and the bank as a growth multiplier; between the enterprise and the bank as a financial corporation that provides optimization between consumption and accumulation. Determining the features of such relations allowed to form approaches to the development of strategy for managing the system of relations between enterprises and banks, due to the general patterns of development. Positive feedback is shown as a condition for the development of the real sector of the economy and the banking system. The general statement of a strategic task of management of system of such mutual relations on the basis of definition of the purpose in the form of some functional E (the purpose) and quality of management is formulated. It is noted that a pre-formulated development strategy and planned indicators should be chosen as a planned benchmark for development. The scientific novelty is due to the systematization and generalization of the features of the system of relations between enterprises and banks at the present stage in order to develop a strategy for managing the system of relations between enterprises and banks. Conclusions are made on the complexity of the financial and economic system, the multi-purpose nature of its functioning and the need to use strategic management to ensure the long-term development of such systems and the economy as a whole.

scholarly journals Enterprise innovation development strategy

2021 ◽  
Vol 82 (4) ◽  
pp. 313-318
Author(s):  
V. G. Lutchenko ◽  
A. I. Khorev ◽  
L. O. Zhitinskaya ◽  
N. M. Parshin ◽  
S. V. Ionov
Keyword(s):  
Development Strategy ◽  
Innovative Development ◽  
Competitive Advantages ◽  
Economic Decisions ◽  
Innovative Products ◽  
Enterprise Innovation ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Goals And Objectives

In the innovative development of an enterprise, an important role should be played by the determination of methods for ensuring a long-term direction of development by choosing an algorithm of actions, that is, a sound strategy based on economic decisions, business approaches, ways of their implementation, and establishing relationships with other subsidiaries of the integrated structure. In conditions of tough competition in the markets, the only way to ensure competitive advantages for an enterprise can only be strategic management of innovative development, which is capable of providing long-term forecasting and implementation of the innovative goals and objectives set in the strategy. There are quite a few formulations and varieties of strategies for innovative development, among which the most characteristic types can be distinguished: offensive - typical for enterprises that base their activities on the principles of entrepreneurial competition and the creation of "breakthrough" innovations; defensive - aimed at maintaining competitive positions in existing markets; imitation - aimed at copying the consumer properties of innovations from other enterprises; “Niche” - aimed at adapting to narrow market segments with products with unique characteristics associated either with differentiation or with low costs. The mission of innovative development is formulated as follows: "The company guarantees its shareholders adherence to the innovative direction of development by developing and manufacturing high-quality innovative products that are not inferior to the best foreign models and generating high employee incomes, fulfilling obligations to society and profit to shareholders." Implementation of the strategy of innovative development should be reduced to constant monitoring of its implementation and adjustments, taking into account the changing external environment and internal conditions of the enterprise. This function at the analyzed enterprise is performed by the management of the enterprise, since its functions include not only the formulation of the strategy, but also the choice of methods for its implementation, as well as control and, if necessary, its adjustment.

scholarly journals Types and ways of modernization in a context of the international experience

2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-94
Author(s):  
Nataliia Vodolazskaya
Keyword(s):  
Educational Level ◽  
Social System ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Quality Of Education ◽  
Economic Systems ◽  
Innovative Development ◽  
Cultural Traditions ◽  
Political Modernization

Results of the researches of productive and economic systems of a number of the countries are stated in this paper. Types and ways of modernization of these systems taking into account the choice of development model of society are presented. Process regularity of international modernization, including Russia is specified. The immediacy of the problem of modernization as sets of technological, economic, cultural, political changes is proved. The listed changes are directed to the improvement of social system, cultural and educational level of the population and to the increase in prestige of the country in general. Qualitative differences between the eastern ("Asian") and western ("European") ways of modernization are given. The objective reasons of differences in character, rates, efficiency of implementation of political modernization in post-socialist societies are the level of political stability in society, presence of the reformatory elite interested in political and innovative development strategies of society, and cultural traditions. Stages and prerequisites of production modernization are considered. The questions describing participants of the process, their competences and professional standard are shown. The quality of education of leading representatives was and remains the major indicator defining long-term development of society. Examples of implementation of the international educational projects are given.

scholarly journals Simulation modelling of the municipal sanatorium-tourist branch

2018 ◽  
Vol 170 ◽  
pp. 01030 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrey Kopyrin
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Modelling ◽  
Government Officials ◽  
Urban Dynamics ◽  
Forecast Data ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Optimum Solution ◽  
Social Economic Development ◽  
The City

This issue is devoted to urban dynamics research and modelling of Sochi resort region. Sochi is a Russian resort city, situated near the southern Russian border. Under current conditions, there is a need to work out new approaches to management that can aim at expanding the city’s capacity to develop itself and enhance the quality of life of its residents. One of them is the use of long-term forecasting in the practice of the city’s government, which would align the interests of the city’s business, authorities, and residents. The imitation modelling method ensures the iterative process of developing the model which is characterized by the gradual broadening of knowledge about the system with the participation of experts and specialists in the domain area. The imitation model for the city does not provide an optimum solution unlike the classic solution for optimization objectives, but it is an auxiliary means, convenient to use for local self-government officials, of searching for solutions to certain issues related to the city’s social-economic development. On this model were made several computational experiments, and scenario analysis, which results can provide the decision maker with the needed information and forecast data.

scholarly journals Variability of Lake Ice Growth and Quality in the Schefferville Region, Central Labrador—Ungava

1962 ◽  
Vol 4 (33) ◽  
pp. 337-347
Author(s):  
J. T. Andrews
Keyword(s):  
Statistical Approach ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Lake Ice ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Long Term Forecasting ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Accumulated Degree Days

AbstractAn examination of rates of ice growth, actual ice thickness and the quality of the lake ice profile on Knob Lake, central Labrador—Ungava, showed that all these factors were extremely variable. Three sites were established on Knob Lake from 1957 to 1961, and a similar sequence of sites was established on a neighbouring lake, Maryjo Lake, from 1959 to 1961. Significant variations occurred within a single lake body from site to site, though it was noted that certain patterns of ice growth and quality did occur throughout most years and could be directly related to patterns of snow accumulation on the lake. Variations from lake to lake were found to be least at the centre lake sites, probably because snow cover was always least at these sites and would not affect heat loss so greatly as at the marginal sites. It is suggested that the majority of empirical formulae proposed for lake ice growth are unrealistic for short-term forecasting of ice thickness and growth, and even long-term forecasting, using accumulated degree-days of frost, only gives average values. The only answer is repeated samplings on any lake, until such time that sufficient data are gathered for a full statistical approach based on probability analysis.

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