scholarly journals ENERGY-GROWTH NEXUS: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA

2021 ◽  
pp. 8-14
Author(s):  
Umar Muhammad Dabachi ◽  
Suraya Mahmood
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Energy Intensity ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Energy Price ◽  
Policy Recommendations ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
Bound Test

This study aims to investigate the causality relationships between energy use, energy intensity, energy price and economic growth. Regarding the data analysis, the study covered the period from 1980 until 2020. All relevant preliminary tests were conducted in order to validate the data before the main analysis. We deployed ARDL bound test of cointegration approach for long-run relationship, as well as the granger causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamota (1995). The empirical results showed the presence of long-run relationship among the variables. We also found that energy use and economic growth has a bidirectional relationship. Similarly, we observed a presence of another feedback causal effect between energy intensity and economic growth. Likewise, a bi-directional causal relationship exists between energy price and economic growth in the Nigerian economy. The study makes available policy recommendations in the last part of the paper. KEY WORDS: energy intensity, energy price, economic growth, Toda and Yamamota

Electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 16
Author(s):  
Ahmad Ghazali Ismail ◽  
Arlinah Abd Rashid ◽  
Azlina Hanif
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Panel Estimation ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bidirectional Relationship ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship and causality direction between electricity consumption and economic growth is an important issue in the fields of energy economics and policies towards energy use. Extensive literatures has discussed the issue, but the array of findings provides anything but consensus on either the existence of relations or direction of causality between the variables. This study extends research in this area by studying the long-run and causal relations between economic growth, electricity consumption, labour and capital based on the neo-classical one sector aggregate production technology mode using data of electricity consumption and real GDP for ASEAN from the year 1983 to 2012. The analysis is conducted using advanced panel estimation approaches and found no causality in the short run while in the long-run, the results indicate that there are bidirectional relationship among variables. This study provides supplementary evidences of relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN.

scholarly journals The Symmetric and Asymmetric impact of FDI Inflows, Economic growth, and Capital Investment on CO2 Emission in Oman-Evidence from ARDL and NARDL Approach

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishfaq Hamid ◽  
Md Shabbir Alam ◽  
Muntasir Murshed ◽  
Pabitra Kumar Jena ◽  
Nadia Sha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Carbon Dioxide ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Emissions ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Symmetric Model ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bound Test

Abstract This study examines the symmetric and asymmetric nexus between capital investment, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and CO2 emissions in Oman during 1980- 2019. For this purpose, we applied ARDL Model for linear cointegration and NARDL model for nonlinear cointegration between capital investment, economic growth, foreign direct investment, and CO2 emissions. The bound test shows the long-term equilibrium relationship among CO2 emissions, capital investment, economic growth, and FDI in both models. The error correction mechanism demonstrates that CO2 emissions congregate to their long-run equilibrium level at a 50.1 percent annual pace of adjustment by integrating capital investment, economic growth, and FDI under the symmetric model. The causality test results show that carbon emissions and FDI, economic growth, and CO2 emissions exhibit bidirectional causal links. While, on the other hand, unidirectional causal links are running from capital investment to GDP. The asymmetric results show that positive shocks to FDI and economic growth have significant tumbling consequences on Oman's carbon dioxide emissions.In contrast, negative shocks in FDI and economic growth substantially increase carbon dioxide emissions. The research findings also reveal that carbon dioxide emissions are more resilient to negative shocks in FDI and economic growth. Based on these results, this study accomplishes that abatement measures should consist of strategies to enhance the deepness of FDI and economic growth in the Oman economy.JEL Classification: F21, Q56, C22

scholarly journals Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: Further Evidence from Taiwan

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 165
Author(s):  
Chung-Wei Kao ◽  
Jer-Yuh Wan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Energy Conservation ◽  
Energy Use ◽  
Threshold Model ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Business Cycle

This paper investigates the nonlinear relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Taiwan. By applying the method of Gonzalo and Pitarakis (2006), we consider the possibility of significant threshold effects within the long-run relationship between the two variables, where the effect is trigged by changes in the phase of the business cycle. The Granger-causality test in a threshold model indicates the relationship between energy consumption and GDP is regime-dependent. A bidirectional relationship between these two variables is observed in the contractionary regime, implying that energy serves as an engine of economic growth and that reductions in energy use will have adverse effects on economic activities. On the other hand, a unidirectional causality running from GDP to energy consumption is detected in the expansionary regime. It indicates energy conservation is feasible in this regime with little or no detrimental effects on economic growth. The policy implications are that energy use and economic growth are jointly reinforcing each other during recessionary periods. However, in periods of high economic growth when energy consumption cannot bring about economic growth, energy conservation policies should be adopted with more aggressive thinking.

