scholarly journals Bachatskiy induced earthquake on June 18, 2013, ML=6.1, I0=7 (Kuzbass)

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-61 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Emanov ◽  
Aleksey Emanov ◽  
Aleksandr Fateev
Keyword(s):  
B Value ◽  
Mountain Area ◽  
Seismic Arrays ◽  
Seismic Activation ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Single Process ◽  
Strip Mine ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Sayan Mountain ◽  
Natural Seismicity

The Bachatsky earthquake of 18 June 2013 and a seismic activation of the same name coal strip mine, started several years before the earthquake and still persists today, have been studied using temporal local seismic arrays in the area. It was found experimentally that the seismic process area is closely connected to open workings, and the earthquakes are extend-ed from the working bed to a depth of 4-5 km. Adjacent to the mine depression sedimentary rocks were activated. The technogenic seismic regime is continuous and not stationary: intervals of background seismicity with relatively weak and seldom events are disturbed by bursts of activity with a rise in the magnitude of stronger earthquakes and frequency of occurrence of weak events. The seismic activation may last for 1–3 months. During the last five years, four seismic activations have been recorded, three of which were generated by large earthquakes of 09.02.2012, ML4.3; 04.03.2013, ML3.9; 18.06.2013, ML6.1. The last one was completed by a series of perceptible earthquakes with local magnitude of 3.0–3.5. The focal mechanism of the Bachatsky earthquake is a thrust fault with one of the motion planes corresponding to the anthropogenic impact. The earthquake flow forms a single process in the space with the b-value of the Gutenberg-Richter relationship different from the natural seismicity. The studied induced seismicity does not correspond to the structural regularities of natural seismicity in the Altai-Sayan mountain area. The findings prove that the Bachatsky earthquake and associated activation can be considered as man-made events.

scholarly journals Seismological studies in the Altai-Sayan mountain region

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 20-51
Keyword(s):  
Experimental Work ◽  
Mountain Region ◽  
Altai Mountains ◽  
Long Period ◽  
The North ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Western Sayan ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Sayan Mountain ◽  
Over Time

The paper provides a brief overview of seismological studies in the Altai-Sayan mountain region. The de-velopment of a network of seismological stations and experiments with temporary stations in the epicen-tral zones of large earthquakes is described. It is shown that the background seismicity of the region is or-dered over time into structures with a hierarchy in the rate of occurrence. Large earthquakes in some cases occur in places that do not match with the areas of increased background seismicity. Major earthquakes in Eastern Tuva (Busingol, Belin-Biy-Khem, etc.) occur as shifts and rotations of blocks near rift depressions. Large earthquakes of the Western Sayan Ridge and the Academician Obruchev Ridge (Tuvan First and Second earthquakes, Sayan earthquake) are associated with faults transverse to these structures and are the result of the uneven extension of blocks of the Tuva hollow and the Tuva highlands to the north. Stud-ies in the Altai Mountains found that after a long period (about 10 years) of the aftershock process of the Chui earthquake dominating the seismicity, a period of seismic activation of adjacent (60-80 km) and dis-tant (within a radius of approximately 260-280 km) structures occurred. The center of seismic activity shifted from the epicenter of the 2003 Chui earthquake to the epicenter of the 2019 Aigulak earthquake. Experimental work with powerful vibrators has determined the capabilities of a network of seismological stations in vibroseismic monitoring of the Earth's crust.

Estimating b-values and biases in small earthquake catalogues

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gina-Maria Geffers ◽  
Ian Main ◽  
Mark Naylor
Keyword(s):  
Relative Proportion ◽  
Synthetic Data ◽  
Finite Size ◽  
B Value ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Implicit Assumption ◽  
Earthquake Catalogues ◽  
Scale Free ◽  
Completeness Magnitude ◽  
Large Earthquakes

<p>The Gutenberg-Richter (GR) b-value represents the relative proportion of small to large earthquakes in a scale-free population. For tectonic seismicity, this is often close to unity, but some studies have shown the b-value to be elevated (>1) in both volcanic and induced seismicity. However, many of these studies have used relatively small datasets – in sample size and magnitude range, easily introducing biases. This leads to incomplete catalogues above the threshold above which all events are assumed to be recorded – the completeness magnitude M<sub>c</sub>. At high magnitudes, the scale-free behaviour must break down because natural tectonic and volcano-tectonic processes are incapable of an infinite release of energy, which is difficult to estimate accurately. In particular, it can be challenging to distinguish between regions of unlimited scale-free behaviour and physical roll-off at larger magnitudes. The latter model is often referred to as the modified Gutenberg-Richter (MGR) distribution.</p><p>We use the MGR distribution to describe the breakdown of scale-free behaviour at large magnitudes, introducing the roll-off parameter (θ) to the incremental distribution. Applying a maximum likelihood method to estimate the b-value could violate the implicit assumption that the underlying model is GR. If this is the case, the methods used will return a biased b-value rather than indicate that the method used is inappropriate for the underlying model. Using synthetic data and testing it on various earthquake catalogues, we show that when we have little data and low bandwidth, it is statistically challenging to test whether the sample is representative of the scale-free GR behaviour or whether it is controlled primarily by the finite size roll-off seen in MGR.</p>

