ABOUT MODERN STATISTICS ECONOMIC GROWTH

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (4) ◽  
pp. 4-19
Author(s):  
A. I. AMOSOV ◽  

The conceptual part of the article reveals the features of the transition to the phase of economic growth in the face of emerging from the virus pandemic, which unfolded against the background of the global environmental crisis that engulfed all of humanity in the post-industrial era. Changes in the directions of economic growth in the post-industrial Russian economy are investigated in comparison with trends at the stages of the spread of industrial technologies in the XX century. The dynamics of the main socio-economic indicators in the Russian Federation in the period 1990–2017 is analyzed. The factors that influenced the decline in production volumes and the rates of recovery growth in 1990–2019 are being studied. in the context of individual types of products in the basic industries of mechanical engineering, the fuel and energy complex, agriculture, animal husbandry, light and food industries. An assessment of the impact on the rate of recovery growth of an increase in export volumes is given.

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (11) ◽  
pp. 1227-1235
Author(s):  
V. D. Ardzinov ◽  
N. V. Chepachenko ◽  
A. A. Leont’ev

The presented study examines the comparative characteristics of industrial revolution targets, national goals, and strategic objectives for the development of the Russian economy; proposes methods for measuring and evaluating technological development; describes its impact on economic growth and shows the performance of enterprises.Aim. The study aims to determine the specific features of formation of economic and social development targets and the potential of new technologies, including breakthrough technologies, for shaping the technological development of the Russian economy; to propose methods for measuring and evaluating technological development and its impact on the growth and development of the national economy that would improve the quality of economic and managerial decision-making.Tasks. The authors clarify the interpretation of the concept of breakthrough technologies; identify distinctive features in the formation of industrial revolution targets and priority targets for the development of the Russian economy; substantiate methodological approaches to identifying parameters and indicators, methods for measuring and evaluating the level of technological development, its impact on the results of changes in economic growth and development of the national economy and its economic entities.Methods. The authors use the methods of scientific research, theoretical and comparative analysis, synthesis, generalization, general theory of economic growth, and elements of the economic efficiency theory.Results. The interpretation of breakthrough technologies as dominant new technologies that can ensure accelerated progressive development of the economy and minimize damage to the natural environment is clarified. The distinctive features of formation of industrial revolution targets and their relationship with the targets for the development of the Russian economy are identified. Evaluative features are substantiated; indicators for measuring and evaluating the transformation of the technological development of enterprises engaged in different activities and indicators for measuring and evaluating the impact of new technologies, including breakthrough technologies, on economic growth and development are proposed. The influence of the recommended measurement and evaluation methods on improving the quality of management decisions is shown.Conclusions. The study substantiates the need to improve methods for assessing the actual achieved (projected, planned) level of technological development as a necessary prerequisite for its qualitative analysis, evaluation, control, and monitoring required to make sound economic and managerial decisions. The proposed methods for measuring and evaluating technological development, measuring and evaluating the impact of new technologies, including breakthrough technologies, on the quality of economic growth, efficiency and competitiveness of the national economy (region, industry, activity, enterprises) improve the quality of managerial decision-making in achieving national goals for the development of the national economy.


Author(s):  
Peter Dauvergne

This chapter pans out from the islands of the Pacific to analyze the forces of unsustainable production and consumption underlying the global sustainability crisis. It demonstrates how, everywhere, inequality is increasing, as is conspicuous, wasteful consumption as companies pursue more sales and more profits. The chapter highlights how advertisers manufacture desires and needs, how big-box retailers and brand manufacturers claiming to be responsible and sustainable are selling inexpensive, nondurable products, and how governments finance infrastructure (e.g., subsidizing roads and bridges) to stimulate even higher levels of consumption. States pursue more consumption in the name of economic growth; multinational corporations for more profits for owners and shareholders; and the world’s billionaires to amass even more wealth. One result, as this chapter documents, is extreme and rising inequality, with 1 percent of the world’s population now controlling approximately half of the world’s wealth. Other results include rising ecological footprints, overexploitation of natural resources, and an escalating global environmental crisis – the themes of the book’s next chapter.