scholarly journals Financial Institutions’ Inter Mediation and Economic Development in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-46
Author(s):  
Grace Oyeyemi Ogundajo ◽  
Adegbemi Babatunde Onakoya ◽  
Enyi Patrick Enyi ◽  
Tunji T. Siyanbola
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Financial Institutions ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Real Gdp ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
Bound Test

This paper examines the effect of intermediation capacity of the financial institutions on the Nigerian economic development (Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP). It is a causal-effect relationship study which made use of macro data obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Statistical Bulletin from the period 1981-2016. The result of the Johansen co-integration test and ARDL bound test evidenced that there exist a long-run relationship between financial institutions’ activities and real GDP. ARDL regression model showed financial institution activities, particularly the loans to the private sector significantly impacted on economic growth both in the short-run and long-run The study also found that bank loans and advances, bank reserves and interest rate had insignificant negative impact on real GDP while credit to private sector significantly affected economic development of Nigeria (RGDP) Thus, economic development of Nigeria is driven by the performance of deposit money banks and concludes that the performance of deposit money banks has effect on the economic development of Nigeria. The study recommended that the banking sector should increase lending to the private sector in order to engender economic growth through the enhancement of entrepreneurial development.

scholarly journals Public Education Funding and Economic Growth IN Nigeria; ARDL-VECM and Causal Inference Approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 30-41
Author(s):  
Eugene Iheanacho ◽  
Chuks Nwaogwugwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Public Education ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Capital Expenditure ◽  
Causal Effect ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Education Funding ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bound Test

Considering the enormous impact of poor standard of educational system in Nigeria over the years, the study investigated the effects of public education funding on economic growth in Nigeria from 1985 to 2019. The paper used secondary data sourced from both Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and World Bank’s Development Indicators 2019. The paper employed Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag co-integration, Error correction mechanism and granger-causality tests as technique for data analysis. The ARDL bound test co-integration results revealed that RRETE, RCETE and Inflation have positive relationship with Economic growth. However, RETE, SEDU and PRI have indirect influence on Economic growth in Nigeria. Statistically, only RRETE has a long run causal effect on economic growth. ARDL Error Correction Regression output showed that RETE and RCETE are significant at 10% level while PRI is significant at 5% level this indicates the existence of short run causal relationship with the establishment of ECM long run equilibrium adjustment speed. The causal results revealed unidirectional inference between SEDU and RETE, PRI and RETE, PRI and RRETE with no feedback effect. Therefore, the study recommended educational funding targeted at secondary and primary education system in order to acquire productive skills and knowledge to stimulate economic growth and development in Nigeria. There is need to meet the UNESCO funding ratio for both recurrent and capital expenditure on education sector.

The relationship between financial development and economic growth in Eswatini (formerly Swaziland)

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Siphe-okuhle Fakudze ◽  
Asrat Tsegaye ◽  
Kin Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Granger Causality Test ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Relationship

PurposeThe paper examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth for the period 1996 to 2018 in Eswatini.Design/methodology/approachThe Autoregressive Distributed Lag bounds test (ARDL) was employed to determine the long-run and short-run dynamics of the link between the variables of interest. The Granger causality test was also performed to establish the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth.FindingsThe ARDL results revealed that there is a long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth. The Granger causality test revealed bidirectional causality between money supply and economic growth, and unidirectional causality running from economic growth to financial development. The results highlight that economic growth exerts a positive and significant influence on financial development, validating the demand following hypothesis in Eswatini.Practical implicationsPolicymakers should formulate policies that aims to engineer more economic growth. The policies should strike a balance between deploying funds necessary to stimulate investment and enhancing productivity in order to enliven economic growth in Eswatini.Originality/valueThe study investigates the finance-growth linkage using time series analysis. It determines the long-run and short-run dynamics of this relationship and examines the Granger causality outcomes.

Financial Deepening, Financial Intermediation and Nigerian Economic Growth: Time Variant Analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 60-73
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Private Sector ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Domestic Product ◽  
Financial Deepening ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Real Gross Domestic Product ◽  
Long Run