scholarly journals The Spatio-temporal Analysis of b-value in the Banda Arc, Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 873 (1) ◽  
pp. 012010
Author(s):  
Muhammad Bani Al-Rasyid ◽  
Mira Nailufar Rusman ◽  
Daniel Hamonangan ◽  
Pepen Supendi ◽  
Kartika Hajar Kirana
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Variation ◽  
Temporal Analysis ◽  
B Value ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variation ◽  
Tectonic Structure ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Banda Arc ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract Banda arc is a complex tectonic structure manifests by high seismicity due to the collision of a continent and an intra-oceanic island arc. Using the relocated earthquakes data from ISC-EHB and BMKG catalogues from the time period of 1960 to 2018, we have conducted a spatial and temporal variation of b-value using the Guttenberg-Richter formula in the area. Our results show that the spatial distribution of low b-values located in the south of Ambon Island and southeast of Buru Island. On the other hand, the temporal variation of b-value shows a decrease in the northern part of the Banda sea probably high potential to produce large earthquakes in the future. Therefore, further mitigation is needed to minimize the impact of earthquakes in the area.

scholarly journals Spatial Variations in Seismicity Characteristics in and Around the Source Region of the 2019 Yamagata-Oki Earthquake, Japan

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taku Ueda ◽  
Aitaro Kato ◽  
Yoshihiko Ogata ◽  
Lina Yamaya
Keyword(s):  
Source Region ◽  
B Value ◽  
Spatial Variations ◽  
Japan Meteorological Agency ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Shear Strain Rate ◽  
Study Region ◽  
Etas Model ◽  
Seismicity Rate ◽  
Background Seismicity

Abstract The 2019 {\text{M}}_{\text{j}} 6.7 Yamagata-Oki Earthquake occurred adjacent to the northeastern edge of the source region of the 1964 {\text{M}}_{\text{j}} 7.5 Niigata Earthquake, offshore of Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. Few aftershocks occurred in the source region of the Yamagata-Oki earthquake immediately following the Niigata earthquake, and the recent seismicity rate in this region is extremely low compared with that of the surrounding region. This spatial variation in seismicity may allow us to elucidate plausible physical processes that shape the spatiotemporal evolution of these shallow-crustal environments. Here, we investigate the spatial variations in seismicity characteristics by applying the HIerarchical Space–Time Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (HIST-ETAS) model to an earthquake catalog compiled by the Japan Meteorological Agency for events in and around the Yamagata-Oki earthquake rupture region. We compare spatial variations in the background seismicity rate and aftershock productivity estimated from the HIST-ETAS model with the geophysical features in the study region. The background seismicity rate is high along the eastern margin of the Sea of Japan and correlates well with a previously identified zone that possesses a high geodetic shear strain rate. The two major earthquakes occurred in and around an active shear zone, suggesting that the background seismicity rate may serve as a key parameter for evaluating seismic hazard across the Japanese Archipelago. Furthermore, the source region of the Yamagata-Oki earthquake has a higher aftershock productivity, lower b-value, and lower seismic-wave velocity than that of the Niigata earthquake. We interpret this low-velocity zone to be a well-developed damaged rock that resulted in both a reduction in the b-value and an increase in aftershock productivity based on previous laboratory experiments and numerical results; this damage makes the rock more ductile at the macroscopic scale. The higher ductility in the source region of the Yamagata-Oki earthquake may have worked as a soft barrier against the propagation of dynamic rupture that occurred during the Niigata earthquake.

scholarly journals b-value of what? Complex behavior of the magnitude distribution during and within the 2016–2017 central Italy sequence

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcus Herrmann ◽  
Ester Piegari ◽  
Warner Marzocchi
Keyword(s):  
Relative Rate ◽  
Central Italy ◽  
B Value ◽  
Earthquake Forecasting ◽  
Earthquake Catalog ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variations ◽  
Earthquake Occurrence ◽  
Tectonic Structures ◽  
Magnitude Distribution ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract The Magnitude–Frequency-Distribution (MFD) of earthquakes is typically modeled with the (tapered) Gutenberg–Richter relation. The main parameter of this relation, the b-value, controls the relative rate of small and large earthquakes. Resolving spatiotemporal variations of the b-value is critical to understanding the earthquake occurrence process and improving earthquake forecasting. However, this variation is not well understood. Here we present unexpected MFD variability using a high-resolution earthquake catalog of the 2016–2017 central Italy sequence. Isolation of seismicity clusters reveals that the MFD differs in nearby clusters, varies or remains constant in time depending on the cluster, and features an unexpected b-value increase in the cluster where the largest event will occur. These findings suggest a strong influence of the heterogeneity and complexity of tectonic structures on the MFD. Our findings raise the question of the appropriate spatiotemporal scale for resolving the b-value, which poses a serious obstacle to interpreting and using the MFD in earthquake forecasting.

