Retrospective study of Russian models of national development

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (5) ◽  
pp. 40-67
Author(s):  
Aleksey Tsikin

The crisis of modern competitiveness model of Russian economy, particularly acute after the introduction of financial and technological sanctions, requires the search for new concepts of long-term development. In accordance with the basic laws of dialectics, this task can be solved only on the basis of historical experience. The article provides a retrospective analysis of Russian models of national development, the features of which must be critically interpreted. To achieve this goal, the work identifies positive and negative characteristics of the Russian experience in improving the competitiveness of the economy in the years 1820–1991. The author offers recommendations concerning the formation of a new model of the Russian economy’s development on the basis of ensuring national self-sufficiency. The results of the work can be used in elaborating national programs for long-term development of the economy. Among the basic elements it is necessary to highlight the priority development of industry based on cluster approach, ensuring the import independence of the economy and ample beneficial use of national resources.

2021 ◽  
Vol 301 ◽  
pp. 02001
Author(s):  
Olga Romanova ◽  
Alena Ponomareva

Carrying out large-scale structural transformations of both the entire Russian economy and its individual actors is one of the most important tasks of the current stage of national development. The urgency of this problem has increased dramatically during the COVID-19 pandemic. The purpose of this paper is to identify the most significant factors in the pandemic that affect the economic growth of Russia’s regions and reduce territorial inequality. The use of methods of comparative and economic-statistical analysis made it possible to establish that the most important independent factor in the development of a region is the structure of the economy and such a factor that ensures it as the regional structural (industrial) policy. It has been substantiated that structural modernization is the basis for pursuing a non-contradictory short- and long-term policy to reduce interterritorial inequality. A particularly negative impact of the pandemic on regions with a low level of development of the real sector and overdevelopment of the service sector has been revealed.


2021 ◽  
pp. 29-38
Author(s):  
V. A. Plotnikov

The complexity of the economy and the increase in uncertainty, as well as the need to solve ambitious tasks aimed at achieving strategic national development goals, force us to search for new forms and mechanisms for starting long-term economic growth. One such mechanism is public-private partnership, understood in the article in a broad sense, as an extensive set of forms of mutually benefcial interaction between the state and business. The article analyses the prerequisites of intensifying partnership in the modern Russian economy and assesses the directions of its transformation.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 3425-3425 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Lawless ◽  
Simona Iacobelli ◽  
Nina Knelange ◽  
Patrice Chevallier ◽  
Didier Blaise ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction Primary Plasma Cell Leukaemia (pPCL) is a rare disorder and considered the most aggressive plasma cell dyscrasia. Autologous stem cell transplantation (auto) has been shown to improve outcomes, however the role of allogeneic transplantation (allo) is uncertain. The CIBMTR compared outcomes of 147 patients undergoing auto and allo transplant and demonstrated that while allo patients had significantly lower relapse rates their non-relapse mortality was significantly higher. Further evidence is needed to guide clinicians in choosing between auto versus allo in transplant eligible patients. This study examines the largest cohort of patients with pPCL undergoing auto and allo transplantation. Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was undertaken of the European Group for Bone Marrow Transplantation (EBMT) experience of patients with pPCL undergoing transplantation between 1998 and 2014. Only patients who had achieved Complete Response (CR), Partial Response (PR) or Stable Disease (SD) prior to transplantation were included. The primary end point was Overall Survival (OS). We further analysed Progression-Free Survival (PFS), Cumulative Incidence of Relapse (CIR) and Non-Relapse Mortality (NRM). As this is a retrospective study single- and tandem- transplant groups were compared by landmark analysis (4 months post first auto) and dynamic prediction to avoid time bias. We defined tandem transplants (auto-auto or auto-allo) given within 9 months in absence of progression. Dynamic prediction was used to predict long-term outcomes in all patients according to the treatment actually received and without loss of information as in the traditional landmark analysis. Results A total of 751 patients were included in the analysis. 70 patients received an allo as first transplant. 681 patients received an auto as first transplant; 239 of these patients went on to receive an elective tandem transplant. 122 had a tandem allo and 117 had a tandem auto. Patients having first allo were younger (median age 47.2 years versus 57.7 years for first auto), had a longer time from diagnosis to transplant (first allo 84.3% transplanted in <12 months versus 93.5% in first auto) and had higher proportion of patients both in CR and SD (CR allo 37.1% versus 32.5% first auto, SD 15.7% allo versus 4.8% in first auto). For patients receiving a tandem allo there was a higher proportion of matched unrelated donor transplants (50% versus 28.6% in first allo) and reduced intensity conditioning (80.3% versus 27.1% in first allo). The median OS was 17.5 months for first allo versus 33.5 months for first auto, while median PFS was 11.7 months for first allo and 14.3 months for first auto. As demonstrated by Figure 1 the OS and PFS curves do cross, therefore LogRank test was not appropriate. At 36 months NRM was 27% for allo versus 7.3% for first auto (p<0.0001) which likely accounts for the differences in OS. Figure 1. OS, PFS, CIR and NRM Landmark analysis at 4 months resulted in a reduction in the number of second transplants analysed to 160 patients. The landmark analysis revealed that there is no significant difference in OS or PFS between the transplant groups, and lower CIR (p=0.07) and only a limited early increase of NRM (p=0.24) in the auto-allo group. These results were substantially confirmed when adjusting for covariates, however the landmark analysis is limited by reduced sample size and non-constant relative risks. Dynamic prediction was made with a horizon time of 3 years for OS and 1 year for PFS. Age and disease status at transplant were included and all transplant strategies were compared to single auto as baseline. This revealed that tandem auto allo had a significant improvement in 1 year PFS with a 44% reduction in risk compared to single auto (HR 0.56, p=0.003). The 3 year predicted OS reveals a trend towards superiority for tandem auto allo versus single auto but it did not reach significance (HR 0.78, p=0.20). Conclusion This is largest retrospective study examining transplantation in pPCL. Direct comparison of first allo versus first auto shows that in the short term allo upfront has worse outcome, largely due to significant NRM. Landmark analysis and especially dynamic prediction models reveal for the first time that auto-allo has an acceptable NRM and could be preferred to single auto due to lower relapse rates translating into a better PFS and even a trend for OS in the long term. Figure 1. Figure 1. Disclosures Lawless: Celegene: Honoraria, Speakers Bureau; Abbvie: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees. Foà:AMGEN: Other: ADVISORY BOARD; INCYTE: Other: ADVISORY BOARD; ABBVIE: Other: ADVISORY BOARD, Speakers Bureau; JANSSEN: Other: ADVISORY BOARD, Speakers Bureau; GILEAD: Speakers Bureau; ROCHE: Other: ADVISORY BOARD, Speakers Bureau; CELTRION: Other: ADVISORY BOARD; CELGENE: Other: ADVISORY BOARD, Speakers Bureau; NOVARTIS: Speakers Bureau. Garderet:Takeda: Consultancy; Amgen: Consultancy; Celgene: Consultancy.