This study examines financial deepening, financial intermediation and Nigerian economic growth. The main purpose is to examine the relationship between financial deepening and Nigerian economic growth while the specific objectives are to examine the impact of interest rate, capital market development, rational savings, credit to private sector and broad money supply on the growth of Nigerian. Secondary data of the variables were sourced from the publications of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) from 1981-2017. Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP) was used as dependent variable while Broad money supply (M2), Credit to Private Sector (CPS), National Savings (NS), Capital Market Capitalization (CAMP) and Interest Rate (INTR) was used as independent variables. Multiple regressions with E-view statistical package were used as data analysis techniques. Cointegration test, Augmented Dickey Fuller Unit Root Test, Granger causality test was used to determine the relationship between the variable in the long-run and short-run. R2, F – statistics and β Coefficients were used to determine the extent to which the independent variable affects the dependent variable. It was found from the regression result that Broad Money Supply, credit to private sector have position effect on the growth of Nigerian Real Gross Domestic Product while National Savings, Capitalization and Interest Rate on Nigeria Real Gross Domestic Product. The co-integration test revealed presence of long-run relationship among the variables, the stationary test indicated stationarity of the variables at level. The Granger Causality Test found bi – variant relationship from the dependent to the independent and from the independent to the dependent variables. The regression summary found 99.0% explained variation, 560.5031, F – statistics and probability of 0.00000. From the above, the study concludes that financial deepening has significant relationships with Nigerian economic growth. We recommend that government and the financial sector operators should make policies that will further deepen the functions of the financial system to enhance Nigerian economic growth.

scholarly journals Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Development and Economic Growth Evidence from Saudi Arabia

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Najeeb Muhammad Nasir ◽  
Mohammed Ziaur Rehman ◽  
Nasir Ali
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Saudi Arabian ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Resources ◽  
Integration Test

This study is an effort to explain and establish a relationship among foreign direct investment, financial development and economic growth in Saudi Arabian context for the period of 1970 to 2015 by employing Vector Auto Regression (VAR) and modified Granger Casualty Models. The result of Johansen co-integration test illustrates that no long run co-integration can be established among the variables. VAR has established a link between economic growth, financial development and foreign direct investment. The Granger causality test also confirms that economic growth causes foreign direct investment and financial development which is a unidirectional causality running from economic growth towards foreign direct investment and financial development. No significant causality can be observed empirically between foreign direct investment and financial development. This feature can be attributed to the fact that Saudi Arabian economy is still heavily dependent on its oil resources which is the driving force behind growth. Impulse Response Function has been utilized in order to observe the response to the shocks among the variables.

scholarly journals FDI and Economic Growth in EU13 Countries: Cointegration and Causality Tests

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 47-63
Author(s):  
Vlatka Bilas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Growth Rate ◽  
European Union ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Panel Ardl ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Tests ◽  
The Relationship

Foreign direct investments are seen as a prerequisite for gaining and maintaining competitiveness. The research objective of this study is to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in “new” European Union member countries using various unit root, cointegration, as well as causality tests. The paper employs annual data for FDI and gross domestic product (GDP) from 2002 to 2018 for the 13 most recent members of European Union (EU13): Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, the Czech Republic, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and Slovenia. An estimated panel ARDL (PMG) model found evidence that there is a long-run equilibrium between the LogGDP, LogFDI and LogFDIP series, with the rate of adjustment back to equilibrium between 3.27% and 20.67%. In the case of the LogFDI series, long-run coefficients are highly statistically significant in all four models, varying between 0.0828 and 0.3019. These coefficients indicate that a 1% increase in LogFDI increases LogGDP between 0.0828% and 0.3019%. Results of a Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test indicated that a relationship between the GDP growth rate and FDI growth rate is only indirect. Finally, only weak evidence was shown that FDI had a statistically significant impact on GDP in the EU13 countries over the period 2002-2018. This report of findings contributes to the literature concerning FDI and economic growth, namely regarding the current understanding of the relationship between these two factors.

scholarly journals An econometric analysis of the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policies in India

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anand Nadar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Indian Economy ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Bound Test

This study investigatesthe effectiveness of fiscal policy and monetary policy in India. We collected thetime series data for India ranging from 1960 to 2019 from World Development Indicator (WDI). Weapplied the bound test co-integration approach to check the long-run relationship between fiscalpolicy, monetary policy, and economic growth in the context of Indian economy. The short-run andlong-run effects of fiscal policy and monetary policy have been estimated using ARDL models. Theresults showed that there is a long-run relationship between fiscal and monetary policies witheconomic growth. The estimated short-run coefficients indicated that a few immediate short runimpacts of fiscal and monetary policies are insignificant. However, the short-run impacts becomesignificant as time passes. The long-run results suggested that the long-run impact of both fiscal andmonetary policies on economic growth are positive and significant. More specifically, the GDP levelincreases if the money supply and government expenditure increase (Expansionary fiscal andmonetary policies). On the other hand, the GDP level decreasesif the money supply and governmentexpenditure decrease (contractionary fiscal and monetary policies). Therefore, this studyrecommends to use expansionary policies to spur the Indian economy.

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