scholarly journals Strong foreshock signal preceding the L'Aquila (Italy) earthquake (<i>M</i><sub>w</sub> 6.3) of 6 April 2009

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. A. Papadopoulos ◽  
M. Charalampakis ◽  
A. Fokaefs ◽  
G. Minadakis
Keyword(s):  
Hanging Wall ◽  
B Value ◽  
Aftershock Sequence ◽  
Earthquake Catalogue ◽  
Seismicity Rate ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Spatially Distributed ◽  
Drastic Increase ◽  
Seismogenic Area

Abstract. We used the earthquake catalogue of INGV extending from 1 January 2006 to 30 June 2009 to detect significant changes before and after the 6 April 2009 L'Aquila mainshock (Mw=6.3) in the seismicity rate, r (events/day), and in b-value. The statistical z-test and Utsu-test were applied to identify significant changes. From the beginning of 2006 up to the end of October 2008 the activity was relatively stable and remained in the state of background seismicity (r=1.14, b=1.09). From 28 October 2008 up to 26 March 2009, r increased significantly to 2.52 indicating weak foreshock sequence; the b-value did not changed significantly. The weak foreshock sequence was spatially distributed within the entire seismogenic area. In the last 10 days before the mainshock, strong foreshock signal became evident in space (dense epicenter concentration in the hanging-wall of the Paganica fault), in time (drastic increase of r to 21.70 events/day) and in size (b-value dropped significantly to 0.68). The significantly high seismicity rate and the low b-value in the entire foreshock sequence make a substantial difference from the background seismicity. Also, the b-value of the strong foreshock stage (last 10 days before mainshock) was significantly lower than that in the aftershock sequence. Our results indicate the important value of the foreshock sequences for the prediction of the mainshock.

Background Seismicity before and after the 1976 Ms 7.8 Tangshan Earthquake: Is Its Aftershock Sequence Still Continuing?

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Liu ◽  
Jiancang Zhuang ◽  
Changsheng Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Aftershock Sequence ◽  
Tangshan Earthquake ◽  
Aftershock Activity ◽  
Background Rate ◽  
Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence ◽  
Aftershock Sequences ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Current Stage

Abstract The aftershock zone of the 1976 Ms 7.8 Tangshan, China, earthquake remains seismically active, experiencing moderate events such as the 5 December 2019 Ms 4.5 Fengnan event. It is still debated whether aftershock sequences following large earthquakes in low-seismicity continental regions can persist for several centuries. To understand the current stage of the Tangshan aftershock sequence, we analyze the sequence record and separate background seismicity from the triggering effect using a finite-source epidemic-type aftershock sequence model. Our results show that the background rate notably decreases after the mainshock. The estimated probability that the most recent 5 December 2019 Ms 4.5 Fengnan District, Tangshan, earthquake is a background event is 50.6%. This indicates that the contemporary seismicity in the Tangshan aftershock zone can be characterized as a transition from aftershock activity to background seismicity. Although the aftershock sequence is still active in the Tangshan region, it is overridden by background seismicity.

scholarly journals Magnitude-Dependent Transient Increase of Seismogenic Depth

2020 ◽  
Vol 91 (4) ◽  
pp. 2182-2191
Author(s):  
Olaf Zielke ◽  
Danijel Schorlemmer ◽  
Sigurjon Jónsson ◽  
Paul Martin Mai
Keyword(s):  
Transition Zone ◽  
Fault System ◽  
Seismogenic Zone ◽  
Tectonic Deformation ◽  
Rupture Length ◽  
Strain And Strain Rate ◽  
Background Seismicity ◽  
Earthquake Size ◽  
Large Earthquakes

Abstract The thickness of the seismogenic zone in the Earth’s crust plays an important role in seismotectonics, affecting fault-system architecture and relative fault activity, earthquake size and distribution within a fault system, as well as long-term accumulation of tectonic deformation. Within the last two decades, several studies have revealed that aftershocks of large continental earthquakes may occur below the background depth of the seismogenic zone, that is, below the seismic–aseismic transition zone. This observation may be explained with a strain- and strain-rate-induced shift in rheological behavior that follows large mainshocks, transiently changing the deformation style below the seismogenic zone from incipient ductile to seismically brittle failure. As large earthquakes transiently deepen the seismic–aseismic transition zone, it is plausible to assume that larger mainshocks may cause stronger deepening than smaller mainshocks. Corresponding observations, however, have not yet been reported. Here, we use well-located seismic catalogs from Alaska, California, Japan, and Turkey to analyze if mainshock size positively correlates with the amount of transient deepening of the seismic–aseismic transition zone. We compare the depths of background seismicity with aftershock depths of 16 continental strike-slip earthquakes (6≤M≤7.8) and find that large mainshocks do cause stronger transient deepening than moderate-size mainshocks. We further suggest that this deepening effect also applies to the mainshocks themselves, with larger mainshock coseismic ruptures being capable of extending deeper into the normally aseismic zone. This understanding may help address fundamental questions of earthquake-source physics such as the assumed scale invariance of earthquake stress drop and whether fault-slip scales with rupture length or rupture width.

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