2004 ◽  
pp. 4-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Yasin ◽  
A. Yakovlev

Having analyzed the present state of the Russian economy the authors come to the conclusion that the only reasonable goal of its modernization is achieving high competitive capacity of production. External and internal competitive capacity is analysed in detail basing on broad statistics as well as competitive capacity of institutions and their changes, the adaptive model of transition economy. According to the authors implementation of competitive capacity policy as a national idea should take into account long-term perspective.


2020 ◽  
pp. 51-74
Author(s):  
I. A. Bashmakov

The article presents the key results of scenario projections that underpinned the Strategy for long-term low carbon economic development of the Russian Federation to 2050, including analysis of potential Russia’s GHG emission mitigation commitments to 2050 and assessment of relevant costs, benefits, and implications for Russia’s GDP. Low carbon transformation of the Russian economy is presented as a potential driver for economic growth that offers trillions-of-dollars-worth market niches for low carbon products by mid-21st century. Transition to low carbon economic growth is irreversible. Lagging behind in this technological race entails a security risk and technological backwardness hazards.


2012 ◽  
pp. 108-123
Author(s):  
E. Penukhina ◽  
D. Belousov ◽  
K. Mikhailenko

The article determines, describes and analyzes phases of tax reforms in Russia. We estimate macroeconomic and fiscal effects of various tax policies held during the second and third phases of tax reforms. The necessity of providing a balanced budget system, as well as complex assessment of effects of tax policy changes for the development of the Russian economy is noted.


2008 ◽  
pp. 94-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Sorokin

The problem of the Russian economy’s growth rates is considered in the article in the context of Russia’s backwardness regarding GDP per capita in comparison with the developed countries. The author stresses the urgency of modernization of the real sector of the economy and the recovery of the country’s human capital. For reaching these goals short- or mid-term programs are not sufficient. Economic policy needs a long-term (15-20 years) strategy, otherwise Russia will be condemned to economic inertia and multiplying structural disproportions.


2007 ◽  
pp. 27-45
Author(s):  
B. Titov ◽  
I. Pilipenko ◽  
A. Danilov-Danilyan

The report considers how the state economic policy contributes to the national economic development in the midterm perspective. It analyzes main current economic problems of the Russian economy, i.e. low effectiveness of the social system, high dependence on export industries and natural resources, high monopolization and underdeveloped free market, as well as barriers that hinder non-recourse-based business development including high tax burden, skilled labor deficit and lack of investment capital. We propose a social-oriented market economy as the Russian economic model to achieve a sustainable economic growth in the long-term perspective. This model is based on people’s prosperity and therefore expanding domestic demand that stimulates the growth of domestic non-resource-based sector which in turn can accelerate annual GDP growth rates to 10-12%. To realize this model "Delovaya Rossiya" proposes a program that consists of a number of directions and key groups of measures covering priority national projects, tax, fiscal, monetary, innovative-industrial, trade and social policies.


2013 ◽  
pp. 143-155
Author(s):  
A. Klepach ◽  
G. Kuranov

The role of the prominent Soviet economist, academician A. Anchishkin (1933—1987), whose 80th birth anniversary we celebrate this year, in the development of ideas and formation of economic forecasting in the country at the time when the directive planning acted as a leading tool of economic management is explored in the article. Besides, Anchishkin’s special role is noted in developing a comprehensive program of scientific and technical progress, an information basis for working out long-term forecasts of the country’s development, moreover, his contribution to the creation of long-term forecasting methodology and improvement of the statistical basis for economic analysis and economic planning. The authors show that social and economic forecasting in the period after 1991, which has undertaken a number of functions of economic planning, has largely relied on further development of Anchishkin’s ideas, at the same time responding to new challenges for the Russian economy development during its entry into the world economic system.


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