Author(s):  
Peter L. Bond

This chapter raises difficult questions regarding the validity and motive for prolonging current forms of economic development and competition in the face of the much heralded global environmental crisis threatened by humankind’s success as a species. In response, a living systems theoretical framework is introduced that provides many elements of a possible new paradigm of economic development one that closes the gap between the social and natural sciences. New forms of explanation for organization and culture are developed from the perspective of complexity science to produce a synthesis of knowledge management and new philosophical, sociological, anthropological, and, distinctively, biological perspectives of technology, which effectively reconciles the practices of technology, knowledge and cultural change management.


1994 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuwa Wong

This article approaches the current global environmental crisis from an evolutionary perspective. It identifies two features in contemporary states' behavior: impotence and intransigence in the face of global crisis. These traits stem from humanity's evolutionary past, in which groups had to maintain their integrity while surviving intergroup competition. Contemporary sovereign states are groups that have survived this process, and they guard their sovereignty vigilantly. They do so by instituting coercive measures on the one hand and cultivating members' loyalty on the other. A belief of common descent must be articulated successfully in order for members to feel group solidarity. Hence, states are intransigent in maintaining that they truly represent the welfare of their members. To the extent that states are successful in inculcating a belief of common descent and identity, they are also constrained in acting altruistically—hence, their impotence in the face of deepening global crisis. To find a way out of this dilemma, strategic alternatives are explored. The emerging role of nongovernment organizations, with certain caveats, is seen as promising.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (5) ◽  
pp. 6453-6474
Author(s):  
Leobaldo Enrique Molero Oliva ◽  
Tanya Shyrna Andino Chancay ◽  
Mayra Iveth Párraga Mogrovejo ◽  
Holger Esteban Álava Martínez ◽  
Holger Fabrizzio Bejarano Copo

La hipótesis de la Curva de Kuznets Ambiental es de gran importancia para comprender la relación entre la actividad económica y la degradación ambiental. Dada la situación actual de cambio climático y crisis ambiental, se ha vuelto importante investigar el impacto de la expansión económica en el medio ambiente.  El presente estudio tiene como objetivo comprobar la hipótesis de una CKA para Ecuador, para lo cual se estima un modelo empírico que permite identificar los principales determinantes de corto y largo plazo de las emisiones de dióxido de carbono per cápita como medida del deterioro ambiental para el período 1965-2019. La metodología propuesta está sustentada en el enfoque de cointegración de Pesaran y Shin (1999) en el marco de un modelo autorregresivo de rezagos distribuidos (ARDL). Los resultados confirman la relevancia del impacto del nivel de desarrollo o ingreso, apertura económica, precio del petróleo y consumo de energía primaria en relación con las emisiones per cápita de dióxido de carbono; asimismo, se verifica la CKA, lo que implica que el deterioro ambiental es una función creciente del nivel de actividad económica hasta un determinado nivel crítico de renta, que se ubicó en 3.688,6 USD a precios constante. Despues de ese nivel, el crecimiento se asocia con niveles progresivamente mayores de calidad ambiental. Sin embargo, las emisiones pueden incrementarse ante variaciones en el precio del petróleo y el consumo de emergería primaria. De este modo, se concluye que un crecimiento más elevado a corto plazo puede acelerar la transición del país hacia niveles de ingreso compatibles con menores emisiones.   The Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis is of great importance for understanding the relationship between economic activity and environmental degradation. Given the current situation of climate change and environmental crisis, it has become important to investigate the impact of economic expansion on the environment. The present study aims to test the hypothesis of a CKA for Ecuador, for which an empirical model is estimated that allows identifying the main short and long-term determinants of per capita carbon dioxide emissions as a measure of environmental deterioration for the period 1965-2019. The proposed methodology is based on the cointegration approach of Pesaran and Shin (1999) within the framework of an autoregressive model of distributed lags (ARDL). The results confirm the relevance of the impact of the level of development or income, economic openness, oil price and primary energy consumption in relation to per capita emissions of carbon dioxide; Likewise, the CKA is verified, which implies that environmental deterioration is a growing function of the level of economic activity up to a certain critical income level, which was located at USD 3,688.6 at constant prices. After that level, growth is associated with progressively higher levels of environmental quality. However, emissions may increase in the face of variations in the price of oil and consumption of primary emergencies. In this way, it is concluded that higher growth in the short term can accelerate the country's transition towards income levels compatible with lower emissions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 411-426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Wanner ◽  
Jonathan Zufferey ◽  
Juliette Fioretta

International labour migration in post-industrial countries raises numerous questions. A wide range of studies have been published on the impact of immigration on the labour market but only few studies take into account both arrivals (immigrations) and departures (emigrations), rather than only the role of newcomers on the labour market. This paper is based on a Swiss Longitudinal Demographic Database which links data from Population and Household Registers, administrative registers, and surveys. In particular, the Swiss Population Register provides the date of arrival or departure of immigrants/emigrants while the Structural Survey provides information on their characteristics and position on the labour market. Based on these data, this paper compares the socioeconomic characteristics of both immigrants and emigrants arrived in Switzerland during the period 2011-2013 or having left the country during the same period, a time span  characterized by a yearly net migration of + 80,000 and a rapid economic growth. In terms of level of education, every category is characterized by a positive migration balance, which is not surprising: the economic growth observed in Switzerland during the period led to a demand on the labour market for both skilled and unskilled migrants. More precisely, migratory flows counterbalanced the erosion of the low and averagely skilled working-age non-migrating population and contributed to approximately one third of the increase in the number of highly skilled workers in the labour market. Concerning the occupations, the impact of the migration balance is highest among managers and sales workers. The paper also demonstrates that the migratory flows contribute to balance the decrease in the low and averagely skilled positions and to partially fulfil the economy’s demand for highly skilled workers.


Author(s):  
Леонид Басовский ◽  
Leonid Basovskiy ◽  
Елена Басовская ◽  
Elena Basovskaya

In the Russian economy the fourth technical and economic paradigm dominates and has reached the maximum possible productivity. Economic growth is possible based on the spread of new post-industrial technical and economic paradigms. Modeling of economic growth in the period 2008–2016, shows the immunity of scientific and technological progress by the economy of the country. The reason for this immunity and the slowdown in economic growth is the influence of federal laws and the work of government officials.


2021 ◽  
pp. 36-43
Author(s):  
A. Yu. Gorbunova ◽  
Yu. V. Gorbunov ◽  
L. N. Mezhova

In the face of intensifying external changes, organizations, looking for sustainable sources of economic growth, increasingly pay attention to internal factors. Among these internal (endogenous) factors, the presence of highly intelligent, talented workers is becoming increasingly important, taking into account the transition of the economy to the post-industrial stage of development. Formation of a team of such employees and their effective management requires the presence of special methods and approaches. In management, as a response to this request, a separate method of personnel management and employee development has developed — talent management. The purpose of the study is to study the features and prospects of the talent management method to ensure the economic growth of an organization based on internal sources in the context of the post-industrial stage of economic development. The result of the research is to study the process of implementing the talent management method in an organization. The scientific novelty of the research lies in the study of the possibilities of fragmentary use of this method, taking into account the limited resources and capabilities of the organization. The conclusion is made about the positive results of the limited use of the talent management method for individual subsystems of the organization, which shows the availability of this method for use in a shortened, truncated version for Russian organizations experiencing a shortage of resources.


2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 03006
Author(s):  
Jiuxia Wu

In the process of Russian economic development, the oil industry is one of the important pillar industries. More than 50% of the total revenue of the Russian government comes from the oil and gas industry. Oil and oil products exports account for about 56.9% of Russia’s total export[1]. So Russia’s economy is inextricably linked to oil prices. Rosneft’s role in budgetary revenue sources is growing. In the development of the world economy, the change of international oil price affects the development of the Russian economy. This paper reviews the relevant theories about the relationship between oil price and Russia’s economic growth. Besides, the short-term and long-term effects of oil price fluctuation on Russian economy are analyzed with Keynes’s income determination theory and “resource Curse” theory[2] respectively. In addition, the granger causality test is used to analyze the relationship between the fluctuation of oil price and the change of Russian GDP. The following conclusions are drawn from the analysis. Firstly, oil price rise is beneficial to Russian economic growth in the short term, but will hinder Russia’s economic long-term development. Secondly, the fluctuation of oil price is the granger cause of the change of Russian GDP. However, the change of Russian GDP is not the granger cause of the fluctuation of oil price.


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